Dune 2 Opening Weekend Thread [3/01/24 -3/03/24] [82.5m DOM OW]

[Eric Quinn]

3 minutes ago, Hatebox said:

Trailers at my dune showing: 

 

ghostbusters

kong and Godzilla 

deadpool 

fall guy 
 

they all made he feel old and tired 

 

Watching the Ghostbusters trailer is hysterical, because you can so plainly see Bill Murray hates being there and every snarky line he is saying is killing him inside.

[Torontofan]

Seems the delay helped as the movie releases in a dead market. 

 

No serious competition till Godzilla imo. 

Edited March 1 by Torontofan

[Gavin Feng]

I always respect what EC did for us these years, but it's really funny that he says numbers lower than original expectation do not matter after he criticized BOP's predication for Dune 2 is lower than the expectation he believe it would hit.

 

And again, I still respect his time with us.

 

 

[BadOlCatSylvester]

Much better previews than expected. I really hope the weekend is just as fruitful. This is, without a shadow of a doubt, one of the best movies I've ever seen. Nearly 3 hours of cinematic perfection. The direction, the story, the acting, the score and the special effects are all spectacular. This is what cinema should be. It takes an already great story started in the first movie and elevates it to pure art.

LONG LIVE THE FIGHTERS!!!!! ALL HAIL MY ARRAKIS! MY DESERT! MY DUNE!!!!!

[M37]

14 minutes ago, TwoMisfits said:

PS - College spring breaks are aplenty next week, so expect Sunday to not be as big a drop as normal...

Between PLF demand rolling forward and WOM, I've already penciled in a -25% or less drop from Sat to Sun. Don't think it can go sub-20 given the running time (and how weak Thursday late shows were) like Avatar 2's -17.5% leading into Xmas break, but The Batman was -21% on this same weekend 2 years ago

[Cmasterclay]

Dune 2 box office shows what every complicated and dark sci-fi and fantasy film needs to cross over to the mainstream - Christopher Walken playing himself.

[DInky]

3 minutes ago, Cmasterclay said:

Dune 2 box office shows what every complicated and dark sci-fi and fantasy film needs to cross over to the mainstream - Christopher Walken playing himself.

 

He really wasn't in this one though. A very subdued performance form him. Not sure if it's because of VIlleneuve's direction or because Walken is getting up in years (correct me if I'm wrong but I haven's seen him in anything in quite a while).

[TMP]

Just now, DInky said:

 

He really wasn't in this one though. A very subdued performance form him. Not sure if it's because of VIlleneuve's direction or because Walken is getting up in years (correct me if I'm wrong but I haven's seen him in anything in quite a while).

He’s really solid in Succession as well imo

[DInky]

2 minutes ago, TMP said:

He’s really solid in Succession as well imo

 

You're not confusing him with Brian Cox by any chance?

[TMP]

1 minute ago, DInky said:

 

You're not confusing him with Brian Cox by any chance?

I meant Severance 😭😭😭

[WorkingonaName]

Some dude is having the time of his life with a popcorn bucket RN. 

[Mr Roark]

Never bet against a great film sequel to another great film…

[Porthos]

2 hours ago, Shawn Robbins said:

It's $12m.

 

2 hours ago, Issac Newton said:

 

 

 

17 hours ago, Porthos said:

 

Dune: Part Two - Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report:

PREMIERE NIGHT (FINAL REPORT) [3:50pm-4:25pm]

NOTE:  All showtimes that started before 3:50 were sampled at the start of their showing.

 

	Capped	Sellouts	Showings	Seats left	Total Seats	Seats Sold	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	0	250	25311	31312	6001	19.17%

 

Total Showings Added Since Mid-Day	6
Total Seats Added Since Mid-Day	429
Total Seats Sold Since Mid-Day	607

 

T-0 "Anchor" Comps [ALL COMPS *INCLUDE* EA SALES]

	%		Sold Since Mid-Day	Total Sold		Sellouts Shows	Seats Left Total Seats	Perct Sold		Final Sold	% of Final		Comp
Dune [5:10-5:30]	205.87		524	2915		0/109	11878/14793	19.71%		2915	205.87%		10.50m
Ava 2 [3:50-4:25]	66.78		1079	8986		0/310	26049/35035	25.65%		8986	66.78%		11.35m
Oppy [4:30-4:40]	129.86		547	4621		2/80	6238/10859	42.55%		4621	129.86%		13.64m

 

T-0 Mostly Pace Purposes Comps [ALL COMPS *INCLUDE* EA SALES - UNLESS OTHERWISE NOTED]

