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The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo

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6 minutes ago, Porthos said:

 

omg, I sure hope that doesn't mean local time in each time zone in the US as that could indeed cause some... hilarity. I remember when TFA tickets were supposed to go on sale at halftime of an MNF game and various ticket outlets just started selling them at the beginning of MNF telecast (5pm Pacific).  Led to all sorts of fun.

 

Doesn't matter all that much to me, as I'm a night-owl any way. But could cause some confusion unless Sony just throws up their hands and says "Okay, fine.  Go for midnight Eastern all across the US, see if we care."

 

They never indicated local, eastern, global, anything.  Simply said "Monday".  

 

My guess is you see tickets in the United State that start being sold as early as it turns Monday in New Zealand.  

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12 minutes ago, EmpireCity said:

 

They never indicated local, eastern, global, anything.  Simply said "Monday".  

 

My guess is you see tickets in the United State that start being sold as early as it turns Monday in New Zealand.  

 

goD3Acj.gif?noredirect

 

(seriously thou, gonna bet most will indeed go for midnight EST.  Some though might do as you surmise, hence the gif)

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On 11/16/2021 at 8:28 PM, VenomXXR said:

I'm out of the tracking business but one thing I will do is check my old main theater to see how many showings they do for previews. 

For reference....

Endgame
50 shows

TROS
38 shows 

Infinity War 
36 shows 

 

 

On 11/16/2021 at 11:00 PM, charlie Jatinder said:

So like 1.1-1.2x shows in your theater is previews number for MCU. Noted.

 

 

Looks like we're starting at 15 show times. I have no clue what any of the other 3 started at, for comparison. 

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Sing 2 Early Shows

MTC1 - 21838/39319 290361.64 268 shows

MTC2 - 14427/27323 162949.75 224 shows

 

Assuming half the seats sold are kids I would shave off 15% from ticket price. Still looks great considering its limited shows. Thinking it will gross > 1m for early shows considering its saturday morning and MTC share will be lower. 

 

@katnisscinnaplex have you looked at showcount for Sing 2 this saturday.

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11 minutes ago, keysersoze123 said:

Sing 2 Early Shows

MTC1 - 21838/39319 290361.64 268 shows

MTC2 - 14427/27323 162949.75 224 shows

 

Assuming half the seats sold are kids I would shave off 15% from ticket price. Still looks great considering its limited shows. Thinking it will gross > 1m for early shows considering its saturday morning and MTC share will be lower. 

 

@katnisscinnaplex have you looked at showcount for Sing 2 this saturday.

Yeah I wanna say it was around 1000ish last time I checked.  It'll be included on my report in the morning.

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On 11/24/2021 at 10:50 PM, Eric Madrigal said:

Sing 2 Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-28 and Counting

  Sellouts Showings Seats Sold Total Seats Perct Sold
TOTALS 0 50 816 9642 8.46%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 157

Sing 2 Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-27 and Counting

  Sellouts Showings Seats Sold Total Seats Perct Sold
TOTALS 0 50 990 9642 10.27%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 174

 

Before folks ask, 961 of those tickets are for the Early Access shows this Saturday

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On 11/24/2021 at 9:20 PM, Porthos said:

Sing 2 Sacramento Region Quick and Dirty Early Access numbers ONLY:

980/1580 [62.03% sold]  13 showings, 1 capped.

 

Sing 2 Sacramento Region Quick and Dirty Early Access numbers ONLY:

1078/1580 [68.23% sold] [+98 tickets] 13 showings, 1 capped.

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2 hours ago, BestPicturePlutoNash said:

I know you only like movies with explosions and quips but calling a little comedy drama like Belfast pretentious.... lol

 

But hey, the movie has some quips so maybe you'll actually like it!

Nah, you can't expect everyone know the difference between cinema vs theme park and pretentious vs sophistication concurrently. 

