filmlover Posted August 1, 2023 Author Share Posted August 1, 2023 15 minutes ago, BoxOfficeFangrl said: He was going to go, but the news about his ex and Tom Brady has him down bad... /s But seriously, people are out there screaming, "Scab!" at low-level YouTube movie review channels and podcasters. They're mad about A24 waivers. The A-list lead of a movie promoting it only "as a director/producer" was going to be a tough line to walk. Maybe SAG will work something out with all the actor/directors in the coming weeks, or those film festivals will have signed on a bunch of iffy actor-auteur projects for nothing. People view how he was with A Star Is Born as a sign of general awards thirstiness in him, but I don't know if I totally agree. He was in two Best Picture contenders a couple of years ago, hit some precursors for both roles, but was not going full throttle trying for the dual acting nomination, like a truly hungry star would. It was still kind of a Covid awards season, but Andrew Garfield was in a similar position (with buzz for both Tick Tick Boom & The Eyes of Tammy Faye) and he was everywhere that year. lol I refuse to give the spotlight to those who don't do the research and realize that AMPTP doesn't represent the entire entertainment industry. There's plenty of independent producers (not greedy and arguably wildly overpaid types like Iger and Zaslav) that are facing the risk of going bankrupt from being shut down for too long. I'm not sure how likely BCoop would've ever gotten in for his two 2021 performances unless it had been an incredibly dead year for those categories tbh. Nightmare Alley was always seen as GDT's show first and foremost despite the starry cast, while he was basically a glorified cameo in Licorice Pizza. Sometimes it really comes down to whether the role itself is truly nomination-worthy or not. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WorkingonaName Posted August 1, 2023 Share Posted August 1, 2023 Maestro is too try hard to win. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ringedmortality Posted August 1, 2023 Share Posted August 1, 2023 Haven’t test screenings for Maestro been horrendous. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
filmlover Posted August 1, 2023 Author Share Posted August 1, 2023 14 minutes ago, ringedmortality said: Haven’t test screenings for Maestro been horrendous. I read that they were decent but unspectacular. Considering biopics need to truly bomb completely to be counted out for anything (we live in a world where Tammy Faye, of all people, is now an Oscar-winning role in a mid biopic after all), it might still make even if it ends up a minor contender at most, especially when the Makeup Oscar (a win that's actually been quite helpful for an acting victory at recent ceremonies) looks like a given for it. We'll find out in a few weeks at Venice. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
titanic2187 Posted August 1, 2023 Share Posted August 1, 2023 On 7/30/2023 at 7:45 AM, Kvikk Lunsj said: Best picture *The Holdovers Anatomy of a Fall Barbie Bob Marley: One Love The Color Purple Dune part 2 Killers of the Flower moon Lee Past lives Saltburn Director * Martin Scorses Blitz Bazawule Celine Song Greta Gerwig Jonathan Glazer Actress * Fantasia Barrino-The color Purple Kate Winslet- Lee Greta Lee- Past Lives Margot Robbie- Barbie Phoebe Dynevor- Fair Play Actor *kinsgley Ben-Adir- Bob Marley: One Love Bradley Cooper- Maestro Coleman Domingo- Rustin Leonard DiCaprio- Killers of the Flower Moon Paul Giamatti- Holdovers Supporting Actress *Lily Gladstone- Killers of the Flower moon America Ferra-Dumb Money Da’Vine Joy Randolph- The Holdovers Tariji P. Henderson- The Color Purple Viola Davis- Air Supporting Actor *William Dafoe- Poor Things Brian Tyee Henry- Fling Strong Charles Melton- May December Robert DeNiro Killers of the Flower Moon Ryan Gosling-Barbie Screenplay original *Past Lives Barbie Holdovers Rustin Saltburn Adapt *Lee Are You there God its Me Margot The Color Purple Dune part 2 Killers of the Flower Moon Cinematography *Lee Dune part 2 The Killer Killers of the Flower Moon Zone of Interest Editing *zone of interest The Color Purple Dune part 2 Killers of the flower moon Saltburn Production *Barbie The Color Purple Dune part 2 Killers of the Flower Moon Napoleon Hairy style and Makeup *Maestro Barbie Dune 2 Guardians of the