The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread: Electric Boogaloo

[Jonwo]

10 hours ago, filmlover said:

I think the biggest hurdle it faces is that there have already been famous versions of this story both in animation (the classic which continues to be aired annually of course) and on the big screen (the Jim Carrey box office smash which wasn't even 20 years ago and is also somewhat of a TV staple) and this doesn't look to offer anything particularly innovative. $45-50M opening could still lead to $200M+ but I'm feeling the grosses will be closer to the last animated Dr. Seuss adaptation (The Lorax with $214M) than to the Despicable Me flicks or The Secret Life of Pets or even Sing.

Would $40-50m be considered a disappointment? It's on the low end for Illumination but it's standard for most animated films. The tricky thing for The Grinch is that it'll decline rapidly once Christmas is over and also Dr Seuss doesn't do well OS but I think it'll gross more than The Lorax.

[Porthos]

*sees yet another Nutcracker ad on MNF*

 

But I was told that Disney knew this was a flop and wasn't advertising it. 

[Porthos]

6 hours ago, Thanos Legion said:

Hoping Nutcracker opens just enough that a “natural” run would be ~99, and the club survives by virtue of triple fudge.

[Porthos]

Fantastic Beasts: The Crimes of Grindelwald Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report: T-17 Days and counting

[Includes Limited Showings for Tuesday]

 

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats left	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	94	11937	13377	10.76%

 

Total Seats Sold Today:       26 

 

.1960x as many tickets sold as Infinity War 17 days before release. (IW had 11 more days of pre-sales)

.6394x as many tickets sold as Black Panther 17 days before release (BP had 8 more days of pre-sales) 

.6967x as many tickets sold as Deadpool 2 17 days before release (DP2 had 29 days of pre-sales compared to FB2's 30 days of pre-sales)

.4754x as many tickets sold as Solo 17 days before release (Solo had 20 days of pre-sales compared to FB2's 30 days of pre-sales)

1.2511x as many tickets sold as JW:FK 17 days before release (JW:FK had 22 days of pre-sales compared to FB2's 30 days of pre-sales)

 

===

 

Tue/Thr Breakdown:

 

Tuesday Night Limited Engagement Seat Report: T-17 Days and counting:

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats left	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	6	902	1399	35.53%

 

Total Seats Sold Today:                      13

 

Thursday Night Seat Report: T-17 Days and counting:

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats left	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	88	11035	11978	7.87%

 

Total Seats Sold Today:                      13

[TalismanRing]

Fandango App	Monday	Tues	Wed	Thursday
A Wrinke In Time		4,864		15,601
A Quiet Place	2,177	4,003	10,665
Blockers	504	1,106	2,931
Rampage	705	1,508	4,109
Truth Or Dare	385	760	2,133
Super Troopers	2,825	3,447	6,881
I Feel Pretty	871	1,610	4,423
Avengers: Infinity War	49,836	54,892	68,826	206,000
Overboard	84	409	1,044
Breaking In	727	1204	2,899
Life Of The Party	587	1,310	3,010
Deadpool 2	23,134	28,896	41,212
Show Dogs	6	128	369
Book Club	836	1,599	3,283
SW: Solo	13,688	15,855	28,533
Action Point	17	48	197
Upgrade	9	119	522
Adrift	63	308	1,268
Oceans 8	3,009	4,372	11,114
Hereditary	659	1,178	3,181
Hotel Artemis	26	166	520
Incredibles 2	20,872	23,430	39,337
Tag	314	660	1,448
Jurassic World 2	9,310	12,761	23,266
Sicario 2	788	1282	3,403
Uncle Drew	274	473	1,201
Antman & The Wasp	6,613	5,990	11,108
Purge (Wed)	2,885	8,308
Hotel Transylvania 3	1,753	2,674	6,605	14,754
Skyscraper	586	1,019	2,868	7,134
Mamma Mia 2	4,427	5,099	12,117	17,226
Equalizer	1,418	2,297	6,073	11,875
Unfriended		71	240	975
MI6		*3328	13,575	27,261
Teen Titans		*462	2,125	4,526
Christopher Robin	1,560	2,442	5,355	11,509
The Spy Who Dumped Me	234	542	1,561	4,222
The Darkest Minds	130	244	579	1,777
Eighth Grade	494	508	720	936
Death of A Nation	148	194	375	1,239
The Meg	1,539	2,944	6,723	16,202
Slender Man	177	418	1,091	3,737
BlackkKlansman	432	682	1,934	5,017
Dog Days (Wed)	115	631	1,536	1,212
Crazy Rich Asians (Wed)	3,651	5,742	20,173	20,102
Alpha	181	283	943	2,069
Mile 22	282	519	1,833	5,200
Happytime Murders	382	*488	1,954	5,602
A.X.L.	32	*60	310	911
Kin	21	141	263	741
Operation Finale (Wed)	415	2,083	4,879	3,915
Searching	303	588	1,194	2,862
The Nun	2,082	5,938	13,806	28,881
Peppermint	286	863	2,508	4,441
God Bless The Broken Road	6	33	152	282
Predator	1,295	2,476	4,545	13,063
A Simple Favor	564	2,126	4,410	10,381
White Boy Rick	136	567	1,458	4,587
Unbroken 2	88	180	360	659
House With Clocks	897	1469	3607	8,074
Fahrenheit 11/9	164	281	713	1,715
Life Itself	79	162	394	953
Assassination Nation		36	94	382
Night School	1,045	1,756	3,566
Small Foot	734	1,261	2,448
Hellfest	195	304	661
Little Women		65	134
Venom	13,602	13,818	20,867	31,569
A Star Is Born	9,115	11,383	22,641	21,501
First Man	654	909	3,610	7,586
Goosebumps 2	300	631	1,733	3,615
Bad Times at the El Royale	264	481	1,257	3,350
Halloween	9,563	12,980	21,600	36,126
The Hate U Give (2k expansion)	1,026	1,542	1,559	2,055
Hunter Killer	91	368	1,062	2,726
Indivisible	33	89	204	440
Bohemian Rhapsody	7,255
The Nutcracker & the Four Realms	1,659
Nobody's Fool	436
*4pm-12am
Nov 9th
Grinch	437
Girl In The Spider's Web	29
Overlord	28
Nov 16th
Fantastic Beasts 2	1,299

