The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread (December 2021 - July 2023)

[THUNDER BIRD]

1 hour ago, Eric Belcher said:

Jurassic World: Dominion Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-11 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	134	1854	23705	7.82%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 20

 

Comp

2.143x of F9 T-11 (15.22M)

2.389x of Venom 2 T-11 (27.71M)

2.792x of No Time to Die T-11 (17.59M)

1.130x of Top Gun 2 T-11 (21.76M)

 

Yeah I dunno what happened here lol

[poweranimals]

So has Thor 4 tickets gone on sale yet?

[Porthos]

On 5/29/2022 at 12:04 AM, Porthos said:

 

Jurassic World Dominion Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report: T-12 and counting

 

 

	Capped	Sellouts	Showings	Seats left	Total Seats	Seats Sold	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	0	191	22562	25374	2812	11.08%

 

Total Seats Sold Today

105

 

T-12 Unadjusted Comp

	%		Sold T-12	Total Sold		Sellouts Shows	Seats Left Total Seats	Perct Sold		Final Sold	% of Final		Comp
SC	244.73		85	1149		0/101	15853/17002	6.76%		5847	48.09%		21.54m
NTTD	346.31		32	812		0/135	20447/21259	3.82%		3737	75.25%		21.47m
Dune	401.14		55	701		0/75	11130/11831	5.93%		2915	96.47%		20.46m

FINAL SOLD NOTES: "Final sold" is the number of tickets sold for the movie in question at stop of tracking while "% of final" is the percentage of Jurassic World: Dominon's current tickets sold versus that final number.

 

T-12 Adjusted Comp

	%		Sold T-12	Total Sold		Sellouts Shows	Seats Left Total Seats	Perct Sold		Final Sold	% of Final		Comp
F9	262.19		38	1021		0/79	11394/12415	8.22%		4407	60.74%		19.49m
BW	100.71		94	2658		0/119	16602/19260	13.80%		9196	30.58%		13.92m
JWD (adj)	---		97	2677		0/169	19959/22636	11.83%		---	---		---

ADJUSTMENT NOTE:  JWD (adj) is the seats sold that does not include theaters that had unreliable data in their seat maps that that point in BW's track.

COMP NOTE: The BW comp has been adjusted to reflect the absence of Ontario theaters in the DOM market during BW's pre-sale run (what would normally be the comp/0.955).

 

***EXTREMELY UNOFFICIAL COMPS***

JW3 = 1.52614x JW2 at the same sources of tracking on Day 12 [21.02m adj]
JW3 = 3.26639x KotM at the same sources of tracking on Day 12 [18.52m adj]
JW3 = 0.95951x TLK at the same sources of tracking on Day 12 [19.86m adj]

NOTE: Comp has been adjusted downward by 10% to account for differences in comping in Sacto from 2018/19 to 2022.

 

Regal:       410/6145  [6.67% sold]
Matinee:    161/1535  [10.49% | 5.73% of all tickets sold]

 

Jurassic World Dominion Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report: T-11 and counting

 

	Capped	Sellouts	Showings	Seats left	Total Seats	Seats Sold	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	0	191	22380	25374	2994	11.80%

 

Total Seats Sold Today

182

 

T-11 Unadjusted Comp

	%		Sold T-11	Total Sold		Sellouts Shows	Seats Left Total Seats	Perct Sold		Final Sold	% of Final		Comp
SC	245.21		72	1221		0/101	15781/17002	7.18%		5847	51.21%		21.58m
NTTD	341.78		64	876		0/134	20340/21216	4.13%		3737	80.12%		21.19m
Dune	400.80		46	747		0/75	11084/11831	6.31%		2915	102.71%		20.44m

FINAL SOLD NOTES: "Final sold" is the number of tickets sold for the movie in question at stop of tracking while "% of final" is the percentage of Jurassic World: Dominon's current tickets sold versus that final number.

 

 

T-11 Adjusted Comp

	%		Sold T-11	Total Sold		Sellouts Shows	Seats Left Total Seats	Perct Sold		Final Sold	% of Final		Comp
F9	263.70		59	1080		0/79	11335/12415	8.70%		4407	64.62%		19.61m
BW	102.96		108	2766		0/119	16494/19260	14.36%		9196	32.56%		14.23m
JWD (adj)	---		171	2848		0/169	19788/22636	12.58%		---	---		---

ADJUSTMENT NOTE:  JWD (adj) is the seats sold that does not include theaters that had unreliable data in their seat maps that that point in BW's track.

COMP NOTE: The BW comp has been adjusted to reflect the absence of Ontario theaters in the DOM market during BW's pre-sale run (what would normally be the comp/0.955).

