Weekend Actuals (Page 32): THB 10.3M | Annabelle 7.7M | Leap 4.7M | Wind River 4.6M | Logan Lucky 4.2M | Dragon 2.7M | Where are the clowns, cults, and Cruise when you need them?

[TwoMisfits]

3 minutes ago, WrathOfHan said:

Leap grossed 210k last night. It took Weinstein long enough!

So definitely under Nut Job 2...probably under $5M, although we'll see as the empty weekend plays out...

[Maxmoser3]

Dead weekend. Next two weekends look about as boring as March 2000 or even the late 90's. but hey it's nice to see IT is getting a bigger projection, as it could be the best debut for an R-rated horror film.

[WrathOfHan]

@CJohn here's how my theater is doing today:

 

THB sold 28 and 54 seats for its first two shows! Tonight's 7:05 show has already sold 13 tickets.

LL sold 15 and 5. There's 2 tickets for the late afternoon show.

All Saints sold 12 and 17. The night is empty outside of the late show still.

Terminator sold 7 and 4. Tonight has 4 tickets so far

Dragon sold 5 and 10 for its two shows so far.

Leap sold 3 and 6. There's two tickets sold for an hour from now and 9 for the 5:30 show.

Emoji's first show sold 18 seats while the 2:00 one sold nothing. That was probably a group buyout.

Annabelle sold 8 and 1.

WW sold 3 for the afternoon show. The evening still has those two seats sold.

Dunkirk sold 3 in the morning.

SMH sold 6 and 3. The 3:45 show has sold 3 seats.

Nut Job sold nothing and 7.

DM3 hasn't sold anything all day.

[YM!]

6 minutes ago, Zakiyyah6 said:

I remember when Captain Underpants was supposed to be counter programing and it did fine for it's low budget but in no way harmed Wonder Woman, it got slaughtered by Wonder Woman as a matter of fact. The Star will suffer the same fate releasing under Justice League.

Dreamworks is also more of a brand name than Sony Animation too.

[TwoMisfits]

Just now, Zakiyyah6 said:

I remember when Captain Underpants was supposed to be counter programing and it did fine for it's low budget but in no way harmed Wonder Woman, it got slaughtered by Wonder Woman as a matter of fact. The Star will suffer the same fate releasing under Justice League.

Part of CU's problem was its "known" book quantity...it skewed to a definite small fan base (boys 5-10) and it wasn't a "parent winner" (I mean, does a mom really want to watch a principal in his underpants?) at a time where a more acceptable boy 3-9 year old property was opening 2 weeks later (Cars 3)...

 

Whatever can be said for The Star, it's a gender neutral draw...and one that could appeal to all ages, at least for those looking for holiday fare...it's also a multi-cultural, multi-generational voice acting draw so it opens up all ends of the audience...and it seems like it's promising to be a feel good movie...and feel good movies are doing pretty well this year...

 

So, til it's a definite that this is as bad or worse than Emoji, I'm not writing it off...although I am not in love with the open against JL, but then again, for this movie, legs will be everything...

 

Comparing it to this weekend's faith drawer is like comparing Spider-man HMC to F4...not even close to the same type or draw of movie...(and we know, also not close in quality, although that's gonna still be TBD for this one:)...

[YM!]

1 hour ago, Jonwo said:

Sony are throwing it to the wolves

for sure. It's not going to be like The Emoji Movie which had an empty August

I don't believe the whole empty August equals better legs. Minions had a free summer and had an under 3x multiple. Besides Faith based movies have solid legs no matter how bad, so something like $12M/$40M.

[Daxtreme]

1 hour ago, a2knet said:

Seemingly boring weekend, but apart from WONDR and DM3 expansions, am curious to see

 

(1) if SMH can continue it's streak of improving upon the last weekend drop each time:

 

Jul 7–9	1	$117,027,503	-	4,348	-	$26,915	$117,027,503	1
Jul 14–16	2	$44,205,210	-62.2%	4,348	-	$10,167	$207,275,524	2
Jul 21–23	3	$22,150,085	-49.9%	4,130	-218	$5,363	$251,851,666	3
Jul 28–30	5	$13,261,372	-40.1%	3,625	-505	$3,658	$278,168,177	4
Aug 4–6	6	$8,845,978	-33.3%	3,116	-509	$2,839	$294,953,754	5
Aug 11–13	7	$6,022,637	-31.9%	2,607	-509	$2,310	$306,376,331	6
Aug 18–20	7	$4,256,367	-29.3%	2,341	-266	$1,818	$314,057,748	7

 

(2) if ANNABELLE 2 and THB can both show great holds with a drop of around 45%.

