Weekday Numbers (9/7-9) | Shang-Chi 6.62M Tuesday

[Ryaner90]

34 minutes ago, KJsooner said:

Wtf are you talking about?

This movie will have a big second weekend drop. The people who want to see it have seen it, the reaction has been good but it isn't enough to draw more people to go see it.

The rest of Disney's slate for the year will go hybrid release, bar maybe West Side Story

[Ronin46]

5 minutes ago, Ryaner90 said:

This movie will have a big second weekend drop. The people who want to see it have seen it, the reaction has been good but it isn't enough to draw more people to go see it.

The rest of Disney's slate for the year will go hybrid release, bar maybe West Side Story

 

So Eternals you think? Ok..............................

[Madhuvan]

Luckily , I was always predicting lower. So nothing changes for me. 

[Legion Again]

Good news, my mind is safe.   
 

6.6 still quite on the big side. Suggests O/U 40 rather than low 40s, still excellent

Edited September 8, 2021 by Legion of the Ten Crores

[Porthos]

← Previous Chart

Chart Index

		Movie	Distr	Gross	%YD	%LW	Thr	Per Thr	Total Gross	D
1	(1)	Shang-Chi and the Legend …	Walt Disney	$6,619,036	-66%		4,300	$1,539	$101,291,884	5
2	(3)	Candyman	Universal	$830,915	-62%	-57%	3,569	$233	$41,851,735	12
3	(2)	Free Guy	20th Century…	$638,048	-73%	-51%	3,885	$164	$95,049,262	26
4	(4)	PAW Patrol: The Movie	Paramount Pi…	$306,165	-77%	-54%	3,004	$102	$31,976,583	19
5	(5)	Jungle Cruise	Walt Disney	$256,073	-77%	-47%	3,075	$83	$107,052,075	40
6	(6)	Don’t Breathe 2	Sony Pictures	$200,549	-58%	-39%	2,176	$92	$28,754,910	26
-	(7)	Respect	United Artists	$147,393	-63%	-51%	2,107	$70	$22,436,968	26
-	(10)	The Night House	Searchlight …	$63,554	-51%	-64%	1,020	$62	$6,459,259	19
-	(9)	The Protégé	Lionsgate	$62,375	-56%	-74%	1,451	$43	$7,078,804	19
-	(8)	Black Widow	Walt Disney	$45,384	-71%	-47%	750	$61	$182,735,850	61
-	(11)	Old	Universal	$35,995	-70%	-54%	742	$49	$47,427,510	47
-	(-)	Flag Day	United Artists	$17,387	-53%	+221%	196	$89	$313,519	19
-	(-)	A Rescue of Little Eggs	Lionsgate	$15,700	-71%	-53%	302	$52	$759,035	12
-	(-)	Stillwater	Focus Features	$11,830	-70%	-65%	488	$24	$14,340,985	40
-	(-)	F9: The Fast Saga	Universal	$6,170	-64%	-53%	387	$16	$172,881,825	75
-	(-)	The Boss Baby: Family Bus…	Universal	$5,660	-79%	-72%	445	$13	$57,024,155	68
-	(-)	Together	Bleecker Street	$5,481	-50%	-62%	244	$22	$200,079	12
-	(-)	The Forever Purge	Universal	$895	-77%	-52%	234	$4	$44,462,865	68
-	(-)	Tango Shalom	Vision Films	$807	-83%		4	$202	$26,157	5
-	(-)	Cruella	Walt Disney	$803	-79%	-76%	55	$15	$86,083,314	103

[narniadis]

Well the school year weekdays have definitely arrived... solid for Shang-Chi and sets it up well for a solid 2nd weekend. Personally still thinking its under 40m but regardless its nothing to panic about. 

[CJohn]

6.6M? Fucking FLOP. People promised 7M+! 

[poweranimals]

2 hours ago, Ryaner90 said:

This movie will have a big second weekend drop. The people who want to see it have seen it, the reaction has been good but it isn't enough to draw more people to go see it.

The rest of Disney's slate for the year will go hybrid release, bar maybe West Side Story

I'm assuming this is sarcasm?

[charlie Jatinder]

Yikes for my projection. Donno what went wrong there. I have some idea but not entirely sure.

