The Box Office Buzz, Tracking, and Pre-Sale Thread

[Brainbug]

2 minutes ago, M37 said:

To put these runs into perspective, here are the multipliers vs the respective 3-day and 5-day openings:

 

Jumanji WTJ = 11.2x, 7.66x

Puss in Boots = 14.92x, 10.0x

Showman = 19.8x, 13.0x 

 

PiB was ~33% better than JWTJ, and Showman was ~30% better than PiB. I’ve mentioned this before, but Showman’s Jan/Feb grosses as compared to its December baseline is comparable to only Avatar. To say there will be another Showman-like run is essentially to say there will be another Avatar run, which - while never say never - is certainly not something I would hold out hope to happen in the current market 

 

I have hope for Minus One.

[Eric Prime]

Quorum Updates

The Boy and the Heron T-4: 23.94%

Eileen T-4: 14.92%

Anyone But You T-18: 26.67%

The Iron Claw T-18: 28.79%

Poor Things T-18: 16.97%

The Boys in the Boat T-21: 20.61%

Drive Away Dolls T-81: 16.36%

If T-165: 17.05%

Beetlejuice 2 T-277: 53.41%

 

Wonka T-11: 69.32% Awareness

Final Awareness: 100% chance of 40M, 88% chance of 50M, 76% chance of 60M, 59% chance of 70M, 41% chance of 100M

Tentpole Awareness: 100% chance of 60M, 50% chance of 70M, 33% chance of 100M

[keysersoze123]

Migration MTC1

Previews - 1697/296635 23037.83 2028 shows

Friday - 2224/425626 29126.38 2855 shows

 

Less than 1 ticket per show average for both days :-)

[Grand Cine]

 

17 minutes ago, keysersoze123 said:

Migration MTC1

Previews - 1697/296635 23037.83 2028 shows

Friday - 2224/425626 29126.38 2855 shows

 

Less than 1 ticket per show average for both days 🙂

Ouch , it's not good , i hope it's better  when the film is close to release (and potentially good reaction of early international release) 

[filmlover]

A true Christmas classic if there ever was one.

 

 

[MovieMan89]

I wonder if TCP, Migration, and Wonka could all end up doing like 200+ each? Migration sounds like it might actually be illuminations best. That would be pretty great tbh even despite Aquabomb 

[Porthos]

27 minutes ago, MovieMan89 said:

I wonder if TCP, Migration, and Wonka could all end up doing like 200+ each? 

 

*lights the @M37 signal 😛*

[keysersoze123]

On 12/1/2023 at 6:59 PM, keysersoze123 said:

Color Purple MTC1

12/25 - 49245/264598 616373.95 1900 shows

12/26 - 11625/262122 142673.25 1866 shows

 

Insane number for the christmas day. Also it just falls off the cliff on 26th. Look at the pace over past 8 days for both the days. I think it hits double digit on christmas and then a big drop. Of course ATP is low as it does not seem to have PLF. 

Color Purple MTC1

12/25 - 57670/265647 725296.18 1909 shows

12/26 - 13953/262217 172161.23 1869 shows

 

I have never seen this level of skew in Presales before. 

[TheFlatLannister]

On 12/3/2023 at 6:03 PM, TheFlatLannister said:

Orlando-Daytona-Gainesville 

 

AQUAMAN AND THE LOST KINGDOM

 

Thursday Previews 

 

T-18

SHOWINGS	SEATS SOLD	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD
191	850	38536	2.2%

^{*numbers taken as of 6:00PM EST}

SEATS SOLD SINCE YESTERDAY

31

 

SHOWINGS ADDED SINCE YESTERDAY

0

 

SELLOUTS

0

 

COMPS

T-18

 

(0.390x) of The Marvels $2.57M Previews

(0.464) of Indy 5 $3.34M Previews

(0.176x) of GOTG 3 $3.08M Previews

(0.437x) of The Flash $4.23M Previews

Comps AVG: $3.31M

Orlando-Daytona-Gainesville 

 

AQUAMAN AND THE LOST KINGDOM

 

Thursday Previews 

 

T-17

SHOWINGS	SEATS SOLD	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD
191	860	38536	2.2%

^{*numbers taken as of 6:00PM EST}

SEATS SOLD SINCE YESTERDAY

10

 

SHOWINGS ADDED SINCE YESTERDAY

0

 

SELLOUTS

0

 

COMPS

T-17

 

(0.389x) of The Marvels $2.57M Previews

(0.466x) of Indy 5 $3.35M Previews

(0.173x) of GOTG 3 $3.02M Previews

(0.429x) of The Flash $4.16M Previews

Comps AVG: $3.28M

 

Ok, so tomorrow Blue Beetle should be ~$6.6M comp

[TheFlatLannister]

