The Calm Before The Storm Weekend Thread: Estimates - Curse Of LaLlorona $26.51M | Shazam $17.34M | Breakthrough 11.0M | CM $9.10M

[KP1025]

Box Office Mojo's weekend forecast was quite off. 😂

 

Quote

'Curse of La Llorona' Looks to Lead Calm Weekend before the 'Avengers' Storm

 

This weekend's forecast is directly below. This post will be updated on Friday morning with Thursday night preview results followed by Friday estimates on Saturday morning, and a complete weekend recap on Sunday morning.

 

• The Curse of La Llorona (3,372 theaters) - $17.0 M
• Shazam! (4,183 theaters) - $13.5 M
• Breakthrough (2,824 theaters) - $13.0 M
• Little (2,667 theaters) - $9.1 M
• Dumbo (3,225 theaters) - $5.5 M
• Captain Marvel (2,653 theaters) - $5.2 M
• Hellboy (3,303 theaters) - $5.0 M
• Pet Sematary (3,146 theaters) - $4.7 M
• Penguins (1,815 theaters) - $4.5 M
• Us (2,262 theaters) - $3.8 M

 

Edited April 21, 2019 by KP1025

[a2k]

3 minutes ago, KP1025 said:

Box Office Mojo's weekend forecast was quite off, especially for Captain Marvel. 😂

 

Hellboy (3,303 theaters) - $5.0 M

😈😈😈

[Krissykins]

15 minutes ago, KP1025 said:

Box Office Mojo's weekend forecast was quite off, especially for Captain Marvel. 😂

 

 

You mean especially for La Llorona lol  $7m vs $4m. 

Edited April 21, 2019 by Krissykins

[KP1025]

Wasn't paying as much attention to La Llorona, but that's a big miss too. 

Edited April 21, 2019 by KP1025

[charlie Jatinder]

Saturday Numbers

 

CoLL: $8.7mn

Shazam: $6.55mn

Breakthrough: $4.15mn

Captain Marvel: $3.6mn

Little: $3.25mn

Dumbo: $2.5mn

Pet Sematary: $1.95mn

US: $1.7mn

Hellboy: $1.55mn

Missing Link: $1.5mn

[charlie Jatinder]

400 certain now, even with 35% drop. Though I feel drop will be in high 20s.

[a2k]

17 looking good for SHAZAM with @Charlie's latest Sat

6.15

6.55 (+6.5%)

4.25 (-35%)

= 16.95 ; ~121 cume

 

2x this weekend more gives 155.

Edited April 21, 2019 by a2k

[TMP]

1 minute ago, a2k said:

17 looking good for SHAZAM with @Charlie's latest Sat

6.15

6.55 (+6.5%)

4.25 (-35%)

= 16.95 ; ~121 cume

 

High-end and low-end final predictions?

[dxmatrixdt]

[john2000]

17 minutes ago, Charlie Jatinder said:

400 certain now, even with 35% drop. Though I feel drop will be in high 20s.

fantastic weekend for cap m,arvel

[Mulder]

Remember when CM wasn't going to hit 400. 

[a2k]

...
 

Edited April 21, 2019 by a2k

[Krissykins]

6 hours ago, Charlie Jatinder said:

I will edit it once I reach home, rough math tells CoLL 7.8

 

1 hour ago, Charlie Jatinder said:

Saturday Numbers

CoLL: $8.7mn

Keeps increasing! -26% Saturday drop instead of 35.  

[lorddemaxus]

 

 

 

1 hour ago, Charlie Jatinder said:

Saturday Numbers

 

CoLL: $8.7mn

Shazam: $6.55mn

Breakthrough: $4.15mn

Captain Marvel: $3.6mn

Little: $3.25mn

 

Excellent holds for the top 5. I really didn't expect the holdovers to increase today considering the really high Friday increase (relative to previous Good Fridays).

[AlephNull]

17 hours ago, TMP said:

TWOWS was incredible, but that only has a 78% and I feel like the run-time might have played a role there. Or maybe the debauchery put some people off?

WTF is TWOWS? YGRNTSWTLAFE, IISHTTOAFW?.

[RamblinRed]

Really strong numbers for the Top 5.

 

I figure CM and Shazam will be the 2 potential beneficiaries of A:E spillover next weekend.

For walk-ups I have to believe that CM will be the 1st choice for those that don't get into A:E and Shazam is the likely second choice.

 

So about 17 for Shazam for this weekend and about 9.5+ for CM. CM is actually going to increase 10% from last weekend. Assuming $4M during the weekdays and a drop of less than 10% next weekend and CM could potentially pass WW DOM next Sunday. Simba and Katniss are in trouble.

 

[Brainbug]

23 minutes ago, AlephNull said:

WTF is TWOWS? YGRNTSWTLAFE, IISHTTOAFW?.

 

The Wolf of Wall street most probably.

[TMP]

31 minutes ago, AlephNull said:

WTF is TWOWS? YGRNTSWTLAFE, IISHTTOAFW?.

The Wolf of Wall Street

[cdsacken]

3 hours ago, Krissykins said:

You mean especially for La Llorona lol  $7m vs $4m. 

Percentage wise it was off even more for CM. Nominally for La Llorona. Given the 32% RT scores the 17 million prediction makes more sense.

[TwoMisfits]

3 hours ago, Charlie Jatinder said:

Saturday Numbers

 

CoLL: $8.7mn

Shazam: $6.55mn

Breakthrough: $4.15mn

Captain Marvel: $3.6mn

Little: $3.25mn

Dumbo: $2.5mn

Pet Sematary: $1.95mn

US: $1.7mn

Hellboy: $1.55mn

Missing Link: $1.5mn

YEAH!  Shazam went up for the day:)...I'm excited for both supers, b/c they are doing excellently this weekend:)...

 

Pretty much expecting Shazam to estimate $17Mish today (for a drop of roughly 30% weekend over weekend)...