Weekend Thread (11/4-6) | Weekend Actuals: Black Adam 18.3, One Piece 9.5, Ticket 8.5, Smile 4, Devil 3.9

[stephen]

2 minutes ago, Eric Carey said:

Early Friday numbers from Deadline being underestimated from the real numbers? What a crazy series of events that never happens.

Is it decent if BA is sitting at 135 million this Sunday? Feel like the film ends with 160 million if that's the case with WF arriving next weekend.

 

Also means the film ends well under 400 million WW, which seems like the respectability milestone if nothing else.

 

Did the cameo actually do anything for this film's numbers? 

 

I also begin to wonder how much Flash can realistically expect to make. Keaton's return will need to be pushed a lot.

[Eric Loves Rey]

 

[filmlover]

11 minutes ago, Eric Carey said:

Is there a reason why Lyle got the increase? Is it just Halloween-related shenanigans?

Maybe but also because there's nothing else out for families at the moment (nor will there be until Thanksgiving weekend). 

[M37]

Oh look at that, Black Adam only down 37% from last Fri, despite losing PLFs. Im shocked!

 

 

(Not that it will shut up the trolls)

 

 

 

[filmlover]

Black Adam should be all set for a $165M+ total unless it gets completely pulverized next weekend. This + Ticket to Paradise are going to be the only pre-Black Panther November releases that will be sticking around for a while given the relatively light release schedule over the next month.

[Issac Newton]

Update From Deadline Hollywood

 

Quick update here: New Line’s Black Adam filed a third Friday of $4.7M on its way to $17m stateside, -38%. While some rivals have snarked to me about the big cost for this movie at $200M before P&A, that hold right there for Black Adam is better than the 3rd weekend hold of Hobbs & Shaw, both percent and bucks wise (-44%, $14.1M). Total running cume for the Dwayne Johnson movie by Sunday is $136M. This movie is the biggest thing in the market right now, spurring concession sales for exhibition so there’s nothing to complain about.

 

Crunchyroll’s One Piece Film Red has a better outlook in second place with $10.3M. The Toei Animation co-production won the day with $4.8M, which includes $1.7M previews. The film is available as both subtitled in Japanese or dubbed in English. Fans showed up, period, giving the movie an A CinemaScore. Audience exits on Comscore/Screen Engine PostTrak was 88% positive leaning 76% guys, 75% between 18-34. Diversity demos were 23% Caucasian, a great 37% Latino and Hispanic, 18% Black and 22% Asian/other. Those who bought tickets wanted to see it in Imax or on PLF, those formats driving close to 40% of weekend ticket sales.

[XXR vs XXR]

What the hell happened to Lyle, Lyle where it's actually up over last Friday? 

[filmlover]

6 minutes ago, K'uk'ulkan XXR said:

What the hell happened to Lyle, Lyle where it's actually up over last Friday? 

A combination of no Halloween distractions and no new family movies. Puss in Boots barely dropped anything in its second weekend when the dates lined up the same in 2011.

[M37]

5 minutes ago, K'uk'ulkan XXR said:

What the hell happened to Lyle, Lyle where it's actually up over last Friday? 

I mean Ron’s Gone Wrong only dropped 8% Sat to Sat on the post-Halloween weekend last year, despite Eternals opening and shedding 1000 locations (and had flat PTA Fri/Fri) … but yeah, a +400% Fri is unusual 

[Krissykins]

Smile will be at around $98.8m by Sunday after a $3.6m weekend. Still think it’ll be a long struggle to $100m like you did on Tuesday, @CJohn? 😅

[Old Spice]

32 minutes ago, stephen said:

Is it decent if BA is sitting at 135 million this Sunday? Feel like the film ends with 160 million if that's the case with WF arriving next weekend.

 

Also means the film ends well under 400 million WW, which seems like the respectability milestone if nothing else.

 

Did the cameo actually do anything for this film's numbers? 

 

I also begin to wonder how much Flash can realistically expect to make. Keaton's return will need to be pushed a lot.

Flash will have its own crosswinds to face, but if the reports of the test screenings are true (I know, I know), it shouldn't have the weight of BA's terrible reviews to carry. That's been the film's Kryptonite; who outside of the base is going to pay $13-20 to see a film featuring a character they've never heard of that has dreadful notices?

[Liiviig 1998]

Good weekend for BA. But think it's gonna drop close to 60% next weekend. but it can recover to 160-170m.

 

WB fucked this not releasing it early October. 