On 12/3/2023 at 6:00 PM, TheFlatLannister said:

Orlando-Daytona-Gainesville 

 

MIGRATION 

 

Thursday Previews 

 

T-18

SHOWINGS	SEATS SOLD	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD
176	202	33106	0.61%

^{*numbers taken as of 6:00PM EST}

SEATS SOLD SINCE YESTERDAY

2

 

SHOWINGS ADDED SINCE YESTERDAY

0

 

SELLOUTS

0

 

COMPS

T-18

 

(0.680x) of Trolls 3 $884k Previews

(0.494x) of Elemental $1.18M Previews

Comps AVG: $1.03M

Orlando-Daytona-Gainesville 

 

MIGRATION 

 

Thursday Previews 

 

T-17

SHOWINGS	SEATS SOLD	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD
176	207	33106	0.63%

^{*numbers taken as of 6:00PM EST}

SEATS SOLD SINCE YESTERDAY

5

 

SHOWINGS ADDED SINCE YESTERDAY

0

 

SELLOUTS

0

 

COMPS

T-17

 

(0.679x) of Trolls 3 $882k Previews

(0.493x) of Elemental $1.18M Previews

Comps AVG: $1.03M

[TheFlatLannister]

On 12/3/2023 at 6:04 PM, TheFlatLannister said:

Orlando-Daytona-Gainesville 

 

The Color Purple

 

Christmas 

 

T-22

SHOWINGS	SEATS SOLD	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD
160	1648	29935	5.5%

^{*numbers taken as of 6:00PM EST}

SEATS SOLD SINCE YESTERDAY

50

 

SHOWINGS ADDED SINCE YESTERDAY

0

 

SELLOUTS

0

 

COMPS

T-22

 

Comps with Thursday previews 

(2.751x) of Wish $4.95M 

(1.637x) of Haunted Mansion $5.07M 

(0.834x) of TLM $8.59M 

Comps AVG: $6.20M

Orlando-Daytona-Gainesville 

 

The Color Purple

 

Christmas 

 

T-21

SHOWINGS	SEATS SOLD	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD
160	1770	29935	5.9%

^{*numbers taken as of 6:00PM EST}

SEATS SOLD SINCE YESTERDAY

122

 

SHOWINGS ADDED SINCE YESTERDAY

0

 

SELLOUTS

0

 

COMPS

T-21

 

Comps with Thursday previews 

(2.955x) of Wish $5.32M 

(1.710x) of Haunted Mansion $5.30M 

(0.885x) of TLM $9.11M 

Comps AVG: $6.58M

 

Crazy pace lol

[TheFlatLannister]

On 12/3/2023 at 5:58 PM, TheFlatLannister said:

Orlando-Daytona-Gainesville 

 

WONKA

 

Thursday Previews 

 

T-11

SHOWINGS	SEATS SOLD	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD
195	923	36197	2.5%

^{*numbers taken as of 6:00PM EST}

SEATS SOLD SINCE YESTERDAY

16

 

SHOWINGS ADDED SINCE YESTERDAY

0

 

SELLOUTS

0

 

COMPS

T-11

 

(0.439x) of Indy 5 $3.16M Previews

(0.342x) of TLM $3.53M Previews

Comps AVG: $3.35M

Orlando-Daytona-Gainesville 

 

WONKA

 

Thursday Previews 

 

T-10

SHOWINGS	SEATS SOLD	TOTAL SEATS	PERCENT SOLD
195	931	36197	2.6%

^{*numbers taken as of 6:00PM EST}

SEATS SOLD SINCE YESTERDAY

8

 

SHOWINGS ADDED SINCE YESTERDAY

0

 

SELLOUTS

0

 

COMPS

T-10

 

(0.434x) of Indy 5 $3.13M Previews

(0.332x) of TLM $3.42M Previews

Comps AVG: $3.28M

[TheFlatLannister]

Well, that was my last update for a while. Going to be out of town. I will have the data, but won't have time to post them. 

[abracadabra1998]

23 hours ago, abracadabra1998 said:

 

Minneapolis-St. Paul Area Previews:

 

The Boy and the Heron (T-4):

Day: T-4, T-3, T-1	Shows	New	Sold	Seats	% Sold
Thursday: 16 theaters	29	129	396	4123	9.6
Wednesday EA: 8 theaters	8	106	383	1657	23.11
Monday IMAX EA: 3 theaters	4	137	519	1082	47.97
TOTALS:	41	372	1298	6862	18.92

 

Thursday comps:

0.97x Napoleon: $2.93 Million

0.59x Killers of the Flower Moon: $1.53 Million

0.29x MI7: $2.05 Million

1.26x Asteroid City: $1.39 Million

 

EA Comps:

0.77x Barbie: $850k

1.25x Godzilla Minus One: ??

