JAPAN BOX OFFICE | Demon Slayer breaks all time record for OW

[MrFanaticGuy34]

2 hours ago, Olive said:

JW2 will have a good hold again this week, but will have to deal with Incredibles 2 and MI6 next week

I think they all will coexist fine. MI6 & I2 will safely be big in Japan.

[Olive]

1 hour ago, MrFanaticGuy34 said:

I think they all will coexist fine. MI6 & I2 will safely be big in Japan.

and 4 local wide release same week, super crowded.

[Olive]

Code Blue the movie 1.548B in 3 days, 1.096B in 2 days, fantastic OW.

JWFK 614M/4.9B, down only 19%

[fmpro]

10 minutes ago, Olive said:

Code Blue the movie 1.548B in 3 days, 1.096B in 2 days, fantastic OW.

JWFK 614M/4.9B, down only 19%

So still 8B+ for JWFK?

[pepsa]

2 hours ago, fmpro said:

So still 8B+ for JWFK?

Honestly with the holds it had in the last few weeks it should cross 8B.

[KP1025]

That is a great hold for JW:FK considering the typhoon over the weekend. Bodes well for its Obon Festival performance. 

[titanic2187]

Japan Box Office: Weekend Actuals (07/28-29)

(C)2018「劇場版コード・ブルー －ドクターヘリ緊急救命－」製作委員会

Weekend Actuals (07/28-29)
01 (---) ¥1,096,150,000 ($9.8 million), 0, ¥1,548,330,900 ($13.9 million), Code Blue (Toho) NEW
02 (01) ¥614,213,800 ($5.5 million), -19%, ¥4,922,406,700 ($43.8 million), Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom (Toho-Towa) WK3
03 (02) ¥289,012,900 ($2.6 million), -28%, ¥1,181,317,500 ($10.6 million), Mirai of the Future (Toho) WK2
04 (03) ¥180,860,400 ($1.6 million), -24%, ¥1,652,206,800 ($14.8 million), Pokemon: Everyone's Story (Toho) WK3
05 (04) ¥64,199,400 ($578,000), -53%, ¥360,638,300 ($3.2 million), Bleach (Shochiku) WK2
06 (05) ¥57,299,800 ($516,000), -33%, ¥1,997,150,500 ($18.1 million), Solo: A Star Wars Story (Disney) WK5
07 (06) ¥47,590,600 ($429,000), -36%, ¥4,199,513,600 ($38.0 million), Shoplifters (Gaga) WK8
08 (09) ¥32,347,600 ($291,000), -16%, ¥496,085,300 ($4.5 million), Anpanman: Shine! Kurun and the Star of Life (Tokyo Theaters, Co.) WK5
09 (08) ¥25,379,500 ($229,000), -37%, ¥482,986,500 ($4.4 million), Rainbow Days (Shochiku) WK4
10 (07) ¥22,031,000 ($180,000), -48%, ¥1,677,018,900 ($15.0 million), Recall (Shochiku) WK7

>Code Blue, the film adaptation of the popular TV drama, exceeded all expectations, delivering the third-biggest opening weekend ever for a domestic live-action film; and the biggest domestic live-action opening weekend since 2009. Despite a typhoon affecting western Japan over the weekend, the film still sold an outstanding 810,918 admissions over the weekend frame across 439 screens, and sold 1,164,744 admissions since opening on Friday.

Fuji TV announced that they expect the film to reach the ¥10 billion ($90 million) uber-blockbuster milestone, but projections from studios and TV stations are often very optimistic and on the very high-end of expectations for marketing purposes. However, they may not be far off the mark because of how well it did in the face of a big storm, and Monday's estimate is very impressive. It will probably finish around ¥8 billion ($70 million), but it could go a bit higher and enter the race against Detective Conan: Zero the Enforcer and Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom for the 2018 Yearly Crown.

Also, Code Blue makes the fourth film to debut above ¥1 billion in only seven months (most years have one, maybe two films do it in a year), a record number this decade and the most in such a short amount of time since the Hollywood blockbuster boon of 2002-2005.

>Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom falls to second place, but still delivered an excellent third weekend hold, and is now trailing its predecessor by 17% (down from 20% last week) after three weeks in release. It will likely continue to gain on the first film since it has Obon Festival in two weeks, so a total of ¥9 billion ($80 million) is looking very good right now, which should be enough for it to win the 2018 Yearly Crown, though it's not certain yet.

