HeyItsMoses Posted December 20, 2015 Share Posted December 20, 2015 14 minutes ago, Fullbuster said: I really hope it can beat Avatar DOM, that would be a fitting end! Avatar is going down, easily. I mean, if it opens with, lets say, $235m and plays like the shitty prequel movies... TPM: $1,562,854,572 AOTC: $887,378,283 ROTS: $824,114,838 or if you look at the average multiplier of the top 10 December openings, and worst and best legs, you get... Average: $1,131,545,858 Best Case: $2,287,490,326 (Avatar multiplier...never happening, but one can wish. :P) Worst Case: $780,356,514 (IAL multiplier) What I'm trying to say is, in my opinion, Avatar is going down. If The Phantom Menace was able to do well, and it was soo shitty, what makes you think that a great quality star wars film can't have amazing legs? 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HeyItsMoses Posted December 20, 2015 Share Posted December 20, 2015 10 minutes ago, Mango said: Maybe percentage wise, until you actually look at the numbers and see that it made $120 million over Christmas weekend. Yeah, percentage wise, the drop is going to look really bad, but if we take the previews out, maybe it won't look so bad? I mean, JW dropped nearly 50% (49%). It would look bad (percentage wise) if it has the same fate. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baumer Posted December 20, 2015 Share Posted December 20, 2015 I'm giving SW a 40% drop next weekend because Christmas Day is going to be insane. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baumer Posted December 20, 2015 Share Posted December 20, 2015 You know what, we can all speculate until the cows come home but the bottom line is the next 10 week days are going to play like summer weekdays but the difference the weekends will play like Christmas weekends...so just for arguments sake: 247 weekend off a 57 mill Sunday: Let's just say it follows something like 2010 Monday: 37 Tuesday: 36 Wednesday: 36 Thurs: 25 Christmas Day: 50 Sat: 60 Sun: 48 And that's not unrealistic. That's 540 million by the end of Christmas weekend. 8 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cory Posted December 20, 2015 Share Posted December 20, 2015 Rth always knows how to excite me on a Sunday morning 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Stingray Posted December 20, 2015 Share Posted December 20, 2015 14 minutes ago, Baumer Fett said: I'm giving SW a 40% drop next weekend because Christmas Day is going to be insane. lol I'd be happy with a 50% drop, but I hope you're right. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lordmandeep Posted December 20, 2015 Share Posted December 20, 2015 I would say Disney will stay conservative and say 50 million for Sunday for -26% drop and 238 million weekend. As of now Sunday business seems epic with JW and TA, but I think late sunday business like past 9-10 pm seems rather soft so I say 55 million Sunday for it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Moviefanatic Posted December 20, 2015 Share Posted December 20, 2015 Very impressive Saturday number if true. Being able to basically match JW and TA1 after burning off 120 million and dealing with the Christmas shopping period. Cannot wait to see what type of numbers it pulls during the week and especially Christmas Day! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Elessar Posted December 20, 2015 Share Posted December 20, 2015 1 hour ago, terrestrial said: In case you forgot ( I think you know that usually) Sunday in the US are not to compare with our country, especially not Sunday before X-Mas. Unlike ours, their stores are open. The Sunday before (and the one after) Christmas usually has better drops than the Sundays even in the thick of the summer, because plenty of people don't have to work or go to school the following Monday. In other words, they are somewhat inflated. Whether stores are open or not, that's what the numbers tell. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lordmandeep Posted December 20, 2015 Share Posted December 20, 2015 So anyone notice this almost beat AOU opening with Friday and Sat numbers only. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KATCH-2D2 Posted December 20, 2015 Share Posted December 20, 2015 1 hour ago, Rth said: lets go for 68-69 Sounds good to me. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
4815162342 Posted December 20, 2015 Share Posted December 20, 2015 8 hours ago, CJ Ren said: I am afraid to watch Jessica Jones now. Jessica Jones has the best MCU villain though. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
