Weekend Thread 7/7-7/9 | ABSOLUTELY NO SPOILERS ALLOWED | SMH 117M, DM3 34M, BD 12.5M, WW 10.1M, TF5 6.3M, Biggus Dickus 3.65

[grim22]

Thinking Deadline's first update will be "Targeting 40M Friday" and it will end close to 50. Let's see how close I can predict Deadline

With that I'm out till late afternoon for client purposes, hopefully we get good numbers and the summer of superheroes continues rolling along.

[titanic2187]

2 minutes ago, baumer said:

Since there has been an overwhelming response to the contest, I'll make it top two closest gets a gold account for a month.

 

@Biggestgeekever 53.8

@cannastop 49.63

@Brainbug 46.234

@Finnick 48.5

@franfar 45.0

@Mrglass2 58.0

75live:  129.3 (obviously thought it was for OW)

greyghost:  65.9

Dman7:  70.0

Nova:  45.6

bladels:  51.3

The Stun:  104.7 (thought it was OW)

Rman823:  48.7

BKB:  145-150....not a qualifying prediction even if it was for OW

Keanu:  45.967

Dar:  46.8

eddyxx:  55.0

Gambitpool:  53.4

Yourmother:  42.25

druv10:  55.6

Wrathofhan:  42.0

Panda:  39.874

CoolEric:  46.83

TheDarkAlfred:  41.318

TheFastand Furiosa:  .$40.2

ViceVersa:  57.19

DeeCee:  58.0

Fancyarcher:  44.0

aabattery:  57.69

MikeQ:  46.0

KeepItU25071906:  43.0

damnitgeorge08 :  46.0

Wrath:  43.0

Gokaired:  51.58

Zakiyyah6 : 46.5

FlashMaster659 :  47.6

Blankments:  42.124

jb007:  48.8

Zeesoh:  45.6

fmpro:  127.7 (weekend prediction)

Matrix4you:  50.01

damienroc:  43.33

jj99:  46.5

marekthejedi:  129 (weekend prediction)

 

Here are all the predictions.  To those of you who sent weekend predictions, I apologize but this is for the opening day.  Fear not, there will more opportunities in the coming weeks.  

 

Good luck to all of you !

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

my prediction just get overlooked although it's a mistake of posting the OW prediction........

[Nova]

I said this when I saw SMH at a screening last week but this movie is going to have insane WOM. The main thing this movie has going for it, is that it's an extremely crowd pleasing film. The GA is going to eat this movie up. 

 

[Arlborn]

I said 138M earlier but after some calculations:

 

pre: 15.4

 

friday: 51.26

 

sat - 8% = 47.16

 

Sun - 20% = 37.73

 

3 day = 136.15 M

[KJsooner]

I still laugh that people EVER thought there was a superhero fatigue. It's not happening anytime soon. Lol

[zapzapped]

21 hours ago, PRESIDENT BKB said:

In the day and age where we have theatres with 15-20 Screens with a blockbuster showing on the hour, by the hour, that purchasing tickets for a movie in advance isn't necessary and is really only used to generate hype for the movie.. Hell, even for The FORCE AWAKENS, I didn't have to purchase advance tickets and merely walked up to the window and yet, it still made what it did with or without the use of advance tickets.. To me, it's simply used as a marketing gimmick..

 

It depends on where you live. Live in a major city and dont get advanced tickets for thursday or friday night and you wont be seeing the movie.

[WrathOfHan]

This is going to be #1 for two weeks in a row  

[fabiopazzo2]

2 minutes ago, WrathOfHan said:

This is going to be #1 for two weeks in a row  

Probably but dont understimate the power of the apes :0

[franfar]

2 minutes ago, KJsooner said:

I still laugh that people EVER thought there was a superhero fatigue. It's not happening anytime soon. Lol

It's more like bad/unnecessary movie fatigue

[titanic2187]

march, june and july have all kicked off with the above tracking CBM movies.....Is DM3 a July release? anyway, it's came in way below tracking....

[Cochofles]

12 minutes ago, Spidey Freak said:

Awesome start for Spidey.

 

And WW making 2M inspite of SMH previews is amazing too. The first sign of Peter and Diana perfectly coexisting?

 Confirmed: Wonder Woman & Spider-Man  in 2024...

[Subzero]

8 minutes ago, baumer said:

Since there has been an overwhelming response to the contest, I'll make it top two closest gets a gold account for a month.

