A Very Queer Thanksgiving Weekend Thread | We Here. We Queer. Move On. | 3-Day/5-Day: Black Panther 45.9/64, Strange World 11.9/18.6, Glass Onion 9.2/13.3, Devotion 6/9, The Menu 5.2/7.3 | Daddy Cameron, please save us!

[Flopped]

Just now, AJG said:

 

Nowadays to save money they just film one ad and CG out the different international brands. 

 

 

 

Katy Perry does food delivery ads now? Poor thing. 

[AJG]

6 minutes ago, Flopped said:

 

Katy Perry does food delivery ads now? Poor thing. 

 

Fun Ad Industry Rumour: Her team declined to do a GrubHub variant so that no one in the US would know.

[filmlover]

Aren't there talks of them doing a sequel that Nicole AMC ad lol? I think we can attribute the influence of that commercial as to why she's receiving the AFI Life Achievement Award this year.

[M37]

20 minutes ago, Legion By Night said:

Feel like typical marvel performance here would be -2 -45 for 44M, which I suspect can take it to 470s with xmas period and very light competition 

Yeah, but BPWF isn't a typical MCU film, in that it generally has stronger Sat/Sun but softer weekdays (due largely to demo skew)

 

If it were to pull a Ragnarok, which dropped only 41% on the post-Thanksgiving weekend, then $470 is in play, but my hunch is that audiences are going to mostly check out on movies for a little while, and these early December numbers are going to be depressingly weak across the board, similar to last year when the top 10 was down like 53%

[PlatnumRoyce]

1 hour ago, AJG said:

 

You've missed the word "Verified". Right now Strange World has the worst Verified score for an animated movie.

yeah, second is Playmobil at 62% ("100+ reviews") and third is probably addams family at 69% (>1k). At least that was the case in early 2021 and I don't think anything has passed them since. Verified scores have also consistently been moderately off with kids movies presumably due to kids giving animated films an "A" cinemascore grade on average while adults give them lower. 

Edited November 26, 2022 by PlatnumRoyce

[charlie Jatinder]

Think it will do $475M as competition is pretty much nothing other than Avatar. 

Heard Disney+ premiere isn't there till Feb/March

[AJG]

9 minutes ago, filmlover said:

Aren't there talks of them doing a sequel that Nicole AMC ad lol? I think we can attribute the influence of that commercial as to why she's receiving the AFI Life Achievement Award this year.

 

No sequel can recreate the terrifying amount of awe she has for something that amounts to a 24/7 Marvel PictureHouse

 

Like... it was really a moment in time

 

 

 

[Flopped]

26 minutes ago, filmlover said:

Aren't there talks of them doing a sequel that Nicole AMC ad lol? I think we can attribute the influence of that commercial as to why she's receiving the AFI Life Achievement Award this year.

 

Yes they're doing a sequel. I genuinely think it also helped her get an Oscar nom for Being the Ricardos. 

 

In Los Angeles people literally erupt in applause when that ad plays. 

[filmlover]

-	(-)	The Fabelmans	Universal	$880,000	+83%	+2,708%	638	$1,379	$2,089,766	15
-	(-)	Ticket to Paradise	Universal	$720,000	+60%	-24%	2,238	$322	$63,939,830	36
-	(-)	She Said	Universal	$430,000	+115%	-49%	2,023	$213	$3,632,000	8
-	(-)	Smile	Paramount Pi…	$160,000	+122%	-52%	594	$269	$105,204,000	57
-	(-)	TÁR	Focus Features	$38,000	+153%	-18%	100	$380	$5,048,113	50

 

https://www.the-numbers.com/daily-box-office-chart

[Ledmonkey96]

1 hour ago, AJG said:

 

No sequel can recreate the terrifying amount of awe she has for something that amounts to a 24/7 Marvel PictureHouse

 

Like... it was really a moment in time

 

 

Yikes that is cringey, of course no one joined her.