>Mirai of the Future held well in its second weekend, though did drop slightly more than Hosoda's Wolf Children (2012), 28% versus 24%. Of course, it's possible the typhoon may have impact it a bit. Its two-week total, however, is up 16% compared to Wolf Children, so I'd say it's aiming for a total between ¥3.5-4.0 billion ($30-35 million+). I know that's less than Wolf Children (¥4.22 billion), but I think the mixed-reception of Mirai will slow it down in the coming weeks.

>Pokemon: Everyone's Story also held well, and continues to almost mirror last year's film day-to-day so far. It opened 3% behind last year's film, and its third-week total is trailing by just 4%. I don't really see why it'll suddenly change course, so I'd say a total over ¥3 billion is locked, and it should get very close to ¥3.5 billion ($30 million+).

[titanic2187]

Japan Box Office: Top Opening Weekends: 2018

2018 - Top Opening Weekends
Gross ¥ ($) / Admissions [Screen Count] - Film (Distributor)

¥1.296 billion ($12.1 million) / 1,012,000 [384] - Detective Conan: Zero the Enforcer (Toho)
¥1.217 billion ($10.8 million) / 833,190 [1002] - Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom (Toho-Towa)
¥1.125 billion ($9.9 million) / 737,467 [937] - Star Wars: The Last Jedi (Disney)
¥1.096 billion ($9.8 million) / 810,918 [439] - Code Blue (Toho)
¥1 billion ↨
¥843.1 million ($7.9 million) / 716,629 [381] - Doraemon: Nobita's Treasure Island (Toho)
¥672.4 million ($6.2 million) / 437,209 [653] - Avengers: Infinity War (Disney)
¥501.4 million ($4.5 million) / 440,242 [370] - Pokemon: Everyone's Story (Toho)
¥500 million ↨
¥499.4 million ($4.5 million) / 375,293 [863] - Solo: A Star Wars Story (Disney)
¥488.1 million ($4.6 million) / 368,214 [511] - Coco (Disney)
¥444.8 million ($4.1 million) / 349,950 [334] - Shoplifters (Gaga)
¥400.1 million ($3.6 million) / 295,828 [456] - Mirai of the Future (Toho)
¥399.2 million ($3.6 million) / 355,230 [366] - Yo-Kai Watch: Shadowside - Resurrection of the Demon King (Toho)
¥390.6 million ($3.7 million) / 267,619 [405] - The Greatest Showman (Fox)
¥375.1 million ($3.4 million) / 239,215 [789] - Deadpool 2 (Fox)
¥367.8 million ($3.4 million) / 214,973 [745] - Ready Player One (Warner Bros.)
¥367.1 million ($3.4 million) / 314,648 [354] - Crayon Shin-chan: Kung-Fu Boys Ramen Rebellion (Toho)
¥359.2 million ($3.2 million) / 303,089 [331] - Kamen Rider Heisei Generations FINAL: Build & Ex-Aid with Legend Riders (Toei)
¥354.3 million ($3.3 million) / 286,556 [335] - The Boss Baby (Toho-Towa)
¥330.1 million ($2.9 million) / 224,480 [673] - Kingsman: The Golden Circle (Fox)
¥309.7 million ($2.9 million) / 199,124 [631] - Black Panther (Disney)
¥300 million ↨
¥297.2 million ($2.6 million) / 231,465 [401] - Destiny: The Tale of Kakamura (Toho)
¥282.9 million ($2.6 million) / 229,281 [307] - The Legend of the Demon Cat (Toho/Kadokawa)
