Weekend Thread: Actuals - Mal2 $19.4M | Joker $19.2M | Adam's Family 12M | Zombieland $11.8M | Countdown $8.9M | Black & Blue $8.4M

[Bart Allen]

2 hours ago, Darth Lehnsherr said:

Joker's performance again suggests audiences are willing to give anything a chance as long as it's attached to some known IP. I really hope it gives studios more confidence to do wild and different things with their current franchises and not always go for the big blockbuster style film when it's shown time and time again how easy it is to fail with that. Also hopefully dispels any notion that only certain type of films work well OS. 

 

Not gonna really go into the whole Endgame vs Joker argument just ask yourself would you be more surprised if someone said Endgame would beat Avatar vs Joker making $1 Billion. Which ever one is the answer is the one that's more impressive to you.

 

Not necessarily as Avatar was not a known IP and had made such an amount of money. Joker's success isn't clearly just because it's been attached to a well known IP - otherwise, Batman v Superman would have made a vast amount of money; Justice League as well, undoubtedly. It's a combination of factors such as story, Phoenix's performance, the needless controversy, Joker winning the Golden Lion, how overseas have taken to the film - politically etc, it being a zeitgeist type of film, respectively.

[AndyK]

Shareholders are not going to be happy when they find out Warner Bros board threw 1/4bn of profit away.

 

#Joker.

[efialtes76]

4 hours ago, MCKillswitch123 said:

On one hand, you have the biggest movie of all time - and no, crossing Avatar, independently of how long the build-up took or by how much, is no small feat. On the other, the 1st R-rated billion dollar film, which, on top of the already historical feat, is not by any means an action movie.

 

Both are arguably the two most jaw-dropping box office stories of the decade, quite frankly. It's hard to choose which is the alpha one.

Bohemian Raphsody.... 

[Darth Lehnsherr]

3 minutes ago, efialtes76 said:

Bohemian Raphsody.... 

Tbf that was rated PG-13. 

 

Still though that one's OS performance again was way bigger than expected.

[Firepower]

Bohemian Rhapsody was kind of "well-known IP flick" too.

[sfran43]

 

[Firepower]

6 minutes ago, sfran43 said:

 

Right in the Deadline 19-20 range forecast nobody believed in.

[a2k]

This is how Aladdin went 4th weekend on-ward

Jun 14-16	3	$17,309,154	-29.9%	3,556	-249	$4,867	$264,043,468	4
Jun 21-23	3	$13,244,015	-23.5%	3,435	-121	$3,855	$288,554,143	5
Jun 28-30	4	$10,114,122	-23.6%	3,235	-200	$3,126	$306,632,068	6
Jul 5-7	5	$7,515,649	-25.7%	2,758	-477	$2,725	$320,705,265	7
Jul 12-14	6	$6,173,124	-17.9%	2,557	-201	$2,414	$331,789,844	8
Jul 19-21	7	$4,085,424	-33.8%	2,105	-452	$1,940	$340,326,138	9
Jul 26-28	7	$3,039,648	-25.6%	1,798	-307	$1,690	$346,180,234	10
Aug 2-4	9	$2,125,485	-30.1%	1,370	-428	$1,551	$350,477,077	11

 

Joker has a higher weekend (19.1 vs 17.3) and about a 14m lead. However the strong summer weekdays of late June and July were yet to come for Aladdin. Joker's cume will be ahead till the 6th weekend IMO, and then it will start to trail (July 4th weekdays follow the 6th weekend). Awards season could help it close the gap in the end.

Edited October 28, 2019 by a2k

[stripe]

26 minutes ago, a2k said:

This is how Aladdin went 4th weekend on-ward

Jun 14-16	3	$17,309,154	-29.9%	3,556	-249	$4,867	$264,043,468	4
Jun 21-23	3	$13,244,015	-23.5%	3,435	-121	$3,855	$288,554,143	5
Jun 28-30	4	$10,114,122	-23.6%	3,235	-200	$3,126	$306,632,068	6
Jul 5-7	5	$7,515,649	-25.7%	2,758	-477	$2,725	$320,705,265	7
Jul 12-14	6	$6,173,124	-17.9%	2,557	-201	$2,414	$331,789,844	8
Jul 19-21	7	$4,085,424	-33.8%	2,105	-452	$1,940	$340,326,138	9
Jul 26-28	7	$3,039,648	-25.6%	1,798	-307	$1,690	$346,180,234	10
Aug 2-4	9	$2,125,485	-30.1%	1,370	-428	$1,551	$350,477,077	11

