Weekend Thread (3/18-20) | Weekend Actuals: Batman 36.7, Jujutsu Kaisen 17.7, Uncharted 7.8, X 4.4, Dog 4

[ban1o]

Just now, charlie Jatinder said:

Wait. People were expecting 45M weekend from BAT. why?

because they were too optimistic lol. 

[Potomac2001]

Sony delaying Morbius to Q2 is working out for them. NWH and Uncharted have done well for them in Q1 and i belive Morbius would have cut into the grosses of both.

[Cmasterclay]

Thinking 23m for Lost City, 44m for Morbius, 67m for Sonic (breakout incoming), and low 40s for Fantastic Beasts as the inevitable B.A.2 wave starts to really hit that weekend based on Europe's numbers.

[filmlover]

X's numbers are solid all things considered. An indie horror movie with a tawdry premise was always going to be really limited in appeal, good reviews notwithstanding. Too bad about The Outfit though, as unsurprisingly poor as its numbers are.

 

Really strong holds again this weekend. The Batman will be around or over $300M by the end of Sunday and still on track for $400M+, Uncharted is gonna finish between $140-150M, Dog will hit $60M+, Death on the Nile will make $45M+. All good signs for the busy weeks ahead.

[narniadis]

@charlie Jatinder overly optimistic predictors didnt accurately think about Spring Break skewing the increases when they promoted their mid 40s projections. 

 

Overall the weekend is incredibly solid. Very glad to see good numbers in more than 1 film. 

[Ghost Mountain]

X doesn’t look very good based on the trailers, I’m not surprised that it’s doing poorly

[Eric is Anxious]

27 minutes ago, Cmasterclay said:

Thinking 23m for Lost City, 44m for Morbius, 67m for Sonic (breakout incoming), and low 40s for Fantastic Beasts as the inevitable B.A.2 wave starts to really hit that weekend based on Europe's numbers.

Famous last words, but do these variants really matter anymore domestically? I feel most people have given up or don’t care about COVID anymore, even the most stalwart, masked everywhere people. Shang-Chi and Scream arguably only got shaved like 5-10% when they were at the peak of these variants, and we’re getting into warmer weather. We might have a few delays/streaming shifts, but those will probably be more on propping up their services/studio disinterest in theatrical/production delays kind of deals than anything to do with COVID.

 

Whether or not that is a good thing is up to you of course. 

[BruiseCruise]

NWH was chugging along just fine when cases had raged up to like 1mil a day, at this point it doesn't matter especially with cases coming down now

[TheDarkKnightOfSteel]

400M final would be locked for The Batman had it not been for the HBO Max release at the end of April. Ugh I hate current WB heads.

[ThomasNicole]

BA2 will definitely reach US by next month, but honestly i doubt it will matter at this point.

 

Nobody cares anymore (sadly), 1M daily cases in December didn't stop NWH of debut with 260M, nothing was closed 

 

Now it will probably be even more cases, but i bet everything will still be open and the impact won't be different than it is now.

 

OT: excellent for Batman

[wildphantom]

1 hour ago, Cmasterclay said:

Thinking 23m for Lost City, 44m for Morbius, 67m for Sonic (breakout incoming), and low 40s for Fantastic Beasts as the inevitable B.A.2 wave starts to really hit that weekend based on Europe's numbers.

Nah, lockdowns and restrictions for countries as vaccined up as the majority of the west - those days are done. 
besides, the figures are expected to plummet just as soon as they’ve peaked. 

[BooMFer]

1 hour ago, Cmasterclay said:

Thinking 23m for Lost City, 44m for Morbius, 67m for Sonic (breakout incoming), and low 40s for Fantastic Beasts as the inevitable B.A.2 wave starts to really hit that weekend based on Europe's numbers.

Don't sense breakout numbers for Sonic 2? I mean it's possible. 

 

And if Fantastic Beasts 3 does $100M, there is your proof of the existence of God.

[Grebacio]

2 hours ago, Cmasterclay said:

Thinking 23m for Lost City, 44m for Morbius, 67m for Sonic (breakout incoming), and low 40s for Fantastic Beasts.

28/94 for Lost City

62/140 for Morbius

60/201 for Sonic

53/153 for Fantastic Beasts

 

edit: I added Dom totals now

 

 

Edited March 19, 2022 by Grebacio
I added Dom totals now

[BooMFer]

Just have a real Dark Phoenix vibe from FB3.

[Torontofan]

Only people worried about covid are people who feel high risk or scared and mever came back to theater or people who virtue signal about wearing masks but then be having at their friends house having a house party at night

[Maggie]

If FB3 does 100m, i’d consider it a huge succes, but i doubt it can reach that number

[BruiseCruise]

Lost City:29m
Morbius: 55m

Sonic 2: 70m

FB3: 42m

[Noctis]

Predicting $43m OW for FB3 and a $115m finish.

[Legion Again]

31

65

65

38

[Flopped]

1 hour ago, Cmasterclay said:

Thinking 23m for Lost City

 

I think more. This feels like the one that women have been waiting for, and guys won't mind tagging along. And obviously it will drop, but it's sitting at a 100 on RT with 19 reviews.