Weekend Estimates (pg8): Mockingjay 18.6M | Krampus 16M | Creed 15.54M | TGD 15.51M

[lab276]

1 hour ago, The Good Olive said:

1). The Hunger Games: Mockingjay – Part 2 (LGF), 4,086 theaters (-89) / $6.2M Fri. (-71%) / 3-day cume: $20.5M (-61%) /Total cume: $229M/Wk 3

2). The Good Dinosaur (DIS), 3,749 theaters / $3.7M Fri. (-76%) / 3-day cume: $16.8M (-57%)/Total cume: $77.3M/Wk 2

3). Krampus (U/Legendary), 2,902 theaters / $6.25M Fri. / 3-day cume: $15.5M /Wk 1

4). Creed (MGM/New Line/WB), 3,424 theaters (+20) / $4.3M Fri. (-63%) / 3-day cume: $14M-$15M (-53%)/Total cume: $63.6M /Wk 2

5). Spectre (SONY/MGM), 2,840 theaters (-100)/ $1.6M Fri. (-69%)/ 3-day cume: $5.8M (-55%)/Total cume: $184.9M /Wk 5

6). The Night Before (SONY), 2,794, theaters (-166)/ $1.4M Fri.(-56%)/ 3-day cume: $4.3M (-49%)/Total cume: $31.4M/Wk 3

7). The Peanuts Movie (FOX), 2,917 theaters (-172)/ $915K Fri. (-77%) / 3-day cume: $4M (-59%)/Total cume: $121.9M /Wk 5

8). Spotlight (OPRD), 980 theaters (+83) / $829K Fri. (-50%) / 3-day cume: $2.8 (-36%) /Total cume: $16.5M /Wk 5

9). Brooklyn (FSL), 906 theaters (+61) / $752K Fri. (-48%)/3-day cume: $2.7M (-31%)/Total cume: $11.5M /Wk 5

10). Secret In Their Eyes (STX), 2,147 theaters (-245) / $606K Fri.(-64%) / 3-day cume: $2M (-55%)/Total cume: $17.3M/Wk 3

 

1 hour ago, TalismanRing said:

http://deadline.com/2015/12/hunger-games-mockingjay-krampus-creed-good-dinosaur-post-thanksgiving-box-office-1201652456/

 

11). The Martian (FOX), 1,140 theaters (-280) / $470K Fri. (-65%)/ 3-day cume: $1.67M (-48%)/ Total cume: $220.9M / Wk 10

12). Love The Coopers (LGF), 1,639 theaters (-228)/ $425K Fri. (-65%) / 3-day cume: $1.45M (-53%)/Total cume: $22.6M/Wk 4

 

 

Top 12 91.5m, vs 70.2m last year, 86.4m 2013.

[misafeco]

MJ2's drop is the same as MJ1's on 4th weekend. TGD -57% is horrible. Creed's okay, next week it should hold well and reach 100M few days after Cristmas.

Creed total>TGD total?

[Mojoguy]

Disney should have switched Zootopia and TGD's release dates.

Release Zootopia over Thanksgiving 2015, and move TGD to March 2016.

I can't see how Zootopia would have done worse, and TGD would have faced less competition in March.

Edited December 5, 2015 by Mojoguy

[picores]

12 minutes ago, misafeco said:

MJ2's drop is the same as MJ1's on 4th weekend. TGD -57% is horrible. Creed's okay, next week it should hold well and reach 100M few days after Cristmas.

Creed total>TGD total?

 

No. TGD should pass 130m. Dont see Creed passing much more than 100m which is a huge win.

[BK007]

The Good Dinosaur is a major bomb. 

 

16m second weekend? Jesus. 

 

edit: Guys, it hasn't even outgrossed Inside Out's 1st weekend in 10 days. Not to mention, it has lost by a wide margin to Finding Nemo, The Incredibles, probably even Cars. 

Edited December 5, 2015 by BK007

[straggler]

The Good Dinosaur had beautiful animation but it was just a very conventional story without memorable moments. But I wonder if the idea was to make money on merchandising. Cars made a fortune on merchandising.

[CJohn]

Those are some ugly drops. Krampus is a huge win for Legendary pictures, tho.

[The Stingray]

Great Krampus number. I expected it to do around 10m.

 

To those who have seen it, is it better or worse than the wonderful Trick 'r Treat?
 

[WrathOfHan]

Good for Krampus, bad for the holdovers.

[grey ghost]

3 hours ago, straggler said:

The Good Dinosaur had beautiful animation but it was just a very conventional story without memorable moments. But I wonder if the idea was to make money on merchandising. Cars made a fortune on merchandising.

 

I'm not seeing too much merchandising potential with Good Dinosaur.

 

 

[The Panda]

The Good Dinosaur being Pixar's biggest bomb warrants a WWW thread

[narniadis]

TGD comes in at the proper expectation and it's all of the sudden not holding well?? Yall are crazy this is NORMAL post weekend animation behavior - Pixar is not immune to the natural trend of this time of year. 

[AJG]

Good Dinosaur just looked generic. The dinosaurs looked generic, the story looked generic, the jokes looked generic.

 

nice toy commercial, though.

[grey ghost]

TGD is a blemish on Pixar's record but they're still a powerhouse at the end of the day.

 

They just can't rely on the Pixar name.

 

Brand names won't save you just like star power won't save you.

 

MCU is hot right now but Ant-Man could've easily preformed like Green Lantern DOM if the positive reception didn't save it.

[grey ghost]

33 minutes ago, The Panda said:

The Good Dinosaur being Pixar's biggest bomb warrants a WWW thread

 

Agreed.

 

The average expectation was probably 275 m.

 

It might not make half that.

 

And it's a Pixar movie with decent reviews. So there's no obvious answer as to what went wrong.

[Jayhawk the Hutt]

This is a pretty decent post-Thanksgiving weekend, all things considered.

[mahnamahna]

4 hours ago, Mojoguy said:

Disney should have switched Zootopia and TGD's release dates.

Release Zootopia over Thanksgiving 2015, and move TGD to March 2016.

I can't see how Zootopia would have done worse, and TGD would have faced less competition in March.

More like:

Finding Dory - November 2015

The Good Dinosaur - March 2016

Zootopia - June 2016 

 

Finding Dory would have been a surefire hit, even with MJ2 and SW7 as competition. 

 

Good Dinosaur would benefit from no other kids movies to compete with.

 

Zootopia has enough buzz to do well even in a competitive June 2016 slot if it's a funny, inventive caper.

 

 

 

[kaijukurt]

18 hours ago, The Stingray said:

Great Krampus number. I expected it to do around 10m.

 

To those who have seen it, is it better or worse than the wonderful Trick 'r Treat?
 

 

Hmm I found Trick or Treat better. But Krampus has more humor (if you'd like that) and some good practical monsters.

 

On topic, even if I wasn't a fan of it, I'm happy for Legendary that this isn't bombing.

Edited December 5, 2015 by kaijukurt

[Lordmandeep]

TGD likely will be saved by lack of animation films for a while. 

[MrFanaticGuy34]

I hope SW: EP7 does live up to it's hype, box-office wise. Cause have any of you noticed how much presales it has now?

 

If it performs like the November films we got......it may not be a thrilling holiday season...in terms of box office....at all. It better not disappoint, box office-wise.