¥278.6 million ($2.6 million) / 192,791 [581] - Pacific Rim: Uprising (Toho-Towa)
¥277.8 million ($2.6 million) / 207,998 [323] - Laplace's Witch (Toho)
¥271.9 million ($2.6 million) / 180,315 [627] - Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle (Sony)
¥266.0 million ($2.4 million) / 209,841 [329] - Recall (Shochiku)
¥264.9 million ($2.4 million) / 205,823 [335] - The Crimes That Bind (Toho)
¥264.1 million ($2.3 million) / 191,212 [441] - Fullmetal Alchemist (Warner Bros.)
¥262.9 million ($2.3 million) / 203,803 [320] - The 8-Year Engagement (Shochiku)
¥256.5 million ($2.3 million) / 209,962 [307] - Chihayafuru: Conclusion (Toho)
¥242.2 million ($2.2 million) / 170,593 [584] - Geostorm (Warner Bros.)
¥226.2 million ($2.1 million) / 202,750 [214] - Pretty Cure Super Stars! (Toei)
¥225.8 million ($2.0 million) / 169,100 [455] - Murder on the Orient Express (Fox)
¥216.0 million ($2.0 million) / 188,814 [351] - Sakura: Guardian in the North (Toei)
¥200 million ↨
¥185.9 million ($1.7 million) / 144,965 [463] - Peter Rabbit (Sony)
¥165.8 million ($1.5 million) / 126,490 [298] - Tonight, At the Movie (Warner Bros.)
¥164.7 million ($1.5 million) / 123,151 [329] - Last Winter, We Parted (Warner Bros.)
¥159.1 million ($1.4 million) / 116,803 [285] - The Lies She Loved (Toho)
¥148.8 million ($1.3 million) / 110,618 [334] - Detective in the Bar 3 (Toei)
¥147.1 million ($1.3 million) / 112,684 [337] - The Blood of Wolves (Toei)
¥145.9 million ($1.3 million) / 118,798 [059] - Girls und Panzer: The Finale - Part 1 (Showgate)
¥141.0 million ($1.3 million) / 96,000 [321] - 50 First Kisses (Sony)
¥140.9 million ($1.3 million) / 95,947 [654] - Rampage (Warner Bros.)
¥137.2 million ($1.2 million) / 115,215 [281] - That is Not a Child But a Minor (Toho)
¥135.0 million ($1.2 million) / 99,122 [329] - Bleach (Shochiku)
¥129.1 million ($1.2 million) / 95,156 [298] - The Scythian Lamb (Asmik Ace)
¥128.2 million ($1.2 million) / 93,045 [269] - Impossibility Defense (Showgate)
¥128.0 million ($1.2 million) / 109,840 [281] - The Post (Toho-Towa)
¥126.4 million ($1.2 million) / 112,000 [336] - What a Wonderful Family! 3 (Shochiku)
¥124.0 million ($1.2 million) / 90,102 [313] - Inuyakashi (Toho)
¥122.0 million ($1.1 million) / 101,212 [327] - Nomitori Samurai (Toho)
¥121.1 million ($1.1 million) / 112,116 [208] - Anpanman: Shine! Kurun and the Star of Life (Tokyo Theaters, Co.)
¥120.4 million ($1.1 million) / 85,867 [301] - After the Rain (Toho)
¥119.4 million ($1.1 million) / 90,854 [237] - The 15:17 to Paris (Warner Bros.)
¥116.7 million ($1.1 million) / 93,103 [382] - Paddington 2 (Kino Films)
¥110.1 million ($1.0 million) / 87,000 [319] - Rainbow Days (Shochiku)
¥104.1 million ($1.0 million) / 77,156 [314] - Tomb Raider (Warner Bros.)
¥102.4 million ($1.0 million) / 79,626 [260] - The Shape of Water (Fox)
¥100 million ↑

