Flop Weekend Thread: Top 5 Weekend Actuals - TSLOP2 $46.65M | Dark Phoenix $32.83M | Aladdin $24.68M | Godzilla KOTM $15.45M | Rocketman $13.82M

[MagnarTheGreat]

Top 10 Domestic Movies Unadjusted Box Office (releases in first half of year Jan.-Jun. 2014-2019)
Rank	2014	2015	2016	2017	2018	2019*
1st	$259.8M	$652.3M	$486.3M	$504.0M	$700.1M	$824.4M
2nd	$257.8M	$459.0M	$408.1M	$412.6M	$678.8M	$426.4M
3rd	$245.4M	$356.5M	$364.0M	$389.8M	$608.6M	$232.4M
4th	$241.4M	$353.0M	$363.1M	$264.6M	$417.7M	$175.0M
5th	$233.9M	$201.2M	$341.3M	$226.3M	$318.5M	$160.7M
6th	$202.9M	$184.3M	$330.4M	$226.0M	$213.8M	$139.4M
7th	$200.7M	$177.4M	$155.4M	$176.0M	$188.0M	$138.7M
8th	$191.7M	$166.2M	$143.5M	$175.8M	$140.2M	$137.4M
9th	$177.0M	$163.0M	$127.4M	$175.0M	$137.7M	$113.8M
10th	$150.9M	$155.2M	$107.5M	$172.6M	$115.3M	$111.0M
Total (first half year)	$2.161B	$2.868B	$2.827B	$2.723B	$3.519B	$2.459B
Total (full year)	$2.736B	$4.005B	$3.789B	$3.801B	$3.983B
Average (first half year)	$216.1M	$286.8M	$282.7M	$272.3M	$351.9M	$245.9M
Average (full year)	$273.6M	$400.5M	$378.9M	$380.1M	$398.3M
Median (first half year)	$218.4M	$192.7M	$335.8M	$226.1M	$266.1M	$150.0M
Median (full year)	$256.4M	$344.5M	$363.5M	$362.0M	$326.8M
* 2019 results not final

 

Toy Story 4 is the last shot to give the first half of the year a boost.

[oMeriMombatti]

How bad is X-MEN: DARK PHOENIX's debut of $33M? GREEN HORNET ($33.5M) 10,000 BC ($35M) and THE LEGEND OF TARZAN ($38M) had better openings. Luckily for all humanity it topped HANNAH MONTANA: THE MOVIE ($32.3M)...for now.

— Exhibitor Relations Co. (@ERCboxoffice) June 9, 2019

[MovieMan89]

Not gonna lie, I'm disappointed with Aladdin's holds so far. The box office has been trash the past two weeks, there should be ample opportunity for amazing holds. I get last weekend was post memorial day, but this weekend I for sure expected sub 40%. It seems multis much higher than 3x for any blockbuster are truly becoming extinct. Even the well liked family stuff is struggling to get much better than that this year. 

[Valonqar]

41 minutes ago, ThomasNicole said:

$ 800M LOCKED

 

now lets hope it Bo Rhap's its way to 900M. 

 

@MovieMan89 I think that Aladdin is doing a bit more than expected dom but we all knew OS would be its big playground and it is. fantastic holds and big openings. 

Edited June 9, 2019 by Valonqar

[cdsacken]

Astonishingly bad for Dark Phoenix. Oh my

[VanillaSkies]

10 minutes ago, cdsacken said:

For everyone saying Disney doesn't care about WW I don't get it. That's like saying I don't care about gold medals I'd rather not try and stick with silver.

Many were believing that 50%+ drops were going to happen right until the end. 

This weeks mid-week numbers were strong, and now it's followed up with a strong weekend this weekend which was needed. 

 

As mentioned above, the next couple weekends will also be strong for various reasons. 

Those 835 million total predictions were not factoring in these boosts. It's at 825 million after an almost 5 million weekend and summer weekdays will be in full effect next week. I can't see a scenario where it makes *just* 10 million more from here on out. 

 

Last weeks Friday - Thursday number was 11.9 million. 

