Weekend Thread: Estimates - Midway 17.5, Sleep 14.1, Fire 12.8, Xmas 11.6, Terminatah 10.8, Jokah 9.2, Mal2 8

[Wrath]

22 minutes ago, Shawn said:

Still haven't got any confirmation about that from the studio. I've asked twice. The prevailing rumor is that it does include them, though...

I think I speak for us all when I say “yikes”.

[charlie Jatinder]

Well didn't expect to wake up to 10 pages this early this weekend.

Looking at numbers they are incredibly boring, true Friday

 

M 5.6 

LC 3.25

DS 3.25

Joka 2.5

Maleficent 2.1

[Inceptionzq]

Wow Doctor Sleep just keeps nosediving. Will it even hit 13M with that number?

[keysersoze123]

That Sleep number though. Mother of all bombage. I hope Warner Bros fire their marketing dept. They have been abysmal off late. Joker did not succeed bcos of its marketing.

[Joyous Legion]

23 minutes ago, Inceptionzq said:

Wow Doctor Sleep just keeps nosediving. Will it even hit 13M with that number?

It should do at the least 2.8*5.6+1.5=17M. Basically what Deadline was saying. Room for better IM over the weekend of course.  

Edit: LMAO, the real number is so bad I used the wrong one   

Yeah, maybe not 13.

Edited November 9, 2019 by Thanos Legion

[John Marston]

WB couldn’t go long without another fail 

Edited November 9, 2019 by John Marston

[Ryan Reynolds]

tracking been off lately , lol. 3.25m + 1.5m previews i assume for DS .

Edited November 9, 2019 by Ryan Reynolds

[Nova]

19 minutes ago, Jedi Jat said:

Well didn't expect to wake up to 10 pages this early this weekend.

Looking at numbers they are incredibly boring, true Friday

 

M 5.6 

LC 3.25

DS 3.25

Joka 2.5

Maleficent 2.1

Besides Midway yikes for the openers. 

[Inceptionzq]

8 minutes ago, Thanos Legion said:

It should do at the least 2.8*5.6+1.5=17M. Basically what Deadline was saying. Room for better IM over the weekend of course.

Why 2.8*5.6?

[Joyous Legion]

13 minutes ago, Inceptionzq said:

Why 2.8*5.6?

Because the right calculation was literally too bad to believe. I've edited the post.

Edited November 9, 2019 by Thanos Legion

[narniadis]

Tracking has been very spotty of late in general - either too big or too small (such as what BOpro is doing to Frozen right now.)

There was nothing to support Doc Sleep in the 30m range - absolutely nothing and yet until yesterday / today none of the pushers could even dare go under 20m let alone face the reality of it failing.

[narniadis]

48 minutes ago, Jedi Jat said:

Well didn't expect to wake up to 10 pages this early this weekend.

Looking at numbers they are incredibly boring, true Friday

 

M 5.6 

LC 3.25

DS 3.25

Joka 2.5

Maleficent 2.1

Thanks as always

Looks like Mal 2 is doing well with that 185%+

Joka doing well also around 145%

[The Futurist]

Warner needs more 

 

JOKAH

 

movies.

 

Simple.

 

The JCU is coming.

Brace yourselves.

 

1B a pop for a 50m investment ?

Tim Cook is already jealous of this ROI.

Producing cheap looking and basic movies for the masses is the ultimate business plan Hollywood can hope for, hence :

 

Jokah.

 

Jokah everywhere.

 

All the time.

 

Why putting up an effort ?

Go the lazy way, Warner, you ll triumph in the 2020's.

Edited November 9, 2019 by The Futurist

[Joyous Legion]

At least that Mal number is great. May approach a 70% hold.      

 

In addition to a lot of close weekends, Mal and Joker look to be headed to very close final multipliers (or course Joker opened 2 weekends earlier and will do nearly 3x the total business).

[AdamKendall]

WB killed Doctor Sleep by not promoting it.  I saw little to no advertising on tv.  Between this and their being so slow to begin pushing awareness to big films coming out early next year like BOP and Godzilla vs. Kong is bewildering. It's like new people in charge of marketing doing things totally different and outside the lightning in a bottle of Joker; everything they put out has either been disappointing or simply okay from a box office perspective in 2019.

 

 

BTW I really liked Doctor Sleep so this number is very disappointing.

Edited November 9, 2019 by AdamKendall

[Curtis1986]

It's really hard for me to get excited about Maleficent boxoffice when it's looking at a 50%+ drop off from the first. Its drops have been great but its total is disappointing.

[Neucentro]

1 hour ago, Jedi Jat said:

Well didn't expect to wake up to 10 pages this early this weekend.

Looking at numbers they are incredibly boring, true Friday

 

M 5.6 

LC 3.25

DS 3.25

Joka 2.5

Maleficent 2.1

You got anything for Playing with Fire? Wanted to know if it did as well as DL reported.

[charlie Jatinder]

6 minutes ago, Neucentro said:

You got anything for Playing with Fire? Wanted to know if it did as well as DL reported.

between 2.5 & 3.25.

[John Marston]

the average person wouldn't know what Dr Sleep is about from the trailers. 

[Joyous Legion]

25 minutes ago, Curtis1986 said:

It's really hard for me to get excited about Maleficent boxoffice when it's looking at a 50%+ drop off from the first. Its drops have been great but its total is disappointing.

I understand the sentiment, but it won’t drop quite 50%.