Weekend Thread | Preview #s The Nun 5.4M, Peppermint 750k

[MrGlass2]

                                                       

                                

                                 

                                 

                                                          UN!

[MCKillswitch123]

HOLY SHIT, what an opening for The Nun. It had been said that it was going to open to 50M+ for quite a while now (@EmpireCity predicted it), but fucking hell, it's still surprising to see it actually do that, nevermind with the mediocre/bad reviews and wom it has. One can only imagine if there was some money left on the table as a result of those reviews, which is even scary to think about (no pun intended). Between It and now this, which are the two biggest OW's ever in September for the record, first weekend of Fall season is pretty much locked down to be the prime opening spot for WB/New Line horror tentpoles, kinda how Marvel kicks off Summer season in April/May.

 

Now release a The Nun: Creation with a better director in August to "redeem" this particular spin-off franchise, and watch more gallons of money fly down on your shoulders. The Crooked Man and The Conjuring 3 should follow, tbh. Don't really get Annabelle 3, though, but whatever.

[a2k]

Meg's 6 weekend is very strong thanks to a huge Sat bump. 131.57 cume locks 143-144 (6*2 more).

 

4

THE MEG Warner Bros. 3,511

$1,350,000 +228.9% / $385 $126,892,774 / 29

$3,020,000 +123.7% / $860 $129,912,774 / 30

$1,660,000 -45% / $473 $131,572,774 / 31

 

Only CRA and CROBIN had a better hold in top 20 (ignoring theater bumps)

[Marathon]

2 hours ago, Jake Gittes said:

Did Christopher Robin just straight up bomb internationally or does it have any magic markets left to open in?

According to imdb it has quite a few markets still left:

 

Australia	13 September 2018
Japan	14 September 2018
New Zealand	20 September 2018
Spain	28 September 2018
South Korea	3 October 2018
Argentina	11 October 2018
Denmark	11 October 2018
Finland	12 October 2018
Lithuania	12 October 2018
Sweden	12 October 2018
Portugal	18 October 2018
Estonia	19 October 2018
France	24 October 2018

[Maxmoser3]

Nice to see something other than a superhero movie by Disney do better than expected numbers, and The Nun will probably now do $110 million domestic. Considering that horror movies are sparking up big since last year. 

 

Crazy Rich Asians still strong, and if it does $200 million somehow that wouldn’t be surprising. But still it’s a nice profit for WB.

 

Peppermint’s debut is more ok than horrendous or even outstanding. If it’s budget is really $25 million then I’d say it’s a small hit considering outside of Taken Director Pierre Morel has had films not even make the $25 million mark domestically, and the fact that Jennifer Garner isnt a big marquee name like she with Alias and such. $30-$35 million shouldn’t be too bad. 

 

The Meg still doing better than expected, it should pass $500 million worldwide next weekend and prove to be a massive profit for Warner Bros in their amazing 3rd quarter! 

 

Searching dropped fine, but should only do $20 million domestic(if that).

 

Mission Impossible: Fallout still holding strong as it’s now the highest grossing Mission Impossible worldwide and should become the highest grossing Mission Impossible domestic very soon(without ticket inflation).

 

Christopher Robin is still alive and should hold up strong for the next few weeks as family movies are stale this fall(with the exception of Smallfoot or House With A Clock In It’s Walls). So Disney will have it close to or just above $100 million when it ends it run in late November/early December.

 

Operation Finale is a small stinker but held so-so. May make $20 million, but not enough to break-even per say.

 

Alpha passing $30 million is pretty good, but may be hit in the next few weeks. $35-$40 million(hopefully $40 million is still alive). 

 

BlackKKlansmen had its biggest drop yet this weekend! Overall it’s still a big hit considering director Spike Lee’s recent track record, and could make $50 million domestic. 

 

God Bless The Broken Road seemed more less cursed than blessed. It will be in theaters for a few weeks and make $5 million if lucky.

 

Incredibles 2 was hit hard after it’s amazing expansion. It’s still enjoying a nice happy healthy run! 

