The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread (December 2021 - July 2023)

[Menor the Destroyer]

32 minutes ago, Ronin46 said:

 

I think the same Atom deal pushed Creed from 45- 50 into the high 50s range (maybe it was heading that way anyway?) and this deal could be pushing JW into the high 70s range now perhaps instead of 70. 

I'm not convinced that was all the Atom deal, it looked like it was blowing up before then. 

50 minutes ago, TheFlatLannister said:

@Menor Reborn 

 

Atom deal? That could explain why my John Wick numbers jumped by over 40% today 

Yeah, $5 tickets for T-Mobile subscribers, I got mine today with that lol. 

[cooldude97]

any idea when Mario's review embargo drops? if reviews are great I want to see if they boost pre-sales 

[Eric the Ape]

On 3/21/2023 at 4:45 AM, Eric Batson said:

John Wick: Chapter 4 Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-3 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	82	1754	14464	12.13%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 277

 

Comp - T-3

2.367x of The Suicide Squad (9.7M)

0.997x of Venom 2 (11.57M)

1.125x of No Time to Die (7.09M)

1.338x of Dune (6.82M)

3.132x of Uncharted (11.59M)

1.341x of Fantastic Beasts 3 (8.05M)

0.573x of Top Gun 2 (11.03M)

0.564x of Jurassic World: Dominion (10.15M)

2.658x of Bullet Train (12.22M)

0.476x of Avatar 2 (8.09M)

John Wick: Chapter 4 Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-2 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	111	2047	18780	10.90%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 293

 

Comp - T-2

2.279x of The Suicide Squad (9.35M)

0.946x of Venom 2 (10.98M)

1.095x of No Time to Die (6.9M)

1.348x of Dune (6.88M)

2.962x of Uncharted (10.96M)

1.383x of Fantastic Beasts 3 (8.3M)

0.569x of Top Gun 2 (10.95M)

0.585x of Jurassic World: Dominion (10.52M)

2.123x of Bullet Train (9.77M)

0.502x of Avatar 2 (8.53M)

 

The prophetic T-Mobile bump didn't really seem to happen here. But it's still tracking towards bigly numbers, so I guess it doesn't matter.

[Porthos]

On 3/21/2023 at 2:53 AM, Porthos said:

 

John Wick: Chapter 4 Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report: T-3 days and counting

 

	Capped	Sellouts	Showings	Seats left	Total Seats	Seats Sold	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	0	152	16697	19344	2647	13.68%

 

Total Showings Added Today	33
Total Seats Added Today	2765
Total Seats Sold Today	342

 

T-3 Comps

	%		Sold T-3	Total Sold		Sellouts Shows	Seats Left Total Seats	Perct Sold		Final Sold	% of Final		Comp
NTTD	140.72		178	1881		0/157	21272/23153	8.12%		3737	70.83%		8.72m
TGM	34.14		624	7754		1/324	33685/41439	18.71%		11474	23.07%		6.57m
JWD	43.66		795	6063		0/281	26773/32836	18.46%		4456	59.40%		7.86m
BA	121.87		286	2172		0/223	27742/29914	7.26%		4494	58.90%		9.26m
A2	47.72		453	5547		0/277	27377/32924	16.85%		8986	29.46%		8.11m
Scream 6	174.95		251	1513		0/102	10725/12238	12.36%		3134	84.46%		9.97m

FINAL SOLD NOTES: "Final sold" is the number of tickets sold for the movie in question at stop of tracking while "% of final" is the percentage of Wick 4's current tickets sold versus that final number.

 

Regal:       576/5962  [9.66% sold]
Matinee:    126/1836  [6.86% | 4.76% of all tickets sold]

 

John Wick: Chapter 4 Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report: T-2 days and counting

 

	Capped	Sellouts	Showings	Seats left	Total Seats	Seats Sold	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	0	166	17433	20632	3199	15.51%

 

Total Net Showings Added Today	14
Total Net Seats Added Today	1288
Total Seats Sold Today	552

 

T-2 Comps

	%		Sold T-2	Total Sold		Sellouts Shows	Seats Left Total Seats	Perct Sold		Final Sold	% of Final		Comp
NTTD	143.45		349	2230		0/176	22255/24486	9.11%		3737	85.60%		8.89m
TGM	36.72		957	8711		2/344	34293/43004	20.26%		11474	27.88%		7.07m
JWD	46.64		796	6859		0/288	26655/33514	20.47%		10966	29.17%		8.40m
BA	124.52		397	2569		0/232	28250/30819	8.34%		4494	71.18%		9.46m
A2	51.02		723	6270		0/296	27849/34119	18.38%		8986	35.60%		8.67m
Scream 6	179.62		268	1781		0/111	11647/13428	13.26%		3134	102.07%		10.24m

FINAL SOLD NOTES: "Final sold" is the number of tickets sold for the movie in question at stop of tracking while "% of final" is the percentage of Wick 4's current tickets sold versus that final number.

