The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo

[Eric the Fall Guy]

The Photograph Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-2 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	47	213	7,190	2.96%

 

Total Shows Added Today: 13

Total Seats Added Today: 1,796

Total Seats Sold Today: 60

 

Comp

0.603x of Hustlers 2 days before release (1.51M)

2.367x of Black and Blue (1.6M)

1.323x of Harriet (794K)

1.991x of Just Mercy (1.59M)

1.315x of Like a Boss (1.31M)

0.152x of Bad Boys (966K)

 

Nothing special, but any of these numbers would be good IMO

[Eric the Fall Guy]

F9 Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-100 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	50	355	12,466	2.85%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 2

 

Almost in the double digits boyos!

[keysersoze123]

Photograph(T-2)

MTC1 Prev - overall 773 shows 4246/106148 57879.06 45388.27

MTC2 Prev - overall 855 shows 1631/112260 18874.91 13075.81

MTC1 OD - overall 1546 shows 17058/240368 229696.09 182355.43

MTC2 OD - overall 1612 shows 11688/222080 126669.82 92867.12

 

OD PS looks good to me. Looking like low 20's over 4 day weekend. 

Edited February 12, 2020 by keysersoze123

[keysersoze123]

One thing to note for Sonic is lots of plexes(especially MTC1) are adding shows late and so I am expecting that to bump up huge and so smaller plexes/chain wont show same level of PS as big ones. But starting now its going to amp up. I refreshed just for OD and showcount again jumped quite a bit. OD PS > 91K at this point between the 2 MTC and I am expecting it to increase to > 250K by the time shows start on friday. That is almost 9m in PS for OD. I dont think this will behave like crazy hyped sequel which does 1.9x PS for opening day. So 20m friday should easily happen. 

 

 

[DAJK]

56 minutes ago, keysersoze123 said:

One thing to note for Sonic is lots of plexes(especially MTC1) are adding shows late and so I am expecting that to bump up huge and so smaller plexes/chain wont show same level of PS as big ones. But starting now its going to amp up. I refreshed just for OD and showcount again jumped quite a bit. OD PS > 91K at this point between the 2 MTC and I am expecting it to increase to > 250K by the time shows start on friday. That is almost 9m in PS for OD. I dont think this will behave like crazy hyped sequel which does 1.9x PS for opening day. So 20m friday should easily happen. 

 

 

that is just... nuts

 

thank you for the info man!

[TwoMisfits]

6 hours ago, keysersoze123 said:

One thing to note for Sonic is lots of plexes(especially MTC1) are adding shows late and so I am expecting that to bump up huge and so smaller plexes/chain wont show same level of PS as big ones. But starting now its going to amp up. I refreshed just for OD and showcount again jumped quite a bit. OD PS > 91K at this point between the 2 MTC and I am expecting it to increase to > 250K by the time shows start on friday. That is almost 9m in PS for OD. I dont think this will behave like crazy hyped sequel which does 1.9x PS for opening day. So 20m friday should easily happen. 

 

 

Just to be a note of caution.  Valentine's Day is gonna be a presold like mad day, the Atom deal (so well publicized) will skew MTC 1/2 to a huge degree, and the deal will also skew the presale to walk up margin.

 

That being said, this weekend should be very good for everything...especially Sonic...but I wouldn't get too hyped for a certain number (like $60M+) yet...

[cdsacken]

The love story of Sonic and Robotnik. A classic 😋

[keysersoze123]

1 hour ago, TwoMisfits said:

Just to be a note of caution.  Valentine's Day is gonna be a presold like mad day, the Atom deal (so well publicized) will skew MTC 1/2 to a huge degree, and the deal will also skew the presale to walk up margin.

 

That being said, this weekend should be very good for everything...especially Sonic...but I wouldn't get too hyped for a certain number (like $60M+) yet...

There is no way this is more PS driven than bigger movies we have seen. I am sure @cJS would know for better. 