[Porthos]

46 minutes ago, TalismanRing said:

Fandango App	Monday	Tues	Wed	Thursday
Christopher Robin	1,560	2,442	5,355	11,509
The Nutcracker & the Four Realms	1,659

25m+ OW confirmed. 

[DAJK]

I would say that number definitely puts 30M on the table for nutcracker. 

 

Bohemian could do 40-50 not gonna lie. @WrathOfHan maybe I lost faith too soon

ok to be fair probably closer to 40 and less likely 50 but still

Edited October 30, 2018 by DAJK

[stripe]

Encouraging signs for Nutcracker and Bohemian Rapsody. Chances of overperformance for both films!

 

45M+ for BR and 30M+ for Nutcracker definitely in the cards.

[stripe]

4 hours ago, Porthos said:

25m+ OW confirmed. 

 

I would compare it to House with a clock. Not Summer and it's not related to a character everyone knows.

[filmlover]

Nutcracker is definitely starting to look more likely to do $30M+ than it is to do sub-$25M.

[WrathOfHan]

Pulse:

 

1. Halloween

2. Bohemian Rhapsody

3. A Star is Born

4. The Nutcracker

5. Bohemian Rhapsody IMAX

[Hades]

Damn....Who says cinema going is dying...Netflix needs to step up.....

[KeepItU25071906]

50 minutes ago, WrathOfHan said:

Pulse:

 

1. Halloween

2. Bohemian Rhapsody

3. A Star is Born

4. The Nutcracker

5. Bohemian Rhapsody IMAX

let's how strong Freddie will byte the Lady Gaga.

[Valonqar]

I think we could get 30-ish Nutcracker and 50ish Rhapsody since IMAX sales for Rhapsody are blowing up. People want concert feel. Go Freddie! 

Edited October 30, 2018 by Valonqar

[cax16]

 

[DAJK]

Wow first Michael and Jason have an excellent October, now it’s freddy’s turn

[Valonqar]

26 minutes ago, DAJK said:

Wow first Michael and Jason have an excellent October, now it’s Freddy’s turn

[filmlover]

Theater has posted their full schedule: Bohemian Rhapsody on 3 screens (plus the small VIP theater upstairs), Nutcracker on 2 screens, Nobody's Fool on 2 screens, Can You Ever Forgive Me? (which is actually getting the biggest non-PLF auditorium), and Suspiria (which is unsurprisingly being stuck in one of the smallest auditoriums).

[La Binoche]

37 minutes ago, cax16 said:

 

 

A Star Is Dead. 

[WrathOfHan]

On 10/23/2018 at 4:24 PM, WrathOfHan said:

Bad Times at the El Royale, First Man, and The Sisters Brothers are gone.

 

Hunter Killer: 10 (XL and Average)

Indivisible: 5 (Average)

The Old Man and the Gun: 5 (Smallest)

 

Halloween: 10 (Down 4; XL and Average)

Goosebumps 2: Haunted Halloween: 5 (Flat; Smallest)

The Hate U Give: 5 (Flat; Average)

Smallfoot: 5 (Flat; Smallest)

A Star Is Born: 5 (Flat; Biggest)

Venom: 5 (Flat; Biggest)

Night School: 4 (Flat; Smallest)

 

Auditorium sizes for reference:

  Hide contents

 

XL: 300 (two screens are this size)

Biggest: 130 (two screens are this size)

Average: 100 (four screens are this size; one has five extra seats)

Smallest: 47 (four screens are this size)

 

 

The Hate U Give, Night School, and Smallfoot are gone.

 

Bohemian Rhapsody: 9 (XL, Biggest, and Smallest x0.2)

The Nutcracker and the Four Realms: 9 (8 2D/1 3D; XL x0.6, Biggest, and Smallest x0.2)

Nobody's Fool: 5 (Average)

 

Halloween: 7 (Down 2; XL x0.4 and Average)

Goosebumps 2: Haunted Halloween: 5 (Flat; Smallest)

Hunter Killer: 5 (Down 5; Average)

A Star is Born: 5 (Flat; Smallest)

Venom: 5 (Flat; Average)

Indivisible: 4 (Down 1; Smallest x0.8)

The Old Man and the Gun: 4 (Down 1; Smallest x0.8)

 

Auditorium sizes for reference:

Spoiler

 

XL: 300 (two screens are this size)

Biggest: 130 (two screens are this size)

Average: 100 (four screens are this size; one has five extra seats)

Smallest: 47 (four screens are this size)