The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo

[Cap]

1 minute ago, keysersoze123 said:

Final day jump is big. Shows are filling up. 20m+ previews is locked. i could even see 25m previews at this point. bumping up my OW prediction to 210m.

 

@captainwondyful my final update for Empire 25 as 1st shows start. I will be on the move and so may not be able to capture final updates for all the shows.

 

  Reveal hidden contents

AMC Empire 25

Dolby: 205/225 (6PM), 216/225 (9PM), 103/225 (12AM)
Imax - 261/303 (10PM)
3D: 193/309 (A14 630PM), 110/309 (A9 7PM), 61/262 (A17 730PM),67/158 (A6 8PM), 46/309 (A14 930PM), 21/309 (A9 10PM), 23/262 (A17 1030PM), 6/158 (A6 11PM), 8/126(A3 1130PM)

2D: 214/377(A13 6PM), 61/99(A16 610PM), 58/99(A22 620PM), 50/99(A24 640PM), 33/121(A15 650PM), 54/146(A7 710PM), 69/145(A25 720PM)  79/144(A20 740PM),32/142(A19 750PM), 58/134(A5 810PM), 22/126(A3 820PM), 53/262(A12 830PM), 14/122(A10 840PM), 12/111(A21 850PM), 43/99(A16 910PM), 16/377(A13 915PM),20/99(A22 920PM), 12/99(A24 940PM), 12/121(A15 950PM), 12/146(A7 1010PM), 9/145 (A25 1020PM), 22/144(A20 1040PM), 8/142(A19 1050PM), 16/134 (A5 1110PM),  18/262(A12 1120PM), 7/122 (A10 1140PM), 8/121(A21 1150PM)

 

 

God sent!!!!

 

okau. So just ls13 and cm for me. HUGE RELIEF!!

[JB33]

Beauty and the Beast (2017) had a 10.72 multi from previews. I'm assuming in today's climate we can't compare to that, right? What do you think @Porthos? @Charlie Jatinder? @captainwondyful? @Rthhome(worth a shot)?

[JB33]

Out of reacts but ya'll know how much I appreciate all the effort in this thread.

[keysersoze123]

One thing I found scanning multiple cities is that this is playing well almost everywhere I checked. That should help it hit gargantuan gross. I am curious how WOm would be. if that is great Jurassic World DOM and WW could happen.

[Menor the Destroyer]

7 minutes ago, JB33 said:

Beauty and the Beast (2017) had a 10.72 multi from previews. I'm assuming in today's climate we can't compare to that, right? What do you think @Porthos? @Charlie Jatinder? @captainwondyful? @Rthhome(worth a shot)?

Presales for Friday are really strong, looking like they will be well over CM and possibly it will go for a 60+ Friday, from that I'd say weekend would be in the 200 million range which would be about a 9.8x multi from say 20.5 million previews. That would be my guess.

[TalismanRing]

8 hours ago, TalismanRing said:

My NYC Local

 

TLK (12 showings - 4 in the dreaded slowest selling  3D) as of  7pm WED

557/3228 = 17.26%  (July 17)

 

2.39 x 233 of TS4 (Wed -7:40pm)

 

I'll update this later this afternoon but from a look it seems to be filling up.  They just changed one of the 3Ds to a larger auditorium even though those are selling the slowest. - a clue they think walk ups will fill it.    That's typical of this location though (40%+ of AEG was 3D b/c they knew the seats would eventually sell).  This theater only converted to full reserve seating this last year and for the overwhelming majority of films is still very heavily walk up based.   

 

OUATIH has sold 29 tickets over two showings for Thur previews

H&S have sold 33 over 4 showings including 2 RPX

NYC Local as of 6pm (except for the Fan Event when I stopped counting around 4:40pm)

 

TLK (7/18 6:PM)

 

RPX
(6pm) 165/320  
(9pm) 128 /320

2D
(6:30pm) 210/301
(7:30pm)  144/257
(8:30pm) 136/255
(9:30pm) 99/301
(10:30pm) 37/257

3D

(7pm)  70/301
(8pm) 64/205  
(10pm) 37 /301  
(11pm) 28/205  

FAN EVENT
(5pm) 130/205

1248/3228 =38.66%

 

So far a 120% increase from yesterday at 7pm. 

 

Sorry, no comps for Aladdin or TS3 for Thur

 

FWTW: Thursday 3:30 - 4:30pm comps

 

4.588x X-Men 6: 272/942 = 28.87%

6.12 x Godz2: 204 / 2150 = 9.488%

6.67 x  Shazam!: 187 / 2229 = 8.3%   

Edited July 18, 2019 by TalismanRing

[FlashMaster659]

Grace us, @Deep Wang!