Legend:
¥1 billion+ (Exemplary) / ¥500 million+ (Great) / ¥300 million+ (Good) / ¥200 million+ (Acceptable) / ¥100 million+ (Mediocre)

 

2018 - Top Grossing Films
Gross ¥ ($) / Admissions [Days In Release] - Film (Distributor)

¥10 billion ↨
¥8.67 billion ($79.1 million) / 6.63 million [108] - Detective Conan: Zero the Enforcer (Toho)
¥7.50 billion ($66.2 million) / 5.05 million [E] - Star Wars: The Last Jedi (Disney)
¥5.37 billion ($50.0 million) / 4.68 million [F] - Doraemon: Nobita's Treasure Island (Toho)
¥5.13 billion ($47.8 million) / 3.67 million [E] - The Greatest Showman (Fox)
¥5 billion ↨
¥4.93 billion ($46.0 million) / 3.93 million [E] - Coco (Disney)
¥4.92 billion ($43.8 million) / 3.32 million [17] - Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom (Toho-Towa)
¥4.20 billion ($38.0 million) / 3.42 million [52] - Shoplifters (Gaga)
¥3.73 billion ($34.0 million) / 2.50 million [F] - Avengers: Infinity War (Disney)
¥3.43 billion ($31.8 million) / 2.93 million [F] - The Boss Baby (Toho-Towa)
¥3.21 billion ($28.6 million) / 2.54 million [F] - Destiny: The Tale of Kakamura (Toho)
¥3 billion ↨
¥2.80 billion ($25.0 million) / 2.23 million [F] - The 8-Year Engagement (Shochiku)
¥2.50 billion ($22.8 million) / 1.53 million [E] - Ready Player One (Warner Bros.)
¥2.04 billion ($18.2 million) / 1.82 million [F] - Yo-Kai Watch: Shadowside - Resurrection of the Demon King (Toho)
¥2.00 billion ($18.1 million) / 1.44 million [31] - Solo: A Star Wars Story (Disney)
¥2 billion ↨
¥1.83 billion ($16.6 million) / 1.55 million [F] - Crayon Shin-chan: Kung-Fu Boys Ramen Rebellion (Toho)
¥1.78 billion ($16.2 million) / 1.18 million [E] - Deadpool 2 (Fox)
¥1.73 billion ($16.1 million) / 1.47 million [F] - Chihayafuru: Conclusion (Toho)
¥1.70 billion ($15.5 million) / 1.40 million [F] - Legend of the Demon Cat (Toho/Kadokawa)
¥1.70 billion ($15.3 million) / 1.22 million [F] - Kingsman: The Golden Circle (Fox)
¥1.68 billion ($15.0 million) / 1.35 million [44] - Recall (Shochiku)
¥1.65 billion ($14.8 million) / 1.44 million [17] - Pokemon: Everyone's Story (Toho)
¥1.62 billion ($14.5 million) / 1.28 million [F] - Murder on the Orient Express (Fox)
¥1.59 billion ($14.5 million) / 1.27 million [F] - The Crimes That Bind (Toho)
¥1.55 billion ($14.4 million) / 1.03 million [F] - Black Panther (Disney)
¥1.55 billion ($13.9 million) / 1.16 million [03] - Code Blue (Toho)
¥1.38 billion ($12.4 million) / 1.06 million [F] - Laplace's Witch (Toho)
¥1.26 billion ($11.3 million) / 1.06 million [E] - Kamen Hensei Generations FINAL: Build & Ex-Aid With Legend Riders (Toei)
¥1.23 billion ($11.2 million) / 0.90 million [E] - Geostorm (Warner Bros.)
¥1.21 billion ($11.0 million) / 0.97 million [E] - 50 First Kisses (Sony)
¥1.21 billion ($11.0 million) / 0.83 million [E] - Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle (Sony)
¥1.20 billion ($11.0 million) / 0.97 million [E] - Sakura: Guardian in the North (Toei)
¥1.18 billion ($10.6 million) / 0.91 million [10] - Mirai of the Future (Toho)
¥1.12 billion ($10.0 million) / 0.87 million [E] - Fullmetal Alchemist (Warner Bros.)
¥1.11 billion ($9.9 million) / 0.89 million [E] - Peter Rabbit (Sony)
¥1.01 billion ($9.5 million) / 0.79 million [E] - Tonight, at the Movies (Warner Bros.)
¥1 billion ↑

Legend:
¥10 billion+ (Uber-Blockbuster) / ¥5 billion+ (Blockbuster) / ¥3 billion+ (Hit) / ¥2 billion+ (Respectable) / ¥1 billion+ (Commercial Success)

 

As per corpse 

[CoolK]

what is the expectation for I2 releasing tomorrow? the first one did ~50mn usd

Edited July 31, 2018 by CoolK

[KP1025]

7 minutes ago, CoolK said:

what is the expectation for I2 releasing tomorrow? the first one did ~50mn usd

 

Corpse thinks it can reach ¥7 billion or $60+ million.

[John Marston]

love that Fallen Kingdom is going to outgross Last Jedi even though Force Awakens made more than JW

[Cooper Legion]

2 hours ago, titanic2187 said:

biggest domestic live-action opening weekend since 2009. Despite a typhoon affecting western Japan over the weekend

[titanic2187]

Latest daily estimate from Corpse given that hot-steak in japanese box office lately

Japan Box Office: Weekend Estimates (07/30-08/03)

Weekday Estimates (07/30-08/03)

