Weekend Thread | Estimates: T:R 57.08M, DH2 29.65M, MOTOE 28.68M, ABMC 11.47M, 32.4K PTA for Lady Bird (Deadline, p.46) | The box office is good again!

[MrPink]

5 minutes ago, Christmas baumer said:

Kind of bummed IT is no longer being tracked.  Weird.

 

Not sure what you mean, you mean during the weekends? It has an actual with about $440k.

[cannastop]

7 minutes ago, Christmas baumer said:

Kind of bummed IT is no longer being tracked.  Weird.

After just 66 days? Real weird.

 

edit: Never mind, I just saw @MrPink's post.

Edited November 14, 2017 by cannastop

[MikeQ]

Looks like a pretty great second weekend for Thor to me, after opening to a huge $122.7 million in the age of large preview grosses.

 

2nd Weekends & Drops for Live Action Comic Book Movies that Opened to $70+ million 

 

Title (Year) — 2nd Weekend Gross (Drop from Opening Weekend)

 

1. Marvel’s The Avengers (2012) — 103.1 million (-50.3%)
2. Avengers: Age of Ultron (2015) — 77.7 million (-59.4%)
3. The Dark Knight (2008) — 75.2 million (-52.5%)
4. Captain America: Civil War (2016) — 72.6 million (-59.5%)
5. Iron Man 3 (2013) — 72.5 million (-58.4%)
6. Spider-Man (2002) — 71.4 million (-37.8%)
7. Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2 (2017) — 65.3 million (-55.5%)
8. The Dark Knight Rises (2012) — 62.1 million (-61.4%)
9. Wonder Woman (2017) — 58.5 million (-43.3%) 
10. Spider-Man 3 (2007) — 58.2 million (-61.5%)
11. Thor: Ragnarok (2017) — 57.1 million (-53.5%)
12. Deadpool (2016) — 56.5 million (-57.4%)
13. Iron Man 2 (2010) — 52.0 million (-59.4%)
14. Batman v Superman: Dawn of Justice (2016) — 51.3 million (-69.1%)
15. Iron Man (2008) — 51.2 million (-48.1%)
16. Spider-Man 2 (2004) — 45.2 million (-48.7%)*
17. Spider-Man: Homecoming (2017) — 44.2 million (-62.2%)
18. Suicide Squad (2016) — 43.5 million (-67.4%)
19. Doctor Strange (2016) — 43.0 million (-49.5%)
20. Guardians of the Galaxy (2014) — 42.1 million (-55.3%)
21. Captain America: The Winter Soldier (2014) — 41.3 million (-56.6%)
22. Man of Steel (2013) — 41.3 million (-64.6%)**
23. X2: X-Men United (2003) — 40.0 million (-53.2%)
24. Logan (2017) — 38.1 million (-56.9%)
25. Thor: The Dark World (2013) — 36.6 million (-57.3%)
26. The Amazing Spider-Man 2 (2014) — 35.5 million (-61.2%)
27. X-Men: The Last Stand (2006) — 34.0 million (-66.9%)^
28. 300 (2007) — 32.9 million (-53.6%)
29. X-Men: Days of Future Past (2014) — 32.6 million (-64.2%)^
30. X-Men Origins: Wolverine (2009) — 26.4 million (-69.0%)

 

*Opened on a Wednesday
**Opened on Father’s Day Weekend
^Opened on Memorial Day Weekend

 

Peace,

Mike

Edited November 14, 2017 by MikeQ

[Krissykins]

I was wondering why Grace Randolph said Thor 3 had the best 2nd weekend drop of the MCU. Avengers, Iron Man and Doctor Strange all dropped less. 

[stripe]

1 hour ago, Krissykins said:

I was wondering why Grace Randolph said Thor 3 had the best 2nd weekend drop of the MCU. Avengers, Iron Man and Doctor Strange all dropped less. 

 

What about best 2nd weekend drop for a sequel in MCU? Still awesome

[baumer]

9 hours ago, MrPink said:

 

Not sure what you mean, you mean during the weekends? It has an actual with about $440k.

 

It wasn't there when I looked before.  But they aren't tracking it daily anymore.  

[MCKillswitch123]

Impressive Sunday hold for Thor, to say the least. Despite the massive Sat bump, it still held better than Dr. Strange on 2nd Sunday. I still don't see a sub-60% drop for next weekend, but 300M+ is locked at this point. Unbelievable..... I sure didn't see that coming, I have to admit. Hell, I was skeptical about Homecoming doing it, nevermind Thor fucking 3. Really good holds also for Bad Moms, Blade Runner and, of all movies, Jigsaw (who would've thunk this would have a better multiplier than Happy Death Day?).

 

Sad that Murder didn't surpass Daddy's Home 2, but nevertheless, both of their openings are fantastic. Paramount definitely needed that win for them, as their year has been Godawful (their 2016 looks like their 2011 by comparison). And Sir Branagh has now a big franchise to play with..... although Murder may have mixed wom, but I still see it legging it out to 85-90M (it's an adult thriller, after all).

 

But the highlight of the weekend may be Lady Bird. That PTA in 37 screens..... Holy fucking Shit, what a monster. Three Billboards also did great.

15 hours ago, CJohn said:

@MCKillswitch123 http://www.ica-ip.pt/fotos/downloads/ranking_fds_9_a_12_novembro_2017_150385a0978ad86a58.pdf

 

Murder On Orient Express easily takes over the box office in Portugal. Breathe's PTA

Yeah, that's a pretty solid result for Murder. Ragnarok nearing 1M pleases me, too.