[JB33]

5 minutes ago, Menor said:

Presales for Friday are really strong, looking like they will be well over CM and possibly it will go for a 60+ Friday, from that I'd say weekend would be in the 200 million range which would be about a 9.8x multi from say 20.5 million previews. That would be my guess.

Thank you! Knew I forgot a name in my inquiry.

[Porthos]

1 hour ago, Menor said:

Out of curiosity what would a CM comp yield?

Mid-Day?

 

21m almost on the nose.

 

1.0159x Captain Marvel at mid-day check. [21.03m]

[xiazhi]

41 minutes ago, Biggestgeekever said:

$20M+ previews are indeed looking good

Is this reported somewhere?

[FlashMaster659]

Just thought of something. Because we have that Fandango data point out, somebody can dig up the old Pulse data from earlier in this thread to get a ballpark of how TLK could be doing if it was still up.

[Menor the Destroyer]

17 minutes ago, FlashMaster659 said:

Just thought of something. Because we have that Fandango data point out, somebody can dig up the old Pulse data from earlier in this thread to get a ballpark of how TLK could be doing if it was still up.

I was thinking about that but since we don't know the daily distributions it's basically useless, plus the distance between CM and EG is enormous so it's not really that helpful

[FlashMaster659]

1 minute ago, Menor said:

I was thinking about that but since we don't know the daily distributions it's basically useless, plus the distance between CM and EG is enormous so it's not really that helpful

Yeah the one comp I had thought of possibly trying to get a feel for was I2. I feel like if TLK is outpacing CM on Fandango, it could be far ahead of I2.

[Cap]

I got all the screenshots of LS13 and Cinemagic. Probably won’t have a chance to do the comps in a chart before a number comes in. 

 

Super strong. Still thinking 20M. The late shows are still dead. 

[Menor the Destroyer]

23 minutes ago, FlashMaster659 said:

Yeah the one comp I had thought of possibly trying to get a feel for was I2. I feel like if TLK is outpacing CM on Fandango, it could be far ahead of I2.

Oh definitely. But walkups will probably be worse than I2 though. That movie had incredible buzz.

[Old Spice]

Lion King report for Salt Lake City. Cinemark Sugarhouse Luxury 10, 14 showings, 1 3D. 4:40 PM Local time.

 

6:00 PM 97/107

6:30 PM 56/62

7:00 PM 50/62

7:15 PM 0/47

7:30 PM 41/48

8:00 PM 56/63

8:50 PM 27/104 (3D)

9:20 PM 44/62

9:50 PM 37/62

10:05 PM 0/46

10:30 PM 23/48

10:50 PM 26/62

11:15 PM 0/47

11:40 PM 29/104

Total 486/922 52.7%

 

261% of Det Pika = $142.4

189% of Aladdin = $173.7

481% of SLOP = $224.6

 

Lion King is on fire in SLC. Wish I had kept CM and EG comps because nothing else I've tracked in 2019 even comes close. What a historic year Disney is having. 

[Inceptionzq]

On 7/17/2019 at 4:53 PM, Inceptionzq said:

The Lion King Thursday Night Showings Denver Metro

 

AMC Westminster Promenade 24:

IMAX: 

7 PM – 146/411(+36)

10 PM – 17/411(+2)

Real D 3D:

6:30 PM – 17/48(+3)

7:10 PM – 13/48(+2)

9:25 PM – 0/48

10:05 PM – 0/48

Prime 3D:

7:30 PM – 105/187(+8)

10:30 PM – 9/187(+2)

Dolby:

6 PM- 171/217

9 PM – 135/217(+15)

11:50 PM – 26/217(+5)

2D: 

6 PM – 79/158(+12)

6 PM – 16/56

6:10 PM – 8/48

6:20 PM – 21/44(+9)

6:40 PM – 21/94(+7)

6:50 PM – 27/92(+5)

7:20 PM – 19/44(+2)

7:40 PM – 14/56

7:50 PM – 13/44(+11)

8 PM – 17/40(+5)

8:10 PM – 6/36(+2)

8:20 PM – 18/48(+4)

8:30 PM – 28/94(+8)

8:40 PM – 8/92(+6)

8:50 PM – 15/44(+15)

9:05 PM – 6/158

9:10 PM – 0/56

9:15 PM – 3/48(+3)

9:20 PM – 0/44

9:30 PM – 14/94(+5)

9:45 PM – 2/92(+2)

10:15 PM – 0/44

10:40 PM – 3/56

10:50 PM – 0/44

11 PM – 0/40

11:10 PM – 0/36

11:20 PM – 2/48

11:30 PM – 0/94

11:40 PM – 0/92

11:50 PM – 0/44

11:55 PM – 0/56

12:00 AM – 9/158(+4)

 

AMC Highlands Ranch 24:

IMAX: 

7 PM – 149/384(+16)

10 PM – 26/384

Real D 3D: 

6:30 PM – 36/85(+1)