Monday (07/30)
¥305 million ($2.8 million), 0, ¥1.855 billion ($16.7 million), Code Blue (Day 4)
¥130 million ($1.2 million), -15%, ¥5.050 billion ($45.0 million), Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom (Day 18)
¥70 million ($630,000), -09%, ¥1.250 billion ($11.3 million), Mirai of the Future (Day 11)
¥55 million ($495,000), -02%, ¥1.705 billion ($15.3 million), Pokemon: Everyone's Story (Day 18)
¥15 million ($135,000), -42%, ¥375.0 million ($3.3 million), Bleach (Day 11)
¥13 million ($115,000), -15%, ¥4.215 billion ($38.1 million), Shoplifters (Day 53)
¥13 million ($115,000), -20%, ¥2.010 billion ($18.2 million), Solo: A Star Wars Story (Day 32)
¥11 million ($100,000), -13%, ¥493.0 million ($4.5 million), Rainbow Days (Day 25)
¥6 million ($55,000), -10%, ¥502.0 million ($4.6 million), Anpanman: Shine! Kurun and the Star of Life (Day 31)
¥5 million ($45,000), -35%, ¥1.682 billion ($15.1 million), Recall (Day 45)
__________
¥4 million ($35,000), +37%, ¥8.678 billion ($79.2 million), Detective Conan: Zero the Enforcer (Day 109)

Tuesday (07/31)
¥235 million ($2.1 million), 0, ¥2.090 billion ($18.8 million), Code Blue (Day 5)
¥100 million ($900,000), -16%, ¥5.150 billion ($45.9 million), Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom (Day 19)
¥55 million ($495,000), -08%, ¥1.305 billion ($11.8 million), Mirai of the Future (Day 12)
¥45 million ($405,000), -07%, ¥1.750 billion ($15.7 million), Pokemon: Everyone's Story (Day 19)
¥12 million ($110,000), -34%, ¥387.0 million ($3.4 million), Bleach (Day 12)
¥12 million ($110,000), -08%, ¥4.227 billion ($38.2 million), Shoplifters (Day 54)
¥11 million ($100,000), -17%, ¥2.021 billion ($18.3 million), Solo: A Star Wars Story (Day 33)
¥8 million ($70,000), -14%, ¥501.0 million ($4.6 million), Rainbow Days (Day 26)
¥6 million ($55,000), +86%, ¥8.684 billion ($79.3 million), Detective Conan: Zero the Enforcer (Day 110)
¥5 million ($45,000), -09%, ¥507.0 million ($4.7 million), Anpanman: Shine! Kurun and the Star of Life (Day 32)
__________
¥4 million ($35,000), -25%, ¥1.686 billion ($15.1 million), Recall (Day 46)

% changes versus same day last week.

Tomorrow, Wednesday, August 1st, has potential to be the biggest single day of 2018. We could see the day more than double Monday's estimates. A lot of urban theaters are close to achieving half-capacity for the whole day and it's only 4AM. Every Wednesday is Ladies' Day (women get discount tickets), but it's also the first of the month (national discount day, so everyone gets discounts), and we're in the middle of Summer. 

To take advantage of this day, Incredibles 2 and Sensei Kunshun are opening tomorrow ahead of the weekend. Then on Friday, Mission: Impossible - Fallout, My Hero Academia: Two Heroes, and the latest Kamen Rider open.

However... I don't believe any of the new films are going to take the #1 spot away from Code Blue. Incredibles 2 has very good pre-sales ahead of its first day, but Code Blue is beating it handily; and Mission Impossible 6 is very unlikely to beat it over the weekend.

 

Wednesday (08/01)
¥400 million ($3.6 million), 0, ¥2.490 billion ($22.4 million), Code Blue (Day 6)
¥255 million ($2.3 million), 0, ¥255.0 million ($2.3 million), Incredibles 2 (NEW)
¥155 million ($1.4 million), +02%, ¥5.305 billion ($47.3 million), Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom (Day 20)
¥85 million ($760,000), -01%, ¥1.390 billion ($12.6 million), Mirai of the Future (Day 13)
¥80 million ($715,000), 0, ¥80.00 million ($715,000), Sensei Kunshun (NEW)
¥65 million ($580,000), -10%, ¥1.815 billion ($16.3 million), Pokemon: Everyone's Story (Day 20)
¥18 million ($160,000), 0, ¥18.00 million ($160,000), Blue Summer (NEW)
¥17 million ($150,000), -31%, ¥404.0 million ($3.6 million), Bleach (Day 13)
¥15 million ($135,000), -22%, ¥2.036 billion ($18.4 million), Solo: A Star Wars Story (Day 34)
¥12 million ($110,000), -34%, ¥4.239 billion ($38.3 million), Shoplifters (Day 55)
__________
¥2 million ($20,000), -65%, ¥8.686 billion ($79.3 million), Detective Conan: Zero the Enforcer (Day 111)

% changes versus same day last week.

