The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo

[Eric Prime]

Sonic the Hedgehog Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-14 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	37	78	6,898	1.13%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 11

 

Comp

0.650x of Maleficent 14 days before release (1.49M)

0.110x of Frozen II (939K)

2.000x of Dolittle (1.85M)

 

Actually really great day today. Complete shot in the dark, but I could see something like 3M+ previews at the way it's going, which would probably make 30M for the 3-Day the minimum.

[DAJK]

4 minutes ago, Eric #RIPKobe said:

Sonic the Hedgehog Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-14 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	37	78	6,898	1.13%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 11

 

Comp

0.650x of Maleficent 14 days before release (1.49M)

0.110x of Frozen II (939K)

2.000x of Dolittle (1.85M)

 

Actually really great day today. Complete shot in the dark, but I could see something like 3M+ previews at the way it's going, which would probably make 30M for the 3-Day the minimum.

I can't remember if it was @YourMother the Edgelord who said this first, but I wouldn't really be surprised at this point (as long as the movie isn't terrible) if Sonic has a Sponge Out of Water type run. 

[keysersoze123]

23 hours ago, keysersoze123 said:

Birds of Prey (T-8)

MTC1 - overall 1352 shows 10468/289438 185493.25 
MTC2 - overall 1255 shows 4171/222138 54589.73

 

FYI Empire is at 799/7910 (almost 80% of Joker). I will not say the numbers are great. But would like to see how PS goes as there are just 8 days to go. 

 

8m was not a prediction but just as aspiration based on what i saw at Empire. The OD  overall across 2 MTC does not indicate that big a previews. I dont have a prediction now with just 1 day of PS. 

Birds of Prey (T-7)

MTC1 - overall 1383 shows 15934/296559 280159.82 +5466
MTC2 - overall 1289 shows 5458/226009 71422.56 51649.77 +1287

 

No way to spin the fact that its underperforming at MTC2. Its strong in NYC/LA but seems to underperform elsewhere. That said I would rather have movies overperform in these markets as tickets are priced higher and so there is potential for higher previews. I still dont have any predictions at this point but its way below what I thought from initial start. 

 

FYI Empire 25 is at 939/7910(38 shows) and there the average ticket price is $20. 

[keysersoze123]

On 1/29/2020 at 9:27 PM, keysersoze123 said:

MTC1(T-1)

Gretel and Hansel  - overall 565 shows 3748/79344 48721.00  +1152
The Rhythm Section - overall 542 shows 3508/65309 46628.27 +1262

 

Another day where Rhythm had better increase but the numbers are still horrible. No change in predictions. 

 

 

Gretel and Hansel

MTC1 - overall 588 shows 11236/81925 141663.24 

MTC2 - overall 612 shows 6608/77719 74250.31

 

Seems to have overindexed at MTC1. I would say 0.5m previews. 

 

The Rhythm Section 

MTC1 - overall 562 shows 7295/67266 93871.32

MTC2 - overall 572 shows 2451/65678 27960.33

 

Same story as above. I would say 0.3m previews. 

[DAJK]

Rhythm Section is going under 5M lol. 

[Cooper Legion]

11 minutes ago, DAJK said:

Rhythm Section is going under 5M lol. 

Ride the Miss Bala multi to less than 3.33M 

[xiazhi]

BOP has 8 tickets sold in total in Cineplex Metropolis by the end of second day, which is unseen for a CBM. Let's hope walk-ups are not CBM-like.

Edited January 31, 2020 by xiazhi

[Madhuvan]

People need to remember that female fronted movies are generally pre-sale heavy. 

 

Beauty and the beast, Captain Marvel and Frozen 2 are the recent example. 

[lorddemaxus]

51 minutes ago, Madhuvan said:

People need to remember that female fronted movies are generally pre-sale heavy. 

 

Beauty and the beast, Captain Marvel and Frozen 2 are the recent example. 

All three opened to at least twice of what Birds of Prey will open to though and had much more hype before release (at least 100 mil trailer views in the first 24 hrs kind of hype). Birds of Prey is going to rely on WoM similar to Wonder Woman.

[YM!]

7 hours ago, DAJK said:

I can't remember if it was @YourMother the Edgelord who said this first, but I wouldn't really be surprised at this point (as long as the movie isn't terrible) if Sonic has a Sponge Out of Water type run. 

It was me.

[Menor the Destroyer]

8 hours ago, Jedi Jat said:

So when was MTC 3 started on board or are we skipping the 3?

My fault. But I may be able to finally get it soon.

[charlie Jatinder]

17 minutes ago, Menor said:

My fault. But I may be able to finally get it soon.

Naa take your time. There won't be a film worth tracking this year anyways.

[ZackM]

I could also get something running for MTC3, but their website is pretty brutal for tracking.  It would take forever to get data for a huge release.

[cdsacken]

2 hours ago, lorddemaxus said:

All three opened to at least twice of what Birds of Prey will open to though and had much more hype before release (at least 100 mil trailer views in the first 24 hrs kind of hype). Birds of Prey is going to rely on WoM similar to Wonder Woman.

It's word of mouth won't sniff that. She's a villian, hard to replicate the female empowerment of Wonder Woman.

[lorddemaxus]

21 minutes ago, cdsacken said:

It's word of mouth won't sniff that. She's a villian, hard to replicate the female empowerment of Wonder Woman.

I doubt it's going to replicate WW. I doubt it's going to replicate those three other movies either. 

Edited January 31, 2020 by lorddemaxus

[Madhuvan]

3 minutes ago, lorddemaxus said:

I doubt it's going to replicate WW. I doubt it's going to replicate those three other movies either. 

Don't know about your expectations. 

For me anything around Shazam Domestic and OS is huge win. 

Budget is only 85m, they will make a good profit. 

Just want Gotham City Sirens movie now. 

[Menor the Destroyer]

1 hour ago, ZackM said:

I could also get something running for MTC3, but their website is pretty brutal for tracking.  It would take forever to get data for a huge release.

Yeah but with Keyser getting daily comps for the others I figure running it once a week should be good enough for perspective.

[cdsacken]

1 hour ago, Madhuvan said:

Don't know about your expectations. 

For me anything around Shazam Domestic and OS is huge win. 

Budget is only 85m, they will make a good profit. 

Just want Gotham City Sirens movie now. 

Same 400ish up to 500 seems doable and would make decent $$.

Edited January 31, 2020 by cdsacken

[keysersoze123]

5 hours ago, Madhuvan said:

People need to remember that female fronted movies are generally pre-sale heavy. 

 

Beauty and the beast, Captain Marvel and Frozen 2 are the recent example. 

Wonder Woman?????????? That was neither pre-sale heavy nor front loaded. It was just on par. Plus expectations around Birds of Prey is no where close. 

[Krissykins]

12 minutes ago, cdsacken said:

Same 400ish up to 500 seems doable and would make decent $$.

Exactly and that would be more than 4-5x the production budget. Not many films pull that off.