The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo

[cannastop]

I am actually Judy Hopps.

[Cap]

26 minutes ago, Gavin Feng said:

What's the difference between man and woman.

A man is:

 

- swift as the coursing river

- with all the the force of a great typhoon 

- with all the strength of a raging fire

- mysterious as the dark side of the moon

[Porthos]

Hobbs & Shaw Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report: T-5 days and counting

 

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats left	Total Seats	Seats Sold	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	58	6039	6597	558	8.46%

 

Total Seats Sold Today:                 62

 

Apparently I don't have ANY good comps for this film given its sale pattern.  Might throw in some others at the last moment, or I might change them entirely after thinking about it some more. But here are four recent comps.  DON'T TAKE MUCH (if anything) FROM THESE:

 

Comps (probably lol - use at own risk)

0.4908x as many tickets sold as Detective Pikachu 5 days before release.       [2.79m]

0.4205x as many tickets sold as Aladdin 5 days before release.                      [2.94m]

0.4697x as many tickets sold as King of the Monsters 5 days before release.  [2.95m]

0.1204x as many tickets sold as The Lion King 5 days before release.             [2.77m]

 

T-5:

Pika       113 seats sold [0 sellouts/62 shows  |   6327/7464 seats   | 1137 seats sold |  15.23% sold]

Aladdin   66 seats sold [0 sellouts/81 shows  | 10066/11393 seats | 1327 seats sold |  11.65% sold]

KotM     102 seats sold [0 sellouts/98 shows  | 12552/13740 seats | 1188 seats sold |    8.65% sold]

TLK       259 seats sold [0 sellouts/225 shows | 18659/23294 seats | 4635 seats sold | 19.93% sold]

[Valonqar]

So is H&S breaking out, flopping or boring neither? 

[SoSaysI]

Just now, Valonqar said:

So is H&S breaking out, flopping or boring neither? 

Definitely zero signs of a breakout 

[Boxofficerules]

2 hours ago, Valonqar said:

So is H&S breaking out, flopping or boring neither? 

Everyone is waiting on Scary Stories instead.

[Valonqar]

Ouch! 

[Inceptionzq]

23 hours ago, Inceptionzq said:

Hobbs and Shaw Thursday Night Showings Denver Metro

 

AMC Westminster Promenade 24:

Dolby: 

7 PM – 100/217(+8)

10:15 PM – 13/217

2D: 

7 PM – 11/158

7:30 PM – 9/56

10:45 PM – 0/56

11:15 PM – 2/158

 

AMC Highlands Ranch 24:

2D: 

7 PM – 61/159(+6)

7:30 PM – 1/52

10:15 PM – 3/159

Total from 9 theaters(29 showings): 395(+50)/4923 (8%)

TLK comp: 2.96M

Just to note, TLK comp went down because I had added two more theaters for it. Otherwise, it would have gone up.

 

Hobbs and Shaw Thursday Night Showings Denver Metro

AMC Westminster Promenade 24:

Dolby:

7 PM – 118/217(+18)

10:15 PM – 13/217

2D:

7 PM – 14/158(+3)

7:30 PM – 9/56

10:45 PM – 0/56

11:15 PM – 2/158

 

AMC Highlands Ranch 24:

2D:

7 PM – 70/159(+9)

7:30 PM – 2/52(+1)

10:15 PM – 3/159

Total from 9 theaters(29 showings): 454(+59)/4923 (9.2%)

TLK comp: 3.13M

I don’t have an exact comp for OUATIH because I never posted or saved Sunday numbers, but I do remember that it sold around 120 tickets on Monday. So, I’ll make a rough comp from that.

OUATIH comp: 6.03M

[Porthos]

43 minutes ago, Inceptionzq said:

OUATIH comp: 6.03M

That's... not terrible.  Not what BOP was/is forecasting but a damn sight better than the 3m comps I have out of Sacramento.

 

Perhaps more evidence for me not having any good comps for it locally. 

[Inceptionzq]

1 hour ago, Porthos said:

That's... not terrible.  Not what BOP was/is forecasting but a damn sight better than the 3m comps I have out of Sacramento.

 

Perhaps more evidence for me not having any good comps for it locally. 

Considering over a fourth of the sales are Dolby right now, I should be adjusting the OUATIH comp up. Not sure by how much though, maybe up to somewhere around 7M?

[Porthos]

59 minutes ago, Inceptionzq said:

Considering over a fourth of the sales are Dolby right now, I should be adjusting the OUATIH comp up. Not sure by how much though, maybe up to somewhere around 7M?

I think a straight comp is always the way to go and just make a note on the side giving some context until the final day if you want.

 

For the final comp just make a second comp on the side if you think there is a disparity with PLF/3D/matinee.  That's how I usually handle ad-hoc situations at least.

Edited July 29, 2019 by Porthos

[Eric Duncan]

Fast & Furious Presents: Hobbs & Shaw Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-4 Days and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	30	359	5,506	6.52%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 65

 

Comps

0.10x of The Lion King 4 days before release (2.3M)

 

Alright, things are slowly increasing for this movie's prospects, although not perfect. Hopefully Once Upon's #s will clear things up for me tomorrow

[keysersoze123]

I looked at Hobbs and Shaw at AMC Empire 25. 1st Imax is doing great and 1st Dolby show is almost sold out. 1015PM Dolby is doing well. Otherwise nothing much is sold so far. Let us see how final day bumps happen. But this movie should play well outside big cities. Especially among diverse crowd.
 

