The Box Office Buzz and Tracking Thread (December 2021 - July 2023)

[XXR vs XXR]

32 minutes ago, motionpic05 said:

Halloween Ends actually looks pretty strong to me. 

At quick glance, it seems like ticket sales are doing pretty well.

 

Is a $50 million OW possible? Less competition, IMAX (and other PLF's) and being marketed as the big finale. 

 

Sure, it's possible. Kills opened just under that @ $49.4M and ticket prices have gone up about 8-9% since then so if it can maintain the same audience it'll reach it. FTR though, I'm thinking $40-43M.

[Eric Loves Rey]

22 hours ago, Eric Smiley said:

Halloween Ends Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-12 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	66	603	13402	4.50%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 81

 

Comp

1.331x of A Quiet Place Part II Thu+Fri T-12 (25.78M)

5.912x of The Conjuring 3 T-12 (57.96M)

1.861x of Halloween Kills T-12 (9.03M)

1.902x of Scream T-12 (6.66M)

Halloween Ends Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-11 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	66	677	13402	5.05%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 74

 

Comp

1.307x of A Quiet Place Part II Thu+Fri T-11 (25.31M)

4.906x of The Conjuring 3 T-11 (48.1M)

1.800x of Halloween Kills T-11 (8.73M)

2.027x of Scream T-11 (7.09M)

[Eric Loves Rey]

22 hours ago, Eric Smiley said:

Black Adam Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-19 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	87	501	18174	2.76%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 58

 

Comp

0.879x of F9 T-19 (6.24M)

0.332x of Black Widow T-19 (4.39M)

2.456x of The Suicide Squad T-19 (10.07M)

1.358x of Venom 2 T-19 (15.75M)

1.275x of No Time to Die T-19 (8.03M)

0.417x of Eternals T-19 (3.97M)

0.119x of The Batman T-19 (2.56M)

0.501x of Top Gun 2 T-19 (9.65M)

0.347x of Jurassic World 3 T-19 (6.25M)

Black Adam Greater Philadelphia Area Seat Report T-18 and Counting

	Sellouts	Showings	Seats Sold	Total Seats	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	87	546	18174	3.00%

 

Total Seats Sold Today: 45

 

Comp

0.925x of F9 T-18 (6.57M)

0.347x of Black Widow T-18 (4.58M)

2.563x of The Suicide Squad T-18 (10.51M)

1.358x of Venom 2 T-18 (15.75M)

1.267x of No Time to Die T-18 (7.98M)

0.448x of Eternals T-18 (4.25M)

0.369x of Jurassic World 3 T-18 (6.65M)

[Eric Loves Rey]

Okay....so...tomorrow...got myself...455 shows to look at. And 235 of them is all for one movie. Take your time, you'll figure it out.

 

@Porthos @Inceptionzq @charlie Jatinder @Menor Reborn @katnisscinnaplex @GOGODanca @Tinalera @A Star is Delayed @Wolverpool XXR

 

I shall deliver a prayer to all of you for tomorrow, so long as you deliver a prayer for me.

[Porthos]

On 10/1/2022 at 11:55 PM, Porthos said:

 

Black Adam Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report: T-19 days and counting

 

	Capped	Sellouts	Showings	Seats left	Total Seats	Seats Sold	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	0	146	21513	22063	550	2.49%

 

Total Showings Added Today	4
Total Seats Added Today	250
Total Seats Sold Today	48

 

Day 3 Comps

	%		Sold Day 3	Total Sold		Sellouts Shows	Seats Left Total Seats	Perct Sold		Final Sold	% of Final		Comp
TSS	228.22		29	241		0/81	13711/13952	1.73%		2352	23.38%		9.36m
SC	65.01		120	846		0/101	16156/17002	4.98%		5847	9.41%		5.72m
LTBC	108.48		90	507		0/148	24646/25153	2.02%		7712	7.13%		12.58m
ET	45.05		148	1221		0/96	14322/15543	7.86%		6409	8.58%		4.28m
Bats	16.21		157	3392		0/248	28906/32298	10.50%		11757	4.68%		3.50m
Morb	100.55		62	547		0/127	18228/18775	2.91%		3477	15.82%		5.73m
JW	53.24		96	1033		0/163	21792/22825	4.53%		10966	5.02%		9.58m

FINAL SOLD NOTES: "Final sold" is the number of tickets sold for the movie in question at stop of tracking while "% of final" is the percentage of Black Adam's current tickets sold versus that final number.

