Weekend Thread: Estimates BB 34, 1917 15.8, Dolittle 12.5, Gentlemen 11, Jumanji 7.9, Turning 7.3 | Bad Boys and 1917 cross 100M, Star Wars 500M

[Boxofficerules]

Deadline report $425k for The Turning

https://deadline.com/2020/01/bad-boys-for-life-the-gentleman-the-turning-weekend-box-office-1202840184/

[Madhuvan]

11 minutes ago, Boxofficerules said:

 

This movie is really good hope it is leggy. 

[Curtis1986]

Not good for The Gentleman but expected. Bad Boys 3 exploding really hurt it.

[a2k]

GENT needs close to 13.5x to hit 10 ow.

[filmlover]

Seems like a $8-9M opening weekend, expected given the limited appeal.

[EarlyDeadlinePredictions]

On par with @keysersoze123 s estimates.

 

Yawn. Was hoping for more for Gentlemen but Ritchie's gangster movies don't have much appeal in North America.

[Boxofficerules]

 

[Krissykins]

The Gentlemen definitely not performing comparably with its US/Aus openings, which would’ve suggested $20m. 
 

STX did buy this way back in January 2019 and released in 2,000 theatres. 

[lorddemaxus]

The Turning's RT audience score seems awful (worse than The Grudge remake's). Are we actually getting 2 F movies on cinemascore this month?

[Boxofficerules]

Yikes, it’s deader than a reddit users sex life in here.

[Jonwo]

STX are going to make money from The Gentlemen given it only cost them $7m to acquire. 

[The Horror of Lucas Films]

With several Horror movies underperforming lately, I think The Invisible Man is going to break-out HUGE, it only needs good reviews for it. 

[Maxmoser3]

Not a surprise for these preview numbers. The Gentlemen looked appealing but after Bad Boys breakout, and majority of the stars won’t bring in major box office for a minor film.

 

The Turning reminded me a lot of The Prdogy from last year. Marketing for both looked dry. a TV Star  from Netflix is one of the main draws Finn Wolfard(Stranger Things) and Taylor Schilling(Orange Is The New Black), which some Netflix star won’t sell your horror movie. A reason for this underperformance(If it’s considered one), Universal had no marketing for it whatsoever until Last Minute that’s a bad sign. 

Universal is more aiming towards The Invisible Man as their next big movie. For horror films anything can happen, Fantasy Island could breakout or die as well. 
 

and weirdly enough I didn’t see a trailer for The Turning until last night on the HDNet Movie channel right when the movie Showgirls ended(which is actually not a bad movie). 

[MrGlass2]

It is yet another success for Ritchie, but maybe not so much in the US. His next movie CASH TRUCK with Jason Statham will explode worldwide.

[Maxmoser3]

24 minutes ago, The Horror of Lucas Films said:

With several Horror movies underperforming lately, I think The Invisible Man is going to break-out HUGE, it only needs good reviews for it. 

It’s all really what the audience want to see. The Invisible Man could be an appealing horror film considering how lackluster this year has been. But the biggest flaw of these past few horror films not doing squat are due to studios dumping them to theaters. 

[Boxofficerules]

20 minutes ago, Maxmoser3 said:

It’s all really what the audience want to see. The Invisible Man could be an appealing horror film considering how lackluster this year has been. But the biggest flaw of these past few horror films not doing squat are due to studios dumping them to theaters. 

What about Fantasy Island

[Eric Duncan]

https://www.boxofficepro.com/long-range-box-office-tracking-a-quiet-place-part-ii/

 

8-Week Tracking and Forecasts

Release Date	Title	3-Day (FSS) Opening Tracking Range	3-Day (FSS) Opening Forecast	% Chg from Last Week	Domestic Total Range	Domestic Total Forecast	% Chg from Last Week	Distributor
1/31/2020	Gretel and Hansel	$4,000,000 – $9,000,000	$5,000,000	-10%	$8,000,000 – $16,000,000	$10,000,000	-10%	United Artists Releasing
1/31/2020	The Rhythm Section	$8,000,000 – $13,000,000	$10,000,000	-17%	$20,000,000 – $40,000,000	$30,000,000	-21%	Paramount
2/7/2020	Birds of Prey (and the Fantabulous Emancipation of One Harley Quinn)	$40,000,000 – $60,000,000	$49,000,000		$100,000,000 – $150,000,000	$125,000,000		Warner Bros.
2/14/2020	Fantasy Island	$12,000,000 – $17,000,000	$15,500,000	-9%	$30,000,000 – $45,000,000	$40,000,000	-10%	Sony / Columbia
2/14/2020	The Photograph	$10,000,000 – $15,000,000	$13,000,000	-13%	$25,000,000 – $35,000,000	$30,000,000	-14%	Universal
2/14/2020	Sonic the Hedgehog	$30,000,000 – $35,000,000	$33,000,000	27%	$90,000,000 – $130,000,000	$115,000,000	34%	Paramount
2/21/2020	Brahms: The Boy 2	$7,000,000 – $12,000,000	$8,000,000		$15,000,000 – $28,000,000	$17,800,000		STX
2/21/2020	Call of the Wild	$15,000,000 – $20,000,000	$15,000,000		$50,000,000 – $65,000,000	$50,000,000		Fox
2/28/2020	The Invisible Man	$20,000,000 – $40,000,000	$30,000,000		$60,000,000 – $105,000,000	$80,000,000		Universal
3/6/2020	Onward	$50,000,000 – $70,000,000	$60,000,000		$175,000,000 – $250,000,000	$227,000,000		Disney / Pixar
3/6/2020	The Way Back	$12,000,000 – $17,000,000	$13,000,000		$40,000,000 – $60,000,000	$43,500,000		Warner Bros.
3/13/2020	Bloodshot	$12,000,000 – $17,000,000	$14,000,000		$30,000,000 – $45,000,000	$36,000,000		Sony / Columbia
3/13/2020	I Still Believe	$13,000,000 – $18,000,000	$14,500,000		$44,000,000 – $59,000,000	$49,000,000		Lionsgate
3/13/2020	My Spy	$8,000,000 – $13,000,000	$10,000,000		$25,000,000 – $45,000,000	$36,000,000		STX
3/13/2020	Untitled Blumhouse Productions Project		n/a			n/a		Universal
3/20/2020	A Quiet Place Part II	$60,000,000 – $80,000,000	$72,000,000	NEW	$140,000,000 – $190,000,000	$168,000,000	NEW	Paramount

[Eric Duncan]

Those legs for Quiet Place 2 seem kind of low. Not expecting the first movie's obviously, but I would think at least 2.5x

[DAJK]

5 minutes ago, Eric Dolittle said:

Those legs for Quiet Place 2 seem kind of low. Not expecting the first movie's obviously, but I would think at least 2.5x

Agreed; if it's going to open on par with Us, it's going to have better legs than Us. IMO 75/200 wouldn't surprise me if the movie is at least "good".

[stephanos13]

Boxofficepro updated their predictions until Valentine's Day except Birds of Prey. LOL

 

Cowards!