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Wednesday Numbers: SS $4.1M (Guru)

By Nova, in Numbers and Data

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a2k Global Phenomenon

a2k

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BOURNE 5

2016/08/12 4 $3,874,260 +73% 3,528 $1,098   $117,036,605 15
2016/08/13 4 $5,921,860 +53% 3,528 $1,679   $122,958,465 16
2016/08/14 4 $4,050,755 -32% 3,528 $1,148   $127,009,220 17
2016/08/15 4 $1,432,150 -65% 3,528 $406   $128,441,370 18
2016/08/16 5 $1,887,320 +32% 3,528 $535   $130,328,690 19
2016/08/17 - $1,359,100 -28% 3,528 $385   $131,687,790 20

 

TREK 3

2016/08/05 5 $2,634,319 +25% 3,263 $807   $120,335,683 15
2016/08/06 5 $4,272,247 +62% 3,263 $1,309   $124,607,930 16
2016/08/07 5 $3,129,464 -27% 3,263 $959   $127,737,394 17
2016/08/08 5 $1,204,959 -61% 3,263 $369   $128,942,353 18
2016/08/09 5 $1,526,273 +27% 3,263 $468   $130,468,626 19
2016/08/10 5 $1,243,789 -19% 3,263 $381   $131,712,415 20
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JohnnyGossamer Global Phenomenon

JohnnyGossamer

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11 minutes ago, a2knet said:

BOURNE 5

2016/08/12 4 $3,874,260 +73% 3,528 $1,098   $117,036,605 15
2016/08/13 4 $5,921,860 +53% 3,528 $1,679   $122,958,465 16
2016/08/14 4 $4,050,755 -32% 3,528 $1,148   $127,009,220 17
2016/08/15 4 $1,432,150 -65% 3,528 $406   $128,441,370 18
2016/08/16 5 $1,887,320 +32% 3,528 $535   $130,328,690 19
2016/08/17 - $1,359,100 -28% 3,528 $385   $131,687,790 20

 

TREK 3

2016/08/05 5 $2,634,319 +25% 3,263 $807   $120,335,683 15
2016/08/06 5 $4,272,247 +62% 3,263 $1,309   $124,607,930 16
2016/08/07 5 $3,129,464 -27% 3,263 $959   $127,737,394 17
2016/08/08 5 $1,204,959 -61% 3,263 $369   $128,942,353 18
2016/08/09 5 $1,526,273 +27% 3,263 $468   $130,468,626 19
2016/08/10 5 $1,243,789 -19% 3,263 $381   $131,712,415 20

What a battle. Looking like Damon will come out on top eventually though.

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narniadis Blockbuster

narniadis

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17 minutes ago, a2knet said:
    Movie Distributor Gross Change Thtrs. Per Thtr. Total Gross Days
- (5) Jason Bourne Universal $1,359,100 -28% 3,528 $385   $131,687,790 20
- (6) The Secret Life of Pets Universal $1,065,050 -35% 2,958 $360   $340,004,180 41

 

SLOP will overtake ZOOTP on Friday

 

Makes me sad but also makes me happy at the same time since the further it gets from my Summer Game prediction the worse off I am lol

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narniadis Blockbuster

narniadis

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2 minutes ago, TalismanRing said:

 

More like the one two punch of Bourne & SS.  If they released Trek a week or two earlier, last week or this week it would probably have fared much better.

I still can't believe they didn't delay it or move it up - that July date was suicide and it cost them 20-30m (IMO) of course the terrible first trailer didn't help either.

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parkerthegreat Cult Classic

parkerthegreat

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10 minutes ago, JohnnyGossamer said:

What a battle. Looking like Damon will come out on top eventually though.

 

I think it takes over STB today and doesn't look back. Too little competition. Which is a shame, STB was a good movie. 