 

As for numbers, still excellent. I had $5.5M expectations and going 20% over them is great.

[Walt Disney]

Hopefully this great run at the BO continues and this ends the day and date release argument.

[iHeartJames]

2 hours ago, charlie Jatinder said:

Yikes for my projection. Donno what went wrong there. I have some idea but not entirely sure.

 

As for numbers, still excellent. I had $5.5M expectations and going 20% over them is great.

You're still the prophet to me. I give my blood, sweat and tears to see you through the promise land. One little miscalculation wont stop the reckoning. When the virgin dies and the blood moon rises you will sit on the throne

[eddyxx]

10 hours ago, Ryaner90 said:

This movie will have a big second weekend drop. The people who want to see it have seen it, the reaction has been good but it isn't enough to draw more people to go see it.

The rest of Disney's slate for the year will go hybrid release, bar maybe West Side Story

 

me and the boys reading this:

 

[iHeartJames]

Baby not tonight, my thighs hurt.

[Madhuvan]

thinking 4.2-4.3m for today ( thnks to projections in tracking thread)

 

4.2m

4m

9m

13m

8.5m

 

for a solid 30.5m weekend. -60% drop is expected and on better side of pandemic. 

Edited September 9, 2021 by Madhuvan

[john2000]

1 hour ago, Madhuvan said:

thinking 4.2-4.3m for today ( thnks to projections in tracking thread)

 

4.2m

4m

9m

13m

8.5m

 

for a solid 30.5m weekend. -60% drop is expected and on better side of pandemic. 

Based on the trends from labor day openers many of them had 170-200 %increase from thursday  to frid....with that wom i wouldnt be suprised with a 200% bump for shang...

 

 

60% drop for shang would be in no way solid imo....

Edited September 9, 2021 by john2000

[Madhuvan]

56 minutes ago, john2000 said:

Based on the trends from labor day openers many of them had 170-200 %increase from thursday  to frid....with that wom i wouldnt be suprised with a 200% bump for shang...

would love to see it but again this is pandemic and a superhero movie. 

 

anyways , going by your increase of say 150%

 

10m

15m

9.75m

for a solid 34.75m. Shang-Chi is set up for good weekend even if we remain conservative.

 

For 200%

 

12m

18m

11.7m

for a excellent 41.7m weekend.

 

For 170%

 

10.8m

16.2m

10.5m

for a very good 37.5m weekend.

 

I am taking standard 50% increase for Sat and 35% drop for Sunday. But with big Fri increase Sat drop could be muted and Sunday drop a lil bit large.

 

so , ideally for a 200% Friday increase

 

12m

17.4m(+45%)

10.87m(-37.5%)

For a 40.27m weekend. 

 

[Justin4125]

15 hours ago, Ryaner90 said:

This movie will have a big second weekend drop. The people who want to see it have seen it, the reaction has been good but it isn't enough to draw more people to go see it.

The rest of Disney's slate for the year will go hybrid release, bar maybe West Side Story

 The movie seems to have the best WOM of any major release this year (in terms of audience ratings, including the cinemascore, PostTrak exits, RT audience etc). Anecdotally, I don't think my friends have talked this much about a Marvel film since Endgame. WOM is excelllent, obviously fan loading will account for a steeper drop than what we would expect from a non IP driven film, but still, if WOM on this film "isnt enough" I simply don't know what kind of WOM would be

Aside from fan loading, the Sunday was inflated due to the holiday. I know we don't know whether Labor Day inflated or deflated the 3-day gross, but if the former, 60% would not be bad by CBM standards, even in normal times. What matters most will be the ultimate multiplier

Edited September 9, 2021 by Justin4125

[keysersoze123]

Daily numbers are there but no Shang Chi yet????

 

https://www.the-numbers.com/daily-box-office-chart

 

 

 

Edited September 9, 2021 by keysersoze123

[john2000]

14 minutes ago, keysersoze123 said:

Daily numbers are there but no Shang Chi yet????

 

https://www.the-numbers.com/daily-box-office-chart

 

 

 

Neither free guy or jungle cruise...though i would expect disney to publish the numbers soon enough

Edited September 9, 2021 by john2000

[poweranimals]

Disney always seems to be the last to post their numbers. Besides Warner Bros obviously since they rarely post them at all.