Spoiler

 

AMC Empire 25

 

Imax - 206/303 (8PM), 22/303 (1115PM) Total: 228/606
Dolby - 208/225 (7PM), 90/225 (1015PM) Total: 298/450
2D - 28/377(A13 7PM),  6/309(A9 730PM), 9/309(A14 930PM), 4/377 (A13 1030PM),1/309 (A8 1045PM) Total: 48/1681

 

Overall - 574/2731 (21%)

 

 

Edited July 29, 2019 by keysersoze123

[Porthos]

Hobbs & Shaw Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report: T-4 days and counting

 

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats left	Total Seats	Seats Sold	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	58	5950	6597	647	9.81%

 

Total Seats Sold Today:                 89

 

Apparently I don't have ANY good comps for this film given its sale pattern.  Might throw in some others at the last moment, or I might change them entirely after thinking about it some more. But here are four recent comps.  DON'T TAKE MUCH (if anything) FROM THESE:

 

Comps (probably lol - use at own risk)

0.5188x as many tickets sold as Detective Pikachu 4 days before release.       [2.96m]

0.4447x as many tickets sold as Aladdin 4 days before release.                      [3.11m]

0.4981x as many tickets sold as King of the Monsters 4 days before release.  [3.14m]

0.1262x as many tickets sold as The Lion King 4 days before release.             [2.90m]

 

T-4:

Pika       110 seats sold [0 sellouts/62 shows  |   6217/7464 seats   | 1247 seats sold |  16.71% sold]

Aladdin  128 seats sold [0 sellouts/81 shows  |  9934/11389 seats | 1455 seats sold |  12.78% sold]

KotM     111 seats sold [0 sellouts/98 shows  | 12441/13740 seats | 1299 seats sold |    9.45% sold]

TLK       490 seats sold  [1 sellout/227 shows | 18239/23364 seats | 5125 seats sold | 21.94% sold]

[Porthos]

 

32 minutes ago, Porthos said:

Hobbs & Shaw Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report: T-4 days and counting

 

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats left	Total Seats	Seats Sold	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	58	5950	6597	647	9.81%

 

Total Seats Sold Today:                 89

Didn't realize I had Sunday's John Wick 3 total in my revision history (thought I started with Monday).

 

Not THAT much better, sadly.

 

.5587x as many tickets sold as John Wick 3 4 days before release. [3.30m]

 

Wick 3    130 seats sold [0 sellouts/49 shows | 4690/5848 seats | 1158 seats sold | 19.80%]

 

That DID have the Fandango deal early in its run, so that might have boosted things a bit.  Still, not the greatest of signs.  Also had an Atom deal, which might have helped the Regals in town (was still partnered with Atom at the time).

 

Still, I'll throw it in the rest of the way and see what I get.

[Minnale101]

Movie could be doing better outside of the 2 coasts. The opposite of once upon on a time in Hollywood 

 

Rural areas maybe love this type of action movies 

[Blaze Heatnix]

Hobbs and Shaw should be doing John Wick 3 numbers, at best.

 

The problem is the budget, though. Movie probably has a 200 million budget. 

[el sid]

Hobbs & Shaw, sold tickets for the Thursday previews and for Friday, counted today at ca. 11am EST:

NY (AMC Fresh Meadows 7): 327 (total tickets sold for Thursday) / 474 (total tickets sold for Friday, 14 showtimes)
Boston (AMC Assembly Row 12): 198 / 216 ( 8 showtimes)
Boston (Boston Common 19): 145 / 124 plus 1 Sell Out (13 showtimes)
Miami (AMC Sunset Place 24): 88 / 64 (4 showtimes)
Grand Rapids (AMC Grand Rapids 18): 32 / 13 (8 showtimes)
Austin (AMC Lakeline 9): 68 (here instead of Lakeline Barton Creek) / 50 (8 showtimes) Tempe/Phoenix (AMC Center Point 11): 69 / 53 (7 showtimes)
San Francisco (AMC Metreon 16): 294 / 395 (12 showtimes)
LA (AMC Bay Street): 183 / 122 (14 showtimes)
LA (AMC Universal): 316 / 185 (13 showtimes)
Total tickets sold in 10 theaters till Monday for Thursday: 1.720 and for Friday: 1.696 plus 1 Sell Out.

Stuber had on Monday 186 / 131 sold tickets, Crawl 143 / 114 and OUATIH 1.469 / 1.231.
Some H&S-shows already look pretty crowded but mostly there's room for improvement; the John Wick 3 comparison fits (at the moment). At least it seems to be less frontloaded than OUaTiH.

Edited July 29, 2019 by el sid

[filmlover]

Hobbs & Shaw is selling really well around me. I still think it can pull $70M+ for the weekend.

[MovieMan89]

4 hours ago, Blaze Heatnix said:

Hobbs and Shaw should be doing John Wick 3 numbers, at best.

 

The problem is the budget, though. Movie probably has a 200 million budget. 

I highly doubt Uni made H&S with a JW3 type performance in mind. They definitely made it with the intentions of it performing like a mainline Fast movie. 

Edited July 29, 2019 by MovieMan89