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Weekend Thread: Top 5 Actuals- The Lion King $76.62M | OUATIH $41.08M | SM: FFH $12.45M | TS3 $10.45M | CRAWL $4.06M

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Just now, Porthos said:

Disney underestimated a Sunday drop for one of their movies AGAIN.


Who could have possibly foreseen THIS development? 

 

*cough* :ph34r: :ph34r: :ph34r:  *cough*

Lots of folks to me when I raised this possibility yesterday:  Oh, but THIS time they look to be on target, Porthos.  Maybe they even over-estimated it.

 

Me back to everyone who said that:

 

tenor.gif

 

(all in good fun, of course ;))

 

 

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6 minutes ago, Porthos said:

Disney underestimated a Sunday drop for one of their movies AGAIN.


Who could have possibly foreseen THIS development? 

 

*cough* :ph34r: :ph34r: :ph34r:  *cough*

Unlikely that the improvement is mostly from Sun, bet the Fri and Sat got revised up a good bit.

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1 minute ago, Thanos Legion said:

Unlikely that the improvement is mostly from Sun, bet the Fri and Sat got revised up a good bit.

True true.  I'm mostly just laughing/having a bit of fun that Disney underestimated a weekend AGAIN.

 

Like, even in a weekend where they allegedly gave a reasonable estimate they undershoot.  

 

I just find that hilarious really. :lol:

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7 minutes ago, Porthos said:

Lots of folks to me when I raised this possibility yesterday:  Oh, but THIS time they look to be on target, Porthos.  Maybe they even over-estimated it.

 

Me back to everyone who said that:

 

tenor.gif

 

(all in good fun, of course ;))

 

 

To be fair to some posters, you also had the crazy saying TLK was a shoo-in for $85M b/c Disney must have underestimated by 10%+...so it became more responses to him than you:)...

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2 minutes ago, MrFanaticGuy34 said:

And some said TLK wasn’t gonna increase with actuals. 😆

 

Did anything else increase with actuals besides TLK?

Lol Yeh, Once Upon A Time In Hollywood, Crawl, Annabelle, Toy Story, Aladdin, Endgame, Yesterday.  

 

Basically everything so far 😂😂

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Estimates 

$22,304,000

+48.7% / $4,720
$297,555,534 / 8
$29,694,000

+33.1% / $6,284
$327,249,534 / 9
$23,526,000

-20.8% / $4,979
$350,775,534 / 10

 

Actuals

Jul 26, 2019 1 $22,432,165 +50% 4,725 $4,748   $297,683,699 8
Jul 27, 2019 1 $29,867,757 +33% 4,725 $6,321   $327,551,456 9
Jul 28, 2019 1 $24,321,631 -19% 4,725 $5,147   $351,873,087 10

 

+130k Friday revision 

+170k Sat revision

+130k Sun as a result of Sat going up  

+670k from Sun drop beating the estimate   

 

So it actually was a majority of the improvement, spoke too soon.   

 

I wonder if Disney compulsively underestimates Fri and Sat as well. Haven't paid attention, but probably.

Edited by Thanos Legion
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2 minutes ago, TwoMisfits said:

To be fair to some posters, you also had the crazy saying TLK was a shoo-in for $85M b/c Disney must have underestimated by 10%+...so it became more responses to him than you:)...

Well it wasn't just this thread that I was told this. ;)  But point taken.

 

Like I said though, mostly just find it amusing that Lord Mouse can't help but underestimate even when it tries not to.

Edited by Porthos
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2 minutes ago, MrFanaticGuy34 said:

If Aladdin gets to over $350M+ DOM, i do hope it has enough legs to outgross certain films like American Sniper, Transformers 3, Furious 7 and so on.

Easily passing all 3, and IO.

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30 minutes ago, sfran43 said:

 

 

On 7/28/2019 at 8:34 AM, Geo1500 said:

The lion king is once again the victim of extreme and severe low-balling just like last week. With actuals it comes in minimum 85M

 

On 7/28/2019 at 12:30 PM, Geo1500 said:

 

All these 3 disney movies will see increases on Friday, Saturday and Sunday Est. Especially the Lion king it's same story as last weekend. Expect 7-8m+ increase for TLK

tenor.gif

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