	%		Sold Since Mid-Day	Total Sold		Sellouts Shows	Seats Left Total Seats	Perct Sold		Final Sold	% of Final		Comp
Bats [3:00-4:30]	51.04		1279	11757		1/328	27144/38901	30.22%		11757	51.04%		12.46m
Thor4 [3:45-4:35]	35.38		2056	16962		0/320	23111/40073	42.33%		16962	35.38%		10.26m
BP2 [3:45-4:35]	35.72		2053	16800		2/376	26426/43216	38.87%		16800	35.72%		10.00m
AM3 [3:45-4:30]	57.29		1083	10475		0/307	26899/37374	28.03%		10475	57.29%		10.03m
Flash [3:55-4:20]	112.65		1076	5327		0/205	21645/26972	19.75%		5327	112.65%		10.93m
GOTG3[3:45-4:30]	55.82		1551	10750		0/347	31169/41919	25.64%		10750	55.82%		9.77m
TGM [3:30-4:35]	52.30		1111	11474		2/345	31538/43012	26.68%		11474	52.30%		10.07m
JWD [3:45-4:35]	54.72		1476	10966		0/290	22873/33839	32.41%		10966	54.72%		9.85m
Wick 4 [3:50-4:15]	110.15		1103	5448		0/186	17238/22686	24.01%		5448	110.15%		9.80m
Fast X [3:50-4:15]	145.58		717	4122		0/243	29125/33247	12.40%		4122	145.58%		10.92m
TLM [3:50-4:15]	91.46		958	6561		0/235	23202/29763	22.04%		6561	91.46%		9.42m
Indy 5 [3:50-4:20]	125.89		784	4767		0/183	20009/24776	19.24%		4767	125.89%		9.06m
AtSV [3:50-4:20]	61.59		1676	9744		0/266	22261/32005	30.45%		9744	61.59%		10.69m
Indy 5 [3:50-4:20]	125.89		784	4767		0/183	20009/24776	19.24%		4767	125.89%		9.06m
Bats Tue EA	106.19		——	743		0/3	72/815	91.17%		743	106.19%		2.12m

THE BATMAN EA NOTE:  "Bats Tue EA T-x" is a direct comp of the IMAX theaters which had the exclusive IMAX ONLY showings for The Batman on the Tuesday of release week and are showing the IMAX exclusives for Dune: Part Two on the Sunday of release week.  I am using the estimated 2m reported by the Trades and Box Office Pro for the comp.

 

Regal:      1580/9860  [16.02% sold]
Matinee:    380/3555  [10.69% | 6.33% of all tickets sold]
———    
Sun:                789/814  [96.93% sold] [FINAL]
Thr:          5212/30498  [17.09% sold] [+991 tickets]
PLF:          3753/10865 [34.54% | 62.54% of all tickets sold]
Thr PLF:    2964/10051 [29.49% sold | 56.87% of Thr tickets sold]

 

====

 

No sense sugar coating it; fairly anemic/blah walkups.  FWIW, the *ATP adjusted* comp for Dune (using my home adjustment of 1.13047x) spits out 11.87m (including EA).  Combine that with the comps for Ava 2 and The Batman and I think Sacramento is probably pointing to around 11.75m combined EA and Thursday.  There is the Oppenheimer comp, but that ran into severe capacity issues locally. And that is most certainly not the case here.
 

I keep looking at that The Batman comp and I keep going "hmmmm..."  On the other hand, DC tends to under-perform locally.

 

Still, I know it's on the higher side of reported locals, though I have seen some in this range, but gonna go with what my best comps tell me and go with a combined 11.75m +/-.6m (2m +/- .1m EA | 9.75m +/- .5m Thur).

 

Only reason I'm going with 9.75m Thr is the PLF factor and the ATP adjustment for Dune lands right in that area.

 

Now we wait and see the results.

 

*****DOUBT THE POWAH OF SACRAMENTO AT YOUR OWN PERIL, BOT*****

 

(so powahful it might have made Zaslav order up a rounding/fudge )

 

HUSH YOU!!!

 

POSTED MY CELEBRATION DANCE VID IN THE TRACKING THREAD, BUT I'M POSTING IT HERE AS WELL

 

 

(why? coz it's a damn awesome vid, that's why!)

[wildphantom]

The movie is unbelievable. So great. 

[BadOlCatSylvester]

12 minutes ago, DInky said:

 

He really wasn't in this one though. A very subdued performance form him. Not sure if it's because of VIlleneuve's direction or because Walken is getting up in years (correct me if I'm wrong but I haven's seen him in anything in quite a while).

Yeah, I was honestly pretty disappointed in his role here. That's the one sore spot of this movie for me. But even that is smothered out by there still being plenty of villanous energy going around in some other key characters.

[solaris]

1 hour ago, Daxtreme said:

$11M was horrible

 

$12M - looks like EVERYTHING is back on the menu boys?!

 

Am I doing BOT correctly

$11m

 

$12m

 

 

[ando]

We got the Furiosa trailer before our showing and damn, it really hits on that IMAX screen with the sound. 

[eddyxx]

2 hours ago, JustLurking said:

We're barack

 

 

 

 

 

 

[ozardvark]

10 minutes ago, ando said:

We got the Furiosa trailer before our showing and damn, it really hits on that IMAX screen with the sound. 

Saw it with the Dune re-release and it looked like they've significantly improved the CGI. Looked incredible. 

[MovieMan89]

12 previews is the absolute best case scenario that could have ever happened here, and should be seen as a massive win. The insane reviews and box office desert likely helped a ton. As I’ve said over and over, this is a franchise that simply will not appeal to a huge GA 4 quad audience no matter what. There is a very definite cap with these movies. Now we wait and see how frontloaded it will or won’t be.