Weekend Thread | Actuals: Smile 22.6, DWD 6.85, TWK 6.8, Avatar 5, Bros 4.8

[Borobudur]

If they pushed Barbarian harder, there is a chance for that movie to open 20m too. Any idea if Barbarian is a horror? The movie doesn't have typical drop like a typical horror genre. 

[Dandeak2000]

FRI - $8.2M (inc. $2M previews)

SAT - $7.4M (-9.8% with previews, +19.4% without previews)

SUN - $4.8-5.2M (-20 to 35%)

 

Weekend - $20.4-20.8M

 

They are definitely underestimating that Sunday if Saturday is that high. $4.4M SUN would be a 40.5% SUN drop, whereas I see more of a 30-35% drop happening

[SLAM!]

1 minute ago, Borobudur said:

If they pushed Barbarian harder, there is a chance for that movie to open 20m too. Any idea if Barbarian is a horror? The movie doesn't have typical drop like a typical horror genre. 

Barbarian is your classic horror film, but people keep seeing it because there’s a lot of intrigue surroundjng it. Everyone who sees it tells their friends to see it and add on, “don’t read anything about the movie, just go see it.”

[WrathOfHan]

10 hours ago, Blankments said:

@WrathOfHan @Eric Smiley it's spooky season!

 

16x:

 

Black Panther: Wakanda Forever: The Conjuring 2 Round 2, Wrath of Man, Bullet Train Dolby, Beast Dolby, Rogue One: A Star Wars Story Round 4 IMAX, Top Gun: Maverick Round 3 IMAX, Three Thousand Years of Longing Dolby, Orphan: First Kill, Bodies Bodies Bodies, Spider-Man: No Way Home Round 3 Dolby, Jaws Round 2 IMAX, Barbarian Dolby, The Woman King Dolby, Confess, Fletch, Moonage Daydream IMAX, Don’t Worry Darling Dolby

 

15x:

 

Avatar: The Way of Water: Doctor Strange in the Multiverse of Madness 35mm, Doctor Strange in the Multiverse of Madness Round 2 IMAX, Top Gun: Maverick Dolby, The Bob’s Burgers Movie, Lightyear Dolby, Lightyear Round 2, Thor: Love and Thunder Dolby, Minions: The Rise of Gru, Thor: Love and Thunder Round 2, E.T. the Extra-Terrestrial Round 2 IMAX, Top Gun: Maverick Round 3 IMAX, Jaws Round 2 IMAX, Newsies, Selena, Avatar Round 2 Dolby 3D

 

13x:

 

Smile: Top Gun: Maverick Dolby, Top Gun: Maverick Round 2, Thor: Love and Thunder Round 2 IMAX, Nope Dolby, The Black Phone, Bullet Train Dolby, Beast Dolby, Three Thousand Years of Longing Dolby, Orphan: First Kill, Bodies Bodies Bodies, Barbarian Dolby, Confess, Fletch, Pearl

 

11x:

 

Black Adam: Jurassic World Dominion IMAX, Elvis Dolby, Thor: Love and Thunder Dolby, Thor: Love and Thunder Round 2 IMAX, Nope Round 2 IMAX, Beast Dolby, Spider-Man: No Way Home Round 3 Dolby, The Woman King Dolby, Moonage Daydream IMAX, Don't Worry Darling Dolby, Avatar Round 2 Dolby 3D

 

8x:

 

Strange World: Lightyear Dolby, Lightyear Round 2, Thor: Love and Thunder Dolby, Minions: The Rise of Gru, Thor: Love and Thunder Round 2 IMAX, E.T. the Extra-Terrestrial Round 2 IMAX, Newsies, Avatar Round 2 Dolby 3D

The Menu: Benediction, Nope Dolby, Beast Dolby, Bodies Bodies Bodies, Barbarian Dolby, The Woman King Dolby, Don’t Worry Darling Dolby, Avatar Round 2 Dolby 3D

