Ticket to Paradise Weekend Thread (and also Black Adam): Adam 67 (Rock's biggest leading debut), Paradise 16.3, Smile 8.3, Halloween 8 (80% drop!), Lyle 4.2 | Banshees 45K PTA, second-best of the year

[filmlover]

Black Adam and Ticket to Paradise combining for an $80-90M opening weekend would definitely be the kick that movie theaters have been in need of following a mostly underwhelming fall movie season.

[XXR vs XXR]

10 minutes ago, Maggie said:

‘Black Adam’ Zaps $7.6M In Thursday Night Previews

 

https://deadline.com/2022/10/box-office-black-adam-dwayne-johnson-1235151785/

$60-65M OW

[Borobudur]

Need 7.9x to hit 60m opening weekend. Is it possible given today box office landscape? 

[Maggie]

Shazam did 6M in previews for a 53M weekend. I think BA does 60M OW

[Legion Again]

On 10/2/2022 at 6:05 AM, Legion By Night said:

Morbius did 5.7 after turning out to be one of the shiftiest CBMs in a decade and having the lack of effective NWH connection spoiled. 7-8 after d1 seems quite reasonable.

One day is all you need, next 19 were just a useless distraction  

[keysersoze123]

Good news is walkups yesterday were good. I think 60m should happen. This is not a sequel to a huge character that leads to rush. Plus we are in October. So it should be ok. 

 

Let us see how the Postrak scores are. it needs reasonable legs to hit at least 175m domestic. I am not seeing a big overseas number. Can it even hit 400m WW in case it does not release in China. 

[XXR vs XXR]

4 minutes ago, Borobudur said:

Need 7.9x to hit 60m opening weekend. Is it possible given today box office landscape? 

Yes. My expectation is 7.7-8.5x previews. For reference, Shang Chi hit 8.5x and even Eternals managed 7.6x.

[WrathOfHan]

Me when Black Adam posts a strong preview number that's not at all surprising:

 

 

Me when the forum tries to spin it as shocking and/or indicative of poor performance:

 

Edited October 21, 2022 by WrathOfHan

[Ledmonkey96]

13 minutes ago, Maggie said:

Shazam did 6M in previews for a 53M weekend. I think BA does 60M OW

when did shazam's previews start? BA had showings at 3PM

[Legion Again]

1 minute ago, WrathOfHan said:

Me when Black Adam posts a strong preview number that's not at all surprising:

 

 

Me when the forum tries to spin it as shocking and/or indicative of poor performance:

 

What are you even talking about? Nobody has posted that’s it’s surprising — it’s exactly what we expected.

[Durden]

 

[Gavin Feng]

3 minutes ago, Ledmonkey96 said:

when did shazam's previews start? BA had showings at 3PM

4pm for Shazam.

[AnDr3s]

2 minutes ago, Durden said:

 

Is he lowballing?

[Maggie]

7 minutes ago, Ledmonkey96 said:

when did shazam's previews start? BA had showings at 3PM

Previews began at 4 p.m

[TwoMisfits]

1 minute ago, AnDr3s said:

Is he lowballing?

 

Honestly, it depends...for fall, if you go low, you seem to be correct...

 

I think this time, he won't be right and it is a lowball...but it is in line with how this fall has gone...

[AJG]

6 minutes ago, Durden said:

 

 

Oh so this thread's gonna be hell

[CoolioD1]

how do these numbers effect the hierarchy of power?

[GOGODanca]

October 2019 DC had crazy momentum with 3 really well received movies in a row and they've pissed all that away since then

Edited October 21, 2022 by GOGODanca

[Durden]

 

[filmnerdjamie]

5 minutes ago, CoolioD1 said:

how do these numbers effect the hierarchy of power?

 

Means Johnson pushing WBD around internally stops, for one. Also creates more doubt for that hypothetical Man of Steel sequel. TBD.