a2k Posted March 14, 2019 Share Posted March 14, 2019 8.6 Wed 8.5 Thu (@Charlie's super-early guess) 18.3 (+115%) 31.1 (+70%) 21.0 (-32.5%) = 70.4 (-54.1%) 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DMan7 Posted March 14, 2019 Share Posted March 14, 2019 2 minutes ago, a2k said: 8.6 Wed 8.5 Thu (@Charlie's super-early guess) 18.3 (+115%) 31.1 (+70%) 21.0 (-32.5%) = 70.4 (-54.1%) Did that take into account the Engame trailer bump? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Valonqar Posted March 14, 2019 Share Posted March 14, 2019 Just now, DMan7 said: Did that take into account the Engame trailer bump? No, he posted it hours before the trailer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cooper Legion Posted March 14, 2019 Share Posted March 14, 2019 (edited) 8.6 Wednesday 9.5M Thurs (@trailer bump) 20.4 (+115) 34.7 (+70) 23.4 (-32.5) 78.5 Spoiler I beg you, do not take this seriously Edited March 14, 2019 by Thanos Legion 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
a2k Posted March 14, 2019 Share Posted March 14, 2019 2 minutes ago, Thanos Legion said: 8.6 Wednesday 9.5M Thurs (@trailer bump) 20.4 (+115) 34.7 (+70) 23.4 (-32.5) 78.5 Hide contents I beg you, do not take this seriously 8.6 Wed 300 Thu 900 Fri 1800 Sat 1300 Sun = 4000 weekend Largest weekend in history till Piakchu releases 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TwoMisfits Posted March 14, 2019 Share Posted March 14, 2019 5 minutes ago, a2k said: 8.6 Wed 8.5 Thu (@Charlie's super-early guess) 18.3 (+115%) 31.1 (+70%) 21.0 (-32.5%) = 70.4 (-54.1%) For a comparison, I'd probably run with WIT as the worst case comp, since same release date equivalent (with the same spring break week for colleges) with similar set up of several smaller openers and a decent holdover market and both Disney (yes, supers vs not, but I think the same push was there for both films OW, but I think WIT definitely had a bad WOM that should make it the floor for the weekend, not the realistic estimate)... If it's 8.5M for Thursday... 16.7 (+96) 25.3 (+52) 17.2 (-32) = 59.20 (61%ish drop) 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
a2k Posted March 14, 2019 Share Posted March 14, 2019 3 minutes ago, TwoMisfits said: For a comparison, I'd probably run with WIT as the worst case comp, since same release date equivalent (with the same spring break week for colleges) with similar set up of several smaller openers and a decent holdover market and both Disney (yes, supers vs not, but I think the same push was there for both films OW, but I think WIT definitely had a bad WOM that should make it the floor for the weekend, not the realistic estimate)... If it's 8.5M for Thursday... 16.7 (+96) 25.3 (+52) 17.2 (-32) = 59.20 (61%ish drop) Yeah I think 59-71 low-high end is very reasonable. Give us that 65 weekend that everyone is expecting 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cdsacken Posted March 14, 2019 Share Posted March 14, 2019 Pretrailer I was going with 63/64. I will say 69 million with a drop of 55%. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sfran43 Posted March 14, 2019 Share Posted March 14, 2019 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sfran43 Posted March 14, 2019 Share Posted March 14, 2019 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
terrestrial Posted March 14, 2019 Share Posted March 14, 2019 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ipickthiswhiterose Posted March 14, 2019 Share Posted March 14, 2019 (edited) That How To Train Your Dragon number is up on last Wednesday ($1.48m). It also had a low Tuesday to Tuesday drop of 14.9%. Monday to Monday was also lowish but certainly more normal at 21.3%. It dropped 51% last weekend so these weekdays seem incongruous. Anyone with an idea what might cause that dynamic? Is this great mid-legs or a holiday-somewhere related thing? EDIT: I also see Lego Movie 2 is also up this week, so presume it's a holiday somewhere. Never mind. Edited March 14, 2019 by Ipickthiswhiterose Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
