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FlashMaster659

Tues #s (Asgard pg 136) R1 22.4 Sing 17.7 Pass 6 Moan 4.6 Ass 3.6 WH 3.4 Fen 3.1 LLL 2.6

By FlashMaster659, in Numbers and Data

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Jonwo Global Phenomenon

Jonwo

Posted
Posted (edited)
26 minutes ago, DamienRoc said:

 

It's probably fine. The upper range of predictions for it are dead, but it's going to cruise past 200m.

 

The only comparison film we have is Tintin, but that's already not good. Tintin was seeing better holds. So we can probably say that the ~3.9x from the 6-day that Tintin saw is probably the upper range for Sing. That's approximately 275m as a maximum total.

 

I never thought $300m was likely, $240-250m would still be brilliant for an original film. Not everything can be Minions or SLOP

 

The three day opening is the lowest Illumination opening since Hop but the six days is not far from Alvin 2's five day opening 

 

Edited by Jonwo
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terrestrial Global Phenomenon

terrestrial

Posted
Posted
 10 minutes ago

OFFICE CHRISTMAS PARTY earns $5M in the 3-Day Weekend. Official Estimates: $7M 4-Day Weekend, $44M Total

 

8 minutes ago

SILENCE opens to $125k from 4 Locations in the 3-Day Weekend, $170k Estimated in 4-Day Debut

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yjs Box Office Gold

yjs

Posted
Posted (edited)
42 minutes ago, miketheavenger said:

Is that good for Sing? Seems a little low especially since there's only one week of holidays left.

 

31 minutes ago, MrFanaticGuy34 said:

 

Whoa......$71M lower than The Secret Life of Pets's $104M 3-Day OW. Surprisingly the lowest 3-Day OW for an Illumination-film.

 

Although it doesn't really matter, since it's now at $71M DOM.

 

with Christmas eve falling on a Saturday $33M for a family film is VERY good. It'd probably gross about $55M~$60M more in the next couple of days from Tuesday to Thursday.

here are some other results (3-day grosses and multipliers) from movies that opened on Dec 21st in the years with the same date configuration (2005, 2011)

it's kinda long so I will hide it with a spoiler tag.

Spoiler

2005

Fun with Dick and Jane $14.4m FSS/$110.3m total (x7.66)

Cheaper by the Dozen 2 $9.3m FSS/$82.6m total (x8.88)

2011

The Girl with the Dragon Tattoo $12.8m FSS/$102.5m total (x8.01)

The Adventures of Tintin $9.7m FSS/$77.6m total (x8)

------------------------

and how some of the other family films performed:

2005

Harry Potter and the Goblet of Fire $3.9m FSS/$35.5m for the rest of its run from Dec. 21st (x9.1)

The Chronicles of Narnia $19.8m FSS/$169m for the rest of its run from Dec. 21st (x8.54)

2011

Alvin and the Chipmunks 3 $12.6m FSS/$103.6m for the rest of its run from Dec. 21st (x8.22)

-------------------------

and how the top-earning blockbusters with higher 3-day grosses performed:

 

2005

King Kong $21.3m FSS/$141m for the rest of its run from Dec. 21st (x6.62)

2011

Mission Impossible 4 $29.6m FSS/$192.4m for the rest of its run from Dec. 21st (x6.5)

Sherlock Holmes 2 $20.3m FSS/$137.1m for the rest of its run from Dec. 21st (x6.75)

-----------------------------

Sing is a family film so it would also have a 8 or higher multi but at the same time none of the family films from 2005 or 2011 had as high 3-day as Sing and if Sing behaves more like a usual blockbuster it would have a multi that is closer to 7, which still brings it to $230m+ total. with a roughly 7.6 multi it hits $250m.

 

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grim22 Global Phenomenon

grim22

Posted
Posted

1.) Rogue One  (DIS), 4,157 theaters / $22.8M Fri. (-67%) / $14.6M to $15.3M Sat. (-33%) / $32.2M Sun. (+110%) / 3-day cume: $70M (-55%) / 4-day: $106M to $112.4M / Total: $327M to $334.4M / Wk 2

2.) Sing (UNI), 4,022 theaters / $13.1M Fri. / $7.8M to $8.3M Sat. (-37%) / $13.3M Sun. (+60%) / 3-day cume: $33.1M to $34.7M / 4-day: $51M to $54M / Total: $71.5M to $74.5M / Wk 1

3.) Passengers  (SONY/VR), 3,478 theaters / $4.4M Fri. / $2.8M Sat. (-37%) / $5.6M to $6.6M Sun. (+100%) / 3-day cume: $12.8M to $13.4M / 4-day: $19.3M to $20M / Total: $26.6M to $28M / Wk 1

4/5). Assassin’s Creed  (FOX), 2,970 theaters / $3.7M Fri. / $2.2M Sat. (-40%) / $4.6M Sun. (+110%) / 3-day cume: $1o.5M to $10.7M / 4-day: $15.6M to $16.3M / Total: $23M+ / Wk 1

Why Him?  (FOX), 2,917 theaters / $3.9M Fri. (includes $975K previews) / $1.75M Sat. (-55%) / $4.1M Sun. (+135%) / 3-day cume: $9.7M to $10.9M / 4-day: $13.6M to $16M / Wk 1

