The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo

[cdsacken]

Definitely and deserving of a greenlit follow-up film. I'm bullish on an announcement before April.

[TalismanRing]

14 minutes ago, keysersoze123 said:

Wonder Woman?????????? That was neither pre-sale heavy nor front loaded. It was just on par. Plus expectations around Birds of Prey is no where close. 

WW was pretty much an anomaly for women targeted audience films and DC movies.

 

I think the audiences was a bit burned out by previous DC movies - many took a a wait and see approach and the film also appealed strongly to older women.  I'm not seeing the same age demos for this and this is coming off Joker, Shazam and Aquaman not BvS and SS.  Unless SS is tainting this and many are waiting for reviews and WOM  I expect the preview ratio to be closer to 7 than 9.

 

[keysersoze123]

4 minutes ago, TalismanRing said:

WW was pretty much an anomaly for women targeted audience films and DC movies.

 

I think the audiences was a bit burned out by previous DC movies - many took a a wait and see approach and the film also appealed strongly to older women.  I'm not seeing the same age demos for this and this is coming off Joker, Shazam and Aquaman not BvS and SS.  Unless SS is tainting this and many are waiting for reviews and WOM  I expect the preview ratio to be closer to 7 than 9.

 

I am with you. I made that comment bcos he made a blanked statement that this must be this or that. We never know. Buzz around this is not that high and so there is potential for not so frontloaded run. But it all depends on where the reviews land. if that is mixed or negative then its all downhill. 

[lorddemaxus]

7 minutes ago, TalismanRing said:

WW was pretty much an anomaly for women targeted audience films and DC movies.

 

I think the audiences was a bit burned out by previous DC movies - many took a a wait and see approach and the film also appealed strongly to older women.  I'm not seeing the same age demos for this and this is coming off Joker, Shazam and Aquaman not BvS and SS.  Unless SS is tainting this and many are waiting for reviews and WOM  I expect the preview ratio to be closer to 7 than 9.

 

SS is going to have a larger effect on this film than Joker, Shazam, and Aquaman. It's no different to how Wonder Woman didn't affect JL and Aquaman didn't affect Shazam. I don't think it's going to be as frontloaded as Joker and come close to a 7 (espescially with previews starting later).

Edited January 31, 2020 by lorddemaxus

[Madhuvan]

1 minute ago, keysersoze123 said:

I am with you. I made that comment bcos he made a blanked statement that this must be this or that. We never know. Buzz around this is not that high and so there is potential for not so frontloaded run. But it all depends on where the reviews land. if that is mixed or negative then its all downhill. 

I was talking about that because generally speaking female fronted movies are more likely to be pre-sales heavy. 

[TalismanRing]

3 minutes ago, lorddemaxus said:

SS is going to have a larger effect on this film than Joker, Shazam, and Aquaman. It's no different to how Wonder Woman didn't affect JL and Aquaman didn't affect Shazam. I don't think it's going to be as frontloaded as Joker and come close to a 7 (espescially with previews starting later).

Joker wasn't as front loaded as BvS or SS and was in line with AQM and JL.    Shazam was 9.06x (even though it was from 4pm instead of 6pm) but that's a film that skewed younger and more family than the usual DC or CBM

[Inceptionzq]

Fast and Furious 9 tickets are officially on sale... Why this early? Who knows

[TalismanRing]

1 minute ago, Inceptionzq said:

Fast and Furious 9 tickets are officially on sale... Why this early? Who knows

Universal needs the money

[lorddemaxus]

44 minutes ago, TalismanRing said:

Joker wasn't as front loaded as BvS or SS and was in line with AQM and JL.    Shazam was 9.06x (even though it was from 4pm instead of 6pm) but that's a film that skewed younger and more family than the usual DC or CBM

I guess you're right there. I just think there's more room for buzz over here, espescially if it gets good reviews.

[Menor the Destroyer]

111 days before opening. Has anything ever opened up tickets earlier than this?

[lorddemaxus]

I feel like Universal is overhyping F9. They're treating the trailer release thing today like its some big event that everyone will watch (and will book tickets as soon as they watch it) when that's probably not happening.

[EarlyDeadlinePredictions]

Finally a movie to track....Are we doing weekly, daily or hourly for this?

 

CINEPLEX BANQUE SCOTIA MONTREAL

 

F9 FAST & FURIOUS - THURS MAY 21 2020

 

UltraAvX

530pm - 0/378

8:40pm - 0/378

IMAX

6:00pm - 1/343

9:10pm - 3/343

[DAJK]

So what do we think of BO.com Mulan tracking?

 

3/20/2020	A Quiet Place Part II	$60,000,000 – $80,000,000	$72,000,000		$140,000,000 – $190,000,000	$168,000,000			Paramount
3/27/2020	Mulan	$40,000,000 – $60,000,000	$46,000,000	NEW	$115,000,000 – $170,000,000	$132,000,000

[MrPink]

1 hour ago, EarlyDeadlinePredictions said:

Finally a movie to track....Are we doing weekly, daily or hourly for this?

 

CINEPLEX BANQUE SCOTIA MONTREAL

 

F9 FAST & FURIOUS - THURS MAY 21 2020

 

UltraAvX

530pm - 0/378

8:40pm - 0/378

IMAX

6:00pm - 1/343

9:10pm - 3/343

 

You mean every 10 seconds? This franchise is about a 10 second car. We gotta be doing 10 second tracking

[TMP]

8 minutes ago, DAJK said:

So what do we think of BO.com Mulan tracking?

 

3/20/2020	A Quiet Place Part II	$60,000,000 – $80,000,000	$72,000,000		$140,000,000 – $190,000,000	$168,000,000			Paramount
3/27/2020	Mulan	$40,000,000 – $60,000,000	$46,000,000	NEW	$115,000,000 – $170,000,000	$132,000,000

Damn, didn't know so many Americans were doing the #boycottMulan thing. How empathetic of them

[AdrianL]

13 minutes ago, DAJK said:

So what do we think of BO.com Mulan tracking?

 

3/20/2020	A Quiet Place Part II	$60,000,000 – $80,000,000	$72,000,000		$140,000,000 – $190,000,000	$168,000,000			Paramount
3/27/2020	Mulan	$40,000,000 – $60,000,000	$46,000,000	NEW	$115,000,000 – $170,000,000	$132,000,000

Er... wtf, they're expecting this to open like Dumbo?

 

I think Mulan will clear 100m+ opening weekend. 

[Menor the Destroyer]

I mean its not like Mulan has insane buzz, the views on the second trailer were pretty low. Personally I doubt it will beat Aladdin's OW but it should beat this prediction as buzz is definitely higher than Dumbo.

[AdrianL]

F9 actually has a decent amount of tickets sold for the 6pm Dolby screening at my local theater. Wow. 

[lorddemaxus]

10 minutes ago, TMP said:

Damn, didn't know so many Americans were doing the #boycottMulan thing. How empathetic of them

Or maybe many Americans are scared of Asians (even if you aren't Chinese) now. Maybe they think they'll get the virus from just watching the movie?

[charlie Jatinder]

8 hours ago, Madhuvan said:

People need to remember that female fronted movies are generally pre-sale heavy. 

 

Beauty and the beast, Captain Marvel and Frozen 2 are the recent example. 

I wasn't here for BaTB but CM was no way front-loaded in PS.