 

6x:

 

The Woman King: Nope Dolby, Bullet Train Dolby, Three Thousand Years of Longing Dolby, Hallelujah: Leonard Cohen, A Journey, A Song, Spider-Man: Homecoming Round 3 Dolby, Jaws Round 2 IMAX

Don’t Worry Darling: Elvis Dolby, Nope Dolby, The Black Phone, Bullet Train Dolby, Bodies Bodies Bodies, Barbarian Dolby

Moonage Daydream: Top Gun: Maverick Round 3 IMAX, Hallelujah: Leonard Cohen, A Journey, A Song, Bodies Bodies Bodies, Jaws Round 2 IMAX, Three Colors: Blue 4K, Infernal Affairs 4K

Lyle Lyle Crocodile: Minions: The Rise of Gru, DC League of Super-Pets, E.T. the Extra-Terrestrial Round 2 IMAX, Spider-Man: No Way Home Round 3 Dolby, Selena, Avatar Round 2 Dolby 3D

 

5x:

 

Puss in Boots: The Last Wish: The Bad Guys, Lightyear Round 2, Minions: The Rise of Gru, E.T. the Extra-Terrestrial Round 2 IMAX, Spider-Man: No Way Home Round 3

Oppenheimer: Nope Dolby, The Black Phone, Nope Round 2 IMAX, Bullet Train Dolby, Jaws Round 2 IMAX

Amsterdam: Thor: Love and Thunder Dolby, Thor: Love and Thunder Round 2 IMAX, Three Thousand Years of Longing Dolby, Barbarian Dolby, Confess, Fletch

Ticket to Paradise: Minions: The Rise of Gru, E.T. the Extra-Terrestrial Round 2 IMAX, Beast Dolby, Jaws Round 2 IMAX, Selena

Till: Nope Dolby, Bullet Train Dolby, Three Thousand Years of Longing Dolby, Hallelujah: Leonard Cohen, A Journey, A Song, Don’t Worry Darling Dolby

Dungeons & Dragons: Honor Among Thieves: Top Gun: Maverick Round 3 IMAX, Orphan: First Kill, Spider-Man: No Way Home Round 3 Dolby, Confess, Fletch, Avatar Round 2 Dolby

 

4x:

 

Spider-Man: Across the Spider-Verse: Sing 2 Dolby, Belle Round 2, Morbius Dolby, Sonic the Hedgehog 2 Dolby

Mission: Impossible – Dead Reckoning Part One: Top Gun: Maverick Dolby, Jurassic World Dominion IMAX, Top Gun: Maverick Round 2, Elvis Dolby

Bros: Beast Dolby, Three Thousand Years of Longing Dolby, Bodies Bodies Bodies, Moonage Daydream IMAX

Devotion: Top Gun: Maverick Dolby, The Woman King Dolby, Confess, Fletch, Moonage Daydream IMAX

 

  Reveal hidden contents

3x:

 

Halloween Ends: Nope Dolby, Nope Round 2 IMAX, Orphan: First Kill
Barbarian: The Black Phone, Beast Dolby, Orphan: First Kill
Pearl: Three Thousand Years of Longing Dolby, Orphan: First Kill, Bodies Bodies Bodies
Tár: The Woman King Dolby, Selena, Pearl

2x:

The Comeback Trail: Tenet Round 3 IMAX, Honest Thief Dolby
The Marvels: The Conjuring 2 Round 2, Wrath of Man
Ant-Man and the Wasp: Quantumania: The Conjuring 2 Round 2, Wrath of Man
Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 3: The Conjuring 2 Round 2, Wrath of Man
Fantastic Four: The Conjuring 2 Round 2, Wrath of Man
I Wanna Dance with Somebody: The Woman King Dolby, Selena
Shazam! Fury of the Gods: DC League of Super-Pets, Don't Worry Darling Dolby
Triangle of Sadness: Moonage Daydream IMAX, Don’t Worry Darling Dolby

