Weekend Thread: Weekend Actuals - JW: $60.91M - I2: 46.42M - Sicario: $19.00M - Uncle Drew: $15.24M

[dxmatrixdt]

Jurassic World - 17.44 (+38%) 24.1 (-24%) 18.36 - 59.9 - 264.69

Incredibles 2 - 13.63 (+31%) 17.9 (-21%) 14.07 - 45.6 - 439.78

Sicario 2 - 5.49 (+13%) 6.2 (-22%) 4.81 - 16.5 - 18.5

Uncle Drew - 5.03 (+22%) 5.2 (-22%) 4.07 - 14.3 - 15.4

Ocean's 8 - 2.41 (+37%) 3.3 (-28%) 2.39 - 8.1 - 114.77

 

TAG - 1.70 (+35%) 2.30 (-26%) 1.70 - 5.70 - 40.95

Deadpool 2 - 0.99 (+43%) 1.42 (-27%) 1.04 - 3.45 - 310.35

Solo: Star Wars - 0.70 (+43%) 1.00 (-25%) 0.75 - 2.45 - 207.44

Sanju - 0.77 (+21%) 0.93 (-19%) 0.75 - 2.45 - 2.45

Neighbor - 0.65 (+38%) 0.90 (-22%) 0.70  - 2.25 - 7.45

Hereditary - 0.66 (+29%) 0.85 (-25%) 0.64 - 2.15 - 39.27

Infinity War - 0.42 (+45%) 0.61 (-25%) 0.47 - 1.50 - 672.58

Superfly - 0.41 (+44%) 0.59 (-24%) 0.45 - 1.45 - 18.43

Book Club - 0.18 (+50%) 0.27 (-26%) 0.20 - 0.65 - 66.10

[a2k]

high 30s bump @narniadis 

 

Needs very strong Sunday to hit 60 but shouldn't fall below 59 (-60.1%):

17.44 + 24.10 (+38.2%) + 17.46 (-27.6%) = 59.0

 

JW1 added 2.35x the 2nd weekend to it's cume and that weekend was inflated by FD Sunday. Even accounting for seqeuqlitis JW2 should manage to add atleast 2.15x the 2nd weekend to it's cume if not more. That gives it 391dom assuming a 59 weekend / 264 10-day.

[SchumacherFTW]

Hope Sanju has enough in the tank to leap frog Solo. Really good film. 

[a2k]

Dom+China+Japan should be at least 700 for JW2 with something like 391+254+55 imo. That 55 from Japan is pretty conservative honestly looking at how JW2 has held from JW1 in that region. 55 is >20% drop from JW1. 60+ should happen in reality.

 

Either way, that leaves it needing 500 from OS-China-Japan for 1200 ww and don't think it's gonna miss that. After last weekend OS estimates was thinking 485+ OS-China-Japan and then weekend actuals came out to be 6 higher than estimated with all the underestimation coming from OS-China. 1225 ww is a realistic milestone, -27% from JW1's 1671 ww.

[TalismanRing]

3 minutes ago, a2k said:

Dom+China+Japan should be at least 700 for JW2 with something like 391+254+55 imo. That 55 from Japan is pretty conservative honestly looking at how JW2 has held from JW1 in that region. 55 is >20% drop from JW1. 60+ should happen in reality.

 

Either way, that leaves it needing 500 from OS-China-Japan for 1200 ww and don't think it's gonna miss that. After last weekend OS estimates was thinking 485+ OS-China-Japan and then weekend actuals came out to be 6 higher than estimated with all the underestimation coming from OS-China. 1225 ww is a realistic milestone, -27% from JW1's 1671 ww.

Japan though is different from other Asian markets in that it's not an expanding one.    It's more akin to Europe in that regard.    The difference is Japan follows the beat of it's own drummer.

[Krissykins]

I think it will be huge in Japan

 

Did you see Chris Pratt’s instagram story there?? 

 

There was an hour long parade with the cast in the girospheres 

[IronJimbo]

3 hours ago, AJG said:

 

@IronJimbo

 

Akila will be lucky to invoke any emotion within filmgoers.

 

Uncle Drew brings out the passion in people, yet you still think it’ll lose???

Alita will invoke emotion because it's a Jim script, which by default talks to the heart.

 

 

[Jonwo]

Ocean’s 8 is having a solid run, it has a chance of becoming the second highest Ocean’s film 

[baumer]

11 minutes ago, Jonwo said:

Ocean’s 8 is having a solid run, it has a chance of becoming the second highest Ocean’s film 

 

It's pretty much locked to get past O12

[baumer]

4 hours ago, MattW said:

Because of the movie or the audience

 

The movie.

[boxofficeth]

With Ocean's 8 sexy legs, Ocean's 9 and 10 should be under way to make it another trilogy.

[narniadis]

@a2k I will be curious to see if the Tuesday  / Saturday pattern keeps up as we move deeper into summer. Regardless, a very solid Saturday at the box office and JW is on the cusp of 60m.... 

[SteveJaros]

7 hours ago, ZeeSoh said:

I have lived (actually lived, not just visited) in countries where the temperature goes as high as 120F with high humidity and more and in countries where temperature can go as low as -30F or lower with wind chill. Believe me it is far far easier to spend more time outside in that low of a temperature as long as you are dressed appropriately. But when temp goes 120F or more it becomes unbearable really quickly outside (especially with high humidity). 

 

Just curious - where on the earth is there 120F with high humidity? The places I'm aware of where the temperature reaches that high, like the mojave desert in the USA, the Arabian desert, the Australian interior, etc. are very dry, low humidity.

 

BTW, I am amused at people who say "I prefer 115 F with no humidity over 95 F with high humidity". I've lived the last 20 years in south Louisiana, where we have plenty of 95F/high humidity days. The whole area is basically a swamp, you can cut the summer air with a knife. That's bad, no doubt, but i can spend an hour outdoors in that mowing my lawn. 

But I've also spent months living in the summer in Phoenix, Arizona, with many days around 110 F - 115F and no humidity. Anyone who spends more than 15 minutes in that temperature is asking for serious trouble.

 

 

Edited July 1, 2018 by SteveJaros

[CJohn]

Really strong number for Sicario 2.

 

I hope JW2 somehow goes above 60M.

[sfran43]

 

Edited July 1, 2018 by sfran43

[CJohn]

I am expecting a 23-24M weekend for JW2 next weekend. 400M are beyond dead.

[sfran43]

 

[TalismanRing]

9 minutes ago, sfran43 said:

 

$3.5k PTA.  Nice

 

Better than RBG at 370 theaters

[a2k]

12 minutes ago, CJohn said:

I am expecting a 23-24M weekend for JW2 next weekend. 400M are beyond dead.

that would be another 60% drop. ant-man2 won't cause that much damage imo. i2 will take a hit as a cbm if anything.

 

I think 51-54% drop for jw2 for 27-29 3rd weekend is likely (using 59 2nd weekend vs 60 that uni is reporting).

[TalismanRing]

1 minute ago, a2k said:

that would be another 60% drop. ant-man2 won't cause that much damage imo. i2 will take a hit as a cbm if anything.

 

I think 51-54% drop for jw2 for 27-29 3rd weekend is likely (using 59 2nd weekend vs 60 that uni is reporting).

It's going to lose it's PLF and IMAX screens