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grim22

The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo

By grim22, in Numbers and Data

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Posted by Porthos,

Really depends on what you're looking for, but usually the most important takeaway for just a casual glance is the comp.  More on that in a bit.   But even that is highly dependent on a movie being either in a similar genre or having a similar pre-sale pattern as folks will buy tickets at different times during a pre-sale window thanks to a very long list of factors.   Add in that movies will have different promotional schedules during their pre-sales (review embargoes, TV ca
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Posted by Cap,

MODERATION:   Hi, everyone. It’s 6 o’clock in the morning. I have not gone to bed yet. And I am tired. And I know it’s going to be a very long weekend. Here is the new rule.   This thread is for numbers and data. Please post your theater updates. Please post your comparable data. And please talk about that comparable data here.    If you wish to do a deep dive on why you think that data might or might not suck, then take it to the respective thread of the movie in ques
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MrGlass2 Summer Tentpole

MrGlass2

Posted
Posted

#1 at 9pm is pretty impressive. :bourne:

  

Updated by @akvalley: 2018-10-15 21:56:19 Central (Lock time Fridays 11:00:00)
BUY TIME	TICKETS	MOVIE TITLE
--------------------------------------------------
2018-10-15 21:00:00	614	Halloween (2018)
2018-10-15 21:00:00	510	A Star Is Born (2018)
2018-10-15 21:00:00	389	Venom (2018)
2018-10-15 21:00:00	135	First Man
2018-10-15 21:00:00	122	Bad Times at the El Royale
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Amorphous Indie Sensation

Amorphous

Posted
Posted
27 minutes ago, MrGlass2 said:

#1 at 9pm is pretty impressive. :bourne:

  


Updated by @akvalley: 2018-10-15 21:56:19 Central (Lock time Fridays 11:00:00)
BUY TIME	TICKETS	MOVIE TITLE
--------------------------------------------------
2018-10-15 21:00:00	614	Halloween (2018)
2018-10-15 21:00:00	510	A Star Is Born (2018)
2018-10-15 21:00:00	389	Venom (2018)
2018-10-15 21:00:00	135	First Man
2018-10-15 21:00:00	122	Bad Times at the El Royale

 

Whew.

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Eric the IF Global Phenomenon

Eric the IF

Posted
Posted

Fandango App Monday Tues Wed Thursday Friday
           
A Wrinke In Time   4,864   15,601  
A Quiet Place 2,177 4,003 10,665    
Blockers 504 1,106 2,931    
Rampage 705 1,508 4,109    
Truth Or Dare 385 760 2,133    
Super Troopers 2,825 3,447 6,881    
I Feel Pretty 871 1,610 4,423    
Avengers: Infinity War 49,836 54,892 68,826 206,000  
Overboard 84 409 1,044    
Breaking In 727 1204 2,899    
Life Of The Party 587 1,310 3,010    
Deadpool 2 23,134 28,896 41,212    
Show Dogs 6 128 369    
Book Club 836 1,599 3,283    
SW: Solo 13,688 15,855 28,533    
Action Point 17 48 197    
Upgrade 9 119 522    
Adrift 63 308 1,268    
Oceans 8 3,009 4,372 11,114    
Hereditary 659 1,178 3,181    
Hotel Artemis 26 166 520    
Incredibles 2 20,872 23,430 39,337    
Tag 314 660 1,448    
Jurassic World 2 9,310 12,761 23,266    
Sicario 2 788 1282 3,403    
Uncle Drew 274 473 1,201    
Antman & The Wasp 6,613 5,990 11,108    
Purge (Wed) 2,885 8,308      
Hotel Transylvania 3 1,753 2,674 6,605 14,754  
Skyscraper 586 1,019 2,868 7,134  
Mamma Mia 2 4,427 5,099 12,117 17,226  
Equalizer 1,418 2,297 6,073 11,875  
Unfriended   71 240 975  
MI6   *3328 13,575 27,261  
Teen Titans   *462 2,125 4,526  
Christopher Robin 1,560 2,442 5,355 11,509  
The Spy Who Dumped Me 234 542 1,561 4,222  
The Darkest Minds 130 244 579 1,777  
Eighth Grade 494 508 720 936  
Death of A Nation 148 194 375 1,239  
The Meg 1,539 2,944 6,723 16,202  
Slender Man 177 418 1,091 3,737  
BlackkKlansman 432 682 1,934 5,017  
Dog Days (Wed) 115 631 1,536 1,212  
Crazy Rich Asians (Wed) 3,651 5,742 20,173 20,102  
Alpha 181 283 943 2,069  
Mile 22 282 519 1,833 5,200  
Happytime Murders 382 *488 1,954 5,602  
A.X.L. 32 *60 310 911  
Kin 21 141 263 741  
Operation Finale (Wed) 415 2,083 4,879 3,915  
Searching 303 588 1,194 2,862  
The Nun 2,082 5,938 13,806 28,881  
Peppermint 286 863 2,508 4,441  
God Bless The Broken Road 6 33 152 282  
Predator 1,295 2,476 4,545 13,063  
A Simple Favor 564 2,126 4,410 10,381  
White Boy Rick 136 567 1,458 4,587  
Unbroken 2 88 180 360 659  
House With Clocks 897 1469 3607 8,074  
Fahrenheit 11/9 164 281 713 1,715  
Life Itself 79 162 394 953  
Assassination Nation   36 94 382  
Night School 1,045 1,756 3,566    
Small Foot 734 1,261 2,448    
Hellfest 195 304 661    
Little Women   65 134    

