Weekday numbers 7-31 to 8-3

[keysersoze123]

I am seeing Turtles lose about 25% from true OD yesterday. Big question is what is the studio planning with the Early access BO. Would they pad up the 3 day the weekend like for MI7. 

[KeepItU25071906]

6 hours ago, IronJimbo & Sheldon's Son said:

Voldy says 11.2m & 5.5m+

He updated Barbie's number to 11.5

[bcf26]

7 hours ago, Fanboy said:

Theatres generally have a 2 week contract to keep a movie regardless how it performs. Barbie is still playing in over 4,000 theatres so losing theatres isn't a big deal. Jurassic World lost 93 theatres in it's third weekend even though its theatre average the weekend before was nearly $25K. 

 

7 hours ago, Eric the Turtle said:

Because every movie retains its theaters in its second week. No matter how hard it bombs. Especially from a major studio like Disney.

 

7 hours ago, BoxOfficeFangrl said:

Every once in a while, something from a smaller studio will crash out hard and the theaters will dump it in Week 2. Oogieloves and Playmobil come to mind: neither got near $1 million for the OW in over 2,000+ theaters, the per theater averages were in the $200s. Haunted Mansion is practically Endgame compared to a Delgo.

 

Jem and the Holograms run though. 🤔😄

[IronJimbo & Sheldon's Son]

2 hours ago, keysersoze123 said:

I am seeing Turtles lose about 25% from true OD yesterday. Big question is what is the studio planning with the Early access BO. Would they pad up the 3 day the weekend like for MI7. 

Is that a bad drop? I see MI7 dropped only 3% true Wed -> Thu but not really sure how comparable they are since that one had even more EA than turtles. Mario dropped 16% outside of the summer.

[Fanboy]

20 minutes ago, IronJimbo & Sheldon's Son said:

Is that a bad drop? I see MI7 dropped only 3% true Wed -> Thu but not really sure how comparable they are since that one had even more EA than turtles. Mario dropped 16% outside of the summer.

It's not a good drop. Mario didn't have previews so fans would have rushed out on opening day. Meg also targets a completely different audiences so competition is almost a non-factor. Considering it's a well beloved IP it should be aiming for at least a 30M+ OW. Not gonna happen with a ~5M Thursday but it's budget isn't massive and should have good word of mouth so it's not a disaster. 

[grim22]

 

 

[WorkingonaName]

2 minutes ago, grim22 said:

 

 

See you when Crayola endgame makes $6B. 

[BadOlCatSylvester]

31 minutes ago, Fanboy said:

It's not a good drop. Mario didn't have previews so fans would have rushed out on opening day. Meg also targets a completely different audiences so competition is almost a non-factor. Considering it's a well beloved IP it should be aiming for at least a 30M+ OW. Not gonna happen with a ~5M Thursday but it's budget isn't massive and should have good word of mouth so it's not a disaster. 

The opening weekend was destined to be lackluster because of the damage the Bay movies did to the brand. And Dial of Destiny just proved to us that time doesn't heal every wound. Thankfully unlike that relaunch, this one has been received well and has a modest $70M or so budget, so it'll likely play out like Free Guy and end with a solid $300m worldwide total.

[MCKillswitch123]

17 minutes ago, CJohn said:

@MCKillswitch123 MEG and Por do Sol sold out everywhere. Insane weekend ahead. Absoluty insane. Top 6 might be all over 20.000 tickets sold. Theaters struggling with space.

 

TMNT and GT are ultra wide next weekend which means Elemental and MI will have to leave some places while selling out shows.

 

MOVIES ARE BACK

[abracadabra1998]

I can’t wait for the inevitable freak out over a not so great OW for Turtles, and then the clamoring over it when it has great legs. Give it time lads, give it time

[Cap]

Moderation:

 

The Sound of Freedom discussion has been moved over to the Sound of Freedom Thread. No warnings have been given out, cause I get why it was initially posted here, but it really needs to go, and stay, in that thread.  Thank you.

[vale9001]

If Barbie makes the 1B this weekend It would be the faster First chapter to make It?. 

[SchumacherFTW]

2 minutes ago, vale9001 said:

If Barbie makes the 1B this weekend It would be the faster First chapter to make It?. 

Avatar was 17 days back in 09, so it'll be tight. 

[M37]

3 hours ago, Fanboy said:

It's not a good drop. Mario didn't have previews so fans would have rushed out on opening day. Meg also targets a completely different audiences so competition is almost a non-factor. Considering it's a well beloved IP it should be aiming for at least a 30M+ OW. Not gonna happen with a ~5M Thursday but it's budget isn't massive and should have good word of mouth so it's not a disaster. 

Would expect TMNT to have something in range of a 6x Thur as it’s weekend total (plus remaining EA). Transformers was running a bit ahead of that ratio in first 3 weeks, MI7 too from its first Thursday, while Mario and Air slightly below it for their opening (though Easter weekend) 

 

I’ll take the over on $30M, even if it takes the EA fudge to get there, but probably under $50M for the full opening, if only slightly 

[MattW]

4 hours ago, WorkingonaName said:

See you when Crayola endgame makes $6B. 

Yeah right, you know they're gonna rush Crayons v Magic Markers too soon and the whole thing falls apart

[seduh7]

7 hours ago, KeepItU25071906 said:

He updated Barbie's number to 11.5

 

Great change to an 11% drop. It will make near $50 on its third weekend, A great number. Oppenheimer is going to make around $27

[wildphantom]

14 hours ago, Jonwo said:

I wonder we might see Dial of Destiny on Paramount+ as a second pay window? 

 

 

Could well do 

[Incarnadine]

6 hours ago, bcf26 said:

 

 

 

Jem and the Holograms run though. 🤔😄

That was a bad one, but it had a budget of just $5m.

 

When I think of a contender for all time bomb I think of Pluto Nash. Big star, $100m budget (back in 2002!) and a truly epic fail at the boxoffice.

[Boxx93]

Paramount went from having a great year in 2022 to a shitty year in 2023. Bummer.

[emoviefan]

1 hour ago, Boxx93 said:

Paramount went from having a great year in 2022 to a shitty year in 2023. Bummer.

They could have avoided that with better scheduling.