 

Regal:      42/4106  [1.02% sold]
Matinee:    5/2196  [0.23% | 0.91% of all tickets sold]

 

Black Adam Greater Sacramento Area Premiere Night Seat Report: T-18 days and counting

 

	Capped	Sellouts	Showings	Seats left	Total Seats	Seats Sold	Perct Sold
TOTALS	0	0	146	21460	22063	603	2.73%

 

Total Seats Sold Today

53

 

Day 4 Comps

	%		Sold Day 4	Total Sold		Sellouts Shows	Seats Left Total Seats	Perct Sold		Final Sold	% of Final		Comp
TSS	232.82		18	259		0/81	13693/13952	1.86%		2352	25.64%		9.55m
SC	62.36		121	967		0/101	16035/17002	5.69%		5847	10.31%		5.49m
LTBC	105.98		62	569		0/150	24672/25241	2.25%		7712	7.82%		12.29m
ET	45.10		116	1337		0/96	14206/15543	8.60%		6409	9.41%		4.28m
Bats	17.14		126	3518		0/248	28780/32298	10.89%		11757	5.13%		3.70m
Morb	96.02		81	628		0/127	18147/18775	3.34%		3477	17.34%		5.47m
JW:D	55.58		52	1085		0/167	22418/23503	4.62%		10966	5.50%		10.00m

FINAL SOLD NOTES: "Final sold" is the number of tickets sold for the movie in question at stop of tracking while "% of final" is the percentage of Black Adam's current tickets sold versus that final number.

 

Regal:     42/4106  [1.02% sold]
Matinee:    9/2196  [0.41% | 1.49% of all tickets sold]

 

===

T-x comps starting tomorrow...

[TwoMisfits]

So, Black Panther 2 set vs other supers set in 2022 at my theaters...

 

At my Cinemarks, both are giving BP2 the widest opening set for any super this year.

 

1st Cinemark is 7 screens.  2nd Cinemark is 6 screens.

 

For comparison, Black Adam is getting 3 at both...and for starting presale set, no super this year got more than 5 screens at the 1st Cinemark and 4 screens at the 2nd.

 

This is to say - unlike my thoughts on Spidey last year where it was a VERY late change to get that movie enough showings and screens OW at my Cinemarks...BP2 will probably not have seat availability holding back its presales...and it may not have much seat expansion during the week before open...

Edited October 3, 2022 by TwoMisfits

[charlie Jatinder]

Tickets up at Harkins. Check your.

[katnisscinnaplex]

On 9/30/2022 at 1:10 PM, katnisscinnaplex said:

Movie	Day	Area	TC	Shows	New*	Sold	Seats	% Sold
Amsterdam	T-6	Jax	6	15	0	11	3,313	0.33%
		Phx	6	12	6	29	2,596	1.12%
		Ral	8	18	2	21	2,201	0.95%
	Total		20	45	8	61	8,110	0.75%
Black Adam	T-20	Jax	4	48	82	82	9,513	0.86%
		Phx	5	39	115	115	8,433	1.36%
		Ral	7	52	110	110	7,719	1.43%
	Total		16	139	307	307	25,665	1.20%
Halloween Ends	T-13	Jax	5	30	33	69	5,666	1.22%
		Phx	6	20	20	81	3,911	2.07%
		Ral	7	26	28	97	3,388	2.86%
	Total		18	76	81	247	12,965	1.91%
Lyle Lyle	T-6	Jax	5	33	0	5	3,572	0.14%
		Phx	6	15	2	9	2,298	0.39%
		Ral	7	21	4	9	2,803	0.32%
	Total		18	69	6	23	8,673	0.27%

*New sales since Wednesday

 

Lyle Lyle T-6 comps

 - Super Pets - .225x (496k)

 - Bad Guys - .371x (427k)

 - Peter Rabbit 2 - .535x (481k)

 - Paws of Fury - .575x (290k)

 

Amsterdam T-6 comps

 - Bullet Train - .191x (641k)

 - Beast - 1.25x (1.15m)

 - Massive Talent - 1.419x (993k)

 

NOTE: Jacksonville theaters are still closed for next Thursday

 

Halloween Ends T-13 comps
 - Nope - .706x (4.52m)

 - Suicide Squad - .925x (3.79m)

 - Black Phone + EA - 1.79x (5.37m)

 

(HK I started at T-7; Scream I only have T-0)

 

Black Adam first day comps

 - Eternals - .402x (3.82m)

 - Shang-Chi - .529x (4.66m)

 - TG2 - .295x (5.69m)

Movie	Day	Area	TC	Shows	New*	Sold	Seats	% Sold
Amsterdam	T-3	Jax	5	14	13	23	3,144	0.73%
		Phx	6	12	20	49	2,596	1.89%
		Ral	8	18	12	33	2,201	1.50%
	Total		19	44	45	105	7,941	1.32%
Black Adam	T-17	Jax	5	65	47	129	11,269	1.14%
		Phx	6	42	55	170	8,661	1.96%
		Ral	8	60	58	168	8,559	1.96%
	Total		19	167	160	467	28,489	1.64%
Halloween Ends	T-10	Jax	5	30	32	101	5,666	1.78%
		Phx	6	20	34	115	3,911	2.94%
		Ral	7	26	38	135	3,388	3.98%
	Total		18	76	104	351	12,965	2.71%
Lyle Lyle	T-3	Jax	5	33	7	12	3,572	0.34%
		Phx	6	15	11	20	2,298	0.87%
		Ral	7	21	10	19	2,803	0.68%
	Total		18	69	28	51	8,673	0.59%

*New sales since Friday morning

 