1x:

The Devil’s Light: Nightmare Alley
Brahmāstra Part One: Shiva: RRR
Adhira: RRR
The Hunger Games: The Ballad of Songbirds and Snakes: Lightyear Dolby
God’s Country: Orphan: First Kill
Hockeyland: Hallelujah: Leonard Cohen, A Journey, A Song
Salvatore: Shoemaker of Dreams: Hallelujah: Leonard Cohen, A Journey, A Song
The Return of Tanya Tucker: Featuring Brandi Carlile: Hallelujah: Leonard Cohen, A Journey, A Song
Medieval: Bodies Bodies Bodies
The Story of Film: A New Generation: I Know Where I’m Going! 4K
Pinocchio: Newsies
She Said: The Woman King Dolby
Cuando Sea Joven: Confess, Fletch
Decision to Leave: Infernal Affairs 4K
Avatar Remastered: Moonage Daydream IMAX
Knock at the Cabin: Don’t Worry Darling Dolby
Babylon: Don’t Worry Darling Dolby
The Fabelmans: Avatar Round 2 Dolby 3D
The Little Mermaid: Avatar Round 2 Dolby 3D
The Inspection: Pearl

 

@Eric Smiley

 

9x:

Black Adam (Thor: Love and Thunder, Nope, Bullet Train, Beast, Jaws IMAX, Moonage Daydream, Don't Worry Darling, Avatar IMAX)

 

7x:

Avatar: The Way of Water (Doctor Strange in the Multiverse of Madness, Jurassic World: Dominion, Thor: Love and Thunder, Marcel the Shell with Shoes On, Nope, Minions: The Rise of Gru, Bullet Train)

 

6x:

Black Panther: Wakanda Forever (Bullet Train, Beast, Three Thousand Years of Longing, Jaws IMAX, Moonage Daydream, Avatar IMAX)

The Menu (Men, Crimes of the Future, The Black Phone, Barbarian, Pearl, Don't Worry Darling)

Moonage Daydream (Crimes of the Future, Marcel the Shell with Shoes On, Nope, Bullet Train, Jaws IMAX, Barbarian)

Smile (Top Gun: Maverick, Nope, Bullet Train, Beast, Three Thousand Years of Longing, Pearl)

 

 

5x:

Bros (Beast, Three Thousand Years of Longing, Jaws IMAX, Moonage Daydream, Don't Worry Darling)

 

4x:

Amsterdam (Thor: Love and Thunder, Three Thousand Years of Longing, Barbarian, Avatar IMAX)

Strange World (Lightyear, Thor: Love and Thunder, Minions: The Rise of Gru, Avatar IMAX)

Triangle of Sadness (Barbarian, Moonage Daydream, Pearl, Don't Worry Darling)

 

3x:

Don't Worry Darling (Doctor Strange in the Multiverse of Madness, Men, The Black Phone)

Oppenheimer (Nope, Bullet Train, Avatar IMAX)

The Woman King (Bullet Train, Three Thousand Years of Longing, Jaws IMAX)

 

2x:

Avatar Rerelease (Jaws IMAX, Moonage Daydream)

Barbarian (The Black Phone, Beast)

Lyle Lyle Crocodile (Minions: The Rise of Gru, Avatar IMAX)

Pearl (Three Thousand Years of Longing, Barbarian)

Puss in Boots: The Last Wish (Marcel the Shell with Shoes On, Minions: The Rise of Gru)

Ticket to Paradise (Beast, Jaws IMAX)

Till (Nope, Three Thousand Years of Longing)

 

1x:

The Banshees of Inisherin (Pearl)

Dungeons and Dragons: Honor Among Thieves (Avatar IMAX)

Halloween Ends (Nope)

John Wick: Chapter 4 (Bullet Train)

Mission: Impossible - Dead Reckoning Part 1 (Top Gun: Maverick)

Spider-Man: Across the Spider-Verse (Sonic the Hedgehog 2)

 

[WrathOfHan]

2 hours ago, Borobudur said:

If they pushed Barbarian harder, there is a chance for that movie to open 20m too. Any idea if Barbarian is a horror? The movie doesn't have typical drop like a typical horror genre. 

