The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo

[StarWarsMemer]

4 minutes ago, Porthos said:

The Rise of Skywalker Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report: T-27 days and counting

 

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats left	Total Seats	Seats Sold	Perct Sold
TOTALS	2	205	11651	24152	12501	51.76%

 

Total Seats Sold Today

67

 

T-27 Adjusted Comp #1 (EXTREMELY LOL - DON'T USE FOR MUCH OF ANYTHING)

	%		Sold T-27	Total Sold		Sellouts/Shows	Seats Left/Total Seats	Perct Sold		Comp
CM	385.36		38	3101		2/81	7515/10616	29.21%		79.77m
TROS (adj)	n/a		62	11950		2/205	10940/22890	52.21%		n/a

ADJUSTMENT NOTE: TROS (adj) is the ticket data at the same theaters I had tracking info for Captain Marvel.

 

T-27 Adjusted Comp #2 (VERY LOL - DON'T USE FOR MUCH OF ANYTHING)

	%		Sold T-27	Total Sold		Sellouts/Shows	Seats Left/Total Seats	Perct Sold		Comp
IW	163.77		70	6522		1/116	4603/11125	58.62%		63.87m
TROS (adj)	n/a		49	10681		2/205	8090/18771	56.90%		n/a

ADJUSTMENT NOTE: TROS (adj) is the ticket data at the same theaters I had tracking info for Infinity War.

PRE-SALES NOTE:  TROS had 60 days of pre-sales while Infinity War had 42 days of pre-sales.

 

---

Comps so far off of Final Totals of:

	%		Final Sold		TROS Sold		Comp
IW	70.46		15159		10681		27.48m
DP2	131.33		8133		10681		24.43m
Solo	184.51		5789		10681		26.02m
JW:FK	171.50		6228		10681		26.24m
AM&tW	231.94		4605		10681		26.67m
Venom	247.61		4493		11125		24.76m
CM	113.24		10553		11950		23.44m
EG	44.82		26655		11950		26.90m
TLK	108.86		10977		11950		25.04m
It 2	220.90		5659		12501		23.19m
AVG							25.42m

NOTE: FINAL SOLD is the amount of tickets sold at stop of tracking for the given movie and TROS SOLD is the amount of tickets sold so far at the same theaters I had tracking info for the movie in question.

I know that TRoS had an 18 days lead over Infinity War, but that's huge 

[Porthos]

8 minutes ago, StarWarsMemer said:

I know that TRoS had an 18 days lead over Infinity War, but that's huge 

Well, Star Wars is pretty infamous for having a heavy initial pre-sale rush.  To be fair, so are Avengers films, but probably not at the same level.

 

For what it's worth, if TROS more or less matches sales with IW locally the rest of the way (adjusted naturally), that points to a 44m preview night.  More or less, as I said. 

 

Still a long way to go, in other words.

[Tinalera]

Star wars the return of skywalker thurs dec 20 (taken sat nov 23)
Toronto ontario

Yonge Dundas

VIP
630 73/76
700 71/76
1015 72776
1045 66/76

IMAX

700 286/356
1045 214/356

4DX
700 76/76 (non wheelchair sellout)
1000 73/76

Scotia place
Avx
700 412/448(near so)
1040 220/448

IMAX
730 380/416
1030. 327/416

Reg 3d
600 59/235
630 135/556
940 43/185
101 4/556

Non
600 275/388
910 119/192
940 132/388

Yonge eglington
VIP
600 87/88 (non wheel sellout)
700 91/95(near sellout)
945 86/88 (non wheel sellout)
1045. 82/95

AVX
640 247/349
1015 91/349

Reg
600 75/328
730 185/328
930 27/328
1100 16/328

Eglington town
Avx
700 165/383
1045 46/383

IMAX
60 200/335
1000 130/335

Reg
630 29/260
645 22/108
730 76/211
1010 4/260
1020 2/108
1110 2/211

Don Mills
VIP
600 100/115
700 103/115
945 87/115
1045 42/115

Yorkdale
Avx
700 162/395
800 174/349
1040 20/349
1140 53/395

Reg (new)
600 72/350
940 54/350

Queensway
Vip
600 119/124
700 127/136
945 114/124
1045 113/135

Avx
700 306/377
730 270/426
1045 162/377
1115. 25/421496
g
600 30/211
630 175/279
945 16/211(new)
1015 67/279

 

7084/15909

44 percent sold

 

New shows new math lol.

 

A month out and over 40 percent sold. Pretty good all told. Certainly keeping a decent pace. Will be interesting if it picks up more after frozen as families try to figure budgets. Might see more sales after bulk have seen frozen. 

 

[Marek the Jedi]

8 hours ago, Porthos said:

Well, Star Wars is pretty infamous for having a heavy initial pre-sale rush.  To be fair, so are Avengers films, but probably not at the same level.

 

For what it's worth, if TROS more or less matches sales with IW locally the rest of the way (adjusted naturally), that points to a 44m preview night.  More or less, as I said. 

 

Still a long way to go, in other words.