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23 hours ago, katnisscinnaplex said:

 

 

Day Movie Area Theaters Shows Total Seats Total Sold New Sales % Sold
T-2 Sing 2 (11/27) Jacksonville 3 3 295 188 36 63.73%
    Phoenix 5 5 764 230 30 30.10%
    Raleigh 5 5 639 335 23 52.43%
  Sing 2 (11/27) Total   13 13 1,698 753 89 44.35%

 

Could (should?) break 50% sold today in my 13 showings.  It just passed Encanto's last previews update (an hour before first showings).   I haven't put out a prediction yet, but knowing there are over 1k showings for early access, I could see this breaking 3m if it's performing this well everywhere.

 

Happy Thanksgiving!

Day Movie Area Theaters Shows Total Seats Total Sold New Sales % Sold
T-1 Sing 2 (11/27) Jacksonville 3 3 295 208 20 70.51%
    Phoenix 5 6 805 312 82 38.76%
    Raleigh 5 5 639 434 99 67.92%
  Sing 2 (11/27) Total   13 14 1,739 954 201 54.86%

 

Today marked the first theater to add a second showing, and yet it still broke 50% sales.  I thought Paw Patrol was crazy with 776 sales at T-1, but that was for a full day starting at 11am (78 shows).  Ghostbusters had just broken 1400 in 142 shows at this update.

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On 11/19/2021 at 11:25 AM, katnisscinnaplex said:

 

US showtime sample 11/19 weekend

 

Movie Theaters Shows Change Standard PLF IMAX 3D Dolby D-Box XD RPX
Ghostbusters 3,243 117,504   104,599 12,905 4,721 0 2,854 1,396 2,503 1,431
Eternals 3,194 46,930 -46.29% 45,993 937 6 408 181 123 198 21
Clifford 3,005 46,487 -22.34% 46,333 154 0 0 154 0 0 0
King Richard 2,890 38,074   37,863 211 0 0 187 0 12 12
Venom 2 1,970 22,904 -14.57% 22,813 91 0 5 86 0 0 0
No Time to Die 1,903 17,843 -21.40% 17,792 51 0 9 42 0 0 0
Dune 1,983 17,088 -35.41% 17,037 51 2 17 32 0 0 0
Ron's Gone Wrong 1,178 9,373 -48.93% 9,361 12 0 0 12 0 0 0
Belfast 509 6,355 -16.13% 6,355 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Spencer 803 6,318 -48.45% 6,318 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
French Dispatch 659 5,544 -49.87% 5,544 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Red Notice 459 4,255 -43.52% 4,255 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Antlers 589 4,190 -66.82% 4,190 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
India Sweets and Spices 338 4,016   4,016 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Halloween Kills 453 2,988 -78.62% 2,982 6 0 0 6 0 0 0
My Hero Academia 394 2974 -65.49% 2,974 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Addams Family 2 380 2,820 -70.23% 2,803 17 0 0 17 0 0 0
The Youngest Evangelist 221 2,376   2,376 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
CS Lewis 209 2,109 -50.20% 2,109   0 0 0 0 0 0
Last Night in Soho 264 1,640 -75.96% 1,640 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Gintama 674 1,251   1,249   0 0 2 0 0 0

 

Ghostbusters ended up with 16,319 shows last night in my sample, just ahead of NTTD (16,298) and Shang-Chi (15,697).  Since I've been tracking showtimes, only Black Widow and Venom have had more preview shows.  For the full weekend, it falls between NTTD (112,174) and Eternals (118,603).

 

Gintama has a Sunday release, so those numbers are Sunday only.

 

Future releases

 

Monday 11/22

Resident Evil - 73 (73 TC)

 

Tuesday 11/23 previews

House of Gucci - 3,406 (2,239 TC)

Resident Evil - 5,291 (1,872 TC)

Encanto - 6,582 (2,494 TC)

For the Love of Money - 231 (162 TC)

 

Weekend 11/26-11/28

House of Gucci - 19,223 (1,835 TC)

Resident Evil - 17,505 (1,450 TC)

Encanto - 36,337 (1,997 TC)

For the Love of Money - 1,212 (105 TC)

 

Saturday 11/27

Sing (Early Access) - 1,100 (1,100 TC)

US showtime sample 11/26 weekend

 