 

[JustLurking]

8 hours ago, cooldude97 said:

any idea when Mario's review embargo drops? if reviews are great I want to see if they boost pre-sales 

There's not even a date for the social media embargo as of now

[Eric the Ape]

On 3/21/2023 at 4:57 AM, Eric Batson said:

The Super Mario Bros. Movie Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-16 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	159	1527	31960	4.78%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 74

 

Comp - T-16

0.991x of Sing 2 (9.65M)

3.277x of Sonic 2 (20.48M)

14.009x of Minions 2 (150.6M)

The Super Mario Bros. Movie Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-15 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	159	1578	31960	4.94%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 51

 

Comp - T-15

1.012x of Sing 2 (9.85M)

3.274x of Sonic 2 (20.46M)

13.373x of Minions 2 (143.76M)

[TwoMisfits]

1 hour ago, Eric Batson said:

John Wick: Chapter 4 Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-2 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	111	2047	18780	10.90%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 293

 

Comp - T-2

2.279x of The Suicide Squad (9.35M)

0.946x of Venom 2 (10.98M)

1.095x of No Time to Die (6.9M)

1.348x of Dune (6.88M)

2.962x of Uncharted (10.96M)

1.383x of Fantastic Beasts 3 (8.3M)

0.569x of Top Gun 2 (10.95M)

0.585x of Jurassic World: Dominion (10.52M)

2.123x of Bullet Train (9.77M)

0.502x of Avatar 2 (8.53M)

 

The prophetic T-Mobile bump didn't really seem to happen here. But it's still tracking towards bigly numbers, so I guess it doesn't matter.

 

It works best with having either a lot of fence sitters or a lot of GA interest...not sure if JW3 turned off its base fans who'd need a push to get back in (aka, where this really works)...or if being a 4th means just less GA interest (aka, you've bought in or you haven't).

 

That said, the bump is normally all weekend - since folks can buy tickets all weekend...just like Creed 3 went from Friday estimates (from Thursday previews) and just inflated each day as the new 3 day estimate came in...and a lot of GA prefer weekend viewing over Thursday night...

[filmlover]

Renfield tickets are live now.

[Hiccup23]

On 3/20/2023 at 11:05 AM, Hiccup23 said:

All Marcus Theater DnD Early Screenings.

 

Film	Total Sold	Total Seats	Percent Sold	# of Showings
Dungeons and Dragons 3/22	154	595	25.9%	5
Dungeons and Dragons 3/26	492	2,499	19.7%	21

 

Update

 

Film	Total Sold	Total Seats	Percent Sold	# of Showings
Dungeons and Dragons 3/22	288	595	48.4%	5
Dungeons and Dragons 3/26	653	2,499	26.1%	21

[filmlover]

Also don't think it was mentioned that A Good Person opens in 530 theaters this weekend.

 

‘John Wick: Chapter 4’ To Open At Franchise Best $115M At Global Box Office – Deadline

[Tinalera]

13 hours ago, Starrow5722 said:

Seems like these are great results.

For at just over two weeks out, yes these are good results so far. 

[keysersoze123]

You dont have to use the tmobile discount on tuesday itself. its available to be used until sunday and it wont be for just preview shows anyway. 

 

John Wick 4 

MTC1 previews - 84853/611474 1475884.05 3452 shows

MTC1 Friday - 89363/995482 1554530.01  5674 shows

MTC2 previews - 53620/452478 768498.41 3117 shows

 

I would say pretty good day overall. Look at friday growth. 

 

On 3/20/2023 at 10:27 PM, keysersoze123 said:

John Wick 4 MTC1

Previews - 70098/527093 1234453.58 2825 shows

Friday - 66466/750800 1172605.46 3958 shows

 

Good day overall.

 

MTC2 Previews (earlier today) - 41484/384830 598625.53 2425 shows

 

 

 

 

[Tinalera]

John Wick 4

Thurs Mar 23 Fri Mar 24 (T-2)

Toronto and Montreal Canada 

 

 

 

Toronto	# theatre	#show	Seats Sold	Seats Rem	Ttl seat	Percent
Thurs	4	38	1093	8217	9310	0.1174
Fri	4	60	1507	14019	15526	0.0970
Monreal	# theatre	#show	Seats Sold	Seats Rem	Ttl seat	Percent
Thurs	4	30	664	9213	9877	0.0672
Fri	3	30	552	8000	8552	0.0645

 

 

And just for a comparison here's Antman Quantum at same time period (I dont have Antman Canadian OD number for $$$$ comparison )

 

	T2	# theatre	#show		Seats Rem	Ttl seat	Percent
Toronto	Thurs	4	36	2518	7614	10132	0.2485
	Fri	4	37	2248	7288	9536	0.2357
		# theatre	#show	Seats Sold	Seats Rem	Ttl seat	Percent
Montreal	Thurs	4	29	1294	6783	8077	0.1602
	Fri	4	23	1078	5219	6297	0.1711

Edited March 22, 2023 by Tinalera

[MightyDargon]

So the D&D early screenings are doing well?

