Thursday Numbers (June 22): TF5 8.1M, Cars 3 4.4M, WW 4M (Deadline)

[Jonwo]

Just now, Barnack said:

 

Eon Productions (private family business) will probably continue to do them for a long time, the distribution rights (now a partnership between MGM/Sony and a bit of FOX on home video) are for grabs for the next Bond movie.

 

My money's on Warner Bros but Annapurna or Fox wouldn't surprise me

[MrPink]

21 minutes ago, Goffe said:

And that will probably be a better experience than watching Strar Trek Beyond. At least it will be shorter.

 

I would estimate wrong on both counts. But it's not like we'll agree on much besides one important thing

 

Edited June 23, 2017 by MrPink

[a2k]

48 minutes ago, grey ghost said:

 

What if Cameron returns?

If he is gonna dust off an oldie I would love for him to do an Alien franchise movie.

Edited June 23, 2017 by a2knet

[seduh]

I hope this numbers give studios a lesson, don´t make lots of sequels. And if u do them, do it right, if not that's what happens.

[TheDarkKnightOfSteel]

40 minutes ago, GiantCALBears said:

Did you see BO.com had a prediction of $28.9m (I think it was on Monday though)? Seems absurdly high to me.

Gitesh said it will triple BvS 4th wknd which would put it at 27+

[James]

This just randomly played on YT:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6as8ahAr1Uc

 

 

I remember how insanely hyped I was for this movie, only because of that scene. It was insane. JL kinda lacks that. Too light 

Edited June 23, 2017 by James

[Plain Old Tele]

Just now, TheDarkKnightOfSteel said:

Gitesh said it will triple BvS 4th wknd which would put it at 27+

 

He said it could it or might. It's a vague ballpark projection at best, not really a prediction.

[narniadis]

13 minutes ago, John Marston said:

(5)

All Eyez on Me

Lionsgate

$1,083,911

-10%

2,471

$439

$32,792,319

7

 

Where is the crowd that kept insisting this film would have legs? I said on Friday it would be downhill everyday but the Fridays and those would barely increase enough to keep drops from being catastrophic. headed to a minimum -75% this weekend and it will barely top 6m for the weekend if at all.

 

Compton was the exception to the rule that says heavily urban audience friendly movies are way frontloaded - particularly if there is no cross-over appeal.

Edited June 23, 2017 by narniadis

[Barnack]

14 hours ago, WrathOfHan said:

Like I said the other day, I see little reason to be concerned about Paramount's slate for the rest of the year. Their three main releases in October and November will all gross over 70M with a shot at 100M, and Downsizing could hit that range too if test screenings continue to improve.

 

That is being really optimistic, we know nothing yet of most of them, no trailer anything.

 

The last Cloverfield had some of the best marketing of the year with arguably the best trailer, JJ Abrams at the peak of is popularity, raving reviews at a 90% RT score and did that 70m, the first one made 80m. The new one would need to deliver if it is the same formula to reach 70m.

 

Just 2 live action without a strong IP did 70m this year at the box office and some strong like Aliens/Mummy barely reached it, a movie like that has no floor.

 

That is even more true for something like mother! that open against a traditional commercial horror movie from Blumhouse with what seem a nice hook or a Clooney movie.

 

The rest of the slate is very responsible filmmaking financially that should do well and not loose much in failure, but outside the safest IP there is certainly no guarantee any of them will work, Daddy home 2 feel the safest but a lot comedy sequel failed recently.

[Plain Old Tele]

1 minute ago, narniadis said:

 

Where is the crowd that kept insisting this film would have legs? I said on Friday it would be downhill everyday but the Fridays and those would barely increase enough to keep drops from being catastrophic. headed to a minimum -75% this weekend and it will barely top 6m for the weekend if at all.

 

/raises hand

 

I was wrong.

[Barnack]

11 minutes ago, Jonwo said:

 

My money's on Warner Bros but Annapurna or Fox wouldn't surprise me

 

A bit like Craig returning being the most probable to me, I would say even if Sony has less chance than the rest of complete field, they are probably the number one candidate, the franchise did so incredibly well under them (outside the writers strike one) that they would not change, friction will come from Sony actually wanting to make real money of what become a giant world franchise after Casino Royal success.

[Zakiyyah6]

6 minutes ago, narniadis said:

 

Where is the crowd that kept insisting this film would have legs? I said on Friday it would be downhill everyday but the Fridays and those would barely increase enough to keep drops from being catastrophic. headed to a minimum -75% this weekend and it will barely top 6m for the weekend if at all.

 

Compton was the exception to the rule that says heavily urban audience friendly movies are way frontloaded - particularly if there is no cross-over appeal.

It didn't help that the reviews were terrible.

[BeastByTheBay]

1 hour ago, Daxtreme said:

 

What will happen when Wonder Woman beats... herself in Batman v Superman? 

 

The gif of the scene where Doomsday knocks her down and she smiles will be most appropriate 

[John Marston]

1 hour ago, Southern European Guy said:

But if you ask Deadline, it's the biggest disaster to ever see the face of Earth. Btw, I saw the movie and I hated it. However, hyperbole is hyperbole.

 

 

 

The Mummy will make 80m domestic and over 400m worldwide. While it is a terrible movie it seems I can't see how it is a flop

[John Marston]

Edge of Tomorrow will have a gross that is less than The Mummy on a bigger budget, yet I don't remember many articles about that one being a flop

[Plain Old Tele]

2 minutes ago, John Marston said:

Edge of Tomorrow will have a gross that is less than The Mummy on a bigger budget, yet I don't remember many articles about that one being a flop

 

People get awfully eager to use the F-word when they don't like a movie.  

[Zakiyyah6]

Edge of Tomorrow and Star Trek Beyond were both flops. I think the only reason they didn't garner articles like Tarzan and The Mummy did is because the reviews were decent to good.

[narniadis]

15 minutes ago, Telemachos said:

 

/raises hand

 

I was wrong.

 

LOL old timer get a pass.... oh wait what am I doing

 

I just find it funny that this was the film that behaves like normal but folks expected to buck a trend. Good thing I didn't include it in my summer game unlike some other films (Baywatch and CU, I am looking at you!)

[a2k]

7 minutes ago, John Marston said:

 

 

The Mummy will make 80m domestic and over 400m worldwide. While it is a terrible movie it seems I can't see how it is a flop

 

the-numbers.com is also using 195 as the production budget. That makes a flop at 400m ww imo. Wonder what back-end Cruise gonna take away.

 

Quote

The Mummy remained on top of the international box office chart, but it fell more than 60% to $53.0 million in 68 markets for totals of $239.1 million internationally and $296.2 million worldwide. The film opened in first place in France, but with just $3.0 million on 615 screens. Its biggest market overall was China, where it was down 77% to $11.63 million over the weekend for a two-week total of $81.62 million. Its best market is arguably South Korea, where it added $3.73 million on 933 screens over the weekend for a two-week total of $23.64 million. The only major market left for the film is Japan, where it opens at the end of the month. It is on pace for about $400 million worldwide, which is not enough to pay for its $195 million production budget. Even if it is a bigger than expected hit on the home market, it will have trouble covering its combined production and advertising budget, which is at least $300 million.

http://www.the-numbers.com/news/222870830-International-Box-Office-The-Mummy-Tumbles-Still-Tops-Chart-with-53-0-million

 

[narniadis]

1 minute ago, Zakiyyah6 said:

Edge of Tomorrow and Star Trek Beyond were both flops. I think the only reason they didn't garner articles like Tarzan and The Mummy did is because the reviews were decent to good.

 

Neither was a flop they underperformed but sheesh quit using a word that doesn't belong.