Noctis Posted September 8, 2021 Share Posted September 8, 2021 The movie needs to have a release in China - I'm stunned it hasn't. It's going to do absolute gangbusters there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fox20 Posted September 8, 2021 Share Posted September 8, 2021 40 minutes ago, Noctis said: The movie needs to have a release in China - I'm stunned it hasn't. It's going to do absolute gangbusters there. Saying this is basically a sin in this forum lately. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WrathOfHan Posted September 8, 2021 Share Posted September 8, 2021 (edited) 2 hours ago, MrPink said: Give me some rest of week projections, someone. I gotchu 5.6M Weds (-20%) 5.4M Thurs (-4%) 13M (+140%) 19.5M (+50%) 11.7M (-40%) 44.2M Weekend, 41% drop This seems too optimistic but... I forget if larger movies only increase 100-120% on Friday outside of summer. It's been too long. Edited September 8, 2021 by WrathOfHan 4 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
john2000 Posted September 8, 2021 Share Posted September 8, 2021 35 minutes ago, WrathOfHan said: I gotchu 5.6M Weds (-20%) 5.4M Thurs (-4%) 13M (+140%) 19.5M (+50%) 11.7M (-40%) 44.2M Weekend, 41% drop This seems too optimistic but... I forget if larger movies only increase 100-120% on Friday outside of summer. It's been too long. They do...sun seems like a little too harsh to me though ...more like 37% drop for 45 mill or so Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nguyenkhoi282 Posted September 8, 2021 Share Posted September 8, 2021 (edited) 58 minutes ago, WrathOfHan said: I gotchu 5.6M Weds (-20%) 5.4M Thurs (-4%) 13M (+140%) 19.5M (+50%) 11.7M (-40%) 44.2M Weekend, 41% drop This seems too optimistic but... I forget if larger movies only increase 100-120% on Friday outside of summer. It's been too long. Puny 😌 Mon (19.2) [-16%] = 94.7 Tue (7.3) [-62%] = 102 Wed (6) [-18%] = 108 Thu (6) [-0%] = 114 • 2nd - weekend (46) [-39%] [-30.9% Fri-Sun] = 160 Fri (13) [+117%] Sat (19) [+46%] Sun (14) [-26%] - weekdays (18) = 188 Mon (4.3) Tue (5.7) Wed (4) Thu (4) • 3rd - weekend (30) [-35%] = 218 - weekdays (12) = 230 • 4th - weekend (20) [-33%] = 250 - weekdays (8) = 258 • 5th - weekend (12) [-40%] = 270 - weekdays (5) = 275 • 6th - weekend (7) [-42%] = 282 - weekdays (3) = 285 • 7th - weekend (5) [-28%] = 290 - weekdays (2) = 292 • 8th (5) = 297 • 9th (3) = 300 FINAL = $305M (〜￣▽￣)〜 Edited September 8, 2021 by nguyenkhoi282 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
charlie Jatinder Posted September 8, 2021 Share Posted September 8, 2021 1 hour ago, WrathOfHan said: This seems too optimistic but I think SUN drop is too harsh but since weekdays are strong, we might have muted FRI bump. Otherwise I am thinking 42 weekend myself. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pepsa Posted September 8, 2021 Share Posted September 8, 2021 5 hours ago, Legion of the Ten Crores said: I am much more on board for 40+ weekend now, maybe 45, but let’s see Wed first. All I am saying it that I called this on sunday 😛 7m + tuesday is perfectly in line with my projections ^^ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wildphantom Posted September 8, 2021 Share Posted September 8, 2021 I am loving all the optimism for the weekend hold. I’m trying to keep grounded and just hope we hit $40 million. Anything over that is all gravy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CJohn Posted September 8, 2021 Share Posted September 8, 2021 40M is ridiculous, c'mon now. 30M is the target. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Legion Again Posted September 8, 2021 Share Posted September 8, 2021 8 minutes ago, CJohn said: 40M is ridiculous, c'mon now. 30M is the target. Pipe down old man Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
iHeartJames Posted September 8, 2021 Share Posted September 8, 2021 3 minutes ago, Legion of the Ten Crores said: Pipe down old man Wait leave him alone every time he low balls we get an even higher result. He's pretty much our bad luck good luck charm 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Borobudur Posted September 8, 2021 Share Posted September 8, 2021 <50% drop from holiday weekend at higher level number would trigger a bigger shock than FG's 2nd weekend hold. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
iHeartJames Posted September 8, 2021 Share Posted September 8, 2021 either that or we just have to kill him 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Noctis Posted September 8, 2021 Share Posted September 8, 2021 3 hours ago, Fox20 said: Saying this is basically a sin in this forum lately. Why? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Madhuvan Posted September 8, 2021 Share Posted September 8, 2021 5.2m 5m 11m 16m 10.4m For a solid 37.4m weekend. I consider this a big win. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Madhuvan Posted September 8, 2021 Share Posted September 8, 2021 47 minutes ago, Borobudur said: <50% drop from holiday weekend at higher level number would trigger a bigger shock than FG's 2nd weekend hold. Yeah. That's why I am bit cautious. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
charlie Jatinder Posted September 8, 2021 Share Posted September 8, 2021 48 minutes ago, Borobudur said: <50% drop from holiday weekend at higher level number would trigger a bigger shock than FG's 2nd weekend hold. So I was discussing with @Legion of the Ten Crores that whether having Sunday as holiday boost OW or 4-days weekend spread out the business, to say if a normal OW was may be $85M ish instead of $75M 3 days and $95M 4 days. If its former, $40M+ weekend will make sense. Besides its not summer anymore. Weekend drops MUST be soft. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
charlie Jatinder Posted September 8, 2021 Share Posted September 8, 2021 36 minutes ago, Noctis said: Why? American-(other culture) isn't exactly a sell for the mainland of that culture. So its not a smart thing to say that if the film has American-(other culture) characters, it will do bonkers in that other culture. Sometime it can, but those are exception. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoolK Posted September 8, 2021 Share Posted September 8, 2021 Any reason why there is no China release? Based on reception in NA , this is a potential $200mn grosser Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Menor the Destroyer Posted September 8, 2021 Share Posted September 8, 2021 2 hours ago, Noctis said: Why? Reception in East Asia overall seems fairly meh. So it will probably just do baseline MCU numbers, nothing special. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