 

***EXTREMELY UNOFFICIAL COMPS***

JW3 = 1.54483x JW2 at the same sources of tracking on Day 11 [21.27m adj]
JW3 = 3.26903x KotM at the same sources of tracking on Day 11 [18.54m adj]
JW3 = 0.95203x TLK at the same sources of tracking on Day 11 [19.71m adj]

NOTE: Comp has been adjusted downward by 10% to account for differences in comping in Sacto from 2018/19 to 2022.

 

Regal:       435/6145  [7.08% sold]
Matinee:    175/1535  [11.40% | 5.85% of all tickets sold]

[katnisscinnaplex]

On 5/28/2022 at 12:51 PM, katnisscinnaplex said:

Movie	Day	Area	TC	Shows	New	Sold	Seats	% Sold
JW3 Dominion	T-12	Jax	7	107	23	780	15,994	4.88%
		Phx	6	94	40	693	16,370	4.23%
		Ral	8	71	27	744	8,111	9.17%
	Total		21	272	90	2,217	40,475	5.48%
JW3+JP	T-12	Jax	5	5	2	147	811	18.13%
		Phx	6	6	-4	311	638	48.75%
		Ral	7	7	7	130	688	18.90%
	Total		18	18	5	588	2,137	27.52%
Watcher	T-5	Jax	2	2	0	2	77	2.60%
		Phx	3	4	0	2	483	0.41%
		Ral	2	3	0	2	207	0.97%
	Total		7	9	0	6	767	0.78%

 

JW3 T-12 comps

 - Black Widow - 1.04x (13.74m)

 - Batman (Thu) - missed

 - Eternals - missed

 - F9 - 3.15x (22.39m)

 - Top Gun 2 - 1.13x (16.64m)

Movie	Day	Area	TC	Shows	New*	Sold	Seats	% Sold
JW3 Dominion	T-10	Jax	7	107	82	862	15,994	5.39%
		Phx	6	94	90	783	16,370	4.78%
		Ral	8	69	47	791	7,963	9.93%
	Total		21	270	219	2,436	40,327	6.04%
JW3+JP	T-10	Jax	5	5	5	152	811	18.74%
		Phx	6	6	8	319	638	50.00%
		Ral	7	7	6	136	688	19.77%
	Total		18	18	19	607	2,137	28.40%
Watcher	T-3	Jax	2	2	0	2	77	2.60%
		Phx	3	4	2	4	483	0.83%
		Ral	2	3	0	2	207	0.97%
	Total		7	9	2	8	767	1.04%

*New sales since Saturday*

 

JW3 T-10 comps

 - Black Widow - 1.04x (13.79m)

 - Batman (Thu) - missed

 - Eternals - 1.46x (13.89m)

 - F9 - 3.01x (21.4m)

 - Top Gun 2 - 1.1x (16.22m)

 

I was gonna say it looked like a pretty good day until I realized I missed yesterday's update.  I guess two more normal days instead.  With Black Phone and Elvis going on sale in the next couple days, only a small window where this is the sole presale focus. Maybe today will be a bigger day.

[LegendaryBen]

7 hours ago, Eric Belcher said:

Jurassic World: Dominion Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-11 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	134	1854	23705	7.82%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 20

 

Comp

2.143x of F9 T-11 (15.22M)

2.389x of Venom 2 T-11 (27.71M)

2.792x of No Time to Die T-11 (17.59M)

1.130x of Top Gun 2 T-11 (21.76M)

 

Yeah I dunno what happened here lol

Based on your early predictions so far, what are you predicting for its previews, and its OW?

[charlie Jatinder]

3 hours ago, Porthos said:

T-11 Unadjusted Comp

	%		Sold T-11	Total Sold		Sellouts Shows	Seats Left Total Seats	Perct Sold		Final Sold	% of Final		Comp
SC	245.21		72	1221		0/101	15781/17002	7.18%		5847	51.21%		21.58m
NTTD	341.78		64	876		0/134	20340/21216	4.13%		3737	80.12%		21.19m
Dune	400.80		46	747		0/75	11084/11831	6.31%		2915	102.71%		20.44m

FINAL SOLD NOTES: "Final sold" is the number of tickets sold for the movie in question at stop of tracking while "% of final" is the percentage of Jurassic World: Dominon's current tickets sold versus that final number.

 

Weirdly the 3 comps you are using over indexed heavily in Canada. 

 

SC did 11% in CAN, NTTD 15%+, Dune 12%.

JWD will likely be around 7%.

Edited May 30, 2022 by charlie Jatinder

[Jonwo]

On 5/29/2022 at 6:19 AM, BestPicturePlutoNash said:

Elvis didn't cost 200million. Anne Thompson from Indiewire said its about 150 total for Warner Bros (which is including marketing budget) so probably about 100million budget (which was likely inflated with COVID production issues)

I mentioned this in the Elvis thread but the film had a lot of tax incentives which likely brought the budget down a bit. 