 

(3) if WAR can finally drop sub-40%. 40-45% drop will give it ~143 cume (141.7 current + ~0.2 Thu + 1.1-1.2 weekend)

 

 

 

Gotta admire that recovery! Can it push past $325M?

[Outrageous!]

25 minutes ago, TwoMisfits said:

So definitely under Nut Job 2...probably under $5M, although we'll see as the empty weekend plays out...

29 minutes ago, WrathOfHan said:

Leap grossed 210k last night. It took Weinstein long enough!

 

I checked the theater count for Leap: 2,575, which I found very surprising that Weinstein would open a movie like that in so many theaters.  Whether because of contracts or not, it should find a spot somewhere on the chart for Worst Opening Weekend for a "Saturated" movie release (2,500+ theaters).

 

This weekend seems similar to those that typically appear in late October.  Late August and late October are among the times of the year when we get the very low opening weekend numbers.

[Webslinger]

The studios left August as a wasteland this year. The month is empty enough that any mid-range tentpole - something like March openers Logan and Kong - could have cleaned up if released in Dark Tower's slot.

[Jake Gittes]

25 minutes ago, Daxtreme said:

 

Gotta admire that recovery! Can it push past $325M?

 

It will. Question is whether it can crawl to 330

[CJohn]

47 minutes ago, WrathOfHan said:

@CJohn here's how my theater is doing today:

 

THB sold 28 and 54 seats for its first two shows! Tonight's 7:05 show has already sold 13 tickets.

LL sold 15 and 5. There's 2 tickets for the late afternoon show.

All Saints sold 12 and 17. The night is empty outside of the late show still.

Terminator sold 7 and 4. Tonight has 4 tickets so far

Dragon sold 5 and 10 for its two shows so far.

Leap sold 3 and 6. There's two tickets sold for an hour from now and 9 for the 5:30 show.

Emoji's first show sold 18 seats while the 2:00 one sold nothing. That was probably a group buyout.

Annabelle sold 8 and 1.

WW sold 3 for the afternoon show. The evening still has those two seats sold.

Dunkirk sold 3 in the morning.

SMH sold 6 and 3. The 3:45 show has sold 3 seats.

Nut Job sold nothing and 7.

DM3 hasn't sold anything all day.

WHAT.

A.

WEEKEND.

[aabattery]

What a tragic thread.

[raegr]

5 minutes ago, CJohn said:

WHAT.

A.

WEEKEND.

MARK.

[dxmatrixdt]

decent preview # for Leap!  Nut Job did 330k.  Applying OW/previews ratio to Leap! gives 5,308,743 for the weekend!   Taking off 10% because of all the factors affecting box office this weekend gives 4.78 weekend for Leap!

 

70k for All Saints is a little more than half of the 138k that The Glass Castle made.  Applying the OW/previews ratio to All Saints gives a 2.37 weekend.

 

OW/preview ratio with Mechanic: Resurrection gives Birth of the Dragon 3.82 million.

OW/preview ratio with Hitman: Agent 47 gives Birth of the Dragon 2,775,510.

Hitman would be more appropriate as it is the more frontloaded of the two.  Taking 10% off that comparison gives Dragon 2,497,959. 

 

Edited August 25, 2017 by Matrix4You

[TalismanRing]

44 minutes ago, Daxtreme said:

 

Gotta admire that recovery! Can it push past $325M?

 

SM:HC should be near that by the end of Labor Day.  Looking at $330-335m

[Slicknickshady]

People know how much I loved Leap! Shame it's not doing better. 

[CJohn]

27 minutes ago, raegr said:

MARK.

I am working myself into a shoot.

[FantasticBeasts]

[cannastop]

3 minutes ago, FantasticBeasts said:

[Slicknickshady]

I mean you have so many social media celebs tweeting about how great Leap! Is. Weinstein should have put that money to other use. 

 

I have a hard time time believing The Rock and Kardashians saw it. Lol. 

 

 

Anyway..I loved it. 

 

Heres my post from after I got out yesterday!

 

Just got out of Leap! Amazing film. It was so cute and well done. Including me 12 people in the 7:00 showing. 5 adults (Including me). 6 little girls. 1 little boy. 

 

But yes!! I highly recommend this movie. 10/10. I wish I had 30 Million so we could see a sequel! XD! I've tweeted the director so much on twitter. Haha. 

 

If you have little girls take them to see it! It's inspiring. Young boys will like it as well. Also, Victor and Felice are Relationship Goals! I loved Victors guy friend as well. Hillarious. 😂

 

So see it! 

 

Edited August 25, 2017 by Slicknickshady