Weekend Thread: Estimates BB 34, 1917 15.8, Dolittle 12.5, Gentlemen 11, Jumanji 7.9, Turning 7.3 | Bad Boys and 1917 cross 100M, Star Wars 500M

[1Robert1]

Jumanji +235% 😲that's amazing

[filmlover]

Holdovers are looking to benefit from nothing of note opening this weekend despite last weekend being an extended holiday frame. Imagine it'll be the same next weekend despite the Super Bowl on Sunday.

[sfran43]

 

[a2k]

JUM2 well set for 300 dom

1.705

3.5 (+105%)

2.1 (-40%)

= 7.3 (-25%) // 282.85

 

Fri-Fri drop was better than almost all wide releases

Spoiler

		Movie	Distr	Gross	%YD	%LW	Thr	Per Thr	Total Gross	D
-	N	The Turning	Universal	$2,510,000			2,571	$976	$2,510,000	1
-	(14)	Jojo Rabbit	Fox Searchlight	$346,000	+133%	-9%	1,160	$298	$24,920,637	99
-	(-)	A Hidden Life	Fox Searchlight	$10,000	+12%	-18%	43	$233	$1,664,540	43
-	(-)	Maleficent: Mistress of Evil	Walt Disney	$12,000	+182%	-21%	90	$133	$113,795,669	99
-	(6)	Jumanji: The Next Level	Sony Pictures	$1,705,000	+234%	-22%	3,121	$546	$277,250,800	43
-	(4)	Little Women	Sony Pictures	$1,200,000	+87%	-27%	2,528	$475	$90,227,401	31
-	(-)	Ford v. Ferrari	20th Century…	$204,000	+98%	-28%	804	$254	$113,734,875	71
-	(7)	Just Mercy	Warner Bros.	$1,085,000	+121%	-34%	2,408	$451	$24,108,382	31
-	(12)	Frozen II	Walt Disney	$486,000	+146%	-34%	1,750	$278	$467,749,568	64
-	(-)	A Beautiful Day in the Ne…	Sony Pictures	$53,000	+30%	-34%	240	$221	$60,775,027	64
-	(2)	1917	Universal	$4,020,000	+127%	-35%	3,937	$1,021	$92,103,309	31
-	(5)	Star Wars: The Rise of Sk…	Walt Disney	$1,262,000	+113%	-36%	2,800	$451	$497,672,140	36
-	(-)	Spies in Disguise	20th Century…	$303,000	+180%	-39%	1,323	$229	$60,562,741	31
-	(3)	Dolittle	Universal	$2,740,000	+206%	-56%	4,155	$659	$34,924,730	8
-	(1)	Bad Boys For Life	Sony Pictures	$8,925,000	+154%	-62%	3,775	$2,364	$95,569,165	8
-	(9)	Like a Boss	Paramount Pi…	$440,000	+60%	-64%	1,723	$255	$19,437,029	15
-	(-)	Once Upon a Time…in Holly…	Sony Pictures	$30,000	-15%	-65%	325	$92	$141,743,823	183
-	(10)	Underwater	20th Century…	$321,000	+45%	-68%	1,677	$191	$15,031,984	15

 

[sfran43]

 

[narniadis]

23 minutes ago, 1Robert1 said:

Jumanji +235% 😲that's amazing

While great, its not unusual for family films this time of year. Jumanji 17 did around the same 2 years ago. Should also top 100% today as well if it behaves like normal. 

 

What is nice is that the film should have no issues hitting 300m now.... the 5x multiple cap is coming up soon as well, probably another 2 weeks. It has literally played at the top of what it could do. 

 

Also note that Doolittle is also over 200% - its normative behavior. (The other 2 family films, Frozen and Spies are animated and dealing with decent theater drops which offset their ability.) 

Edited January 25, 2020 by narniadis

[narniadis]

3 minutes ago, sfran43 said:

 

Passing the 150m mark today is amazing.... wish it had gotten a BP nom to go with the great box office but oh well 

[pepsa]

Bad Boys is doing crazy well here today, Every show sofar has been sold out, only the 10pm show have seats left. It's having more sell outs than End Game with the astrix that it only has 10 showtimes instead of the 13 of End game. Still it got the biggest screens.

It has a shot at doing a top 10 opening weekend of all time, crazy crzazy.

 

EDIT: Btw just for clarification, I am from Belgium and those 10 showtimes is only in the biggest complex in Gent (a big city in Belgium). There are more than just 10 showtimes over the whole country

Edited January 25, 2020 by pepsa

[sfran43]

 

[sfran43]

 

[a2k]

469.5+ for F2 after 2.275m weekend (-40%).

0.486 + 1.118 (+130%) + 0.671 (-40%) = 2.275

[Krissykins]

Cats down only 11% from last Friday  

 

Fantastic for Knives Out. One of the best recent runs.

[LegendaryBen]

Knives Out once again has the best hold! $160m can still happen even with its home release on 2/25, but at least it will pass $150m today!! With Turning likely to drop 60%+ (assuming its no more than $6m) and Just Mercy dropping harder next weekend (due to lower PTA), it may have another week in the top 10, which it mark it to 10 consecutive weeks in the top 10! I would love for this to happen!!!!!

 

Bad Boys 4 Life is doing so awesome may have a shot at $200m if BOP doesn't kill it too much. 1917 held much better. $150m is still within reach while Jumanji may get to $300m after all.

 

Little Women is now a lock for $100m and may even reach it before Oscar Night!

[LegendaryBen]

13 minutes ago, Krissykins said:

Cats down only 11% from last Friday  

 

Fantastic for Knives Out. One of the best recent runs.

Cats is now in many second run theaters. That's probably what helped it hold well, but it still won't be enough to reach $30m, let alone TGS' gross.