7:30 PM – 9/52

9:30 PM – 0/85

10:30 PM – 2/52(+2)

Dolby: 

6 PM – 170/210(+22)

9 PM – 109/210(+11)

2D:

6 PM – 85/159(+5)

6:10 PM – 28/52(+10)

6:15 PM – 8/52

6:20 PM – 22/41(+3)

6:40 PM – 34/85(+5)

6:50 PM – 16/39

7:10 PM – 19/45(+8)

7:15 PM – 13/85(+9)

7:20 PM – 7/45(+3)

7:40 PM – 26/52

7:50 PM – 6/39(+6)

8 PM – 46/159(+7)

8:10 PM – 0/45

8:20 PM – 0/41

8:30 PM – 21/85(+4)

9:10 PM – 12/52(+4)

9:15 PM – 4/52

9:20 PM – 13/41(+2)

9:30 PM – 2/159(+2)

9:40 PM – 0/85

9:50 PM – 0/39

10:10 PM – 0/45

10:15 PM – 0/85

10:20 PM – 0/45

NEW 10:30 PM – 0/37

10:40 PM – 0/52

10:50 PM – 2/39

11 PM – 15/159(+4)

 

Total from 9 theaters(163 showings): 5111(+745)/20967(+37) (24.4%)

I was hoping for a bigger jump so it could pass 6500 tomorrow, not so sure about that now. Nonetheless, a good day.

 

The Lion King Thursday Night Showings Denver Metro

 

AMC Westminster Promenade 24:

IMAX:

7 PM – 194/411(+48)

10 PM – 48/411(+31)

Real D 3D:

6:30 PM – 25/48(+8)

7:10 PM – 18/48(+5)

9:25 PM – 5/48(+5)

10:05 PM – 3/48(+3)

Prime 3D:

7:30 PM – 126/187(+21)

10:30 PM – 29/187(+20)

Dolby:

6 PM- 173/217(+2)

9 PM – 155/217(+20)

11:50 PM – 43/217(+17)

2D:

6 PM – 111/158(+32)

6 PM – 40/56(+24)

6:10 PM – 23/48(+15)

6:20 PM – 21/44

6:40 PM – 53/94(+32)

6:50 PM – 50/92(+23)

7:20 PM – 30/44(+11)

7:40 PM – 41/56(+27)

7:50 PM – 20/44(+7)

8 PM – 21/40(+4)

8:10 PM – 15/36(+9)

8:20 PM – 26/48(+8)

8:30 PM – 42/94(+14)

8:40 PM – 22/92(+14)

8:50 PM – 22/44(+7)

9:05 PM – 32/158(+26)

9:10 PM – 8/56(+8)

9:15 PM – 3/48

9:20 PM – 0/44

9:30 PM – 17/94(+3)

9:45 PM – 6/92(+4)

10:15 PM – 11/44(+11)

10:40 PM – 3/56

10:50 PM – 5/44(+5)

11 PM – 2/40(+2)

11:10 PM – 0/36

11:20 PM – 2/48

11:30 PM – 5/94(+5)

11:40 PM – 0/92

11:50 PM – 0/44

11:55 PM – 0/56

12:00 AM – 11/158(+2)

 

AMC Highlands Ranch 24:

IMAX:

7 PM – 172/384(+23)

10 PM – 44/384(+18)

Real D 3D:

6:30 PM – 39/85(+3)

7:30 PM – 23/52(+14)

9:30 PM – 0/85

10:30 PM – 3/52(+1)

Dolby:

6 PM – 178/210(+8)

9 PM – 114/210(+5)

2D:

6 PM – 118/159(+33)

6:10 PM – 39/52(+11)

6:15 PM – 33/52(+25)

6:20 PM – 26/41(+4)

6:40 PM – 44/85(+10)

6:50 PM – 18/39(+2)

7:10 PM – 24/45(+5)

7:15 PM – 43/85(+30)

7:20 PM – 14/45(+7)

7:40 PM – 27/52(+1)

7:50 PM – 9/39(+3)

8 PM – 61/159(+15)

8:10 PM – 8/45(+8)

8:20 PM – 2/41(+2)

8:30 PM – 34/85(+13)

9:10 PM – 23/52(+11)

9:15 PM – 12/52(+8)

9:20 PM – 21/41(+8)

9:30 PM – 13/159(+11)

9:40 PM – 2/85(+2)

9:50 PM – 4/39(+4)

10:10 PM – 2/45(+2)

10:15 PM – 6/85(+6)

10:20 PM – 0/45

10:30 PM – 0/37

10:40 PM – 0/52

10:50 PM – 2/39

11 PM – 20/159(+5)

 

Total from 9 theaters(165 showings): 7587(+2476)/21067(+100) (36%)

Sooooooo….. this is absolutely insane! I can’t believe I doubted 6500 yesterday!

