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WrathOfHan

Weekend Actuals (Page 80) | Black Panther 111.7M | Game Night 17M | Peter Rabbit 12.8M | Annihilation 11.1M | Fifty Shades Freed 7.1M | Jumanji 5.7M

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5 minutes ago, Ledmonkey96 said:

WoW that's a good day..... i wonder if it'll be able to stay around 40mil to beat JW's Sunday as well, 10% drop is pretty feasible right? 

Not after opening weekend. There’s no Monday holiday to boost the Sunday this time. I believe Jurassic World’s second Sunday was also Father’s Day, which is the reason for its 2% drop 

Edited by The Fast and the Furiosa
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Holy crap, I was joking with the 46.9. Even if it ends up a bit below this early estimate with, say, 44, It would be comfortably above the Avengers for 2nd best 2nd Sat, and could beat JW for 2nd best 2nd weekend with a 22% Sunday drop or so.        

 

Also looks pretty hard to miss 100 now— you’d need today to come in well below and/or a pretty weak Sunday drop.

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While we cannot know for sure, expecting or hoping for a Sunday drop under 25% is setting yourself up for big disappointment. Should come in around -30% at the least. However, the 100m weekend could theoretically inflate it some. 

 

As other noted, fathers day was on JWs 2nd Sunday so you cannot in anyway compare them. 

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105 would be a 48% drop, which I believe only puts it behind Spider-man, Thor, and Wonder Woman for 21st century CBM second weekend holds. If it can hit 107m, it will beat Thor's (inexplicable) best second weekend hold in the MCU. 

Edited by MovieMan89
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1 minute ago, MovieMan89 said:

105 would be a 48% drop, which I believe only puts it behind Spider-man, Thor, and Wonder Woman for 21st century CBM second weekend holds. 

SM had no previews. Even Thor in 2011 had lower % of previews compared to OW. It's Novermber weekdays didn't take away much from the 2nd weekend. But like with Wonder Woman, BP had very strong Mon-Thu cume (in it's case due to insane 40m on Monday; in Wondy's case due to mid-Summer) which satiates some demand before the 2nd weekend. So their drops are more creditable imo. That DP fell 57% and then had good legs shows BP can have a 650 dom run after falling 10 points less.

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1 minute ago, a2knet said:

SM had no previews. Even Thor in 2011 had lower % of previews compared to OW. It's Novermber weekdays didn't take away much from the 2nd weekend. But like with Wonder Woman, BP had very strong Mon-Thu cume (in it's case due to insane 40m on Monday; in Wondy's case due to mid-Summer) which satiates some demand before the 2nd weekend. So their drops are more creditable imo. That DP fell 57% and then had good legs shows BP can have a 650 dom run after falling 10 points less.

With the ridiculously weak March slate ahead, who really knows what it could do. A Winkle in Time isn't even direct competition no matter what it does. Sub 50% second weekend is already crazy for a CBM

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