 

What baffles me (well, not really, given how we eat the shit up disaster porn + Gerard Butler) is Geostorm doing as well as it's doing  

[That One Girl]

lmfao the fudge is real

 

83

120

Tulip Fever

Wein.

$1,521

+564.2%

1

-3

$1,521

$2,420,521

[MrGlass2]

32 minutes ago, MCKillswitch123 said:

 

What baffles me (well, not really, given how we eat the shit up disaster porn + Gerard Butler) is Geostorm doing as well as it's doing

Nothing surprising about that, quality is rewarded.

[SteveJaros]

On 11/12/2017 at 7:09 PM, Walt Disney said:

You keep saying you love Disney, but every single thing you say is anti-Disney. I doubt anyone believes you.

 

Don't confuse hopes with expectations. Emotionally, I want Disney's movies to succeed. E.g., I'm happy that TR has turned out to be a box office success because I like the MCU generally and the Thor movies in particular, including this one. But my head tells me that Justice League is going to beat TR and Coco combined at the DOM box office over the next month or so. 

 

To give a sports example, if I'm a Vanderbilt University alumni and supporter of its football team, i will root for them and hope they beat Alabama. But my brain says "Alabama will win by 4 touchdowns". That doesn't make me a Vandy hater, just a realist.

[WrathOfHan]

1 minute ago, SteveJaros said:

 

Don't confuse hopes with expectations. Emotionally, I want Disney's movies to succeed. E.g., I'm happy that TR has turned out to be a box office success because I like the MCU generally and the Thor movies in particular, including this one. But my head tells me that Justice League is going to beat TR and Coco combined at the DOM box office over the next month or so. 

 

To give a sports example, if I'm a Vanderbilt University alumni and supporter of its football team, i will root for them and hope they beat Alabama. But my brain says "Alabama will win by 4 touchdowns". That doesn't make me a Vandy hater, just a realist.

Your predictions aren't realistic, hon. 

Edited November 14, 2017 by WrathOfHan

[Brainbug]

1 minute ago, SteveJaros said:

 

Don't confuse hopes with expectations. Emotionally, I want Disney's movies to succeed. E.g., I'm happy that TR has turned out to be a box office success because I like the MCU generally and the Thor movies in particular, including this one. But my head tells me that Justice League is going to beat TR and Coco combined at the DOM box office over the next month or so. 

 

To give a sports example, if I'm a Vanderbilt University alumni and supporter of its football team, i will root for them and hope they beat Alabama. But my brain says "Alabama will win by 4 touchdowns". That doesn't make me a Vandy hater, just a realist.

 

So much wrong with this.

 

Don't confuse hopes with expectations - If only you would post your hopes. Instead its always just some bad reasoning as to why a Disney film will underperform.

 

Emotionally, I want Disney's movies to succeed - Fantastic. Such a shame that you arent able to bring that across in any of your posts except the ones like these where you try to defend your bad reasoning.

 

Justice League is going to beat TR and Coco combined at the DOM box office over the next month or so - Its fine to make this prediction, though its not happening. But this is the core of everything that is wrong with your Disney predictions: You never give a reason, why Disney movie X wil underperform. Its always a feeling or your head - not very convincing. I for one think Coco will do 160-220M, based on its lack of hype and buzz, low trailer views and the fact, that it doesnt offer anything really new on the table - while still delivering good enough numbers based on its great critical reception and it beeing the only real family film in the next 3 weeks. Id be happy to have a conversation with you why you think JL will overperform on that scale (Thor: 320M + Coco 180M = 500, Nope). Instead, it always comes across as trolling when you are making your (nearly always wrong) predictions).

 

What is your TLJ prediction? 10M?

 

 

 

 

 

 

[aabattery]

SteveJaros has actually got it right. 

 

Star Wars isn't going to make any money, because it is Fake News.

 

Cars 3 is also Fake News and made no money because c'mon, no one would make that movie.

[RichWS]

 

5 hours ago, SteveJaros said:

But my head tells me that Justice League is going to beat TR and Coco combined at the DOM box office over the next month or so. 

 

 

[cookie]

1 minute ago, RichWS said:

 

 

 

Saving this gif for future use.

[baumer]

If Thor makes 325 mill and Coco makes 150 million, then JL needs to make 475+.  You guys can laugh at him all you want, but it's not out of the realm of possibility.  

[Plain Old Tele]

Just now, Christmas baumer said:

If Thor makes 325 mill and Coco makes 150 million, then JL needs to make 475+.  You guys can laugh at him all you want, but it's not out of the realm of possibility.  

 

Yes it is.

 

[baumer]

3 hours ago, Squadron Leader Tele said:

 

 

  Hide contents

Yes it is.

 

 

 

You've seen the future?  

[Plain Old Tele]

1 minute ago, Christmas baumer said:

 

You've seen the future?  

 

Yessir.  

[a2k]

5 hours ago, SteveJaros said:

 

Don't confuse hopes with expectations. Emotionally, I want Disney's movies to succeed. E.g., I'm happy that TR has turned out to be a box office success because I like the MCU generally and the Thor movies in particular, including this one. But my head tells me that Justice League is going to beat TR and Coco combined at the DOM box office over the next month or so. 

...my head tells me that SW8 is going to beat the next two biggest Nov-Dec films combined. So SW8 > JL + THOR3