 

Godzilla Minus One Comp (THU + EA): 1.36x: $2.87 Million

 

Stellar numbers, I understand this will be frontloaded, but these numbers, especially the EA, are awesome. 

 

Minneapolis-St. Paul Area Previews:

 

The Boy and the Heron (T-3):

Day: T-3, T-2, T-0	Shows	New	Sold	Seats	% Sold
Thursday: 18 theaters	34	105	501	4786	10.47
Wednesday EA: 8 theaters	8	57	440	1657	26.55
Monday IMAX EA: 3 theaters	4	92	611	1082	56.47
TOTALS:	46	254	1552	7525	20.62

 

Thursday comps:

1.79x Godzilla Minus One (THU): ??? (Assuming $800-900k previews, $1.43-1.61 Million)

0.99x Napoleon: $2.97 Million

0.65x Killers of the Flower Moon: $1.69 Million

0.33x MI7: $2.3 Million

1.36x Asteroid City: $1.49 Million

 

Trending in a great direction, keeps rising against comps. Don't really know how to comp the EA because tonight's EA was at T-1 hour, but just great numbers all around. Expecting $1-1.5 million in EA from my market.

[VanillaSkies]

On 12/3/2023 at 5:09 PM, MovieMan89 said:

On the Gaga convo… it would depend on where she’s at during her next tour/when the concert film would likely come out. If Joker is huge for her, including the music, and she leverages that straight into another hit album era, then I think that concert film would be huge at the box office. If she put it out right now or something, yeah less than Renaissance numbers for sure. 

Right, but that’s not what was being discussed. They were talking about her already filmed concert from the last album (Chromatica) that came out in 2020. The hype is long gone from that album. 
 

If she puts out another hit album with a big tour and releases it within months of the tour ending (or in Eras case while still ongoing), that’s a totally different scenario. 
 

The Chromatica concert should just go on streaming.

[MovieMan89]

I just really want over Ponyo OW (15m) for Heron and I will be happy

[abracadabra1998]

On 11/30/2023 at 10:22 PM, abracadabra1998 said:

 

Minneapolis-St. Paul Area Previews:

 

The Color Purple (T-25):

Day: T-25	Shows	New Seats	Sold	Seats	% Sold
Totals: 15 theaters	54	92	395	5502	7.18

 

Type of tix:		Total:	New:	Percentage:
PLFs:		0	0	0
MTC1:		183	42	46.33
Marcus:		71	7	17.97
Alamo:		22	4	5.57
Other chains:		119	39	30.13

 

Comps:

0.47x Oppy: $4.97 Million*

 

*Not a real jump, I expanded my comps back then to include more theaters. I have been comparing apples to apples but since Oppy was heavier on MTC1 this jumped quite a bit.

 

Adding KOFM next update and Barbie in a week. Any ideas for good comps here?

 

Minneapolis-St. Paul Area Christmas Day:

 

The Color Purple (T-21):

Day: T-21	Shows	New Seats	Sold	Seats	% Sold
Totals: 16 theaters	57	87	482	6027	8

 

Type of tix:		Total:	New:	Percentage:
PLFs:		0	0	0
MTC1:		213	30	44.19
Marcus:		92	21	19.09
Alamo:		40	18	8.3
Other chains:		137	18	28.42

 

Comps:

4.01x Wonka: ???

1.85x Killers of the Flower Moon: $4.82 Million

0.96x FNAF: $9.85 Million

0.5x Oppy: $5.3 Million

1.2x MI7: $8.42 Million

 

Average: $7.1 Million

 

Kinda throwing a lot at it right now (plus Barbie next update, on Thursday) and seeing how it converges. Needless to say, keeps rocking it.

 

[abracadabra1998]

13 minutes ago, TheFlatLannister said:

Well, that was my last update for a while. Going to be out of town. I will have the data, but won't have time to post them. 

 

We will miss you, hope all is well! Sending good vibes in your travels ❤️ 

[keysersoze123]

12 minutes ago, MovieMan89 said:

I just really want over Ponyo OW (15m) for Heron and I will be happy

Unless its release expands significantly I cant see it go that high. Not even convinced by double digits OW so far. 

[MovieMan89]

5 minutes ago, keysersoze123 said:

Unless its release expands significantly I cant see it go that high. Not even convinced by double digits OW so far. 

Nice to see it nearly doubling the pace of Godzilla at some locations though, so I will hope. I still think that Howl’s Moving Castle ghibli fest gross from a few months ago was bonkers.

 

*Also realize I said OW, I def meant DOM lol (ponyo did 15 DOM).  15 would be spectacular for OW though.  

Edited December 5, 2023 by MovieMan89