 

SS dropped a little harder than I expected, but it seems like these -30 to -35s on Wednesdays are becoming more commonplace thanks to Crazy Discount Tuesday. In addition, I don't know if it's just me, but it seems like Thursdays have been sliding harder this summer than usual, even with what feels like less big event movies. Is this an effect of those 7 pm previews that are becoming more prevalent, or is it possible that Tuesday is causing steeper slides throughout the week as it's pulling more ticket sales away from those other week days? I almost feel like Tuesdays are simply shifting around incomes, not necessarily drumming up more business for movies. The one exception I'll make to that comment is poorly reviewed movies that people wouldn't spend full price on period (Nine Lives and IA5 come to mind as good examples of this).

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RamblinRed Box Office Gold

RamblinRed

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The JW/IO may have been my most fav to watch. How close they were in numbers every week was just so insane.

TFA's numbers were so ridiculous.

 

SS is sort of an interesting case because after BvS it felt like it became more important to WB to get a well received hit.

Realistically, it is probably a break even film in the theaters - though it should make money will all the ancillary revenues.

Production budget was listed at 175MM. Might be more than that given the re-shoots and editing but stick with that number. There was a great article in the Wall Street Journal last December talking about TFA's marketing budget. It mentioned that TFA's marketing budget for Disney was actually below average for a tentpole because they had so many tie-ins where partners were paying for the marketing. It said $100-125MM in marketing from Disney. Said tentpoles tended to be $150-200MM WW marketing. Put those together and you (175 + 150-200) get 325-375MM total cost. Given 55% of DOM revenue and 45% of Intl revenue and current projections and you are looking at WB getting 310-325MM in revenue. So probably somewhere close to breakeven.

 

There was one article stating WB would be happy if it could make 750-800MM WW. it clearly will come up about 100MM short of that.

 

I still think it legs out to 300MM given you still have Labor Day weekend. Summer Weekdays help. it was $38MM behind BvS entering Monday, it should cut into that this week. Just feels like 305-310 final.

Likely could have had DP numbers if WB had delivered a movie that was more well reviewed by critics and GA. But 300 is still 300.

 

 

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RamblinRed Box Office Gold

RamblinRed

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SLoP's run amazes me. I thought it was a good bet to finish the summer 2nd behind FD, but overtaking IO I would never have guessed. i saw it last weekend with my son. it's ok, but nothing great - definately the weakest of the animated movies i've seen this year by far. But the kids just eat it up.

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Blaze Heatnix Box Office Gold

Blaze Heatnix

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23 minutes ago, Brainiac5 said:

507ww so far

 

http://deadline.com/2016/08/suicide-squad-crosses-500-million-worldwide-box-office-1201805484/

 

 

Variety says 509 million ( same number said by Forbes ), but it's still aamzing. :)

 

http://variety.com/2016/film/news/suicide-squad-box-office-worldwide-500-million-1201840236/

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DAJK Global Phenomenon

DAJK

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While somewhat on the subject of insane BO runs, how do you guys think predictions for Episode 8 will change if a) rogue one massively underperformsnand does sub 300M domestically or b ) massively over performs and does 700-800M+

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TalismanRing Global Phenomenon

TalismanRing

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Just now, DAJK said:

While somewhat on the subject of insane BO runs, how do you guys think predictions for Episode 8 will change if a) rogue one massively underperformsnand does sub 300M domestically or b ) massively over performs and does 700-800M+

 

I don't think it much matter since they're different timelines and characters.  It's the same universe but very separate - like Deadpool having no effect on Apocalypse.

 

Episode VII was so huge that looking at sequels to mega blockbusters it's bound to drop a good chunk regardless but still be enormous.

 

 

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The Fast and the Furiosa Sleeper Hit

The Fast and the Furiosa

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8 minutes ago, DAJK said:

While somewhat on the subject of insane BO runs, how do you guys think predictions for Episode 8 will change if a) rogue one massively underperformsnand does sub 300M domestically or b ) massively over performs and does 700-800M+

I don't think Rogue One is going to have much of an effect as noted already, different set of characters in a different place in time. What will be more important though are those early reviews.  If they come out saying that Episode 8 does something totally new/ is not a rehash of a previous movie, a lot of the fans that were disappointed in TFA's relatively unoriginal story direction will be willing to give the new trilogy another chance.  It wont break TFA's record, but it how close it can get remains to be seen.

Edited by The Fast and the Furiosa
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