 

 

[LegendaryBen]

36 minutes ago, Jonwo said:

I mentioned this in the Elvis thread but the film had a lot of tax incentives which likely brought the budget down a bit. 

 

 

Probably now at $100m.

[Tinalera]

Jurassic Dominion

Thurs June 9 (taken May 30)

 

Toronto Ontario

10 theatres

45 shows

Total Sold 562 (up from 395)

Total Remaining 11572

Total Seats 12134 (Cineplex keeps bouncing between 3 extra seats for some reason)

No Sellouts 

Percentage 4.63 (up from 3.63

 

Southwestern Ontario

10 theatres

36 shows (+1)

Total sold 598

Total Remaining 7244

Total seats 7842 (up from 7834)

No Sellouts 

Percentage 7.63 (up from 6.27)

 

 

[EmpireCity]

11 hours ago, poweranimals said:

So has Thor 4 tickets gone on sale yet?

 

No.  

[Porthos]

Don’t believe this has been mentioned yet, but Lightyear is gonna have Early Access showings on June 15th. Seeing Wed 6pm (or a little later) locally.  Called “Lightyear Early Access Screening: The Andy Expereince”.

 

@Inceptionzq @katnisscinnaplex @Eric Belcher

 

(Haven’t seen anything on Tue or earlier yet)

[poweranimals]

18 minutes ago, EmpireCity said:

 

No.  

Any idea as to when?

[Eric Prime]

5 minutes ago, Porthos said:

Don’t believe this has been mentioned yet, but Lightyear is gonna have Early Access showings on June 15th. Seeing Wed 6pm (or a little later) locally.  Called “Lightyear Early Access Screening: The Andy Expereince”.

 

@Inceptionzq @katnisscinnaplex @Eric Belcher

 

(Haven’t seen anything on Tue or earlier yet)

Screw you Andy

[XXRDJisDoctorDoom]

This early access, investor screenings, couples screening bullshit all rolling in the "opening weekend" is trifling. 

[titanic2187]

These early access are getting out of hand, sooner or later all movies, blockbusters and indie film alike, will all be hailed platform releases. 

[filmlover]

Everyone wants to boost their opening weekends as much as possible these days. Lightyear and Elvis doing early showings back-to-back weeks after Top Gun did so seems evident of that.

[el sid]

So judging from my theaters the average of F9 and Angel Has Fallen would have been the best comp for TG: M. If/when part 3 is announced, I'm prepared ;).

Very briefly today:

Crimes of the Future had today 116 sold tickets for Thursday in 4 theaters
and 56 sold tickets for Friday, also in 4 theaters.
 

And Watcher had today 13 sold tickets for Thursday and 16 sold tickets for Friday with showtimes in only 2 of my 7 theaters.

 

Comps for both movies, all counted on Monday: The Forever Purge (1.3M from previews) had for Thursday 104 sold tickets,

Old (16.9M OW) had for Friday 150 sold tickets,

Antlers (4.3M OW) had for Friday 43 sold tickets,

Malignant (5.4M OW) had for Friday 100 sold tickets

and The Night House (2.9M OW) had for Friday 24 sold tickets.

 

So far quite good Thursday presales for Crimes of the Future but the Friday number could be better.

[LegendaryBen]

39 minutes ago, el sid said:

So judging from my theaters the average of F9 and Angel Has Fallen would have been the best comp for TG: M. If/when part 3 is announced, I'm prepared ;).

Very briefly today:

Crimes of the Future had today 116 sold tickets for Thursday in 4 theaters
and 56 sold tickets for Friday, also in 4 theaters.
 

And Watcher had today 13 sold tickets for Thursday and 16 sold tickets for Friday with showtimes in only 2 of my 7 theaters.

 

Comps for both movies, all counted on Monday: The Forever Purge (1.3M from previews) had for Thursday 104 sold tickets,

Old (16.9M OW) had for Friday 150 sold tickets,

Antlers (4.3M OW) had for Friday 43 sold tickets,

Malignant (5.4M OW) had for Friday 100 sold tickets

and The Night House (2.9M OW) had for Friday 24 sold tickets.

 

So far quite good Thursday presales for Crimes of the Future but the Friday number could be better.

Thanks for these. Do you have any for Jurassic World Dominion and The Black Phone?

[XXRDJisDoctorDoom]

11 minutes ago, LegendaryBen said:

Thanks for these. Do you have any for Jurassic World Dominion and The Black Phone?

 

How would he have sales data for something that isn't on sale yet? 

[motionpic05]

So is Black Phone's tickets still releasing tomorrow?