 

[filmlover]

20 minutes ago, Krissykins said:

Smile will be at around $98.8m by Sunday after a $3.6m weekend. Still think it’ll be a long struggle to $100m like you did on Tuesday, @CJohn? 😅

Obviously he got it and Halloween Ends (which has begun its immediate evaporation, as expected) confused with each other.

[Pinacolada]

2 hours ago, Eric Carey said:

		Movie Title	Distributor	Gross	%YD	%LW	Theaters	Per Theater	Total Gross	Days In Release
-	(2)	Ticket to Paradise	Universal	$2,580,000	+153%	-19%	4,066	$635	$40,804,120	15
-	(4)	Smile	Paramount Pi…	$1,150,000	+187%	-28%	3,046	$378	$96,257,075	36
-	(-)	The Banshees of Inisherin	Searchlight …	$734,000	+1,169%	+250%	895	$820	$1,767,102	15
-	(6)	Halloween Ends	Universal	$400,000	+140%	-66%	2,929	$137	$62,445,190	22
-	(-)	Armageddon Time	Focus Features	$290,000	+5,665%	+728%	1,006	$288	$382,175	8
-	(8)	TÁR	Focus Features	$200,000	+54%	-42%	1,090	$183	$3,270,828	29
-	(-)	Amsterdam	20th Century…	$34,000	-2%	-46%	370	$92	$14,726,472	29
-	(-)	Minions: The Rise of Gru	Universal	$25,000	+65%	-9%	442	$57	$369,081,445	127
-	(-)	Barbarian	20th Century…	$23,000	+29%	-61%	160	$144	$40,680,275	57
-	(-)	The Bad Guys	Universal	$20,000	+8%	-54%	564	$35	$97,046,600	197
-	(-)	The Divine Protector - Ma…	Freestyle Re…	$570	+1,226%	-7%	5	$114	$19,916	15
		11		$5,456,570

So will that get Banshees to $2m?

[filmlover]

3 minutes ago, Pinacolada said:

So will that get Banshees to $2m?

It should unless it ends up frontloaded. They'll likely expand it to 1,000+ locations next weekend as theaters start to purge their low-grossing fall titles to make way for Black Panther and the other releases + the PTA still being solid enough to justify one more expansion.

[narniadis]

Huh, even 15 years ago in the days of MASSIVE Friday increases for family films (+300% wasnt unusual) Lyle would be an oddity.

 

Caveat to the comment about Puss in Boots in 2011, that had a last minute release date change that dampened its OW. Hence 2nd weekend was the 1-2 of original release and advertising date AND the post Halloween reshuffle. 

[keysersoze123]

49 minutes ago, Liiviig 1998 said:

Good weekend for BA. But think it's gonna drop close to 60% next weekend. but it can recover to 160-170m.

 

WB fucked this not releasing it early October. 

 

you are overestimating the impact of BP2. there are many markets in US where it will underperform and there will be enough screens for BA considering its number 2. At this point PLF is not that much of a factor with weekend < 10m. It definitely wont drop 60% in this empty marketplace with just 1 big movie. 

[Lighthouse]

Every week there are some people here trying to convince us how impressive Black Adam's drops did (with the excuse that it's better than expected lol), who would have thought that the rock stans would be hanging around this forum, and ofc the payoled Deadline articles too.

This movie had THREE weeks with ZERO competition, there is literal no excuses, the $200M movie with huge promotion is bombing locally and globally, move on. Saying this is not "trolling", it's just facts.
Celebrating a drop this week over an anime movie that the general public haven't heard of, ridiculous lol. There hasn't been another BLOCKBUSTER to see for 3 weeks, Dwayne's blockbuster has all the cinemas to himself for the 3rd week in a row and it's still flopping.

Edited November 5, 2022 by Lighthouse

[Eric Loves Rey]

1 minute ago, Lighthouse said:

Every week there are some people here trying to convince us how impressive Black Adam did (with the excuse that it's better than expected lol), who would have thought that the rock stans would be hanging around this forum, and ofc the payoled Deadline articles too.

This movie had THREE weeks with ZERO competition, there is literal no excuses, the $200M movie with huge promotion is bombing locally and globally, move on. Saying this is not "trolling", it's just facts.
Celebrating a drop this week over an anime movie that the general public haven't heard of, ridiculous lol. There hasn't been another BLOCKBUSTER to see for 3 weeks, Dwayne's blockbuster has all the cinemas to himself for the 3rd week in a row and it's still flopping.

Okay.

[Krissykins]

Who’s going to tell him that Deadline do whatever the hell they want? 😂