 

Anyway

 

Fantasy Island (T-2)

MTC1 - overall 1348 shows 11330/183136 171443.80 138928.75

MTC2 - overall 1487 shows 8438/186400 91118.07 66391.98

 

Even this is doing better than what it looked couple of days ago. Looking at 3/4 of photograph weekend. Let us see where things are tomorrow. 

[charlie Jatinder]

4 minutes ago, keysersoze123 said:

There is no way this is more PS driven than bigger movies we have seen. I am sure @cJS would know for better.

not sure about NA but in China and India, Valentines Day will have huge PS but also very good walkins especially during the noon.

[Frozen]

So are ANY of the new movies having reviews drop today? It is a Wednesday. 

[AdrianL]

If possible anyone know how BoP presales are for Friday? Hoping it does at least good for VD. 

[Cappoedameron]

2 hours ago, Frozen said:

So are ANY of the new movies having reviews drop today? It is a Wednesday. 

Sonic drops tomorrow at 1 am est time.

[Menor the Destroyer]

14 hours ago, keysersoze123 said:

Sonic the hedgehog (T-2)

MTC1 Prev - overall 1198 shows 20223/192772 305491.07 246391.92 +4442
MTC2 Prev - overall 1542 shows 13544/231221 166909.05 118975.37 +3021
MTC1 D1 - overall 2255 shows 41490/389272 560205.36 455871.57 +12830
MTC2 D1 - overall 3034 shows 40985/483422 434845.86 345851.57 +11880
MTC1 D2 - overall 2479 shows 26078/413217 320802.21 280145.80 +8872
MTC2 D2 - overall 3089 shows 23809/490251 232642.45 196859.52 +6148

 

Thinking 20m+ OD can happen at this point. Let us see how PS moves in next 2 days. MTC1 still will add tons of shows by tomorrow. That would mean huge boost tomorrow. 

Even if it plays like BOP which was not exactly a walkup monster it will hit 18+ million for the OD.

[ThePrinceIsOnFire]

Sonic Will be yet another 2020 victim . 

Edited February 12, 2020 by ThePrinceIsOnFire

[TMP]

9 minutes ago, ThePrinceIsOnFire said:

Sonic Will be yet another 2020 victim . 

Paramount needs a W pretty badly....

[charlie Jatinder]

22 minutes ago, Menor said:

Even if it plays like BOP which was not exactly a walkup monster it will hit 18+ million for the OD.

That basically means $43mn ish FSS. Think Saturday will be flat.

[Movies4Life]

11 minutes ago, ThePrinceIsOnFire said:

Sonic Will be yet another 2020 victim . 

😂😂😂😂

[keysersoze123]

Just now, cJS said:

That basically means $43mn ish FSS. Think Saturday will be flat.

Dont forget its President day weekend. There is no way it just does 43m with 18m friday. Plus Saturday PS is also very promising and still ahead of Bad Boys. 

[Movies4Life]

So, based on current analysis of theater showings, what can we expect for Sonic’s 4-day weekend without jinxing it? Because there’s apparently some idiot on Reddit claiming the resin BoP underperformed was because of a portion of the domestic audience being spooked by the threat of the CoronaVirus when that’s just note true and he’s accusing the evidence you have to back up a possible breakout hit for Sonic as incorrect and unbelievable.

[DAJK]

1 minute ago, Movies4Life said:

So, based on current analysis of theater showings, what can we expect for Sonic’s 4-day weekend without jinxing it? Because there’s apparently some idiot on Reddit claiming the resin BoP underperformed was because of a portion of the domestic audience being spooked by the threat of the CoronaVirus when that’s just note true and he’s accusing the evidence you have to back up a possible breakout hit for Sonic as incorrect and unbelievable.

It's not even worth arguing with those people. They obviously have their worldview that they're going to stick to (remember when the people who said Captain Marvel would underperform just didn't believe the numbers when they came out, saying Disney bought them?). Anyways, I wouldn't even bless the reddit community with keyser's numbers. If you want real box office discussion, just stick to this thread and leave those people alone.