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Christmas-New Year Weekdays Thread (12/26-28)

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Other point to note is while Aquabro 2 is another bomb, its seeing way stronger walkups than DC flicks from recent past. It could be just due to holidays or its audience base is slightly different from other DC movies. Holiday run should take it slightly above 100m finish domestic. 

 

Wonka I hope hits 200m+. Need to see how it holds post holidays to confirm that. OS holds have been even better and I hope it continues to have a strong global run. 

 

Migration is going to end up as biggest animation flick in last 2 months. Probably finish around 125m. 

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37 minutes ago, keysersoze123 said:

By my calculation

Wonka ~ 8.75m

Migration ~ 6.75

Aquabro 2 ~ 6

 

Aquabro 2 actually had tad higher gross than Migration but its ratio tends to be way higher. These numbers could go up and down depending on how ratios changed compared to last friday and so take it with huge sack of salt 🙂 

Someone ship this off to Reddit

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I’ll get into this more tomorrow, but Twisters is one movie where it could be a sub-100 bomb or a giant 300+ hit and neither would surprise me. It has a big benefit where these kinds of disaster movies haven’t been out for a while, which gives it an advantage like Top Gun or Jurassic World had in terms of feeling fresh.

 

I do think them going for a remake instead of a legacyquel however does seem like something that could backfire. Like I know we all groan over forced nostalgia pandering/member berries, but the masses eat that trash up. Having Helen Hunt in there so people can Leo point and tweet “OMG MY CHILDHOOD” goes a long way in the hype circuit.

 

They also for sure need a CGI flying cow money shot in the trailer. No cow, no deal.

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10 hours ago, vale9001 said:

Just read in China a new chinese film + the eras tour alone could make 150M combined in 2 days (31 dec and 1 Jan) 😅

This must be coming from someone who doesn’t understand how china BO works. Eras tour and that new romance movie is the pinnacle of presale loaded as chick flock to ticket booking on the get go. There won’t be much walk-ups. And quite evidently, both now may struggle to hit 100m combined, far cry from 150m.

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25 minutes ago, titanic2187 said:

This must be coming from someone who doesn’t understand how china BO works. Eras tour and that new romance movie is the pinnacle of presale loaded as chick flock to ticket booking on the get go. There won’t be much walk-ups. And quite evidently, both now may struggle to hit 100m combined, far cry from 150m.

 

That Fernando Twitter guy wrote It. Poor him then.

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27 minutes ago, Eric Wonka said:

I’ll get into this more tomorrow, but Twisters is one movie where it could be a sub-100 bomb or a giant 300+ hit and neither would surprise me. It has a big benefit where these kinds of disaster movies haven’t been out for a while, which gives it an advantage like Top Gun or Jurassic World had in terms of feeling fresh.

 

I do think them going for a remake instead of a legacyquel however does seem like something that could backfire. Like I know we all groan over forced nostalgia pandering/member berries, but the masses eat that trash up. Having Helen Hunt in there so people can Leo point and tweet “OMG MY CHILDHOOD” goes a long way in the hype circuit.

 

They also for sure need a CGI flying cow money shot in the trailer. No cow, no deal.

It isn't a remake.

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28 minutes ago, Eric Wonka said:

I’ll get into this more tomorrow, but Twisters is one movie where it could be a sub-100 bomb or a giant 300+ hit and neither would surprise me. It has a big benefit where these kinds of disaster movies haven’t been out for a while, which gives it an advantage like Top Gun or Jurassic World had in terms of feeling fresh.

 

I do think them going for a remake instead of a legacyquel however does seem like something that could backfire. Like I know we all groan over forced nostalgia pandering/member berries, but the masses eat that trash up. Having Helen Hunt in there so people can Leo point and tweet “OMG MY CHILDHOOD” goes a long way in the hype circuit.

 

They also for sure need a CGI flying cow money shot in the trailer. No cow, no deal.

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Are You Sure About That John Cena GIF by MOODMAN

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Helen Hunt would've helped, yes, that's the main reason I'm not all that bullish on Twisters. The one angle it really has going for it is the Oscar nominated director. My expectation on box office for now is low just because I'm not optimistic about critical/audience reception, but hoping Chung surprises me.

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1 hour ago, Eric Wonka said:

I’ll get into this more tomorrow, but Twisters is one movie where it could be a sub-100 bomb or a giant 300+ hit and neither would surprise me. It has a big benefit where these kinds of disaster movies haven’t been out for a while, which gives it an advantage like Top Gun or Jurassic World had in terms of feeling fresh.

 

I do think them going for a remake instead of a legacyquel however does seem like something that could backfire. Like I know we all groan over forced nostalgia pandering/member berries, but the masses eat that trash up. Having Helen Hunt in there so people can Leo point and tweet “OMG MY CHILDHOOD” goes a long way in the hype circuit.

 

They also for sure need a CGI flying cow money shot in the trailer. No cow, no deal.

They certainly do, especially with those two examples you provided. 

 

I personally wouldn’t call them trash though. I love a lot of the legacy sequels, including those two. 

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I'm the only one think that Gosling - Blunt movie could be a surprise?. It has 2 barbenheimer stars. Last Leitch movie made 100M+ and he's now a kinda of reconizable name. The action flick fans + some attention from the youngest audience still in the Ken mood. 

First trailer made 20M views just on youtube, not bad. 

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1 hour ago, AniNate said:

Helen Hunt would've helped, yes, that's the main reason I'm not all that bullish on Twisters. The one angle it really has going for it is the Oscar nominated director. My expectation on box office for now is low just because I'm not optimistic about critical/audience reception, but hoping Chung surprises me.

 

I really don't think she would move the needle in any meaningful way. If it flops with the new cast, people will say it's because she's missing. If it floped with her people would say "what you expected, no one remembers Twister" or something of that sort. 

I agree that the original movie is not quite as forgotten as younger people that have never heard of it might think. Anyone who was old enough to watch movies in the late 90s would have probably seen it on cinemas/VHS/TV. It was THAT big. And many of them will probably have fond memories of it. But as many already said, it doesn't have anywhere near the cultural cachet of other big 90s blockbusters.

 

I think it's better to bet on the concept feeling fresh and new again 30 years later with no baggage than bet on nostalgia for Helen Hunt's character who I don't even remember her name despite having watched Twister more than a dozen times way back when.

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Some are still on this post star wars 7 nostalgia train? People didn't care about ford- indiana Jones or Keaton - Batman just think about how much they could care about Helen Hunt on Twisters. 

People are bored by these nostalgia things and asking for something new.

New cool actors like Glen Powell are the best choices. He Is know by the old audience of Top gun and seems like his rom com Is giving him some viral attention, which is good to have some attention from the internet and young people. 

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One thing I'll say about Twisters (a film I have probably watched in part at least 10 times) is that it came out at a time when storm chasing wasn't a very well known activity. But since, it has grown in awareness, with guys like Reed Timmer (among many) having a big online presence.  That could help drive interest from the younger generation, and if - big IF - the film can draw on the nostalgia angle (very difficult without any returning cast), and be good, not just some generic disaster porn flick. then there is potential.

 

But seems to have too much working against it, including the release date a week before Deadpool 3, that its probably gong to be fine but unspectacular, $100-$150M domestic summer release

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