 

[VanillaSkies]

I know this is a little repetitive, but NYC is exploding in sales this evening. 
Any doubts I had about a 200 million OW are pretty much alleviated at this point. Things are already looking quite strong for tomorrow too. 
Even if WOM is mixed, I don't think it will affect OW at this point, just legs. But it could also be well received by GA anyways. Exciting weekend ahead!

[JB33]

I'm really hoping TLK can at least sneak into the top 5 opening weekends. I don't mind if Avengers and Stars Wars continue to occupy the top 4 spots but anything above $210M I'll be thrilled with.

[FlashMaster659]

3 hours ago, FlashMaster659 said:

 

The Lion King - AMC Ontario Mills 30 (Thursday Night)

 

Fan Event

 

5:00 PM - 159/167

 

Dolby Cinema

 

6:00 PM - 191/203

9:00 PM - 174/203

12:00 AM - 129/203

 

3D Dine-In

 

6:00 PM - 55/78

6:30 PM - 39/63

7:00 PM - 47/78

8:45 PM - 40/60

9:15 PM - 25/78

9:45 PM - 10/63

10:15 PM - 18/78

 

RealD 3D

 

6:15 PM - 33/55

7:30 PM - 22/167

8:00 PM - 19/114

9:00 PM - 17/79

10:30 PM - 5/167

12:00 AM NEW - 0/79

 

2D Dine-In

 

7:30 PM - 54/63

8:00 PM - 43/61

8:30 PM - 49/63

10:45 PM - 39/63

11:15 PM - 39/61

11:45 PM - 28/63

 

2D

 

6:00 PM - 35/44

6:15 PM - 34/55

6:30 PM - 166/217

6:45 PM - 27/44

7:00 PM - 60/79

7:15 PM - 24/44

7:45 PM - 26/44

8:00 PM - 26/45

8:15 PM - 128/167

8:30 PM (1) - 26/45

8:30 PM (2) - 82/114

8:45 PM - 26/44

9:00 PM - 28/49

9:15 PM - 24/44

9:30 PM (1) - 16/55

9:30 PM (2) - 27/55

9:45 PM - 61/217

10:00 PM (1) - 20/48

10:00 PM (2) NEW - 11/44

10:15 PM - 21/79

10:30 PM - 18/44

11:15 PM (1) - 4/45

11:15 PM (2) NEW - 8/114

11:30 PM - 20/167

11:45 PM (1) - 2/114

11:45 PM (2) NEW - 0/45

12:00 AM (1) NEW - 2/44

12:00 AM (2) NEW - 0/49

 

Total

 

2157(+419)/4464(+375) (48.3%)

 

1.4754x as many seats sold as Toy Story 4 mid-day of previews

0.5090x as many seats sold as Avengers: Endgame mid-day of previews

 

The Lion King - AMC Ontario Mills 30 (Thursday Night)

 

Fan Event

 

5:00 PM - 151/167

 

Dolby Cinema

 

6:00 PM - 187/203

9:00 PM - 179/203

12:00 AM - 136/203

 

3D Dine-In

 

6:00 PM - 57/78

6:30 PM - 38/63

7:00 PM - 48/78

8:45 PM - 41/60

9:15 PM - 30/78

9:45 PM - 11/63

10:15 PM - 23/78

 

RealD 3D

 

6:15 PM - 33/55

7:30 PM - 42/167

8:00 PM - 37/114

9:00 PM - 22/79

10:30 PM - 11/167

12:00 AM - 0/79

 

2D Dine-In

 

7:30 PM - 55/63

8:00 PM - 45/61

8:30 PM - 49/63

10:45 PM - 39/63

11:15 PM - 38/61

11:45 PM - 34/63

 

2D

 

6:00 PM - 40/44

6:15 PM - 33/55

6:30 PM - 169/217

6:45 PM - 26/44

7:00 PM - 60/79

7:15 PM - 25/44

7:45 PM - 26/44

8:00 PM - 30/45

8:15 PM - 131/167

8:30 PM (1) - 30/45

8:30 PM (2) - 84/114

8:45 PM - 26/44

9:00 PM - 31/49

9:15 PM - 22/44

9:30 PM (1) - 23/55

9:30 PM (2) - 31/55

9:45 PM - 83/217

10:00 PM (1) - 20/48

10:00 PM (2) - 15/44

10:15 PM - 26/79

10:30 PM - 20/44

11:15 PM (1) - 6/45

11:15 PM (2) - 12/114

11:30 PM - 29/167

11:45 PM (1) - 2/114

11:45 PM (2) - 0/45

12:00 AM (1) - 6/44

12:00 AM (2) - 0/49

 

Total

 

2312(+155)/4464 (51.8%)

 

1.3936x as many seats sold as Toy Story 4 at the stop of tracking