Weekend Thread: Downton Abbey 31M, Ad Astra 19.2M Rambo 19M, It2 17.2M, Hustlers 17M

[dudalb]

13 minutes ago, The Futurist said:

Go Old British Aristocrats !

I guess the French will NEVER get over Waterloo....

[dudalb]

Saw Downton Abbey.

I feel the same way about it I did about the TV show:Enjoyable..particulary the acting..but not great.

"Upstairs, Downstairs" did this idea better. It never became   soap opera the way Abbey often did.

[TLK]

10 minutes ago, lilmac said:

This has been an excellent month amid a down year. 

I think this trend will continue for the next three months.

[Legion Again]

Ah yes, the 6 movies making 3B in 5 months down year. Truly it has been bad times at the cinema.

[dxmatrixdt]

1 hour ago, JB33 said:

You okay man?

I guess.  I thought they would have another Marvel movie and attach it to it

[DAJK]

8 minutes ago, belligerent talking robot said:

I guess.  I thought they would have another Marvel movie and attach it to it

But I mean you could just look at the release schedule and know that there's no marvel movie until next May

[cannastop]

Wow I didn't realize Downton Abbey was this popular.

[Porthos]

3 hours ago, lilmac said:

This has been an excellent month amid a down year. 

So far Sep 2019 is up 17.9m on Sep 2018 and about 12.4m down on Sep 2017.

I've been following this pretty much since late June, and it's been interesting to see the roller coster on a month-to-month basis:

 

	2018	2019		Diff		Total Diff
Jan	961.47m	812.743		-148.73m		-148.73m
Feb	1004.14m	624.54m		-379.59m		-528.33m
March	895.58m	962.72m		+67.14m		-461.18m
April	1026.78m	1034.80m		+8.02m		-453.16m
May	1040.11m	1077.15m		+37.04m		-416.12m
June	1276.30m	1108.93m		-167.37m		-583.49m
July	1204.86m	1287.72m		+82.86m		-500.64m
Aug	859.10m	838.24m		-20.86m		-521.50m
Sep	438.87m	456.73m		+17.86m		-503.64m

 

I think we're rapidly coming up on the point where it's going to be very tough for 2019 to pull even with 2018.  We all know about February, but June 2019 really hurt this year in retrospect.  August flatlining didn't help matters, either.

 

Going forward, Oct 2018 was massive (though not a record breaker) with nearly 800m total in the calendar gross.  So it might be tough for 2019 to claw and ground back there, even if Joker helps out matters.

 

We also know about the 1-2 punch coming up of Frozen 2 and TROS, plus the rest of the holiday schedule.  But only so many days left in the calendar.  

 

Be interesting to see how close 2019 can come to 2018 if it does indeed fall short of it.

 

===

 

Of course, they can't all be record years. Looking ahead, 2019 will probably be able to stay clear of 2016 and be at least the second best year at the box office on a pure unadjusted dollar basis.  2018 ended up 515.6m ahead of 2016, and right now 2019 is just within that margin, if only just.  Will have absolutely no problem passing 2017, and probably should pass 2015 fairly easily, unless the bottom falls out of the year.

 

All of that is on pure gross, of course, as even 2018 didn't come close to cracking the Top Ten on tickets sold in a calendar year (according to BOM's ad hoc adjusted it was the 20th largest - quibble if one will on that on how they figure it out, but it isn't remotely close to 2002's total, so I figure it's close enough)

Edited September 22, 2019 by Porthos

[DAJK]

From the tracking thread:

 

Ad Astra's Saturday is 132% of its true Friday (conservatively)… I missed the first matinee show so I extrapolated from yesterday but I went the conservative route. So it may be closer to 137%. 

That would give it 7.6-7.75M Saturday. Weekend around 19.5-20M but that's just my numbers, not sure what anyone else's theatre did.

 

Rambo fell from true Friday. Not by much at all. I'd guess 16.9M weekend or something. 

 

Not even going to bother with Downton Abbey. It sold out today. It sold out yesterday. It almost sold out Thursday. Can't really play with those numbers a whole lot. 

[Ledmonkey96]

Downton Abbey already burned out at my theater, sold out of every showing through 5 o'clock today, then the 3 showings for 7 o'clock set sold a total of 40 tickets out of about 200 and the 9 o'clock set sold 10 tickets out of 200.

[a2k]

DA has a shot at 35 ow. Doesn't need a big Sat bump from true Friday, neither a strong hold on Sunday.

 

2.1

11.74

13.5 (+15% / -2.5%)

7.42 (-45%)

= 34.76

[TalismanRing]

3 minutes ago, a2k said:

DA has a shot at 35 ow. Doesn't need a big Sat bump from true Friday, neither a strong hold on Sunday.

 

2.1

11.74

13.5 (+15% / -2.5%)

7.42 (-45%)

= 34.76

Doesn't Friday also include the 2.2m sneaks from the previous Thur?

 

2.2

2.1

9.54

10.971 (+15%)

6.03 (-45%)

= 30.85

 

 

 

[a2k]

4 minutes ago, TalismanRing said:

Doesn't Friday also include the 2.2m sneaks from the previous Thur?

 

2.2

2.1

9.54

10.971 (+15%)

6.03 (-45%)

= 30.85

 

 

 

wasn't aware of that. but if 4.3 of 13.8 worth of demand have been burnt-off before then what entails a good/bad sat bump from true friday becomes different. now to hit 35 would need a high 20% sat bump and low 40% sun drop.

[bcf26]

3 hours ago, Ledmonkey96 said:

Downton Abbey already burned out at my theater, sold out of every showing through 5 o'clock today, then the 3 showings for 7 o'clock set sold a total of 40 tickets out of about 200 and the 9 o'clock set sold 10 tickets out of 200.

Target audience are already asleep by 9pm.

[Valonqar]

Downton Abbey was shaping up for breakout for weeks and it didn't disappoint. 

 

 

[Damianport1]

Will Fox estimate 20M for Ad Astra?

[TalismanRing]

4 minutes ago, Damianport1 said:

Will Fox estimate 20M for Ad Astra?

It's Disney, they'll under predict as is their wont.

 

[Jonwo]

I think Downton could do an America set sequel which I know is very cliche for film adaptations of TV series but give one of the characters is American, it wouldn't be too hard to come up with a plot that's set in 1929 during The Great Depression.

[sfran43]

 

[sfran43]

 

Edited September 22, 2019 by sfran43