terrestrial Posted March 14, 2019 Share Posted March 14, 2019 Exhibitor Relations Co. @ERCboxoffice 16m16 minutes ago More Talk about a rollercoaster ride. Paramount's spent upwards of $100M on WONDER PARK, which rolls into 3,838 theaters this weekend and will be lucky to cash in with $10M. Remember when they had DWA? Those were the days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
terrestrial Posted March 14, 2019 Share Posted March 14, 2019 Exhibitor Relations Co. @ERCboxoffice 34m34 minutes ago More WB's SOPRANOS prequel, NEWARK, drops Sept. 25, 2020, going to the multiplex mattresses against UNTITLED SONY ANIMATION Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
a2k Posted March 14, 2019 Share Posted March 14, 2019 Movie Distributor Gross Change Thtrs. Per Thtr. Total Gross Days 1 (1) Captain Marvel Walt Disney $8,586,183 -41% 4,310 $1,992 $187,647,498 6 2 (2) How to Train Your Dragon: T… Universal $1,548,105 -31% 4,042 $383 $124,849,525 20 3 (3) Tyler Perry’s A Madea Fam… Lionsgate $1,027,964 -37% 2,442 $421 $50,002,334 13 4 (4) The LEGO Movie 2: The Secon… Warner Bros. $491,750 -26% 2,930 $168 $98,741,807 34 5 (5) Alita: Battle Angel 20th Century Fox $352,117 -35% 2,374 $148 $79,588,400 28 6 (7) Fighting With My Family United Artists $274,142 -32% 2,455 $112 $19,567,629 28 7 (6) Green Book Universal $274,090 -35% 2,097 $131 $81,117,186 118 8 (9) Isn’t it Romantic Warner Bros. $258,318 -30% 2,223 $116 $44,881,064 29 9 (8) Greta Focus Features $241,405 -37% 2,417 $100 $9,147,030 13 10 (10) What Men Want Paramount Pictures $160,788 -28% 1,062 $151 $52,575,990 34 11 (11) The Upside STX Entertainment $127,052 -29% 1,010 $126 $104,968,016 62 - (13) Spider-Man: Into The Spider… Sony Pictures $93,184 -18% 824 $113 $189,078,204 90 - (12) Happy Death Day 2U Universal $87,775 -31% 1,098 $80 $27,105,325 29 - (15) A Star is Born Warner Bros. $73,030 -24% 810 $90 $214,770,430 160 - (14) Cold Pursuit Lionsgate $62,628 -36% 823 $76 $31,332,510 34 - (-) The Kid Lionsgate $62,543 -33% 268 $233 $729,131 6 - (-) Bohemian Rhapsody 20th Century Fox $51,759 -25% 386 $134 $215,404,812 132 - (-) Glass Universal $46,920 -17% 386 $122 $110,274,905 55 - (-) Everybody Knows Focus Features $44,140 -15% 283 $156 $2,010,626 34 - (-) Ralph Breaks The Internet Walt Disney $28,412 -15% 209 $136 $200,598,299 113 - (-) The Favourite Fox Searchlight $27,856 -27% 278 $100 $33,905,471 111 - (-) Aquaman Warner Bros. $23,185 -23% 303 $77 $334,112,970 83 - (-) Mary Poppins Returns Walt Disney $21,856 -18% 215 $102 $171,546,723 85 - (-) They Shall Not Grow Old Warner Bros. $21,366 -9% 213 $100 $17,418,934 87 - (-) Climax A24 $17,138 +6% 28 $612 $329,255 13 - (-) The Prodigy Orion Pictures $16,501 -21% 152 $109 $14,700,835 34 - (-) Total Dhamaal FIP $14,845 -55% 118 $126 $2,081,658 20 - (-) Gloria Bell A24 $10,937 -7% 5 $2,187 $179,276 6 - (-) The Mule Warner Bros. $9,705 -24% 121 $80 $103,794,938 90 - (-) Vice Annapurna Pictures $8,161 -7% 91 $90 $47,755,908 79 - (-) If Beale Street Could Talk Annapurna Pictures $7,751 -33% 74 $105 $14,795,192 90 - (-) The Kid Who Would Be King 20th Century Fox $7,568 -7% 95 $80 $16,735,889 48 - (-) Creed II MGM $1,092 +53% 20 $55 $115,712,662 113 - (-) Can You Ever Forgive Me? Fox Searchlight $1,036 +6% 9 $115 $8,803,089 146 - (-) Destroyer Annapurna Pictures $245 -54% 8 $31 $1,528,098 79 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