Lyle Lyle T-3 comps

 - Super Pets - .293x (645k)

 - Bad Guys - .531x (611k)

 - Peter Rabbit 2 - .586x (528k)

 - Paws of Fury - .944x (477k)

 

Amsterdam T-3 comps

 - Bullet Train - .242x (810k)

 - Beast - 1.33x (1.23m)

 - Massive Talent - .972x (681k)

 - Free Guy - .344x (757k)

 

Halloween Ends T-10 comps
 - Nope - .828x (5.3m)

 - Suicide Squad - 1.16x (4.77m)

 - Black Phone + EA - 2.08x (6.23m)

 

(HK I started at T-7; Scream I only have T-0)

 

Black Adam T-17 comps

 - Eternals - .394x (3.75m)

 - TG2 - .323x (4.75m)

 - Black Widow - .283x (3.74m)

 - Suicide Squad - 2.152x (8.82m)

[XXR vs XXR]

No website crashes or even a queue for BPWF from what I can tell. I guess the MCU really is in decline 

[YM!]

16 minutes ago, Wolverpool XXR said:

No website crashes or even a queue for BPWF from what I can tell. I guess the MCU really is in decline 

I mean Wakanda Forever in my opinion will likely skew more GA friendly than say the average MCU nerd wet dream as say the Avengers series, CW, NWH and MoM, so I’d not be surprised if tickets were subdued until the last two weeks like Venom 2 or even the first Black Panther. I think over Love and Thunder is a good benchmark.

Edited October 3, 2022 by YM!

[filmlover]

Black Panther is more than a month away from opening (and also really long too, 161 minutes is a pretty big commitment) so I wouldn't expect insane sales out the gate. No Way Home went on sale less than three weeks before it opened when the average person has an idea of what their schedules in the near future will look like.

[JustLurking]

I don't think in terms of fanboy rush a week or two make a difference. The people who rush to purchase as soon as tickets go up don't need to know what their schedule will look like, they have already cleared it.

Edited October 3, 2022 by JustLurking

[charlie Jatinder]

Already flop talk. Truly a flop.

[filmlover]

4 minutes ago, JustLurking said:

I don't think in terms of fanboy rush a week or two make a difference. The people who rush to purchase as soon as tickets go up don't need to know what their schedule will look like, they have already cleared it.

Maybe, though I imagine most of the fanboy rush would be looking at the IMAX/PLF screens specifically. Which are selling great near me so far FYI, but regular screens have barely moved anything just giving them a quick glance (a contrast to when Spider-Man was filling up every single show the moment it went on sale).

[Factcheck]

32 minutes ago, Wolverpool XXR said:

No website crashes or even a queue for BPWF from what I can tell. I guess the MCU really is in decline 

No T'challa might be the reason. Also multiverse of madness has damaged MCU a lot imo, people were so hyped for multiverse but they got nothing out of that. They shouldn't have used word Multiverse in the subtitle.

[Eric Loves Rey]

Guys, it's only been 90 minutes. And honestly, I don't remember any crashes for Strange and Thor, but the warning bells weren't being rung there. So why do it now? Please relax, because the universe doesn't need this annoying Monday morning quarterbacking.

[JustLurking]

4 minutes ago, filmlover said:

Maybe, though I imagine most of the fanboy rush would be looking at the IMAX/PLF screens specifically. Which are selling great near me so far FYI, but regular screens have barely moved anything just giving them a quick glance (a contrast to when Spider-Man was filling up every single show the moment it went on sale).

I don't really know how it's selling so it wasn't meant to be a negative or positive remark on it, just that I think fanboys will want their tickets asap regardless of how early they go on sale. It's the more casual/GA side of the fanbase that will wait until closer to release.

[filmlover]

Meanwhile, in other future news, I've already seen a couple of TV spots for The Menu over the past week. Seems like it's going to receive a bigger marketing push than most of the Disney era Searchlight titles have.

[BadOlCatSylvester]

4 minutes ago, Factcheck said:

No T'challa might be the reason. Also multiverse of madness has damaged MCU a lot imo, people were so hyped for multiverse but they got nothing out of that. They shouldn't have used word Multiverse in the subtitle.

I've been thinking for a while that this movie might pay for the sins of Multiverse of Madness and Love and Thunder both being so polarizing. I know everyone is laughing at Variety's recent prediction for the movie's domestic total, but I personally think it might happen. We were all sure the former two movies I pointed to would be billion dollar megahits as well, and we all know how that turned out.

 

I will commend Marvel on the marketing here, because from the looks of it they've definitely learned their lesson from Multiverse of Madness. They hyped that up to be far bigger than it actually was. We're a little over a month out from this movie and we still don't know what the actual plot is. A far cry from them idiotically spoiling Professor X and unnecessarily raising fan expectations.

[filmlover]

Also it appears that a number of theaters have Black Panther booked for their PLF screens through Thanksgiving weekend so it looks like the PLF/IMAX footprint for Strange World (and I guess Devotion too, since it screened in IMAX at TIFF) won't be very big.