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Mockingjay Raphael

Jurassic World OS | 1.015B OS | 1.667B WW | China 228m, United Kingdom 100.5m, Japan 74.8m

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I see 800m+ OS totally happening.

 

After the spectacular performance in North America, I find it hard to believe this movie cannot hit $1B OS. Especially when we are talking about rampaging dins which does not require further translation internationally

Edited by zackzack
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Friday was the biggest ever for any movie internationally with 58.4m. Saturday will set record again, 90m would be amazing but it may not happen as 21 markets just opened Friday where Sat increases will be muted.

 

Still think 700~800m OS depending on legs (and weekend actuals).

 

Seems JW just overperforming in US/CA with a relatively low OS ratio in these days. 460~500/740~800 meaning just 62% OS ratio.

Let's not downplay $700 million+ internationally.

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My Jurassic World Predictions:

 

UBER-BLOCKBUSTER PERFORMANCE:

 

~ Domestic: $475 - 500 million

~ OS: $1.1 - 1.3 billion

~ WW: $1.575 billion - $1.8 billion

 

BLOCKBUSTER PERFORMANCE:

 

~ Domestic: $450 - 475 million

~ OS: $900 million - 1.1 billion

~ WW: $1.35 billion - $1.475 billion

 

UNDER BLOCKBUSTER PERFORMANCE:

 

~ Domestic: $400 - 450 million

~ OS: $800 - 900 million

~ WW: $1.2 - 1.35 billion

 

I don't see any way whatsoever, unless WOM is terrible and audience reception is in the negatives that this film does not pass the billion mark.  I think it has a chance at hitting $500 million domestically IF demand is as high as people make it out to be and OS should help it reach the ceiling.  My best bet is around $1.3 - 1.5 billion WW. 

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Unlikely is my bet too.  FF7 opened to 250m overseas without China and Russia, and its 5-day opening in China was 160m from Sun-Th which from what I understand is a weaker 5-day opening than JW has.  Closest you can get to an apples-to-apples comparison would put FF7 at about $575m total 5-day worldwide debut.

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