peludo Posted December 20, 2015 Share Posted December 20, 2015 23 minutes ago, Baumer Fett said: You know what, we can all speculate until the cows come home but the bottom line is the next 10 week days are going to play like summer weekdays but the difference the weekends will play like Christmas weekends...so just for arguments sake: 247 weekend off a 57 mill Sunday: Let's just say it follows something like 2010 Monday: 37 Tuesday: 36 Wednesday: 36 Thurs: 25 Christmas Day: 50 Sat: 60 Sun: 48 And that's not unrealistic. That's 540 million by the end of Christmas weekend. $158m second weekend... it would be absurdly great. Avatar could be done after 3rd weekend and billion would be in play. And the most absurd thing is that it could happen. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoolioD1 Posted December 20, 2015 Share Posted December 20, 2015 thread grew less than 25 pages overnight? I thought this forum was full of star wars fans but I guess not. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chewy Posted December 20, 2015 Share Posted December 20, 2015 Just now, CoolioD1 said: thread grew less than 25 pages overnight? I thought this forum was full of star wars fans but I guess not. I know, I read through all the pages for once. Well, skimmed past them. I assume the forum kept shitting the bed, it's been doing that all weekend Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chewy Posted December 20, 2015 Share Posted December 20, 2015 Also it would be funny if the number is 69. Because, I don't know if you guys know this or not, but 69 is a sex number. So it's funny 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yandereprime101189 Posted December 20, 2015 Share Posted December 20, 2015 Went to see this Friday (absolutely loved the film) and it was packed. My God, the lines. . . . Overjoyed that it's blowing up the box office Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mango Posted December 20, 2015 Share Posted December 20, 2015 34 minutes ago, Baumer Fett said: You know what, we can all speculate until the cows come home but the bottom line is the next 10 week days are going to play like summer weekdays but the difference the weekends will play like Christmas weekends...so just for arguments sake: 247 weekend off a 57 mill Sunday: Let's just say it follows something like 2010 Monday: 37 Tuesday: 36 Wednesday: 36 Thurs: 25 Christmas Day: 50 Sat: 60 Sun: 48 And that's not unrealistic. That's 540 million by the end of Christmas weekend. $150 million second weekend? Ballsy, but I like it. If that did happen I think $1 billion domestic is definitely going down. As of right now I think we're gunning for $800 million or so. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
terrestrial Posted December 20, 2015 Share Posted December 20, 2015 1 hour ago, Dan9 said: I'm all out of likes. BUT I LIKE THIS VERY MUCH. Gold Account (monthly pay = $15/month) 500 "Likes" a Day Ad-Free Viewing Custom Avatar Custom Member Title Custom Signature Personal Blog Ability to send Private Chats to members in Chat Room Access to Special Forum Upload Images to Gallery Add Events to Community Calender PM Box Increased to 150 Premium Account (monthly pay = $10/month) 150 "Likes" Per Day Ad-Free Viewing Custom Avatar Custom Member Title Custom Signature Personal Blog Ability to send Private Chats to members in Chat Room Add Events to Community Calender Special Forum Access PM Box Increased to 100 Silver Account (monthly pay = $8/month) 100 "Likes" a Day Ad-Free Viewing Custom Avatar Ability to send Private Chats to members in Chat Room Custom Member Title PM Box Increased to 75 Copper Account (monthly pay = $5/month) Ad-Free 75 likes/day Custom Avatar Ability to send Private Chats to members in Chat Room All account types have a reduced per year ammount FOR THE MOMENT (sales promotion?) example Copper: $50/year I've nerver ever run out of likes with 'my' 500 per 24h (rolling?) allowed 10 minutes ago, Elessar said: The Sunday before (and the one after) Christmas usually has better drops than the Sundays even in the thick of the summer, because plenty of people don't have to work or go to school the following Monday. In other words, they are somewhat inflated. Whether stores are open or not, that's what the numbers tell. I didn't spoke about drops / percentages, I spoke about usual BOs for the 'Advent Samstage und Sonntage'. If their Sundays are open too and tons of people use is e.g. for buying gifts the drops are maybe nice, but the results far deeper / worse than in the summer, see my post with the examples. I mean Avatar on #76 of all of the best Saturdays of all time? And so on. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
terrestrial Posted December 20, 2015 Share Posted December 20, 2015 9 minutes ago, CoolioD1 said: thread grew less than 25 pages overnight? I thought this forum was full of star wars fans but I guess not. 7 minutes ago, Chewy said: I know, I read through all the pages for once. Well, skimmed past them. I assume the forum kept shitting the bed, it's been doing that all weekend Forum was several times down... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