narniadis Posted March 14, 2019 Share Posted March 14, 2019 I dont get the grousing about CMs wednesday drop. Most openers anymore outside of a holiday drop between 35-45% their first Wednesday. Been this way for a couple years now that Tuesdays have begun playing like another Sunday. But then this may just be the old guy here that is tired of facts and statistics being pushed aside in order to create a story. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ororo Munroe Posted March 14, 2019 Share Posted March 14, 2019 7 hours ago, AndyK said: So now its trolling to congratulate Marvel on playing a marketing blinder Hilarious that you think I was referring to you when I was just making a general comment about trolls. Hilarious, indeed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
terrestrial Posted March 14, 2019 Share Posted March 14, 2019 Wondering if he wrote this before o after the Endgame trailer drop Quote After last weekend saw the weekend box office top the same weekend in 2018 for the first time all year, this weekend looks as if it is going to be tight on that front. Disney and Marvel's Captain Marvel is certain to top the weekend yet again as it pushes over $260 million domestically in just ten days while Paramount debuts the animated feature Wonder Park, Lionsgate and CBS release Five Feet Apart and Focus releases the near-future thriller Captive State. Also looking at a top ten finish is Lionsgate's release of No Manches Frida 2, the sequel to the 2016 feature that debuted with over $3.6 million from just 362 locations. At the top for a second weekend in a row will be Disney's release of Marvel's Captain Marvel, which debuted with a strong $153.4 million last weekend and has been pacing relatively similarly to The Hunger Games since release. That, plus the -56% average second weekend drop for films in the MCU, has us anticipating a second weekend drop around -55% for a three-day right around $69 million and a domestic cume nearing, if not topping, $265 million by the end of the weekend. Captain Marvel has also grossed $362.6 million so far internationally for a worldwide gross topping $550 million as of today. This weekend it opens in its final overseas market, debuting in Japan this Friday. China remains the film's top grossing international market with over $104 million as of Wednesday, March 13. . other movies... Quote This weekend's forecast is directly below. Captain Marvel (4,310 theaters) - $69.0 M Wonder Park (3,838 theaters) - $13.0 M Five Feet Apart (2,803 theaters) - $10.5 M How to Train Your Dragon: The Hidden World (3,727 theaters) - $9.7 M Tyler Perry's A Madea Family Funeral (2,350 theaters) - $6.5 M Captive State (2,547 theaters) - $4.5 M No Manches Frida 2 (472 theaters) - $3.4 M The LEGO Movie 2: The Second Part (2,046 theaters) - $2.1 M Alita: Battle Angel (1,696 theaters) - $1.8 M Green Book (1,303 theaters) - $1.5 M https://www.boxofficemojo.com/news/?id=4494&p=.htm 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DeeCee Posted March 14, 2019 Author Share Posted March 14, 2019 @Napoleon @Life goes on @cdsacken have been threadbanned for 48 hours. NIRD 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cooper Legion Posted March 14, 2019 Share Posted March 14, 2019 My god, I’ve arrived at the site of a massacre. Anyway, I don’t seriously expect much impact from the trailer, but if we saw it be flat to +5% instead of the more standard -3% to -8% I think that would be quite nifty. Very excited for an update in the next few hours (CM dailies have been super dope in terms of how often we get info). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...