Galaxy Vol 3 Priscilla Costume Design *Barbie Dune part 2 Killers of the Flower Moon The Hunger Games: The Ballad of Songbirds and Snake Wonka Sound *Ferrari Dune part 2 Maestro Mission Impossible Dead Reckoning part 1 Napoleon Visual Effects *Dune Part 2 Guardians of the Galaxy vol 2 Indiana Jones & the dial of Destiny The Marvels Transformers Rise of Beast Animated *Across the Spider Verse The Boy and Heron Nimoa Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles Wish Score *Priscilla Across the Spider Verse Dune part 2 Elemental The Killer international * anatomy of a fall zone of interest the boy and heron It is so hard to comprehend this prediction because of total Oppenheimer snub. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
titanic2187 Posted August 2, 2023 Share Posted August 2, 2023 https://www.indiewire.com/news/breaking-news/the-zone-of-interest-jonathan-glazer-release-date-1234890604/ Dilemma of the year for A24. Past Live or Zone of Interest? Or Past Interest? 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eric Duncan Posted August 2, 2023 Share Posted August 2, 2023 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JustLurking Posted August 2, 2023 Share Posted August 2, 2023 On 7/30/2023 at 1:45 AM, Kvikk Lunsj said: Best picture *The Holdovers Anatomy of a Fall Barbie Bob Marley: One Love The Color Purple Dune part 2 Killers of the Flower moon Lee Past lives Saltburn Director * Martin Scorses Blitz Bazawule Celine Song Greta Gerwig Jonathan Glazer Actress * Fantasia Barrino-The color Purple Kate Winslet- Lee Greta Lee- Past Lives Margot Robbie- Barbie Phoebe Dynevor- Fair Play Actor *kinsgley Ben-Adir- Bob Marley: One Love Bradley Cooper- Maestro Coleman Domingo- Rustin Leonard DiCaprio- Killers of the Flower Moon Paul Giamatti- Holdovers Supporting Actress *Lily Gladstone- Killers of the Flower moon America Ferra-Dumb Money Da’Vine Joy Randolph- The Holdovers Tariji P. Henderson- The Color Purple Viola Davis- Air Supporting Actor *William Dafoe- Poor Things Brian Tyee Henry- Fling Strong Charles Melton- May December Robert DeNiro Killers of the Flower Moon Ryan Gosling-Barbie Screenplay original *Past Lives Barbie Holdovers Rustin Saltburn Adapt *Lee Are You there God its Me Margot The Color Purple Dune part 2 Killers of the Flower Moon Cinematography *Lee Dune part 2 The Killer Killers of the Flower Moon Zone of Interest Editing *zone of interest The Color Purple Dune part 2 Killers of the flower moon Saltburn Production *Barbie The Color Purple Dune part 2 Killers of the Flower Moon Napoleon Hairy style and Makeup *Maestro Barbie Dune 2 Guardians of the Galaxy Vol 3 Priscilla Costume Design *Barbie Dune part 2 Killers of the Flower Moon The Hunger Games: The Ballad of Songbirds and Snake Wonka Sound *Ferrari Dune part 2 Maestro Mission Impossible Dead Reckoning part 1 Napoleon Visual Effects *Dune Part 2 Guardians of the Galaxy vol 2 Indiana Jones & the dial of Destiny The Marvels Transformers Rise of Beast Animated *Across the Spider Verse The Boy and Heron Nimoa Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles Wish Score *Priscilla Across the Spider Verse Dune part 2 Elemental The Killer international * anatomy of a fall zone of interest the boy and heron I feel like this is the first prediction I've read all year that is actually high on bob marley lol Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DAJK Posted August 4, 2023 Share Posted August 4, 2023 On 7/29/2023 at 4:45 PM, Kvikk Lunsj said: Best picture *The Holdovers Anatomy of a Fall Barbie Bob Marley: One Love The Color Purple Dune part 2 Killers of the Flower moon Lee Past lives Saltburn Director * Martin Scorses Blitz Bazawule Celine Song Greta Gerwig Jonathan Glazer Actress * Fantasia Barrino-The color Purple Kate Winslet- Lee Greta Lee- Past Lives Margot Robbie- Barbie Phoebe Dynevor- Fair Play Actor *kinsgley Ben-Adir- Bob Marley: One Love Bradley Cooper- Maestro Coleman Domingo- Rustin Leonard DiCaprio- Killers of the Flower Moon Paul Giamatti- Holdovers Supporting Actress *Lily Gladstone- Killers of the Flower moon America Ferra-Dumb Money Da’Vine Joy Randolph- The Holdovers Tariji P. Henderson- The Color Purple Viola Davis- Air Supporting Actor *William Dafoe- Poor Things Brian Tyee Henry- Fling Strong Charles Melton- May December Robert DeNiro Killers of the Flower Moon Ryan Gosling-Barbie Screenplay