Movie Theaters Shows Change Standard PLF IMAX 3D Dolby D-Box XD RPX
Encanto 3,263 80,175   72,047 8,128 0 4,710 1,467 678 652 621
Ghostbusters 3,383 72,118 -38.63% 64,942 7,176 3,840 0 796 659 1,551 330
House of Gucci 2,933 38,900   38,191 709 0 0 434 0 48 227
Resident Evil 2,450 34,564   34,383 181 0 0 95 60 26 0
Clifford 2,776 29,949 -35.58% 29,860 89 0 0 89 0 0 0
Eternals 2,681 28,373 -39.54% 28,200 173 9 49 115 0 0 0
King Richard 2,867 26,830 -29.53% 26,776 54 0 0 54 0 0 0
Belfast 982 10,196 60.44% 10,196 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Venom 2 1,318 9,012 -60.65% 9,002 10 0 0 10 0 0 0
Love of Money 494 5,585   5,571 14 0 0 14 0 0 0
No Time to Die 1,017 5,468 -69.35% 5,462 6 0 0 6 0 0 0
Dune 847 4,671 -72.67% 4,668 3 3 0 0 0 0 0
French Dispatch 370 2579 -53.48% 2579 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
ANTIM Final Truth 292 2537   2537 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Julia 259 2508   2508   0 0 0 0 0 0
Ron's Gone Wrong 271 1,564 -83.31% 1,564 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Spencer 237 1,329 -78.96% 1,329 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
C'mon C'mon 92 1182   1182 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Antlers 113 600 -85.68% 600 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

 

Bigger drops across the board in the face of three wide releases.  

 

Future releases

 

Saturday 11/27

Sing (Early Access) - 1,140 (1,118 TC)

 

T-1 week

Christmas with the Chosen: the Messengers - 12,437 (1,351 TC)

Sword Art Online: Progressive - Aria of a Starless Night - 3,123 (771 TC) (553 IMAX)

Dune (IMAX) - 477 (50 TC)

 

T-2 weeks previews

National Champions - 827 (569 TC)

West Side Story - 1,507 (613 TC) (420 PLF)

 

T-3 weeks previews

Spider-Man: No Way Home - 5,529 (793 TC) (1,793 PLF)

The King's Man - 3,766 (1,547 TC)

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Sing 2 Special advance screening

Toronto Ontario

Nov 27 (taken Nov 26)

6 theatres

6 shows

 

Total sold 886

Total remaining 260

Total seats 1146

percentage 77.3 

 

This will probably be a sellout or close to it between now and tomorrow I would think 

 

 

 

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Out of curiosity I counted today House of Gucci and Resident Evil but I didn't dare to post it before the Thursday reports because my Wednesday comps for Gucci were much higher than the actual number (even if Soho had previews, 2.9M true Wednesday was the worst case scenario). And I didn't want to lift expectations again without a reason. But with that Thursday number it's clear that our reports here that House of Gucci is at least slightly overperforming were right ;).

Resident Evil had today at 9am EST for today 195 sold tickets in 6 theaters.
For comparison: It had 262 sold tickets on Monday for Tuesday

and 200 sold tickets on Tuesday for Wednesday.
Not good. I saw several parts of the series in theaters and overall liked them and therefore I'm not happy to say that but the new projections of around 5M 3-day OW seems to be right judging from my few theaters.

House of Gucci had today at 9am EST for today 1.048 sold tickets in 7 theaters.
For comparison: HoG has on Monday for Tuesday 567 sold tickets 
and on Tuesday for Wednesday 548 sold tickets. 
It had a jump of 32% from Monday to Tuesday, let's say it had the same jump till Wednesday, that would have been 723 sold tickets for 2.9M on Wednesday. So if that presales "math" is not completely wrong, HoG should at least reach 4M+ true Friday.
Another comp could be TSS which had also on Friday at the same time for Friday 2.095 sold tickets in 7 theaters, would also be 4M+ without HBO Max. And WOM of HoG is good as it seems, could also help.

This is also a test for future years and it's my first Thanksgiving counting. First we had Pulse, then my counting was broken and last year we already had the Covid curse...

Edited by el sid
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