 

Next weekend projections: still appears to be typical September at its best with The Predator more likely debuting in the $21-$24 million range akin to Resident Evil.

 

A Simple Favor will probably do between $9-$12 million. 

 

White Boy Rick will do $5-$7 million.

 

And Unbroken 2 will do $2 million.

[KJsooner]

2 hours ago, Jake Gittes said:

@KJsooner

 

Edited September 9, 2018 by KJsooner

[KJsooner]

On 9/8/2018 at 6:52 AM, aabattery said:

 

 

Right here. 

Edited September 9, 2018 by KJsooner

[Valonqar]

Can someone please tweet Boxoffice.com and BOM about BlacKKKlnasman mistake? It's 2.6M not 1.6M. 

[MaxAggressor]

1 hour ago, MrGlass2 said:

                                                       

                                

                                 

                                 

                                                          UN!

Edit

Edited September 9, 2018 by MaxAggressor

[Jake Gittes]

20 minutes ago, KJsooner said:

 

Welcome to how box office works. 

[estebanJ]

Warner Bros ... The Meg then Crazy Rich Asians and now The Nun? The WB is killing it right now while the Mouse sleeps through the late summer, LOL.

[TalismanRing]

8

7

Disney's Christopher Robin

BV

$807,000

-50%

-60%

2,518

$320

$91,725,090

Ah... Disney and it's consistently pessimistic projected Sunday drops.  

Do they think CR will be hit particularly hard by Sunday football?   

 

Edited September 9, 2018 by TalismanRing

[Valonqar]

11 minutes ago, estebanJ said:

Warner Bros ... The Meg then Crazy Rich Asians and now The Nun? The WB is killing it right now while the Mouse sleeps through the late summer, LOL.

Mouse never sleeps, Mouse plots WB acquisition. 

[Ezen Baklattan]

The Little Stranger dropped 84% this weekend.

 

OOF.

[KeepItU25071906]

12 minutes ago, TalismanRing said:

8

7

Disney's Christopher Robin

BV

$807,000

-50%

-60%

2,518

$320

$91,725,090

Ah... Disney and it's consistently pessimistic projected Sunday drops.  

Doe they think CR will be hit particularly hard by Sunday football?   

Maybe I'm wrong, but Mouse permanently underestimates Sunday for the Pooh since the second weekend.

[WrathOfHan]

Top 10 predictions for next week:

 

The Predator: 27M

The Nun: 16M

A Simple Favor: 13M

Crazy Rich Asians: 8.8M

Peppermint: 7.3M

White Boy Rick: 5M

The Meg: 3.3M

Searching: 3.1M

Unbroken 2: Path to Redemption: 3M

Christopher Robin: 2.2M

 

The 25-30M tracking range on The Predator feels right. Having ok reviews prevents it from breaking out of that range, but at least the movie doesn't seem to be totally shit.

The Nun is going to drop hard. The Conjuring 2 dropped 63%, and given this has the worst WOM in the series and is losing IMAX and PLF screens to a horror movie, I don't see any scenario where it drops under 60% (please let this post age well).

[KeepItU25071906]

2 minutes ago, WrathOfHan said:

The Conjuring 2 dropped 63%

 

In June. I think first Annabelle is the much better comparison for this.

 

8 minutes ago, Valonqar said:

Mouse never sleeps, Mouse plots WB acquisition. 

 

Disney buys Fox only cause Merdoch want to sell Fox. Think about it.

Edited September 9, 2018 by KeepItU25071906

[WrathOfHan]

Just now, KeepItU25071906 said:

In June.

It also had much better WOM than The Nun does, no IMAX, and much fewer PLF screens. If you want a non-summer Conjuring comp, Annabelle dropped 57%

Edited September 9, 2018 by WrathOfHan

[Valonqar]

3 minutes ago, KeepItU25071906 said:

In June. I think first Annabelle is the much better comparison for this.

 

 

Disney buys Fox only cause Merdoch want to sell Fox. Think about it.

they'll hypnotize WB honcho so that he wants to sell WB too. 

[Krissykins]

I think A Simple Favour will do better than expected next weekend