[filmlover]

1	(1)	Black Panther: Wakanda Fo…	Walt Disney	$18,200,000	+125%	+1%	4,258	$4,274	$339,970,596	15
2	(2)	Strange World	Walt Disney	$5,200,000	+108%		4,714	$1,103	$11,900,000	3
-	(4)	Devotion	Sony Pictures	$2,400,000	+94%		3,405	$705	$5,440,000	3
-	(5)	The Menu	Searchlight …	$2,000,000	+92%	-44%	3,228	$620	$15,470,443	8
-	(6)	Black Adam	Warner Bros.	$1,210,000	+102%	+7%	2,664	$454	$160,832,609	36

 

-

(-)

The Chosen Season 3: Epis…

Fathom Events

$614,656

+118%

-84%

179

$3,434

$12,479,210

8

 

-

(-)

Lyle, Lyle, Crocodile

Sony Pictures

$385,000

+148%

-9%

1,808

$213

$44,661,937

50

 

-

(-)

The Banshees of Inisherin

Searchlight …

$124,000

+158%

-40%

402

$308

$7,648,646

36

[Legion Again]

Positively great for BP. Good chance to clear 45, maybe even 47.   
 

Reporting on TC for chosen is completely borked it seem, but I love that gross if it’s real.  
 

Ticket not so much.  
 

SW could hit 13

[filmlover]

$835K Friday for Bones and All according to Hollywood Reporter.

[CJohn]

Ticket to Paradise is gonna fail to reach 70M because Universal decided to put it on VOD 17 days after OW. I don't understand the rush.

 

Black Panther is the sole bright spot of a horrible Thanksgiving weekend. 18.2M - 17.8M - 10M = 46M.

[Borobudur]

A very top heavy Thanskgiving weekend. The counter-programming mid-sized movie, aren't delivering decent size of box office even though they are well-received. I am worried if we are running out of solution to defend overall health of moviegoing.  

[John2015]

19 minutes ago, CJohn said:

Ticket to Paradise is gonna fail to reach 70M because Universal decided to put it on VOD 17 days after OW. I don't understand the rush.

 

Black Panther is the sole bright spot of a horrible Thanksgiving weekend. 18.2M - 17.8M - 10M = 46M.

 

Because VOD is a huge market that can make a lot of money, especially for adult films. 

Other adult films like "Death on the Nile" and "The Northman" were mainly saved by VOD.  ("Death on the Nile" is getting sequel; Universal/Focus were happy enough that they agreed to finance Robert Eggers's next film.) 

Edited November 26, 2022 by John2015

[Nikostar]

Very good for BPWK.

[Joel M]

3 minutes ago, John2015 said:

 

Because VOD is a huge market that can make a lot of money, especially for adult films. 

Other adult films like "Death on the Nile" and "The Northman" were mainly saved by VOD.  ("Death on the Nile" is getting sequel; Universal/Focus were happy enough that they agreed to finance Robert Eggers's next film.) 

 

Yeah but what if a film is doing fine in theatres and doesn't need saving? They could give it at least a full month to decline more naturally and still made the same VOD bucks. 

[Borobudur]

3 minutes ago, Joel M said:

 

Yeah but what if a film is doing fine in theatres and doesn't need saving? They could give it at least a full month to decline more naturally and still made the same VOD bucks. 

Not to mention there is strong correlation of higher box office and higher VOD sale. Every extra box office translate to VOD demand. 

[filmlover]

16 minutes ago, Borobudur said:

A very top heavy Thanskgiving weekend. The counter-programming mid-sized movie, aren't delivering decent size of box office even though they are well-received. I am worried if we are running out of solution to defend overall health of moviegoing.  

It's still a decent recovery year at the box office overall since there were a number of solid performers that were non-tentpoles and put the kibosh on the notion that those types of movies were dead at the multiplex, even if those movies were clearly the exceptions and not the rules with all the dramas/specialty fare struggling this fall.