Weekend Thread | An Asgardian pops in on p.9 ~ HTTYD3 17m, A:BA 3.1m, IIR 2.2m

[Krissykins]

That number for Alita would be dreadful and kill any already slight chance of $100m. 

[MrFanaticGuy34]

8 minutes ago, YourMother the Edgelord said:

DreamWorks Animation’s How to Train Your Dragon: The Hidden World is looking really good with an estimated$15M today, including last night’s $3M, on its way to $52M-$54M for the weekend. That does not include the $2.5M from Fandango previews. The threequel released by Universal has about 26 Imax hubs and a good deal of PLFs working in its favor out of its 4,259 locations.

 

DHD

Hmm. That seems a little lower than HTTYD2’s $18M OD. 🤨

Edited February 22, 2019 by MrFanaticGuy34

[Bishop54]

3 minutes ago, Godzilla said:

Ouch 59% drop for Alita. 

It won't be that harsh. 

[Godzilla]

1 minute ago, MrFanaticGuy34 said:

Hmm. That seems a little lower than HTTYD2’s $18M OD. 🤨

HTTYD 2 had a summer release. 

[Brainbug]

I think Deadline is full of shit.

 

Both numbers will increase a steady amount. Dont quote me on this; if im wrong, i will just edit this post away. Like it was nothing, nothing more than a turd in the wind, a small glimmer of false hope.

[MrFanaticGuy34]

2 minutes ago, Godzilla said:

HTTYD 2 had a summer release. 

Fair enough. Though who knows how higher the OW (than DHD’s numbers) can be for this film?

[chuck0]

3 minutes ago, Brainbug said:

I think Deadline is full of shit.

 

Both numbers will increase a steady amount. Dont quote me on this; if im wrong, i will just edit this post away. Like it was nothing, nothing more than a turd in the wind, a small glimmer of false hope.

Is it usual that they do a weekend estimate before the studio reports thursday numbers?

[Brainbug]

Just now, chuck0 said:

Is it usual that they do a weekend estimate before the studio reports thursday numbers?

 

Yes. Especially in these last few years, Deadline makes their updates (nah, lets call them guesses) earlier and earlier.

 

They probably just want more headlines.

[lor15]

1 minute ago, chuck0 said:

Is it usual that they do a weekend estimate before the studio reports thursday numbers?

Yes, it is.

 

Good thing for Alita is that in can only go up from that number 😔

[Brainbug]

Just now, lor15 said:

Yes, it is.

 

Good thing for Alita is that in can only go up from that number 😔

 

 

Spoiler

It can always go both ways with these early estimates....

 

[Eric Loves Rey]

FWIW, Alita doesn't seem like it'll be a matinee-driven movie, so we could see better results for tomorrow.

 

Also from Deadline

 

Quote

Warner Bros. The Lego Movie 2: The Second Part is eyeing an estimated third weekend in third of $10.6M, -49% for a running total of $84.2M.

 

MGM/Seven Buck’s Fighting With My Family is seeing around an estimated $8M at 2,711, after a $2.6M Friday in 4th place. Family is in the title and that tells you something because it can hope for matinees audiences tomorrow and Sunday.

 

In fifth is New Line’s second weekend of Isn’t It Romantic with an estimated $7M, -51% for a running total by Sunday of $33.2M.

That FWMF debut seems pretty alright. The Lego and Romantic drops seem harsh, but understandable.

[MrGlass2]

18 minutes ago, Godzilla said:

Ouch 59% drop for Alita. 

It's time for anti-gravity.

[Brainbug]

Just now, MrGlass2 said:

It's time for anti-gravity.

[MCKillswitch123]

2ND UPDATE, FRIDAY MIDDAY: DreamWorks Animation’s How to Train Your Dragon: The Hidden World is looking really good with an estimated $15M today, including last night’s $3M, on its way to $52M-$54M for the weekend. That does not include the $2.5M from Fandango previews. The threequel released by Universal has about 26 Imax hubs and a good deal of PLFs working in its favor out of its 4,259 locations. If you’re wondering what the top three animated openings are for February, they are The Lego Movie ($69M), The SpongeBob Movie: Sponge Out of Water($55.3M) and The Lego Batman Movie ($53M).