Wednesday wasn't quite as strong as I was anticipating, but it was still strong as we get closer to Obon Festival in less than two weeks.

Code Blue is showing no signs of frontloading that TV drama adaptations sometimes experience, and is definitely going to be a contender for the 2018 yearly crown now. I still believe Fuji TV's "expected" ¥10 billion total is too high, but ¥8/9 billion ($70-80 million+) is currently realistic.

Incredibles 2 had a good first day, but I was expecting a bit more. There's really no good comparisons to other Disney/Pixar films because of the Wednesday release, so we'll have to watch how it performs on a day-to-day basis before making any good comparisons. If anything, its first day likely suggests it's not going to breakout, really, and will probably finish around the norm of a Pixar film -- ¥4/5 billion ($40/50 million). 

The first film grossed ¥5.26 billion, so if it can match/exceed that, it'd be a success... but it's very clear that Japanese audiences just aren't accepting of Pixar sequels. Aside from Toy Story 3, which benefited from Pixar establishing itself after the release of the first two Toy Story films, every Pixar sequel has dropped from its predecessor in the market. 

Detective Conan: Zero the Enforcer lost its biggest amount of theaters yet on Wednesday, and it definitely felt the blow. I'll continue to track it for as long as I can, though, since it's the film Jurassic World 2 and Code Blue need to beat first, before possibly one another, to win the 2018 yearly crown.

Edited August 1, 2018 by titanic2187

[CoolK]

from corpse:

 

Wednesday (08/01)
¥400 million ($3.6 million), 0, ¥2.490 billion ($22.4 million), Code Blue (Day 6)
¥255 million ($2.3 million), 0, ¥255.0 million ($2.3 million), Incredibles 2 (NEW)
¥155 million ($1.4 million), +02%, ¥5.305 billion ($47.3 million), Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom (Day 20)
¥85 million ($760,000), -01%, ¥1.390 billion ($12.6 million), Mirai of the Future (Day 13)
¥80 million ($715,000), 0, ¥80.00 million ($715,000), Sensei Kunshun (NEW)
¥65 million ($580,000), -10%, ¥1.815 billion ($16.3 million), Pokemon: Everyone's Story (Day 20)
¥18 million ($160,000), 0, ¥18.00 million ($160,000), Blue Summer (NEW)
¥17 million ($150,000), -31%, ¥404.0 million ($3.6 million), Bleach (Day 13)
¥15 million ($135,000), -22%, ¥2.036 billion ($18.4 million), Solo: A Star Wars Story (Day 34)
¥12 million ($110,000), -34%, ¥4.239 billion ($38.3 million), Shoplifters (Day 55)
__________
¥2 million ($20,000), -65%, ¥8.686 billion ($79.3 million), Detective Conan: Zero the Enforcer (Day 111)

% changes versus same day last week.

Wednesday wasn't quite as strong as I was anticipating, but it was still strong as we get closer to Obon Festival in less than two weeks.

Code Blue is showing no signs of frontloading that TV drama adaptations sometimes experience, and is definitely going to be a contender for the 2018 yearly crown now. I still believe Fuji TV's "expected" ¥10 billion total is too high, but ¥8/9 billion ($70-80 million+) is currently realistic.

Incredibles 2 had a good first day, but I was expecting a bit more. There's really no good comparisons to other Disney/Pixar films because of the Wednesday release, so we'll have to watch how it performs on a day-to-day basis before making any good comparisons. If anything, its first day likely suggests it's not going to breakout, really, and will probably finish around the norm of a Pixar film -- ¥4/5 billion ($40/50 million). 

The first film grossed ¥5.26 billion, so if it can match/exceed that, it'd be a success... but it's very clear that Japanese audiences just aren't accepting of Pixar sequels. Aside from Toy Story 3, which benefited from Pixar establishing itself after the release of the first two Toy Story films, every Pixar sequel has dropped from its predecessor in the market. 

Detective Conan: Zero the Enforcer lost its biggest amount of theaters yet on Wednesday, and it definitely felt the blow. I'll continue to track it for as long as I can, though, since it's the film Jurassic World 2 and Code Blue need to beat first, before possibly one another, to win the 2018 yearly crown.

