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Weekend Thread (3/1/2019 - 3/3/2019) - Weekend Estimates - Page 19.

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6 minutes ago, sfran43 said:

 

 

Honestly no wonder, considering the movies that came out in early 2018 vs those in early 2019.

 

Black Panther alone makes such a gigantic difference. Theres no need to start worrying.

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TW LW Title (click to view) Studio Weekend Gross % Change Theater Count / Change Average Total Gross Budget* Week #
1 1 How to Train Your Dragon: The Hidden World Uni. $30,046,000 -45.4% 4,286 +27 $7,010 $97,696,275 $129 2
2 N Tyler Perry's A Madea Family Funeral LGF $27,050,000 - 2,442 - $11,077 $27,050,000 - 1
3 2 Alita: Battle Angel Fox $7,000,000 -43.3% 3,096 -706 $2,261 $72,231,308 $170 3
4 3 The LEGO Movie 2: The Second Part WB $6,615,000 -31.7% 3,458 -375 $1,913 $91,670,040 - 4
5 11 Green Book Uni. $4,711,000 +121.4% 2,641 +1,388 $1,784 $75,920,611 $23 16
6 4 Fighting with My Family MGM $4,691,284 -40.0% 2,855 +144 $1,643 $14,945,905 - 3
7 5 Isn't It Romantic WB (NL) $4,645,000 -34.8% 3,325 -119 $1,397 $40,299,003 - 3
8 N Greta Focus $4,585,000 - 2,411 - $1,902 $4,585,000 - 1
9 6 What Men Want Par. $2,700,000 -48.6% 2,018 -371 $1,338 $49,641,004 $20 4
10 7 Happy Death Day 2U Uni. $2,516,000 -48.5% 2,331 -881 $1,079 $25,282,610 $9 3
11 16 Spider-Man: Into The Spider-Verse Sony $2,100,000 +137.5% 2,404 +1,661 $874 $187,386,210 $90 12
12 9 The Upside STX $2,070,000 -34.9% 1,607 -541 $1,288 $102,868,620 $37.5 8
13 20 A Star is Born (2018) WB $1,885,000 +208.9% 1,235 +490 $1,526 $212,914,339 $36 22
14 N Apollo 11 Neon $1,650,000 - 120 - $13,750 $1,650,000 - 1
15 8 Cold Pursuit LG/S $1,650,000 -48.6% 1,765 -555 $935 $29,911,215 - 4
16 19 Bohemian Rhapsody Fox $975,000 +56.1% 839 +415 $1,162 $214,466,597 $52 18
17 12 Glass Uni. $895,000 -49.4% 756 -690 $1,184 $109,465,250 $20 7
18 22 The Favourite FoxS $825,000 +48.1% 742 +454 $1,112 $33,217,039 - 15
19 14 Total Dhamaal FIP $460,000 -53.5% 208 +6 $2,212 $1,756,926 - 2
20 13 The Prodigy Orion $424,298 -62.2% 533 -798 $796 $14,377,863 $6 4
21 38 Free Solo NGE $364,100 +149.9% 238 +148 $1,530 $16,947,781 - 23
22 24 Arctic BST $362,124 -27.4% 268 +11 $1,351 $1,626,666 - 5
23 18 Vice Annapurna $249,411 -60.6% 262 -440 $952 $47,569,021 - 10
24 26 Ralph Breaks the Internet BV $233,000 -38.0% 204 -202 $1,142 $200,195,690 $175 15
25 33 Mary Poppins Returns BV $206,000 +6.0% 245 +11 $841 $171,218,892 $130 11
26 N Furie WGUSA $145,400 - 14 - $10,386 $145,400 - 1
27 29 Cold War (2018) Amazon $143,616 -52.3% 128 -131 $1,122 $4,368,187 - 11
28 36 If Beale Street Could Talk Annapurna $137,546 -7.8% 126 -1 $1,092 $14,643,560 - 12
29 35 Never Look Away SPC $136,474 -10.8% 122 +42 $1,119 $671,886 - 14
30 N Climax A24 $121,655 - 5 - $24,331 $121,655 - 1
31 41 Capernaum SPC $72,087 -43.8% 58 -57 $1,243 $1,370,062 - 12
32 48 The Iron Orchard Santa Rita $65,450 +42.7% 42 +34 $1,558 $121,140 - 2
33 51 Birds of Passage Orch. $64,652 +76.6% 31 +21 $2,086 $165,837 - 3
34 42 Stan & Ollie SPC $52,926 -57.8% 71 -57 $745 $5,075,931 - 10
35 37 The Wife SPC $36,942 -75.2% 78 -126 $474 $9,524,213 - 29
36 N Transit MBox $35,368 - 2 - $17,684 $35,368 - 1
37 53 To Dust Good Deed $23,872 +28.3% 23 +6 $1,038 $100,221 - 4
38 N The Wedding Guest IFC $20,156 - 4 - $5,039 $20,156 - 1
39 46 Lords of Chaos G&S $18,668 -65.5% 28 -43 $667 $218,415 - 4
40 N Giant Little Ones VE $13,500 - 1 - $13,500 $13,500 - 1
41 62 Ruben Brandt, Collector SPC $12,577 +87.2% 15 +12 $838 $34,314 - 3
42 N Chokehold Ammo $3,900 - 3 - $1,300 $3,900 - 1
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I certainly don't think there's an inherent problem with the industry or box office in general, I just think it's the movies that are out. Me, super movie buff, has only seen one 2019 new release in these two months. I'm trying to catch Fighting With My Family, but even that is only because my niche wrestling industry interest. It's just a terrible slate recently, and I think others agree with me. I'll be seeing Captain Marvel and Us this month and so is pretty much everyone I've talked to - thinking 130+ for CM and 75-80 OW for Us (go big or go home!)