 

Joker has a higher weekend (19.1 vs 17.3) and about a 14m lead. However the strong summer weekdays of late June and July were yet to come for Aladdin. Joker's cume will be ahead till the 6th weekend IMO, and then it will start to trail (July 4th weekdays follow the 6th weekend). Awards season could help it close the gap in the end.

 

Can't see Joker developing this kind of late legs. 325-340M DOM is the range where it will land

[MrGlass2]

32 minutes ago, a2k said:

Awards season could help it close the gap in the end.

Don't think anyone expects Joker to even aim for $350M... But it is getting crazy out there.

[filmlover]

Isn't Joker supposed to be coming out for home viewing right before Christmas? That will pretty much end its run right there.

[RJ 95]

11 minutes ago, MrGlass2 said:

Don't think anyone expects Joker to even aim for $350M... But it is getting crazy out there.

As impressive as it's domestic performance, overseas performance is much more impressive or specifically it's Europe market performance. It's already 3 where it's locked to/already surpass Endgame : Greece, Portugal and Lithuania. Finland and Spain may follow next.

Edited October 28, 2019 by RJ 95

[Firepower]

2 minutes ago, filmlover said:

Isn't Joker supposed to be coming out for home viewing right before Christmas? That will pretty much end its run right there.

No, there was no official announcement. Some stores listed December, some January and some February. Nobody knows for sure.

[teard1972]

5 minutes ago, RJ 95 said:

As impressive as it's domestic performance, overseas performance is much more impressive or specifically it's Europe market performance. It's already 3 where it's locked to/already surpass Endgame : Greece, Portugal and Lithuania. Finland and Spain may follow next.

I wouldn’t call Joker’s North America run impressive; it’s decent.

[cax16]

5 minutes ago, teard1972 said:

I wouldn’t call Joker’s North America run impressive; it’s decent.

It’s already the 10th highest grossing R rated movie Domestically, I don’t know how anyone could equate that to decent tbh. 

[Firepower]

22 minutes ago, teard1972 said:

I wouldn’t call Joker’s North America run impressive; it’s decent.

Multiplier is impressive, especially considering many people thought it would have terrible legs, BO Pro even forecasted BvS mutiplier (personally I always thought those forecasts don't make any sense). Some weekdays are impressive too. It's doing much better than many people thought even in NA, so it's more than decent, it's actually impressive and OS run is just phenomenal/out of this world.

Edited October 28, 2019 by Firepower

[Marcos12]

1 hour ago, sfran43 said:

 

Some people here said Deadline was drunk when they (projected) a weekend with numbers very similar to this Lmao.

[MrGlass2]

5 minutes ago, teard1972 said:

I wouldn’t call Joker’s North America run impressive; it’s decent.

It still is impressive for NA: quite similar to the low-budget  It - a run that everyone has to consider amazing. And It opened higher so Joker has shown great legs for a "franchise" movie.

[Liiviig 1998]

4 minutes ago, teard1972 said:

I wouldn’t call Joker’s North America run impressive; it’s decent.

Are u kidding me!! . It's not mind-blowing but impressive yes. 300m+ domestic for an r rated movie is impressive .

 

Did you forget the highest Dom r-rated is 370 dom . Joker could end 40m - 30m less.

And who would have thought it would reach such nos.

Most pegged it in the 150-250m range Dom.

[hasanahmad]

16 minutes ago, teard1972 said:

I wouldn’t call Joker’s North America run impressive; it’s decent.

Why wouldn’t you call a 55 million budget movie which was about a DC comic book villian with no action and all story, a slow burn tale told surrounded by controversy and media airing articles that screenings might be hit by violence and in the end getting more than 250 million and onwards to 300+ million as one of the highest rated R Rated domestic movies of all time despite top critics piling on it as not impressive ?