 

Fox’s Alita: Battle Angel didn’t horde all the PLF screens and she’s eyeing an $11.6M second weekend at 3,820, -59% for a running total of $60.2M stateside in second place. As Nancy reported earlier, the James Cameron production is looking at a $60M opening in China, just under what Ready Player One filed at $61.6M. Remember only 25%-27% of that comes back to Fox’s bank account here in the U.S.

 

Warner Bros. The Lego Movie 2: The Second Part is eyeing an estimated third weekend in third of $10.6M, -49% for a running total of $84.2M.

 

MGM/Seven Buck’s Fighting With My Family is seeing around an estimated $8M at 2,711, after a $2.6M Friday in 4th place. Family is in the title and that tells you something because it can hope for matinees audiences tomorrow and Sunday.

 

In fifth is New Line’s second weekend of Isn’t It Romantic with an estimated $7M, -51% for a running total by Sunday of $33.2M.

More updates later.

 

 

 

 

Source: DHD

 

Feel like that's way too low for Alita. It should see a healthier Sat bump than whatever shitty multiplier DHD are projecting.

[cookie]

Dragon 3 comps with a $15m Friday:

 

KFP3 - ~$59m

Lego Movie 1 - ~$60.5m

Lego Batman - ~$55m

Lego Movie 2 - ~$57.5m

Spongebob 2 - ~$55.7m

Edited February 22, 2019 by cookie

[Maxmoser3]

Finally a possible debut to smile about.  Dragon 3 may be a Hotel Transylvania 3. 

 

Fighting With My Family will be fine.

 

Alita an expected smashed drop was expected.  

 

March 2019 will have some decent performsers.  April everything will die. May should maintain some momentum. For the rest of the year it’s all a tossup. 

[Brainbug]

5 minutes ago, MCKillswitch123 said:

Feel like that's way too low for Alita. It should see a healthier Sat bump than whatever shitty multiplier DHD are projecting.

 

Since when does Deadline know how to calculate a multiplier? Thats advanced knowledge, they havent reached that state yet.

[TwoMisfits]

If HHTD only gets to $15M (or $12M True Friday), I have a hard time seeing this get to $52M...I don't think it's playing as young as a normal animated...somewhere between Spidey and Lego 2 would probably be on point, leaning closer to the Spidey side...

 

I guess $15M, $20M, $15M + $2.5M is what they are shooting for in their estimate...but I don't know...

 

 

Edited February 22, 2019 by TwoMisfits

[Elessar]

10 minutes ago, MCKillswitch123 said:

2ND UPDATE, FRIDAY MIDDAY: 

 

Fox’s Alita: Battle Angel didn’t horde all the PLF screens and she’s eyeing an $11.6M second weekend at 3,820, -59% for a running total of $60.2M stateside in second place. As Nancy reported earlier, the James Cameron production is looking at a $60M opening in China, just under what Ready Player One filed at $61.6M. Remember only 25%-27% of that comes back to Fox’s bank account here in the U.S.

 

Source: DHD

 

Feel like that's way too low for Alita. It should see a healthier Sat bump than whatever shitty multiplier DHD are projecting.

Hmm...

 

THU $1.6m

FRI (+119%) $3.5m

SAT (+60%) $5.6m

SUN (-30%) $3.9m

-----------------------

WKND (-54%) $13m

 

Edited February 22, 2019 by Elessar

[dxmatrixdt]

2 hours ago, MCKillswitch123 said:

 

 

Feel like that's way too low for Alita. It should see a healthier Sat bump than whatever shitty multiplier DHD are projecting.

 

Edited February 22, 2019 by Slave Animal Rights