Weekday numbers 7-31 to 8-3

[Killimano3]

17 minutes ago, G Doss said:

Deadline has $30 million or so for Turtles and Meg 2. I would be willing to bet both are significantly higher when Sunday wraps up. Another big weekend on the horizon. 

 

 

 

August 2023 might crush August 2022 by huge numbers if all things go well. Which is good cause last year this is where everything very suddenly went south. Unfortunately the rest of the year has the strike to contend with

[Cheddar Please]

7 minutes ago, Killimano3 said:

 

August 2023 might crush August 2022 by huge numbers if all things go well. Which is good cause last year this is where everything very suddenly went south. Unfortunately the rest of the year has the strike to contend with

Disney should move The Marvels to December, given that Aquaman 2 is prob gonna bomb, which would allow it to rule Christmas almost uncontested

Edited August 3, 2023 by Cheddar Please

[MovieMan89]

25 minutes ago, Cheddar Please said:

Disney should move The Marvels to December, given that Aquaman 2 is prob gonna bomb, which would allow it to rule Christmas almost uncontested

At this point I’m not convinced anything besides Wonka is gonna be big for the big holiday releases.  Besides some obviously moving too. 

[Mango]

I don’t think Dune is moving, they’ve got like 6 weeks of IMAX booked and I can’t imagine them getting a sweet gig like that again. Hell even the filmed on IMAX hit Oppenheimer won’t get that.

 

Marvels moving to December sounds good on paper, but I can’t see WB moving Aquaman again and Marvel/Disney just aren’t going to go toe to toe with a DC film, not because they don’t think they’d beat it but because they know there’s a huge audience overlap and they want to maximize profits.

[Cheddar Please]

12.7m for Barbie and 5.75m for Oppy from the unicode website

Edited August 3, 2023 by Cheddar Please

[upriser7]

 

 

[upriser7]

 

[Bob Train]

Good for TMNT

Edited August 3, 2023 by Bob Train

[MrPink]

6 minutes ago, upriser7 said:

 

 

 

Oppenheimer having normal wednesday drops, it's joever

[AMC Theaters Enjoyer]

How about October 20th for The Marvels? Flower Moon will still have imax that weekend but it shouldn't create an audience overlap like Dune. 

[Ryan Reynolds]

TEENAGE MUTANT NINJA TURTLES: MUTANT MAYHEM (2023)

[Cheddar Please]

2 minutes ago, MrPink said:

 

Oppenheimer having normal wednesday drops, it's joever

@M37 It's so over for 24 days

[Bob Train]

Wonder what TMNT will do for the 5-day. That's a good Wed increase for sure.

Edited August 3, 2023 by Bob Train

[Liiviig 1998]

Barbie and oppy dropping around 17%  from Tuesday.

Weekday spillover effect is now slowly winding down.

 

Playing like last weekend  gets barbie to low 50s and oppy to 25- 26m.

[MovieMan89]

Did not see TMNT and Meg both looking to pull great openings coming… is it maybe possible Barbenheimer has sparked a whole theatrical resurgence? Idk if there’s really a lot of appealing looking stuff on the slate though… 

[AniNate]

Stars seem to be aligning for the half shells, feel like 200m is in the cards given the desert August and September are 

Edited August 3, 2023 by AniNate

[lilmac]

The 2nd derivative of Barbie vs TDK predicted "mid 90s" for Barbie last week, so far it's tracking toward a 3rd weekend drop significantly lower than TDK's 43%. Let's say 35% (maybe less). Going with $60.4M for now.

This movie could get to $600M domestic (as hard as it may be to believe $600M is still not guaranteed even with summer weekdays). Mid-summer really saved the boxoffice. Next weekend is looking to be healthy.

[keysersoze123]

16 minutes ago, Liiviig 1998 said:

Barbie and oppy dropping around 17%  from Tuesday.

Weekday spillover effect is now slowly winding down.

 

Playing like last weekend  gets barbie to low 50s and oppy to 25- 26m.

it wont play like last weekend. This weekend it will go back to more normal friday and may be even saturday increases if specific shows are more popular. 

[lilmac]

If Empire's $12.7M is accurate then I might have to downgrade my prediction to low to mid 50s

[MikeQ]

First Wed-to-Wed Drops for Biggest July Openers (80m+)

1. The Secret Life of Pets: -43.3%
2. Barbie: -45% (est.)
3. Oppenheimer: -46% (est.)
4. The Dark Knight Rises: -46.7%
5. The Lion King: -48.3%
6. Black Widow: -48.4%
7. Thor: Love & Thunder: -49.2%
8. Spider-Man: Homecoming: -49.8%
9. The Dark Knight: -52.4%
10. POTC: Dead Man’s Chest: -54.4%
11. Minions: -55.0%
12. Minions: The Rise of Guru: -55.6%
13. Harry Potter 7 (Part 2): -57.9%
14. Spider-Man: Far From Home: -66.5% (opened on a Tue)
15. Despicable Me 2: -72.4% (opened on a Wed)
16. Spider-Man 2: -75.2% (opened on a Wed)
17. Transformers: Dark of the Moon: -76.6% (opened on a Wed)

Peace,

Mike