It would be very nice, if TROS will be capable to add few more millions, closer to 50mil  I don't need to get it over 50, but 47-49 will be great start,
and probably 220mil weekend

Marek

[FlashMaster659]

Star Wars: The Rise of Skywalker Inland Empire Area Premiere Night Seat Report: T-27 Days

 

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Seats Left	Perct Sold
TOTALS	2	256	13195	53600	40405	24.62%

 

Total Sellouts Added Today: 1

Total Seats Sold Today: 58

[StarWarsMemer]

1 minute ago, FlashMaster659 said:

Star Wars: The Rise of Skywalker Inland Empire Area Premiere Night Seat Report: T-27 Days

 

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Seats Left	Perct Sold
TOTALS	2	256	13195	53600	40405	24.62%

 

Total Sellouts Added Today: 1

Total Seats Sold Today: 58

2 sellouts?!

[Valonqar]

WTF, is TROS going to outopen IW????

[XXR vs XXR]

17 minutes ago, Valonqar said:

WTF, is TROS going to outopen IW????

 

No.

[Valonqar]

12 minutes ago, VenomXXR said:

 

No.

Good. 

[JB33]

6 minutes ago, Valonqar said:

Good. 

Are you kidding? I would be ecstatic if TRoS opened over IW! But yeah, not going to happen. I'm hoping for over TLJ though.

 

There latest TV spot is amazing by the way! 

[Inceptionzq]

23 hours ago, Inceptionzq said:

The Rise of Skywalker Thursday Night Showings Denver

AMC Westminster 24

Total

1621

3153

AMC Highlands Ranch 24

Total

1656

3926

 

SEATS SOLD	SOLD TODAY	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD	THEATERS	SHOWINGS
8181	49	22870	35.77%	9	182

The Rise of Skywalker Thursday Night Showings Denver

AMC Westminster 24

Total

1623

3153

AMC Highlands Ranch 24

Total

1668

3926

 

SEATS SOLD	SOLD TODAY	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD	THEATERS	SHOWINGS
8255	74	22870	36.10%	9	182

 

[keysersoze123]

I am a big optimist for SW9 but I would say its unlikely that it outopens IW. That said I am feeling good about it having higher previews than IW(even 50m). OW let us wait until week of release to get better perspective on the range.

[Valonqar]

40 minutes ago, JB33 said:

Are you kidding? I would be ecstatic if TRoS opened over IW! But yeah, not going to happen. I'm hoping for over TLJ though.

 

There latest TV spot is amazing by the way! 

I'm not kidding. I want my Avengers safe from TROS. Spot is good, though.

[JB33]

43 minutes ago, Valonqar said:

I'm not kidding. I want my Avengers safe from TROS. Spot is good, though.

It's a pretty safe bet that Infinity War will keep the #2 OW spot so the Avengers will continue to rule. I would be content with Star Wars accounting for the next 3 spots though.

[JB33]

50 minutes ago, keysersoze123 said:

I am a big optimist for SW9 but I would say its unlikely that it outopens IW. That said I am feeling good about it having higher previews than IW(even 50m). OW let us wait until week of release to get better perspective on the range.

Based on $50M previews, what do you think of something like this for OW?

 

Previews: $50M

Friday: $61M

Saturday: $70.1M

Sunday: $54.7M

Total: $235.8M

[jedijake]

46 minutes ago, JB33 said:

Based on $50M previews, what do you think of something like this for OW?

 

Previews: $50M

Friday: $61M

Saturday: $70.1M

Sunday: $54.7M

Total: $235.8M

Is TROS really headed for a $50 million preview? I'd say it looks more like $35 million? Are pre-sales REALLY going to heat up that much? I'd think that Frozen 2 would have taught us a lesson at this point.

 

Edited November 23, 2019 by jedijake

[TalismanRing]

46 minutes ago, JB33 said:

Based on $50M previews, what do you think of something like this for OW?

 

Previews: $50M

Friday: $61M

Saturday: $70.1M

Sunday: $54.7M

Total: $235.8M

Multi will probably be closer to 4.5-4.6 if previews get that high.  TFA was 4.35 and TLJ: 4.88 .  So $225-230m

[TalismanRing]

KNIVES OUT

 

NYC area - 22 theaters, 29 showings (2 added) for Friday.  As of 6pm-6:15pm (takes time to count)

 

Alamo just put up a 4th showing for midnight (in the biggest screen yet). Only 3 other theaters have 2 screens despite multiple sellouts and near sellout.  The 4th Alamo is the only show not close to selling out at 12/170 as of 6pm,. (It's at 32/170 as of 6:50pm)

 

Otherwise %s would higher.  This includes all wheelchair & companion seats

 

Saturday:  3,038/3,568 = 85.15%

 

Friday  as of 6pm totals = 2,612/3,334 =78.23%

F + S = 5,579/6,938 = 80.41%

 

A lot of money left on the table over Friday and Saturday by not opening more showings but I gather they think it's just being pushed a few days when it

[Menor the Destroyer]

1 hour ago, jedijake said:

Is TROS really headed for a $50 million preview? I'd say it looks more like $35 million? Are pre-sales REALLY going to heat up that much? I'd think that Frozen 2 would have taught us a lesson at this point.

 

F2 was a different case than TROS. We have had franchise biggies heat up big before, notably IW whose initial day PS was not at the level of say TLJ but it ended up surging to 39 million previews. We could also see a Solo situation where it simply stalls out. It's simply way too early to say.

[TalismanRing]

The Arclight in Hollywood just added two more showing for Knives Out after The Dome nears capacity.  Five other Arclights in Cali have also added 2nd shows.

 

https://www.arclightcinemas.com/movie/early-access-knives-out?lid=1001