6). Moana (DIS), 2,784 theaters (-803) / $2.8M (-9%) Fri. / $1.7M Sat. (-37%) / $2.5M Sun. (+45%) / 3-day cume: $7.2M (-44%) / 4-day: $11M+ / Total: $184M+ / Wk 5

7.) Office Christmas Party (PAR/DW), 2,679 theaters (-531) / $1.6M Fri. (-38%) / $968K to $980K Sat. (-41%) / $2.2M Sun. (+135%) / 3-day cume: $4.8M to $5M (-43%) / 4-day: $7M+ / Total: $44M+ / Wk 3

8). Collateral Beauty  (WB/NL), 3,028 theaters / $1.2M Fri. (-48%) / $807K Sat. (-35%) / $1.6M Sun. (+100%) / 3-day cume: $3.6M (-49%) / 4-day: $5.7M / Total: $16.7M / Wk 2

9). Fantastic Beasts…  (WB), 1,966 theaters (-1,070) / $1.1M Fri. (-15%) / $$698K to $720K Sat. (-37%) / $1.1M Sun. (+60%) / 3-day cume: $$2.8M to $3M (-41%) / 4-day: $4.6M to $4.8M / Total: $215.9M to $216.1M / Wk 6

10). Manchester by the Sea (RSA/AMZ) 1,213 theaters (+7) / $951K (-25%) Fri. / $606K Sat. (-36%) / $1.3M Sun. (+125%) / 3-day: $2.9M (-31%) / 4-day: $4.3M to $4.8M / Total: $19.9M to $21M / Wk 6

11). Dangal (UTV), 331 theaters / $896K Fri. / $1M Sat. (+15%) / $666K Sun. (-35%) / 3-day cume: $2.5M to $3.3M / 4-day: $3.2M to $4.4M / Total: $4.4M / Wk 1

Notables:


Patriots Day  (CBS/LG), 7 theaters / $53K Fri. / $34K (-35%) Sat. / $69K Sun. (+100%) / 3-day cume: $140 to $156K / 3-day PTA: $22K / 4-day: $229K / PTA: $32K / Total: $32K / Wk 1

La La Land (LG) 205 theaters (+5) / $977K Fri. / $815K Sat. (-16%) / Total: $9.67M

Silence  (PAR), 4 theaters / $64K Fri. / $23K Sat. (-64%) / $42K Sun. (+85%) / 3-day cume: $125K / 3-day PTA: $32K / 4-day: $153K to $170K / PTA: $43K / Wk 1

Fences (Par) 4 theaters / $26K Fri. / $22K Sat. (-16%) / Total: $240K / Wk 2

A Monster Calls (FOC), 4 theaters / $15K Fri. / $5K Sat. (-65%) / $9K Sun. (+70%) / 3-day cume: $30K / 3-day PTA: $7K / 4-day: $39K to $44K / PTA: $9K / Wk 1

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grim22 Global Phenomenon

grim22

Posted
Posted
1 minute ago, hw64 said:

These Deadline estimates are just their own projections, right?

 

They're differing a lot from the official estimates Boxoffice.com's Twitter is spitting out.

 

Saturday numbers are official, Sunday are projections.

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POTUS 2020 Blockbuster

POTUS 2020

Posted
Posted
1 hour ago, titanic2187 said:

I'm just so concern about domestic ticket sales, I kind of hope pass and creed do well so that the 2015 record will down, China is picking up quickly now in box office sales ,so domestic has to rise!

China BO growth is dead flat now. Will stay under $7B.  Won't near domestic for a decade+ .

 

Creed not going to perform as well as last years Creed but this year's BO will have last year beat by $100m+ np. 

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babz06 Box Office Gold

babz06

Posted
Posted
11 minutes ago, yjs said:

 

 

with Christmas eve falling on a Saturday $33M for a family film is VERY good. It'd probably gross about $55M~$60M more in from Tuesday to Thursday.

here are some other results (3-day grosses and multipliers) from movies that opened on Dec 21st in the years with the same date configuration (2005, 2011)

it's kinda long so I will hide it with a spoiler tag.

  Reveal hidden contents

 

If we go by 7-8x multi:

Passengers:95-108m total

Assassins Creed:75-85m total

Why Him: 76-87m total

 

 

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hw64 Sleeper Hit

hw64

Posted
Posted
1 minute ago, MattW said:

Every Monday holiday we get 3-day estimates and 4-day estimates on Sunday morning. It's normal.

We'll get updated 3 and 4 day estimates tomorrow morning, and then actuals on Tuesday

 

Yes, but Deadline's 3 and 4-day projections don't match with the ones Boxoffice.com is currently tweeting.

 

We usually get official 3 and 4-day estimates around this time from either boxoffice.com or the ERCboxoffice twitter, but this time Deadline have posted (what seems to be) their own projections first.

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filmlover Cinematic Universe

filmlover

Posted
Posted
3 minutes ago, Jake Gittes said:

That's a bizarre Saturday collapse for Silence. 

Movie theaters usually close early on Christmas Eve and a movie as long as Silence probably had its last show around 6 or so. Today will be a rebound for it though.

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