Venom

13,602 13,818 20,867 31,569  
A Star Is Born 9,115 11,383 22,641 21,501  
First Man 654 909 3,610 7,586  
Goosebumps 2 300 631 1,733 3,615  
Bad Times at the El Royale 264 481 1,257 3,350  
Halloween 9,563        
*4pm-12am          

 

Movie/Day Monday
   
Hunter Killer 9
   
Bohemian 453
Nutcracker 81
   
The Grinch 123
   
Fantastic Beasts 359
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Stewart Box Office Gold

Stewart

Posted
Posted
1 hour ago, CoolEric258 said:

 

 

Fandango App Monday Tues Wed Thursday Friday
           
A Quiet Place 2,177 4,003 10,665    
Avengers: Infinity War 49,836 54,892 68,826 206,000  
Hereditary 659 1,178 3,181    
Sicario 2 788 1282 3,403    
The Nun 2,082 5,938 13,806 28,881  
Predator 1,295 2,476 4,545 13,063  
Halloween 9,563        


 

Some of the comps (using direct ratios of Monday to OW):

 

AQP - $220m

A:IW - $50m

H - $196m

S2 - $230m

TN - $247m

P - $182m

 

Soooo.... I think it's safe to say $50m is maybe the floor? Is there anyway it can respectively be more presale heavy on Monday than IW?

 

In terms of others, given these feel like the best comps, especially the last, genuinely this could be headed for IT's record 😮 

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DAJK Global Phenomenon

DAJK

Posted
Posted

In all honesty I could see this having a weekend similar to the first 50 Shades, but swap the Friday and Saturday around (maybe give slightly more to Friday as well taking from Saturday). 

 

Not saying this this should be the standard to hold the movie to, but if the stars align, I could see 38/28/18 for around 84

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el sid Box Office Gold

el sid

Posted
Posted
1 hour ago, Boxofficerules said:

When did The Nun hit MT? Or A Quiet Place?

And The Nun had only 5.5% around noon on Wednesday and increased till late afternoon/evening to 9.3% (but had very decent increases from Thursday on and the Monday was Labor Day which maybe had an impact).

But looking only at MT for comparisons, Halloween is close to Venom which had 5.3% at the same time of the day on Monday (against 5.1%) and Venom's best number on cheap Tuesday was 14.5 % whereas Halloween had 11.7% or 11.9% today.
M: I 6 also didn't appear before Thursday morning, with 11.9%.

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fabiopazzo2 Summer Tentpole

fabiopazzo2

Posted
Posted 
2018-10-16 11:00:00	570	A Star Is Born (2018)
2018-10-16 11:00:00	401	Halloween (2018)
2018-10-16 11:00:00	311	Venom (2018)
2018-10-16 11:00:00	205	Fantastic Beasts The Crimes of Grindelwald
2018-10-16 11:00:00	162	First Man
2018-10-16 11:00:00	121	Bad Times at the El Royale
2018-10-16 11:00:00	94	Goosebumps 2 Haunted Halloween
2018-10-16 11:00:00	73	Smallfoot
2018-10-16 11:00:00	54	The Hate U Give
2018-10-16 11:00:00	50	Night School (2018)

 

only 205 ticket for FB2 :(

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DAJK Global Phenomenon

DAJK

Posted
Posted
18 minutes ago, fabiopazzo2 said: 

2018-10-16 11:00:00	570	A Star Is Born (2018)
2018-10-16 11:00:00	401	Halloween (2018)
2018-10-16 11:00:00	311	Venom (2018)
2018-10-16 11:00:00	205	Fantastic Beasts The Crimes of Grindelwald
2018-10-16 11:00:00	162	First Man
2018-10-16 11:00:00	121	Bad Times at the El Royale
2018-10-16 11:00:00	94	Goosebumps 2 Haunted Halloween
2018-10-16 11:00:00	73	Smallfoot
2018-10-16 11:00:00	54	The Hate U Give
2018-10-16 11:00:00	50	Night School (2018)

 

only 205 ticket for FB2 :(

Doesn't come out for a month. It'll be fine. WB's still riding on ASIB and they'll ramp up marketing soon enough. 

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