Edited by Cmasterclay
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21 minutes ago, Cmasterclay said:

I certainly don't think there's an inherent problem with the industry or box office in general, I just think it's the movies that are out. Me, super movie buff, has only seen one 2019 new release in these two months. I'm trying to catch Fighting With My Family, but even that is only because my niche wrestling industry interest. It's just a terrible slate recently, and I think others agree with me. I'll be seeing Captain Marvel and Us this month and so is pretty much everyone I've talked to - thinking 130+ for CM and 75-80 OW for Us (go big or go home!)

Glad to see I'm not the only one who has found this year's crop of movies to be largely uninteresting so far.

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3 minutes ago, filmlover said:

Glad to see I'm not the only one who has found this year's crop of movies to be largely uninteresting so far.

I'm gonna be honest, while this year has certainly been crappy at the box office, stuff like Alita and the Upside made significantly MORE than I was predicting, tbf. And I had already been talking about Glass and Lego 2 disappointing for months. All a matter of perspective, but this year so far may even be a tad better than I thought it would be at the BO up to this point - it just looked like a wasteland for months leading up.

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5 minutes ago, Cmasterclay said:

I'm gonna be honest, while this year has certainly been crappy at the box office, stuff like Alita and the Upside made significantly MORE than I was predicting, tbf. And I had already been talking about Glass and Lego 2 disappointing for months. All a matter of perspective, but this year so far may even be a tad better than I thought it would be at the BO up to this point - it just looked like a wasteland for months leading up.

 

I totally agree. Q1 this year looked like a wasteland for months now and it showed.

 

On the other hand, summer looks extremely promising this year. Many many movies coming out that have very good buzz and high anticipation.

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4 minutes ago, Brainbug said:

 

I totally agree. Q1 this year looked like a wasteland for months now and it showed.

 

On the other hand, summer looks extremely promising this year. Many many movies coming out that have very good buzz and high anticipation.

Perfectly balanced as all things should be :shades:

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7 minutes ago, Brainbug said:

 

I totally agree. Q1 this year looked like a wasteland for months now and it showed.

 

On the other hand, summer looks extremely promising this year. Many many movies coming out that have very good buzz and high anticipation.

The holidays look like they're gonna be even bigger than the summer tbh. Lots of promising-sounding stuff both big and small coming out.

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3 minutes ago, filmlover said:

The holidays look like they're gonna be even bigger than the summer tbh. Lots of promising-sounding stuff both big and small coming out.

The Lady Bird Squad finna deliver the greatest Christmas gift ever

 

lady-bird-greta-gerwig-saoirse-ronan-tim

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I've seen like 8 2019 releases, and the only three that stand out for me are LEGO, Arctic, and Fighting with my Family. The first quarter of 2018 was already a step down from 2017, but this year's quality drop off is pretty massive.

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5 minutes ago, WrathOfHan said:

I've seen like 8 2019 releases, and the only three that stand out for me are LEGO, Arctic, and Fighting with my Family. The first quarter of 2018 was already a step down from 2017, but this year's quality drop off is pretty massive.

I'm one of 3 people who watched Kid Who Would Be King...and I have Lego tickets for Tuesday (finally gave in to my boys:)...

 

I did watch Ralph in a discount theater, as well, so I'm at 3 movies in theater as of Tuesday...

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6 minutes ago, WrathOfHan said:

I've seen like 8 2019 releases, and the only three that stand out for me are LEGO, Arctic, and Fighting with my Family. The first quarter of 2018 was already a step down from 2017, but this year's quality drop off is pretty massive.

To be fair, the early part of the year has always been dumping ground for shit that studios know won't sell at any other time of the year for the most part until the last 10 or so years where they finally started putting more exciting/quality titles here. You gotta accept the trash along with the treasure.

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So this is an interesting weekend because it's largely a transitional period from small film season to BIG FILM season (w/ Captain Marvel, Us, etc.). 

 

How To Train Your Dragon is much better than that Friday number was suggesting, and I'm very happy about that. DreamWorks, in terms of their A-team output, can still a formidable competitor in the animation landscape, as supported by this success.

 

It makes sense for the new Madea film to do as well as it has as the bigest newcomer of the weekend.

 

Alita, at the very least, has a percentage decrease in the 40s. Hopefully it maintains a weekend gross above $7M, for its sustained longevity.

 

The Lego Movie 2 had dropped significantly, but the film's still managed to keep a high place on the weekend chart in its fourth week. I'm sure the film will pass $100M DOM.

 

Green Book is definitely the kind of Best Picture winner that would benefit greatly from an actual Best Picture win, I think. So this increase makes sense to me.

 

The ability of Fighting With My Family to sustain itself the way it is is a testament to its strength as a quality film.

 

Focus Features was really smart to capitalize on a dry March season by giving Greta a wide release.

 

Apollo 11's starting gross is encouraging. I'm sure it can continue to do well.

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