[meriodejaneiro]

5 hours ago, CoolK said:

from corpse:

 

Wednesday (08/01)
¥400 million ($3.6 million), 0, ¥2.490 billion ($22.4 million), Code Blue (Day 6)
¥255 million ($2.3 million), 0, ¥255.0 million ($2.3 million), Incredibles 2 (NEW)
¥155 million ($1.4 million), +02%, ¥5.305 billion ($47.3 million), Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom (Day 20)
¥85 million ($760,000), -01%, ¥1.390 billion ($12.6 million), Mirai of the Future (Day 13)
¥80 million ($715,000), 0, ¥80.00 million ($715,000), Sensei Kunshun (NEW)
¥65 million ($580,000), -10%, ¥1.815 billion ($16.3 million), Pokemon: Everyone's Story (Day 20)
¥18 million ($160,000), 0, ¥18.00 million ($160,000), Blue Summer (NEW)
¥17 million ($150,000), -31%, ¥404.0 million ($3.6 million), Bleach (Day 13)
¥15 million ($135,000), -22%, ¥2.036 billion ($18.4 million), Solo: A Star Wars Story (Day 34)
¥12 million ($110,000), -34%, ¥4.239 billion ($38.3 million), Shoplifters (Day 55)
__________
¥2 million ($20,000), -65%, ¥8.686 billion ($79.3 million), Detective Conan: Zero the Enforcer (Day 111)

% changes versus same day last week.

Wednesday wasn't quite as strong as I was anticipating, but it was still strong as we get closer to Obon Festival in less than two weeks.

Code Blue is showing no signs of frontloading that TV drama adaptations sometimes experience, and is definitely going to be a contender for the 2018 yearly crown now. I still believe Fuji TV's "expected" ¥10 billion total is too high, but ¥8/9 billion ($70-80 million+) is currently realistic.

Incredibles 2 had a good first day, but I was expecting a bit more. There's really no good comparisons to other Disney/Pixar films because of the Wednesday release, so we'll have to watch how it performs on a day-to-day basis before making any good comparisons. If anything, its first day likely suggests it's not going to breakout, really, and will probably finish around the norm of a Pixar film -- ¥4/5 billion ($40/50 million). 

The first film grossed ¥5.26 billion, so if it can match/exceed that, it'd be a success... but it's very clear that Japanese audiences just aren't accepting of Pixar sequels. Aside from Toy Story 3, which benefited from Pixar establishing itself after the release of the first two Toy Story films, every Pixar sequel has dropped from its predecessor in the market. 

Detective Conan: Zero the Enforcer lost its biggest amount of theaters yet on Wednesday, and it definitely felt the blow. I'll continue to track it for as long as I can, though, since it's the film Jurassic World 2 and Code Blue need to beat first, before possibly one another, to win the 2018 yearly crown.

So, good start for I2 in Japan, but not the best it could get. 40/50M is not a bad final number ... but I would have loved a bigger number, following the ww trend I2 is having (from 600M+ ww to 1.2B ww is almost doubling it's ww boxoffice from TI)

[picores]

What can be expected for MI6 here? Last one did around 41m USD (correct me if im wrong), hoping Fallout can at least match that.

[John Rambo]

1 hour ago, picores said:

What can be expected for MI6 here? Last one did around 41m USD (correct me if im wrong), hoping Fallout can at least match that.

All MI movies have consistently grossed 5b yen  so thats the minimum we can start with. Max depends on how they receive in this crowded marketplace!!! 

[John Rambo]

Wonder what was paramount thinking of? Obon Festival week starts on 13th of this month and MI is releasing  on 3rd in crowded market place like this.

Edited August 2, 2018 by John Rambo

[scoobysaurus]

On 7/31/2018 at 6:22 AM, John Marston said:

love that Fallen Kingdom is going to outgross Last Jedi even though Force Awakens made more than JW

When it's all said and done FK will end up dangerously close to TLJ ww. Extrapolate the  drops from their predecessors and JW3 is likely to crush SW9 WW and NA won't be able to save SW next time.

[KP1025]

3 hours ago, John Rambo said:

Wonder what was paramount thinking of? Obon Festival week starts on 13th of this month and MI is releasing  on 3rd in crowded market place like this.

According to Corpse, films can thrive together quite well during this busiest movie-going period. MI5 also released one week before Obon Festival in 2015 and had to deal with Jurassic World releasing the same weekend.