[Tinalera]

Dungeons and Dragons

Thur Mar 30 Fri Mar 31 (t-9)

Toronto and Montreal Canada

 

 

		# theatre	#show	Seats Sold	Seats Rem	Ttl seat	Percent
Toronto	Thurs	4	15	61	3975	4036	0.0151
	Fri	4	19	105	5228	5333	0.0196
Montreal		# theatre	#show	Seats Sold	Seats Rem	Ttl seat	Percent
	Thurs	3	11	68	3304	3372	0.0201
	Fri	3	11	151	3006	3157	0.0478

 

Visibly not much change from previous count, but also just a reminder of the "uniqueness" (ha!) of Cineplex. Presales for many "non tentpole" films often screens like 3D/AVX/IMAX are usually not available for presale because of the fun week by week nature of cineplex theatres, and how the theatres literally have to go week by week to calculate and figure out what screens are available in future-many of said prestige screens usually dont come available until a week or less before opening. So in cases like this, its sometimes hard to actually gauge how popular a film is when the in demand screens have no availability. 

 

Basically its harder to say with Canada sometimes how popular a movie is in earlier presales  Now if we are seeing these type of numbers at T-3 theres a problem. 

[Tinalera]

Mario Brothers

Thurs Mar 6 and Fri Mar 7 (T-16)

Toronto and Montreal Canada

		# theatre	#show	Seats Sold	Seats Rem	Ttl seat	Percent
Toronto	Thurs	4	23	107	8313	8420	0.0127
	Fri	4	24	295	8198	8493	0.0347
		# theatre	#show	Seats Sold	Seats Rem	Ttl seat	Percent
Montreal	Thurs	3	17	80	4827	4907	0.0163
	Fri	3	18	148	6062	6210	0.0238

 

Good numbers for Mario (movies at 1-3 percent sold over two weeks out is generally a good sign up here-esp with said way cineplex treats availablity as stated earlier.

[Flamengo81]

7 hours ago, Eric Batson said:

The Super Mario Bros. Movie Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-15 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	159	1578	31960	4.94%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 51

 

Comp - T-15

1.012x of Sing 2 (9.85M)

3.274x of Sonic 2 (20.46M)

13.373x of Minions 2 (143.76M)

I did not remembered that Sing 2 had such strong pre-sales or am I forgeting something important here?

[keysersoze123]

5 minutes ago, Flamengo81 said:

I did not remembered that Sing 2 had such strong pre-sales or am I forgeting something important here?

Sing 2 had EA almost a month before it opened that boosted its sales. So its not Apples to Apples comp. 

[Flamengo81]

8 minutes ago, keysersoze123 said:

Sing 2 had EA almost a month before it opened that boosted its sales. So its not Apples to Apples comp. 

Oh! I see. Yeah I imagined that it had some nuance to it because the hype is nowhere near Mario.

Thanks, Keyser.

[Ronin46]

Box office pro

 

Film	Studio	3-Day Weekend Forecast	Projected Domestic Total through Sunday, March 26	Fri Location Count Projection (as of Wed)	3-Day % Change from Last Wknd
John Wick: Chapter 4	Lionsgate	$74,300,000	$74,300,000	~3,800	NEW
Shazam! Fury of the Gods	Warner Bros. Pictures	$13,800,000	$51,100,000	~4,071	-54%
Scream VI	Paramount Pictures	$10,400,000	$91,900,000	~3,400	-40%
Creed III	MGM	$7,700,000	$140,600,000	~3,200	-50%
Ant-Man and the Wasp: Quantumania	Disney & Marvel Studios	$2,800,000	$210,400,000	~2,000	-34%
65	Sony Pictures / Columbia	$2,700,000	$27,300,000	~2,700	-54%
Jesus Revolution	Lionsgate	$2,500,000	$49,600,000	~2,100	-28%
Cocaine Bear	Universal Pictures	$2,100,000	$62,300,000	~2,300	-47%
Champions	Focus Features	$1,900,000	$13,900,000	~2,300	-39%
Avatar: The Way of Water	Disney & 20th Century Studios	$1,500,000	$680,600,000	~1,000	-29%
Puss in Boots: The Last Wish	Universal Pictures & DreamWorks Animation	$1,300,000	$184,600,000	~1,500	-16%