Huh? It's horror.

[CJohn]

23 minutes ago, WrathOfHan said:

Huh? It's horror.

I think what they meant was if Barbarian was more like a thriller in the vein of The Black Phone, or pure horror like Smile.

[CJohn]

Horror doing what other genres can't and opening with 20M+ in a much smaller budget. Another win for Paramount as well. I think Smile is doing 100M+ WW.

[WayneBorg]

SMILE WEEKEND: $22 MILLION!

 

 

 

Edited October 2, 2022 by WayneBorg

[Krissykins]

$22m for Smile is fantastic. 11 x its preview number of $2m, which already included early access screenings. Saturday jump indicating the positive WOM is already catching on. Another #1 win for Paramount. 

Edited October 2, 2022 by Krissykins

[Legion Again]

Woah that Saturday is nuts. + nearly 40%

 

If it’s storm related other stuff should also come in higher than it looked from Friday,

[filmlover]

Paramount has had one heck of a comeback year. Too bad Babylon is their only remaining 2022 release and probably won't land at #1 (assuming Avatar is still dominating when it goes wide the first weekend of January) but even that should be a hit too.

[Valonqar]

19M curse is broken! 

 

[CJohn]

Insane Saturday at 8.6M. This one might have strong legs throught October barring a big drop against Halloween Ends.

[SchumacherFTW]

1 minute ago, CJohn said:

Insane Saturday at 8.6M. This one might have strong legs throught October barring a big drop against Halloween Ends.

Eh, not like that's going to do the 50m the last one did OW

[Brainbug]

Just now, CJohn said:

Insane Saturday at 8.6M. This one might have strong legs throught October barring a big drop against Halloween Ends.

 

Though when Halloween ends, Halloween Ends will end, while Smile might be able to carry on a bit after that date.

[Valonqar]

15 minutes ago, Legion By Night said:

Woah that Saturday is nuts. + nearly 40%

 

If it’s storm related other stuff should also come in higher than it looked from Friday,

 

I thought so too. Some estimates seemed too low anyway but didn't realize that storm could have affected Friday. 

[WayneBorg]

BROS: $4.8M

[Ipickthiswhiterose]

YES, C'MON HORROR!

 

Didn't love everything about Smile as said before - hedged its bets between being thematic and being a scare-a-thon - but it did lots right and that ambiguity was probably good for its populist credentials.

 

Big win for Smile. Splendid drops continue for Barbarian. 

 

Halloween Ends is set to do gangbusters even if I haven't enjoyed those at all. At this point surely respect needs to go agains this genre even in the most cynical quarters for what it's doing.

 

We had to endure the 90s when as a horror film  you had to be super-meta or be an elevated thriller to have any credibility or be panned, including - towards the end - by the wise guys of the burgeoning internet culture.

 

We had to endure the 00s where a stream of not-magnificent-but-reliable mainstream movies were all perfectly okay to good but were bizarrely and relentlessly panned by critics as a knee-jerk.

 

We had to endure the late 00s and early 10s where we were the genre was so driven by marketing that borderling-talentless frat boy Eli Roth and somewhat-visionary-but-can't-help-himself Rob Zombie were what was being pushed as the future above what was already a transformative indie scene with a load of actual talent.

 

Still no awards though. Heaven forfend. Not unless its an Official Exception TM.

[filmlover]

I could see Halloween Ends opening with sub-$30M at this point tbh.

[Eric the Ape]

9 hours ago, Legion By Night said:

Yep. Was gonna be hard to miss 20 from that Fri, ests we're being pretty silly.

 

Rip the 19 streak though, sad

I guess this means Black Panther 2 won't open to 19M. Who would have guessed?