 

KO is the highest grosser to not ever reach #1 since TGS!

[sfran43]

WIDE (1000+)

#	TITLE	WEEKEND		LOCATIONS		AVG.	TOTAL	WKS.	DIST.
1	Bad Boys For Life	$30,000,000	-52%	3,775	0	$7,947	$116,644,165	2	Sony / Columbia
2	1917	$14,300,000	-35%	3,937	325	$3,632	$102,383,309	5	Universal Pictures
3	Dolittle	$13,000,000	-40%	4,155	0	$3,129	$45,184,730	2	Universal
4	The Gentlemen	$10,900,000	—	2,165	—	$5,035	$10,900,000	1	STX Entertainment
5	Jumanji: The Next Level	$7,100,000	-27%	3,121	-202	$2,275	$282,645,800	7	Sony Pictures
6	The Turning	$6,900,000	—	2,571	—	$2,684	$6,900,000	1	Universal Pictures
7	Star Wars: The Rise Of Skywalker	$5,300,000	-36%	2,800	-258	$1,893	$501,710,140	6	Disney
8	Little Women	$4,500,000	-29%	2,528	25	$1,780	$93,527,401	5	Sony Pictures
9	Just Mercy	$3,900,000	-32%	2,408	-49	$1,620	$26,923,382	5	Warner Bros.
10	Knives Out	$3,300,000	-23%	1,677	10	$1,968	$151,515,922	9	Lionsgate
11	Frozen II	$2,200,000	-42%	1,750	-330	$1,257	$469,463,568	10	Disney
12	Like a Boss	$1,500,000	-63%	1,723	-1358	$871	$20,497,029	3	Paramount Pictures
13	Spies in Disguise	$1,500,000	-44%	1,323	-438	$1,134	$61,759,741	5	20th Century Fox
14	Jojo Rabbit	$1,300,000	-13%	1,160	155	$1,121	$1,300,000	15	Fox Searchlight
15	Underwater	$1,000,000	-73%	1,677	-1114	$596	$15,710,984	3	20th Century Fox

LIMITED (100 — 999)

#	TITLE	WEEKEND		LOCATIONS		AVG.	TOTAL	WKS.	DIST.
1	Ford v. Ferrari	$760,000	-29%	804	-276	$945	$114,290,875	11	20th Century Fox
2	Bombshell	$540,000	-12%	596	186	$906	$30,217,418	7	Lionsgate
3	The Grudge	$280,000	-69%	420	-557	$667	$20,727,664	4	Sony Pictures
4	A Beautiful Day in the Neighborhood	$200,000	-32%	240	-125	$833	$60,922,027	10	Sony Pictures
5	Panga	$200,000	—	102	—	$1,961	$200,000	1	FIP
6	Once Upon a Time In Hollywood	$110,000	-66%	325	-380	$338	$141,823,823	27	Sony Pictures

PLATFORM (1 — 99)

#	TITLE	WEEKEND		LOCATIONS		AVG.	TOTAL	WKS.	DIST.
1	Maleficent: Mistress of Evil	$55,000	-23%	90	-15	$611	$113,838,669	15	Disney
2	A Hidden Life	$38,000	-20%	43	-12	$884	$1,692,540	7	Fox Searchlight
3	Chhapaak	$18,000	-83%	21	-79	$857	$603,302	3	FIP

[VanillaSkies]

The Gentlemen is doing gangbuster business in NYC today. Tons of early afternoon shows already near full. 
Hoping it means a strong Sat/Sun number for it. With such a low theatre count, there is room for it to expand 400-500 theatres next weekend to soften the second weekend drop somewhat. 

[cdsacken]

43 minutes ago, pepsa said:

Bad Boys is doing crazy well here today, Every show sofar has been sold out, only the 10pm show have seats left. It's having more sell outs than End Game with the astrix that it only has 10 showtimes instead of the 13 of End game. Still it got the biggest screens.

It has a shot at doing a top 10 opening weekend of all time, crazy crzazy.

 

EDIT: Btw just for clarification, I am from Belgium and those 10 showtimes is only in the biggest complex in Gent (a big city in Belgium). There are more than just 10 showtimes over the whole country

I love Belgium! I can't wait to go back when we travel to Europe again. I already miss Europe, stinky USA with their thousand dollar economy domestic flights for 2 people.

 

One good thing is you can churn credit cards to pay for it  Probably will do 10 or so through this year then take a break.

[SLAM!]

The Gentlemen getting an 8-digit OW number is a fairly notable success. Hopefully word of mouth propels the film to minor hit status. If STX has a minor hit every once in a while, they might be able to stay in the game.

Edited January 25, 2020 by SLAM!

[AdrianL]

Next weekend drops should be decent even with the Super Bowl. Bad Boys' performance is really impressive. 

[BoxOfficeFangrl]

26 minutes ago, LegendaryBen said:

Cats is now in many second run theaters. That's probably what helped it hold well, but it still won't be enough to reach $30m, let alone TGS' gross.

 

KO is the highest grosser to not ever reach #1 since TGS!

At least Universal as a studio isn't averse to repertoire screenings, Cats will get midnight showings for years to come.

 

A Star is Born made $215m and spent its first 4 weekends at #2. It might have been #1 on some weekdays, though IDK if people really count that. My Big Fat Greek Wedding probably topped the chart on some Tuesday but it was the Never #1 king for years and years.

 

Still, Knives Out is having a great run, I liked it a lot but wouldn't have expected the staying power to be this strong in our current "it can wait for streaming" climate. 

 

Having a good laugh reading the Twitter comments about The Turning's ending.

Edited January 25, 2020 by BoxOfficeFangrl