original *Past Lives Barbie Holdovers Rustin Saltburn Adapt *Lee Are You there God its Me Margot The Color Purple Dune part 2 Killers of the Flower Moon Cinematography *Lee Dune part 2 The Killer Killers of the Flower Moon Zone of Interest Editing *zone of interest The Color Purple Dune part 2 Killers of the flower moon Saltburn Production *Barbie The Color Purple Dune part 2 Killers of the Flower Moon Napoleon Hairy style and Makeup *Maestro Barbie Dune 2 Guardians of the Galaxy Vol 3 Priscilla Costume Design *Barbie Dune part 2 Killers of the Flower Moon The Hunger Games: The Ballad of Songbirds and Snake Wonka Sound *Ferrari Dune part 2 Maestro Mission Impossible Dead Reckoning part 1 Napoleon Visual Effects *Dune Part 2 Guardians of the Galaxy vol 2 Indiana Jones & the dial of Destiny The Marvels Transformers Rise of Beast Animated *Across the Spider Verse The Boy and Heron Nimoa Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles Wish Score *Priscilla Across the Spider Verse Dune part 2 Elemental The Killer international * anatomy of a fall zone of interest the boy and heron Not a SINGLE Oppenheimer nom? Lol Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jake Gittes Posted August 4, 2023 Share Posted August 4, 2023 2 hours ago, DAJK said: Not a SINGLE Oppenheimer nom? Lol It's Dex Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cmasterclay Posted August 7, 2023 Share Posted August 7, 2023 Quickie with most of the festival lineup currently known and not much else to move - Color Purple seems the last big domino. Picture 1. Oppenheimer 2. Flower Moon 3. Barbie 4. Saltburn 5. Zone of Interest 6. Past Lives 7. Dune 2 8. Anatomy of a Fall 9. Air 10. The Holdovers (I have heard from a trusted source this is probably nomination good but not winner worthy, so I'd drop it a bit if you have it super high). This is a very large number of films that have already screened or been released, but even without accounting for delays, the fall festival schedule doesn't look incredibly stacked. Maybe Napoleon or Maestro is better than I've heard or Color Purple sticks around. I bet The Killer is great but not Academy's cup of tea. Director 1. Nolan 2. Marty 3. Gerwig 4. Glazer 5. Villenvue Alt: Triet, Fennell Actor 1. DiCaprio, Flower Moon 2. Murphy, Oppenheimer 3. Foxx, The Burial (call it a hunch) 4. Cooper, Maestro (more in on him than the movie) 5. Keoghan, Saltburn Alt: Giamatti is the easiest choice, Domingo has a shot, Phoenix or Driver could easily surprise if the movies are better than I expect. Both seem like miscasts Actress 1. Huller, Anatomy of a Fall 2. Bening, NYAD 3. Robbie, Barbie 4. Chastain, Memory 5. Lee, Past Lives Alt: Tough category this year. I'm putting Gladstone supporting for now but if lead she's top two. Mulligan was my first alt. Certainly if Color Purple isn't delayed I think Fantasia takes a spot here. Maybe Spaeny as a lone nominee? Feels like a good category for a woman of color to emerge. Supporting Actor 1. Gosling, Barbie 2. RDJ, Oppenheimer 3. De Niro, Killers 4. Magaro, Past Lives 5. Damon, Oppenheimer (really stuck between him and Plemons as the coattail nom that always happens in this category now) Alt: This is a strong category this year. Tommy Lee Jones was actually my first alt. I could see this being a category with a lone nominee like Hardy in Bikeriders or one of the Dumb Money guys. Eldori gets two bites at this particular apple. Any of the Oppenheimer guys plus Plemons is a potential coattail, as is some of the Air dudes and Yoo. Would be fun if Chris Rock got a nomination, especially in a fairly white year. Supporting Actress 1. Gladstone, Killers (could be lead, where I'd have her second) 2. Pike, Saltburn (I know nothing about her role but this is a true NGNG pick to have her leading here if Gladstone is lead, she's due and it sounds juicky) 3. Huller, Zone of Interest (what a year!!) 4. Swinton, Killer (lone nom) 5. Blunt, Oppenheimer (coattails) Alt: Could see a Barbie girl, specifically America. If Color Purple ends up in this year it could get multiple noms here. This could be a spot for a lone Dune acting nom. Davis for Air remains a legit contender as long as that movie is. Randolph in Holdovers was also a strong look for me. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WrathOfHan Posted August 7, 2023 Share Posted August 7, 2023 3 hours ago, Cmasterclay said: 10. The Holdovers (I have heard from a trusted source this is probably nomination good but not winner worthy, so I'd drop it a bit if you have it super high). What if I told you I've heard the opposite (I'm not predicting it to win but have it solidly in top 3-5) 3 hours ago, Cmasterclay said: 5. Damon, Oppenheimer (really stuck between him and Plemons as the coattail nom that always happens in this category now) Right now, I think Damon has the edge for a coattail/second nom if there is one. Plemons has more of a narrative impact, but Damon gets a bit more range as a short-tempered character. It'll probably come down to which film has more buzz when voting happens in a few months. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
filmlover Posted August 7, 2023 Author Share Posted August 7, 2023 Damon will also have the year-end citations for both Air and Oppenheimer. Possible chance of a double nom if the two movies end up major players. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cmasterclay Posted August 7, 2023 Share Posted August 7, 2023 9 hours ago, WrathOfHan said: What if I told you I've heard the opposite (I'm not predicting it to win but have it solidly in top 3-5) Right now, I think Damon has the edge for a coattail/second nom if there is one. Plemons has more of a narrative impact, but Damon gets a bit more range as a short-tempered character. It'll probably come down to which film has more buzz when voting happens in a few months. Interesting about the Holdovers! My friend who saw it described it as very nice and with a great Giamatti performance but rather safe and light. I just don't see the narrative in a year with such big guns. With weaker frontrunners like last couple years possibly. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WrathOfHan Posted August 7, 2023 Share Posted August 7, 2023 2 hours ago, Cmasterclay said: Interesting about the Holdovers! My friend who saw it described it as very nice and with a great Giamatti performance but rather safe and light. I just don't see the narrative in a year with such big guns. With weaker frontrunners like last couple years possibly. It also doesn't help we've had lighter, optimistic winners the past few years. We're overdue for a dark win. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
filmlover Posted August 7, 2023 Author Share Posted August 7, 2023 I feel like this is shaping up to be a year where a "lighter" Best Picture winner would actually be quite fitting given the beating the industry is taking from an extended shutdown caused entirely by the greed of the higher-ups. Depends on how the season goes (and how long the strikes last) I suppose. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
abracadabra1998 Posted August 8, 2023 Share Posted August 8, 2023 On 8/2/2023 at 11:56 AM, Eric the Turtle said: Hyped for… The Zone of Things weekend? Or Poor Interest weekend? Someone more clever than me needs to Barbenheimer this thing up. More seriously, I always get annoyed at studios cramming everything into December and then a bunch of movies end up being snubbed, bombing at the BO, or both. I wish that EEAO and now Past Lives, Oppy, and Barbie would show them that it’s ok to release awards movies sometime other than November or December Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cmasterclay Posted August 8, 2023 Share Posted August 8, 2023 When the Venice programming director is talking about how divisive and uncommercial Poor Things is even compared to his past films, you know that shit gonna be wild. 2 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
filmlover Posted August 8, 2023 Author Share Posted August 8, 2023 NYFF main slate revealed: 2023 NY Film Festival Main Slate Includes Poor Things, All of Us Strangers – The Hollywood Reporter 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grebacio Posted August 8, 2023 Share Posted August 8, 2023 13 hours ago, abracadabra1998 said: More seriously, I always get annoyed at studios cramming everything into December and then a bunch of movies end up being snubbed, bombing at the BO, or both. I wish that EEAO and now Past Lives, Oppy, and Barbie would show them that it’s ok to release awards movies sometime other than November or December To be fair, Poor things was supposed to be released on September, but it moved due strikes. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