 

@Biggestgeekever 53.8

@cannastop 49.63

@Brainbug 46.234

@Finnick 48.5

@franfar 45.0

@Mrglass2 58.0

75live:  129.3 (obviously thought it was for OW)

greyghost:  65.9

Dman7:  70.0

Nova:  45.6

bladels:  51.3

The Stun:  104.7 (thought it was OW)

Rman823:  48.7

BKB:  145-150....not a qualifying prediction even if it was for OW

Keanu:  45.967

Dar:  46.8

eddyxx:  55.0

Gambitpool:  53.4

Yourmother:  42.25

druv10:  55.6

Wrathofhan:  42.0

Panda:  39.874

CoolEric:  46.83

TheDarkAlfred:  41.318

TheFastand Furiosa:  .$40.2

ViceVersa:  57.19

DeeCee:  58.0

Fancyarcher:  44.0

aabattery:  57.69

MikeQ:  46.0

KeepItU25071906:  43.0

damnitgeorge08 :  46.0

Wrath:  43.0

Gokaired:  51.58

Zakiyyah6 : 46.5

FlashMaster659 :  47.6

Blankments:  42.124

jb007:  48.8

Zeesoh:  45.6

fmpro:  127.7 (weekend prediction)

Matrix4you:  50.01

damienroc:  43.33

jj99:  46.5

marekthejedi:  129 (weekend prediction)

 

Here are all the predictions.  To those of you who sent weekend predictions, I apologize but this is for the opening day.  Fear not, there will more opportunities in the coming weeks.  

 

Good luck to all of you !

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

@baumer I had mine @ 51M OD, I not only IM you but also posted on this board way back last night. Thanks

[a2k]

WONDR did great considering SM:H's previews were huge.

 

9m weekend looks legit : 

2.8 (+40%) + 3.55 (+27%) + 2.65 (-25%) = 9.0 (-42.7%)

[baumer]

3 hours ago, MikeQ said:

That's big. Now it's about seeing how it pans out over the weekend... the same share of opening day from previews as Ant-Man means a $54.5 million opening day for Spidey. The same as GOTG Vol. 2 means $51 million. Maybe I'm way off, but I think a $50+ million opening day is very likely. 

 

Preview Grosses for Some Comic Book Films and the Share of Opening Day

 

Title / Preview Gross / Share of Opening Day

 

The Dark Knight Rises (2012) — 30.6 million (40.4%)

Batman v Superman: Dawn of Justice (2016) — 27.7 million (34.0%)

Avengers: Age of Ultron (2015) — 27.6 million (32.7%)

Captain America: Civil War (2016) — 25 million (33.1%)

Suicide Squad (2016) — 20.5 million (31.6%)

Marvel's The Avengers (2012) — 18.7 million (23.1%)

The Dark Knight (2008) — 18.5 million (27.5%)

Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2 (2017) — 17 million (30.2%)

Iron Man 3 (2013) — 15.6 million (22.7%)

Spider-Man: Homecoming (2017) — 15.4 million (TBD)

Deadpool (2016) — 12.7 million (26.8%)

Guardians of the Galaxy (2014) — 11.2 million (29.6%)

Wonder Woman (2017) — 11 million (28.3%)

Captain America: The Winter Soldier (2014) — 10.2 million (27.6%)

Doctor Strange (2016) — 9.4 million (28.8%)

The Amazing Spider-Man 2 (2014) — 8.7 million (24.7%)

 

Peace,

Mike

 

Awesome stuff Mike.....but where'd you get the preview info?

[That One Girl]

Following multipliers:

 

Wonder Woman - $144,552,059

GOTG 2 - $132,720,918

Logan - $143,320,369

 

Edited July 7, 2017 by That One Guy

[75Live]

10 minutes ago, baumer said:

Since there has been an overwhelming response to the contest, I'll make it top two closest gets a gold account for a month.

 

 

 

doh!!  that's what I get for reading too quickly at work.  OH well, now  can relax and  know I won't win since I messed up and said OW    

[FTF]

5 minutes ago, baumer said:

 

That would be an insane multiplier for a 7th film.  If it opens to 120 million, you are giving it a 3.4 multiplier to get there.  I just don't see that happening, no matter how good the WOM is.  

 

I agree...I mean no recent 7th film had a big ow and then a multi like that.  Like imagine a 7th film with an ow twice that even!  Would awaken some forceful feelings in me. 

 

I know it's not really comparable but still lol  

[baumer]

3 hours ago, titanic2187 said:

my prediction just get overlooked although it's a mistake of posting the OW prediction........

 

I don't have your prediction in my inbox.  Did you pm it to me?

[eXtacy]

A small chance for 400m is still alive, especially if it hits above 130m+. One of the reasons I think WW did so well is because a lot of people held off opening weekend to see what the response was. With three average in a row receptions for SM films it might be a somewhat similar situation.

[Jonwo]

8 minutes ago, WrathOfHan said:

This is going to be #1 for two weeks in a row  

 

I wouldn't be surprised if Apes and Spider-Man are neck and neck. 

 

I imagine Universal will be looking to move SLOP2 away from Spider-Man Homecoming 2