 

With a 5 million weekend and expected strong summer weekdays this week, it will make about 8 million for this full week. 

 

Infinity War played right through till September, making an additional 5 million from July onwards without any sort of expansion. 

Edited June 9, 2019 by VanillaSkies

[Marathon]

Only two OS markets over double digits for Godzilla... 😑💔

[oMeriMombatti]

Universal is ripping a page from the Disney Math Book. A DOG'S JOURNEY lost all but 631 theaters (-1,043 in its 4th weekend), yet still saw increases of 22% w/ $1.3M, $21M total. The double bill box office bump.

— Exhibitor Relations Co. (@ERCboxoffice) June 9, 2019

[Chewy]

Hannah Montana the Movie was probably better than Dark Phoenix tbh. Sad to see this sort of ELITISM from ERC

[MovieMan89]

TLK is missing 3x, calling that now. Hard to imagine it being any better received than Aladdin, which is only go do around 3x, and it will for sure open higher. 

Edited June 9, 2019 by MovieMan89

[Macleod]

Had a bet with my friend that Aladdin wouldn't go above $445 mil worldwide...should have played it more daring and bet on Godzilla or Dark Phoenix (the more obvious predictable flop if any, I guess).  Goddamn I hate Disney. 🤣

[Ezen Baklattan]

7 minutes ago, MovieMan89 said:

Not gonna lie, I'm disappointed with Aladdin's holds so far. The box office has been trash the past two weeks, there should be ample opportunity for amazing holds. I get last weekend was post memorial day, but this weekend I for sure expected sub 40%. It seems multis much higher than 3x for any blockbuster are truly becoming extinct. Even the well liked family stuff is struggling to get much better than that this year. 

As pathetic as the two openers are, they still combine to 80m+. Besides, legs for this have been pretty comparable to Maleficent so far.

[oMeriMombatti]

2 minutes ago, MovieMan89 said:

TLK is missing 3x, calling that now. Hard to imagine it being any better received than Aladdin, which is only go do around 3x, and it will for sure open higher. 

Aladdin's multi will be ~3.5x.

[cdsacken]

3 minutes ago, MovieMan89 said:

TLK is missing 3x, calling that now. Hard to imagine it being any better received than Aladdin, which is only go do around 3x, and it will for sure open higher. 

It will be perceived infinitely better by critics (35% higher ratings) and audiences will love it

[LawrenceBrolivier]

2 hours ago, OncomingStorm93 said:

It seems you ignored the second half of my post where I stated the difficulty is in regards to the concept of mutants needing to be established in this universe that absolutely does not already include mutants.

I didn't ignore it.... I just don't think it's difficult. If they could do it in the comics for 10yr olds in the 60's.... and they could do it in the cartoons for 10yr olds in the 90's.... and they could do it for teenagers in a live action movie for 20 years starting in the 00's.... Marvel, the studio who figured out how to take the Guardians of the Galaxy and put them on screen without years of buildup, can probably do that for the X-men too. Most audiences are capable of understanding the concept by now, which makes it easier to explain in a couple lines when they put it in a movie later.

 

[Menor the Destroyer]

5 minutes ago, MovieMan89 said:

TLK is missing 3x, calling that now. Hard to imagine it being any better received than Aladdin, which is only go do around 3x, and it will for sure open higher. 

Aladdin was well received but its not like its hitting the max possible reception. That's like saying since CM was well-received than EG couldn't be any better received. I do agree with you that the opening will make a 3x multi much harder. However Aladdin will have significantly more than a 3x multi most likely.

Edited June 9, 2019 by Menor

[sfran43]

 

[LawrenceBrolivier]

8 hours ago, marveldcfox said:

Alita vs Valerian...which one you like?

 

Jupter Ascending vs John Carter

 

Tron Legacy vs Ready Player One

Oatmeal vs Gruel

Toast vs Saltine Crackers

 

Napping vs Snoozing

[sfran43]

 

[cannastop]

9 minutes ago, Chewy said:

Hannah Montana the Movie was probably better than Dark Phoenix tbh. Sad to see this sort of ELITISM from ERC

TBF that other Hannah Montana movie had a stupid high per theater average.