Lordmandeep Posted May 8, 2016 Share Posted May 8, 2016 I think we all agree 800 million is the floor though? We are talking if it goes 10 million over or 100 million more ? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
James Posted May 8, 2016 Share Posted May 8, 2016 24 minutes ago, TalismanRing said: To only make $800m O/S it would need to do about $80-100m under IM3 in all non China markets and I don't see that happening even with the lower exchange rate It made $220m this w/e. I really don't think it's only going to do another $300m off of that. BvS made about another $300m off a $242m opening and it dropped like a rock in most markets with about a 1.65 multiplier in China and I think even worse in Russia. Of those 220m, almost 100 was just China. It will make another 100m there. So just 124m from the other countries and that includes a bunch of new openers.That means it needs another 200m+ from the other territories. It will likely get that, but much more might prove difficult considering it already opened everywhere. That, and the fact that X-Men opens everywhere except for US, China and Japan in 9 days. So it only had this next week to recover before it gets hit by competition. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
movieboner Posted May 8, 2016 Share Posted May 8, 2016 They should've called it Iron Man: Civil War, and watch it break box office records. Captain America isn't that popular. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lordmandeep Posted May 8, 2016 Share Posted May 8, 2016 I think the fact its doing 800 million overseas is fine. However it is true Ultron was as Good as Civil War then well woh.. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
23IsEverywhere Posted May 8, 2016 Share Posted May 8, 2016 About Europe, yes the drops were bad, but not only is it in its second weekend and thus the worse drops on this weekend then holdovers, but also good weather has a much bigger impact on box office in Europe than in the US. I wouldn't be surprised if CW has <10% drops in Europe next week. 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
John Marston Posted May 8, 2016 Share Posted May 8, 2016 The movie will be frontloaded and there is nothing wrong with that. Since at this point most of the audience is set 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blaze Heatnix Posted May 9, 2016 Share Posted May 9, 2016 Overseas drops were less noticeable, because China's huge numbers managed to mask the other drops. Given the fact that there's no new market to open, we'll have a better idea about the drops during the next weekend. I think we might have Iron Man 3 final numbers as CW final worlwide grosses. 1.2 billion worldwide is my bet. Numbers are unpredictable and we also have X-Men Apocalypse soon. So, let's wait for the long haul. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
newbie BO buff Posted May 9, 2016 Share Posted May 9, 2016 I am now calling it 834 million to 1.04 billion OS. Add 489 million domestic to a WW total between 1.32-1.53 billion Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MattW Posted May 9, 2016 Share Posted May 9, 2016 Removing China: IM3 #1: 198 IM3 #2: 436 AoU #1: 200 AoU #2: 440 Cap3 #1: 200 Cap3 #2: 401 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TommyA10 Posted May 9, 2016 Share Posted May 9, 2016 4 hours ago, newbie BO buff said: I am now calling it 834 million to 1.04 billion OS. Add 489 million domestic to a WW total between 1.32-1.53 billion That's way too high... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FilmBuff Posted May 9, 2016 Share Posted May 9, 2016 7 hours ago, TommyA10 said: That's way too high... Not really. This film could do 1.35 billion. That's a legitimate number. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
newbie BO buff Posted May 9, 2016 Share Posted May 9, 2016 (edited) 7 hours ago, TommyA10 said: That's way too high... Just playing with the numbers. Putting in the OW estimate of 181.8 mil in my spreadsheet, giving it fairly standard weekend drops and weekly multipliers, I end up with 490 mil domestic finish. Then I just apply Dom:OS ratio. 37:63 gives WW of 1.324 bil 32:68 gives WW of 1.531 bil Domestic 489,918,259 37% Overseas 834,185,144 63% Worldwide 1,324,103,402 Domestic 489,918,259 32% Overseas 1,041,076,300 68% Worldwide 1,530,994,559 It currently stands at 27:73, as per BOM Edited May 9, 2016 by newbie BO buff Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
fmpro Posted May 9, 2016 Share Posted May 9, 2016 11 hours ago, newbie BO buff said: I am now calling it 834 million to 1.04 billion OS. Add 489 million domestic to a WW total between 1.32-1.53 billion Why do you need a 206 mill prediction range 10 days after OW and 100% of markets in works?? If you want to "call" you have to be more precise.. That "prediction" is on the high side and everything over 950 mill is next to impossible atp... Maybe even 900 mill.. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
fmpro Posted May 9, 2016 Share Posted May 9, 2016 18 minutes ago, FilmBuff said: Not really. This film could do 1.35 billion. That's a legitimate number. No its not.. You think it can do 1,35B OS???? That just crazy talk Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
fmpro Posted May 9, 2016 Share Posted May 9, 2016 11 minutes ago, newbie BO buff said: Just playing with the numbers. Putting in the OW estimate of 181.8 mil in my spreadsheet, giving it fairly standard weekend drops and weekly multipliers, I end up with 490 mil domestic finish. Then I just apply Dom:OS ratio. 37:63 gives WW of 1.324 bil 32:68 gives WW of 1.531 bil Domestic 489,918,259 37% Overseas 834,185,144 63% Worldwide 1,324,103,402 Domestic 489,918,259 32% Overseas 1,041,076,300 68% Worldwide 1,530,994,559 It currently stands at 27:73, as per BOM Not to give you a hard time or be rude but LOL... 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
newbie BO buff Posted May 9, 2016 Share Posted May 9, 2016 5 minutes ago, fmpro said: Why do you need a 206 mill prediction range 10 days after OW and 100% of markets in works?? If you want to "call" you have to be more precise.. That "prediction" is on the high side and everything over 950 mill is next to impossible atp... Maybe even 900 mill.. because I'm a newbie? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
newbie BO buff Posted May 9, 2016 Share Posted May 9, 2016 2 minutes ago, fmpro said: Not to give you a hard time or be rude but LOL... I am actually quite amused .... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
fmpro Posted May 9, 2016 Share Posted May 9, 2016 4 minutes ago, newbie BO buff said: because I'm a newbie? You must be Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
fmpro Posted May 9, 2016 Share Posted May 9, 2016 3 minutes ago, newbie BO buff said: I am actually quite amused .... Good for you Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FilmBuff Posted May 9, 2016 Share Posted May 9, 2016 Fmpro I meant 1.35 billion WW. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
